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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Come on - not disputing the Lee comments - his performance to date doesn’t need to be defended, but the delusional Wallner support - come on. Wallner has ”….. bad 2-4 week period” - what 2-4 weeks are you describing? As an example, Wallner’s first 6 weeks of 2026………27 games & 109 PA’s …….. .168/.275/.284 Overall .186/.304/.305 IF ONLY v. RH pitching ….., continually battling for the League lead in Strikeouts. 3 HRs & FORTY-ONE Strikeouts. There’s no defense for this offense, coupled with well below foot speed in the outfield and the occasional times he gets on base. He’s got an option left - needs to be exercised. LEE, over 29 games, has one less PA (108) than Wallner in 2026. .242/.306./.414 as a switch hitter - 5 HRs and TWENTY Strikeouts. Wallner -.700 WAR & Lee .300 WAR ….. as you state, Lee’s not getting any positive WAR from his defense.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Nice potential thought with the Gallo parallel …….. shift Big Matt back on to the mound and he can fill a void in the PEN by August! 😉
  3. JD-TWINS
    Nobody is “trading” for a very slow, 38% K rate guy that isn’t barreling up the ball - ever. He’s hitting .168 and I can’t remember how long it’s been since he got an XBH? He’s “limited on defense” (being nice) and he’s 28. Splits in ‘26: LH pitcher .139 BA with .225 OBP & .475 OPS RH pitcher .186 BA with .305 OBP & .609 OPS Does a strict platoon help Matt? Not much! He went to AAA a couple times in ‘23 after being up and fixed himself. He went to AAA in ‘24 in April & came back in July, very nice finish. Hurt a couple time in ‘25 - I’ll give him that, for an off year. He has an OPTION - why are the decision makers waiting? Trying to protect Matt’s ego? His perceived value? ……… those ships have sailed. Splits in ‘26 for Player 2: LH pitcher: .255 BA with .308 OBP & .627 OPS RH pitcher: .192 BA with .241 OBP & .487 OPS Eventually, Team will see 70-75% RH pitching, so these numbers above for Luke Keaschall will be more & more glaring as weeks go by. A .241 OBP (v. righties) for a guy that gets 1 or 2 infield hits a week (speed) is alarming! To me, Luke Keaschall looks like a Jr. College athletic freak with good bat to ball skills, yet that doesn’t have enough power to hit the ball further than 310 feet to left or right field and maybe 350 feet to center field. Gotta face it, it’s ugly! ………..plenty of Options for Luke to go work some things out.
  4. JD-TWINS
    6’9” is different & his command is pretty sharp inside and outside of the Zone. Differing pitch shapes, that are significantly different.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Ober is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA! Banda had 2nd straight decent outing. Topa was solid with his ground ball approach. Morris solid in a shorter outing - decent stuff! Buxton had 3 of 6 total hits …….. 4 walks ……. put up 7 runs with some HELP from the Jays defense. Fortunate! Larnach 0-2 but 2 walks and 2 runs scored……. Martin 1-3 with a walk…….. along with Buxton’s surge, these guys are making offense go. Bottom 4 guys in line-up were 0-13 with 1 walk and a sac fly between them.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Top 10 ranked hitters went 5-41 on Wednesday - ouch!
  7. JD-TWINS
    Hello - I guess my sarcasm wasn’t obvious……..I was making fun of people here that think Falvey never made a good trade - yet Joe Ryan - Taj Bradley - Mick Abel are on the Roster and most think they are great. Never made a good FA signing, yet signed consecutive Gold Glove winning guys at 1B. Tough to be critical of the 153OPS+ & 143OPS+ put up by Vazquez & France so far. ….. it’s a LOOONG season though…… Josh Bell was around .600 WAR 15 days or so ago & is now at -.100 WAR, all in April.
  8. JD-TWINS
    He was the throw in as Rojas was the centerpiece - Roden is hurt & out for weeks at AAA. He was hurt last year as well after being placed on 26 Man. The season is 31 games old.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Poor acquisitions by the idiot Falvey!
  10. JD-TWINS
    A lot of stuff “may happen”. Louie was washed as a potential starter in MN. Numerous opportunities, wasn’t happening. Rojas was not acquired to be a one inning a game guy for 68 innings per year. ……. by end of ‘28 it may be one of the best trades the Twins have ever made. Louie is local - likable energy - having success over last 12 months…….I get it…….his trade, on April 30th of year one doesn’t define the success of the move. Abel has definite upside over Duran over a period of years ……… same with Bradley v. Jax. Those two guys were coveted more than Louie at the deadline last year if you were a Twins fan or a Team making a trade with Twins. Gotta let things play out.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Gotta disagree. Cannot go from $155M player spend in ‘23 down to $106M (according to FanGraphs) in ‘26. IF an organization wants to run their team with these types of economics, it takes years of planning and strategies in place to have some mild success. To me, OWNERSHIP did not give the FO the tools to succeed. The SPEND this year is $106M ……. of which $10M is paid against Correa’s salary & $21.5M is paid against Lopez salary (injured for the season). That means the Club on the field has a $74.5M spend…………that’s 47% of what was spent 3 seasons prior. It’s laughable …… if you’re not part of the FO that’s trying to make things work. The $74.5M (actual spend for active players) is between Miami and Cleveland at $73M & $84M respectively at #30 & #29. Caratini is a switch hitting Catcher/1B ……. he was playing well until 2 weeks ago - bat went cold. Should have had game winning RBI today! Being upset about $7M this week but not 2 weeks ago is just 20/20 hindsight. It’s the same with Larnach - essentially everyone bitched about him being paid $4.5M ….. now that he has been playing a reasonable LF with an OBP in the mid .400’s ……. the detractors have disappeared. With 5 position guys being pre-arbitration and only Buxton making real money, at $15M, Bell - Caratini - Larnach totaling $18.5M is a bargain! It’s 2026 MLB! The ‘26 payroll is ridiculous! $133M in ‘20 - $122M in ‘21 - $134M in ‘22 - $158M in ‘23 - $135M in ‘24 - $124M in ‘25 - $106M in ‘26
  12. JD-TWINS
    Been there myself, most of the past 3 weeks.
  13. JD-TWINS
    The PEN only played a part in 2 of last 8 games, last Thursday’s 10-8 loss and today’s 5-3 loss. I would say they have 6 guys that can currently function in the PEN but they need Rojas & Klein (or something similar) to elevate the talent. Sands - Topa - Funderburk - Orze - Morris - Banda or Rogers………… add Rojas & Klein …….. delete Banda or Rogers & Garcia. Festa may be ready for a reliever slot in a month from now …….with him, Rojas & Klein removing “the current bottom 3”, I think the PEN can be ranked #15-18 in baseball. Just like the starters that throw 4-7 innings, The PEN is going to give up a run or three if they have to cover 2-5 innings……..that’s not changing. Gotta SCORE to WIN!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Buxton has 7 HR & 12 total XBH ……. all appears great! Bad news is he’s around 0-20 w/RISP and only has 10 RBI. He obviously needs to get it together with RISP! Also, he needs to move out of the One Spot in the line-up……….it can’t be that big of a deal for him psychologically - it’s not a good strategy for Team’s run production!!!!!
  15. JD-TWINS
    So today, in game 31, it was my first time thinking Shelton really influenced a negative outcome in the game. Now, granted, if OFFENSE puts up just one more run prior to the 9th, Shelton doesn’t pull the infield in to face their hottest hitter. Infield back - ground ball out - they are still up one with 2 outs. …….. in Shelton’s defense, he’s got nothing close to a closer to call in in this situation. - Pulling infield in with one out in 9th, and guys on 2nd & 3rd. Team (Manager) increases the opponent’s BA greatly when brought in on the grass. - WHY is Rogers on the Team if not to come into pitch to their hottest hitter (LH hitter) with one out in the 9th & guys on 2nd & 3rd? Orze was struggling with control - not his day. Right/Left match-up. Rogers had been up a few minutes…………they may counter with Mitch Garver but the kid IS their hottest hitter. Take your chances with Garver - not with leaving Orze in the game. That said - pulling infield in, nearly made Orze’s job “strikeout or bust” ……… not fair to a guy with his stuff. The hitter slapped a roller just past Keaschall - Orze didn’t make a bad pitch. Can’t score less than 4 runs/game and expect a real shot at winning ball games! (2-8-2-2-1-11-1-3 is 30 runs in 8 games, an average of 3.75 runs/game) Only went over 3 runs twice in last 8 games. Not “competitive” - which is Tom P.’s goal.
  16. JD-TWINS
    They were hitting .315 with RISP earlier this week ……………. something like .350 BA through a specific game w/RISP and since like .171 BA ……….. previous to today. Stuff levels out. Would be nice to level run production but it’s linked to line-up and what pitchers they are facing - and execution. 4 guys had 2 hits - 12 hits as a Club - 3 walks …….. gotta score more runs!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Caratini’s OPS+ is in the 50’s - he’s declined steeply over past dozen games - essentially non-existent offensively. Bummer, but he seems to be headed to Vazquez territory without an about face.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Is $35M worth another win or two? He’s not able to play SS with back & feet ailments. He’s not a high level offensive player anymore. To me, that was the most obvious and BEST move……….. gotta SPEND the $25M saved though or it’s a detriment to the roster!!! Didn’t do that! Rojas will be as good or better than Varland over time. As I’ve said many times here, if Louie was from Kenosha it wouldn’t be that big of a deal. Loved Louie as well but the talent trades is not a bad move for the organization.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Why? Why does he NEED to & why is it best for him to make adjustments “in the majors”? If a guy plays 26 games a month and he has 3-4 “decent games”, he’s not getting it done anywhere near a needed level. His Slug% is like Team has a pitcher hitting in his spot. I like Luke - think he’s got a great future. Can’t help but like his attitude and style of play………..he’s got 7 stolen bases through April 28! There’s value for sure!! He needs a re-set over 2-3-4 weeks to get more comfortable. I realize he’s a wound up guy but he sure seems to be bringing an anxious (anxiety filled) look to the plate.
  20. JD-TWINS
    PEN is not good - no doubt. Caratini & Bell have come back to earth and are headed further south - disturbing from 2 guys that started VERY well. Offense though - runs scored over last 7 days per game ……. 2-8-2-2-1-11-1……one win …… potentially, the ONLY game the PEN actually played a part in the outcome was last Thursday………..however, opposition got 7 runs while Ryan was in the game (3 unearned) last Thursday. There are 3 guys that shouldn’t be on the roster at this point & 2 others that are borderline “playable”. Can’t have success with this level of very little contribution from 5 of 13 guys. Wallner - Outman - Clemens need to be changed out! They are not going to get better with more opportunities! Keaschall OPS+ 55 ……. Caratini OPS+ 59 Absolute worst case for changes - Outman & Wallner (fake an injury if you’re Matt - whatever)
  21. JD-TWINS
    To each his own - this is Matt’s FOURTH season I’m tired of being frustrated by watching Matt Wallner - he’s had numerous extended periods of poor performance. I can’t expect any fans to like what I said - it’s targeted toward the guys running the Team, responsible for trying to generate Team Wins. I don’t dislike Matt Wallner. I’d love to see him succeed. I’ve been calling here for him to be sent down to re-set, as he was in ‘23 & ‘24, successfully. He had a bad year last year but was injured a couple times, at least twice, so that makes things difficult. Granted! His value is power - it’s not his arm in RF…….it’s certainly not clutch hitting….. arm that’s fun to watch, but it only plays into the game 2-3 times per month. He’s borderline leading the A.L. in strikeouts all year - his Slug% is .290. Weak hitting Luke Keaschall has a Slug% of .282. In my opinion, the organization should not keep playing guys that continually do not add to the offensive goals. …….. everyone can have a high point every 2-3 weeks but that’s not enough for winning baseball. Guardians fans (opposing pitchers) have to be giddy when they see a line-up card with Wallner - Keaschall - Clemens penciled in for that day’s game.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Should Gray get more playing time - at least v. RH pitching? Luke Keaschall - 119 PA’s - 13 RBI - .269 OBP - .282 Slug% Royce Lewis - 65 PA’s - 10 RBI - .308 OBP - .393 Slug% Tristan Gray - 54 PA’s - 13 RBI - .340 OBP - .500 Slug% Pretty sure he should play more!
  23. JD-TWINS
    It’s a Professional Sports Team………. why does anyone care if Matt Wallner plays another game in Minneapolis? ……. Matt should care - his agent & his family and friends, that’s understood. The organization needs to put players on the roster that actually help win games - not guys that helped win games a couple years ago. In ‘24, same time of year, Wallner got sent down - came back in July and was solid. …….. similar approach in ‘23. He’s got an option left - let him go find himself, with some help provided. Or, move on.
  24. JD-TWINS
    He’s only got about 120 innings left ………. if 140 is the mythical ceiling. ….. 5 starts per month (minimum) at 5 innings each is another 125 innings. He’s going to have to be monitored pretty closely to get through September. Innings pitched per year: ’20 - 21 ‘21 - 7 ‘22 - 0 ‘23 - 6.2 ‘24 - 23.1 ‘25 - 82.2 6 seasons and a total of 140.2 innings and 59% were just 2025. To me, he’s the Poster Boy for potential arm issues!
  25. JD-TWINS
    I’m in Cincinnati but this “internet” forecast says rain is done for days in Minneapolis by 7:00-7:30 tonight…….. seems by 8:30 great chance for first pitch?
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