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Posted

The Twins saw their healthiest season from two catchers in nearly 30 years in 2023 but how does the position look in Spring Training and can the same stroke of luck occur again in 2024? 

For the first time in almost three decades, the 2023 season saw Twins have only two catchers on the entire roster for the entire season. Ryan Jeffers exceeded expectations, but Christian Vazquez did not. 

But despite expectations and flip-flopping results based on said expectations, both Jeffers and Vazquez remained healthy all year. The last season the Twins saw that was back in 1995 when the likes of Matt Wallbeck and Matt Merullo shared the bulk of catching duties. 

It shows what a rarity it is to have two healthy catchers all season in baseball, especially in today’s game. It’s doubtful the Twins will see Jeffers and Vazquez remain healthy all season again in 2024, which is why the 40-man roster now has a third catcher on it; Jair Camargo

As Spring Training begins, these three make up the depth at catcher on the Twins' 40-man roster. They’re all aiming with higher aspirations on what they can do for the Twins as they look to repeat as Central Division champs in 2024. 

Ryan Jeffers
Jeffers put back-to-back disappointing seasons behind the dish and at the plate behind him in 2023. He and former teammate Mitch Garver lead all catchers in MLB with a minimum of 300 plate appearances, with a 134 OPS+. 

Jeffers stood alone as the best-hitting catcher for batting average on balls in play with a league-leading .359 BABIP and third-best on the Twins behind Edouard Julien's team-leading at .371 BABIP and Donovan Solano at .366.  

These numbers are just small indicators of the massive leap Jeffers took for himself in 2023 and where he’s set himself up to be in 2024. As Spring Training begins, Jeffers is set to split the catching duties with Vazquez at a 65% to 35% split on start time. 

Of course, injuries can always change this up at some point in the season. Still, the 27-year-old has finally landed himself in the role prospect evaluators and rankers had him projected to be four years ago. 

The hope is for Jeffers to keep climbing the offensive ladder with more playing time and a fully healthy season. With more plate appearances expected to come his way, there isn’t any reason to think Jeffers cannot reach 20 home runs on the season, raise his batting average into the .285 to .300 range, and get into the 60-75 RBI range. 

The one part of his hitting approach that can still see growth in 2024 is his ability to draw walks and cut down on his strikeouts. Jeffers had a .355 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 2023 good enough for 10th best on the team, but the totals show more room for improvement as he only drew 33 walks to his 93 strikeouts. 

Following his 2023 performance Jeffers is set to be the Twins Opening Day catcher for 2024. 

Christian Vazquez 
Vazquez’s story in 2023 was the complete opposite of Jeffers's. Vazquez arrived in Minnesota fresh off a World Series championship with the Houston Astros, the second ring of his career. And he had a solid season at the plate for catchers in 2022 posting a .274/.315/.399 triple slash between the Astros and Red Sox.

Those numbers would have been a delight to see from him in 2023 compared to what they were as his triple-slash was slated at  .223/.280/.318 with an OPS just below .600. His OPS+ was also second worst among catchers with at least 300 plate appearances in the league sitting at a measly 65. 

Vazquez has arrived at camp in what he’s claimed to be “the best shape of his life”, as he told reporters upon his arrival. He spent the off-season training at Driveline’s facilities in Washington retooling his approach at the plate from his worst performance. 

There is reason to believe his time with Driveline over the winter will show a turnaround from his worst season in the Majors. The time he put in with the Mecca of Baseball training facilities will show changes in his approach, but time will tell how these changes to his swing and routine pay off in the 2024 season. 

The majority of playing time behind the plate will be Jeffers to start the season, but Vazquez can earn his way back into more of a starting role pending his Spring Training performance and health. The playing time between the two may be more balanced in starts during April but by Memorial Day, things could look different for Vazquez than how they project now as Spring Training games kick-off. 

Jair Camargo 
Camargo’s on the doorstep of making his MLB debut in 2024 and it’s not a matter of if but when in his case. He had his best professional season with St. Paul Saints in 2023 playing in a career-high 90 games, hitting 21 home runs, 63 runs batted in, and posting a .826 OPS in 368 plate appearances. 

His bat speed caught some momentum in 2023 leading to more power at the plate. Having a hitter-friendly ballpark for half the games at CHS Field was another helping hand in getting more power established. 

The one area at the plate where Camarago could still see growth while he’s getting more at-bats is drawing walks. He only had 29 to his 119 strikeouts 

Camargo has not had the opportunity to show if he can replicate these numbers in the Majors yet, even so, his role with the Twins in 2024 will be that of the third-string catcher, pending no serious injuries to either Jeffers or Vazquez. Camargo will no doubt begin 2024 with the Saints and as long as his performance from a year before maintains, he could see anywhere from 10 to 40 games with the Twins this season. 

All three of these catchers present strong outlooks for their 2024 seasons. If all goes as it did for the Twins behind the plate as it did a year ago, they shouldn’t need more than these three men at catcher for the 2024 season. 
 


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  • 3 weeks later...
Posted

Good news is Vazquez looks good at the plate and behind the plate this Spring.

He’s got a few strikeouts but his average (in a small set of 25 AB’s) is .280. His DRIVELINE experience seems to have sharpened him up physically & mentally.

Got in better shape so he’s personally motivated as well!

Posted

No.  That was good rest combined with a little bit of luck so it's probably not happening again as someone will get a little dinged up sometime (hopefully not a lot dinged up).  But that's OK.  We have a guy who should be a solid #3 in St. Paul to fill in.  He will gain valuable experience by stepping in and the team will be better for it in the long term. 

 

Posted

Nothing better than a 2 headed monster at the C. Much like a goalie in hockey, if you are going 3 or 4 deep because of injuries or poor performance, you will miss out on a winning season.  Jeffers/Vasquez could and should be the best tandem in MLB in ‘24. If we get to late August and Camargo is still watching mpls skyline sunsets from the east side of the river, look for a cameo appearance just to show the kid what the big show tastes like. Vasquez could be a hot commodity coming of his 3rd WS appearance/championship next offseason. 

Posted

It's an unusual take to treat a really high BABIP as a positive skill for a hitter. Generally, high BABIP is largely luck driven and a red flag for regression. Such is the case with Ryan Jeffers. There's a 99% chance he will not repeat last year's performance, and if he does get that 1% season, it'll be luck based again. There's not really a question in that regard.

Jeffers has huge raw power, and well above average game power, but it comes with lots of swing and miss, and he doesn't hit much in the way of line drives. Combined with his lack of speed, his batting average should probably hang out in the .230ish area. I expect Jeffers will produce at a .235/.315/.445 or so pace through his prime. Good for a wRC+ of 105ish. He's about equivalent to Gary Sanchez with a little less power and a little more hit tool.

I think Vazquez could bounce back to 2022 levels with the offseason work, but he's probably in the twilight of his career as a catcher entering his age 33 season. 

Posted
Quote

The hope is for Jeffers to keep climbing the offensive ladder with more playing time 

Unlike the Twins (who prioritize hitting), most serious teams prioritize defense at catcher. If Jeffers can maintain average defense, it's a step in the right direction and the Jeffers/ Vazquez tandem ranking would be higher. Our catching prospects depth are not ranked because of lack of defense development. I hate to see what condition our catching will be when Vazquez leaves or gets hurt for any substantial amount of time.

Posted

Hopefully Vazquez has used his benching throughout the playoff run last year as extra motivation to fuel a much more productive 2024 campaign. It would be great if he could return to a .700 OPS -- making his contract much less of a negative value. If Vazquez is able to put together a solid 2024 and Camargo shows he's ready to step in as the #2 catcher in 2025, Vazquez could be flipped for a low-level prospect to shed his $10 million salary in 2025. 

Posted

Whatever the catcher rotation ends up being (60 Jeffers/40 Vazquez is my guess), I hope that they give Jeffers DH days whenever he has a day off catching and they face a lefty. It would only be 15-25 more games, but we could use all the help we can get.

Posted
8 hours ago, Fatbat said:

If we get to late August and Camargo is still watching mpls skyline sunsets from the east side of the river, look for a cameo appearance just to show the kid what the big show tastes like

I strongly endorse this idea. It combines late-season rest for the regulars, postseason prep in case Camargo is needed, and lets us consider whether a Vazquez trade is survivable.

Posted
3 hours ago, ToddlerHarmon said:

Whatever the catcher rotation ends up being (60 Jeffers/40 Vazquez is my guess), I hope that they give Jeffers DH days whenever he has a day off catching and they face a lefty. It would only be 15-25 more games, but we could use all the help we can get.

I agree with this, but Rocco has been very hesitant when he only has two catchers on the 25-man. At no point in 2023 did they have 3 catchers active…and Jeffers got 6 starts at DH all season, despite being desperate for right-handed bats against lefties. I’m sure it’s all about avoiding the risk of losing the DH if Vasquez was to get dinged up during the game. Maybe, Rocco will be talked off that ledge more frequently this year.

 

Posted
42 minutes ago, jkcarew said:

I agree with this, but Rocco has been very hesitant when he only has two catchers on the 25-man. At no point in 2023 did they have 3 catchers active…and Jeffers got 6 starts at DH all season, despite being desperate for right-handed bats against lefties. I’m sure it’s all about avoiding the risk of losing the DH if Vasquez was to get dinged up during the game. Maybe, Rocco will be talked off that ledge more frequently this year.

 

Hope not.

Posted
42 minutes ago, jkcarew said:

I agree with this, but Rocco has been very hesitant when he only has two catchers on the 25-man. At no point in 2023 did they have 3 catchers active…and Jeffers got 6 starts at DH all season, despite being desperate for right-handed bats against lefties. I’m sure it’s all about avoiding the risk of losing the DH if Vasquez was to get dinged up during the game. Maybe, Rocco will be talked off that ledge more frequently this year.

 

Shouldn't really be a problem. Kyle Farmer has also been a catcher at the MLB level.

Posted
28 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

Shouldn't really be a problem. Kyle Farmer has also been a catcher at the MLB level.

Right you are…appeared in a handful of games at C as recently as 2019. You’d think that would be doable for a few innings as a worse case. Still, there was much hesitancy last year to plug Jeffers in at DH…we’ll see if that changes.

Posted

 Twins were so friggin' lucky last year, not even carrying an extra catcher on the 40-man. You still always run the risk of Jair getting injured in St. paul and how you would cover any roster addition then if you need to add back someone signed for depth.

I'm really curious to see if the Twins do team up Jeffers or Vasquez as personal catchers for any particular starter, especially with one having a betetr throwing arm than the other for base stealers.

Posted

30 years, eh? How soon we forget.

Seems 2005,2006,2007,and 2008 with Mauer and Redmond was pretty damn good, and depending on how you discount stats, even better than last year. 15-20 years ago..... And Mauer was a work horse.

Maybe there weren't just 2 on the roster all year, but they were a consistent duo and their production was pretty awesome. Mauer in his prime and Redmond hitting .300/ Morales added some in 2009, too. Vazquez being durable really wasn't a plus last year in a lot of ways. I would rather see Camarago get a shot than suffer through a healthy but deficient bat from Vazquez again all year. 

Posted

the Twins were freakishly lucky with the health of their two catchers last year. I doubt we'll be so lucky this year, so good to have Camargo ready and willing at AAA. I also expect some regression from Jeffers at the plate, but hopefully it's not too steep a drop. Then again, maybe both Jeffers and Vasquez prove to be iron men and help to propel us to to another World Series. Gotta keep hoping!

Posted
11 hours ago, Rosterman said:

 Twins were so friggin' lucky last year, not even carrying an extra catcher on the 40-man. You still always run the risk of Jair getting injured in St. paul and how you would cover any roster addition then if you need to add back someone signed for depth.

I'm really curious to see if the Twins do team up Jeffers or Vasquez as personal catchers for any particular starter, especially with one having a betetr throwing arm than the other for base stealers.

I agree that the Twins were fortunate to go through the season with two catchers and few even minor injuries. I don't think the situation would have been that bad if Jeffers or Vázquez missed ten days or so due to injury. There are lots of René Rivera/Sandy León types out there who can competently defend and bat ninth in the event of an injury. 

Posted
7 hours ago, h2oface said:

30 years, eh? How soon we forget.

Seems 2005,2006,2007,and 2008 with Mauer and Redmond was pretty damn good, and depending on how you discount stats, even better than last year. 15-20 years ago..... And Mauer was a work horse.

Maybe there weren't just 2 on the roster all year, but they were a consistent duo and their production was pretty awesome. Mauer in his prime and Redmond hitting .300/ Morales added some in 2009, too. Vazquez being durable really wasn't a plus last year in a lot of ways. I would rather see Camarago get a shot than suffer through a healthy but deficient bat from Vazquez again all year. 

Vazquez has some up and down seasonal performances recently, and he's not quite old enough to write him off completely. Just have to hope this is one of his "up" years, I think. 

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