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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Wasting innings that a player could be contributing to the Big Club doesn’t make sense agreed. Being physically capable and cleared to play is NOT, “I’m ready to face MLB pitching and take up a 26-man spot!” One needs to see some live game pitching in a real game situation to feel comfortable to play in the SHOW. Pitchers need even more time due to the amount of abuse their arm sees - they need to “feel the release point, grip, motion work, etc. before bed no exposed to MLB hitters.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Nervous? Not mentally ready? Overly excited? Gotta fix those “first time through” numbers! Sports psychologist? The coaches aren’t getting through to him. Once he gets past the 2nd inning he seems more focussed and location gets sharper. Not terribly unusual for a starter but his runs allowed early are tough to accept.
  3. JD-TWINS
    I’ve heard zero here about Wallner - is he showing any signs of improvement? Culpepper & Lewis would be welcomed in another few days - I don’t see Culpepper though….. Gray - Arcia - Kreidler are stringing together “adequacy”. Maybe Royce will take Outman’s Roster spot before they ravel Monday? With Byron buried up they may continue the agony of Outman on the roster…….. I’d ride with Kreidler - Clemens as CF depth at this point.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Banda being sculpted as a villain in the WPA is nuts. He came in with 2 runners on and a left handed batter hit a ball barely fair, on the ground, down the left field line…….. it barely got to the short walk. It was not “ripped down the line”. These things happen but no issue with the pitcher. The throw home looked solid but Caratini was set up behind the plate to nreceive instead of adjacent to the plate …… it would have been a tougher short hop to catch but he caught it and had to reach across the plate to apply tag - I thought Larnach’s throw had the guy. Then the pop-up to end the inning that was butchered by Keaschall ……. have some guts and call off the other guy! Clearly Kreidler didn’t think anyone else could make the play and the ball went off Keaschall’s glove……..not “untouched” unless my seeing it twice was confused, possible? Kreidler didn’t help the matter. Ugly series of events over 5-6 pitches …. lost the lead in a flash.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Seems to me that he won’t be healthy enough by the deadline to be of high value (Teams will use this as a lever to offer less) - his ABS challenge ability is a small + on his defensive side. He WAS hitting great through the day he was injured. I see him maturing into a solid bat - ALAWAYS needed. He can DH to help get more AB’s through the year. 95 games behind the plate and 40-45 as DH. $41M for 3 years ……. that’s a VERY solid offer for his level of defense. Do it Next Week! …… if the answer is “no”, which it probably will be, tell him the offer will stand through December 15th. If he’s (his agent) still kicking the tires, it goes down $2M per week. Very fair to both sides.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Zero runs zero wins………… 3 runs or less waaay too often to live up to Tom P.’s competitive Ball Club.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Based on my eye test and the comments from the article, the opposing pitchers aren’t filling the strike zone - Martin is swinging and missing (not getting hits) on pitches down and away as well as down & in & more on pitches up……. His discipline is waning …….his discipline at the top of the zone (out of the zone up) - is not as good. IMO, “expectations” should have never been his peak of .333 BA & .450 OBP ……… he’s a .265+ hitter with little power but, hopefully, a .350 OBP guy. Good defense (at least, better all the time).
  8. JD-TWINS
    I may be wrong but I thought he was DFA’d by Dodgers and then we traded for him ………. similar to what SWR is going through as Twins seek a trade after him being DFA’d. At any rate - a very much maligned reliever is/has been effective for over a month.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Banda & Gomez are both DFA guys from other organizations - they both looked pretty sharp on Tuesday night! Morris getting Vargas with the 100 mph fastball with a couple guys on base was a bit deal! 7-8-9 hitters went 6-12 with 5 RBI…… that’s huge! Luke Keaschall has been hitting the ball with some authority lately - even when making outs - very encouraging that he’s now near .250 BA & .320 OBP…….Josh Bell has hits in 6 straight & is contributing again - nice. Larnach & Martin were 1-5 between them but each had a Walk and each scored a run.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Who is the Yankees 5th starter - the 5th starter for the Braves - the 5th starter for the Phillies ? Do any of these teams or the other current 9 playoff teams trade that guy for a 2 month rental? …… and you want more than the 5th starter. Also, the Twins won’t trade for anyone that currently makes a decent salary. Limiting. There’s a difference between what one wants - what one hopes for - & what one can get. How many contending Teams are going to add a “starting catcher” or need to add one? Not getting Jeffers via deadline trade to sit as a depth piece. 20 Teams may be interested at the end of the year but I don’t see a strong market for two months……… coming off a BROKEN BONE.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Never been an All-Star, trending positively! Broken hand/wrist ……can’t play for another 5 weeks! Jeffers has TWO MONTHS of Team control after the deadline. Getting a probable 5th starter, when the Team doesn’t currently have one, would be a steal. What’s the expectation at end of July for a 2 month rental? I’d love to keep him - really seems to be coming into his own at the plate! He’s a below average catcher based on metrics. He WAS having a great year at the plate but he currently has a broken bone and NOBODY knows how he’ll recover, relative to hitting, or how long it might take? Also, as I mentioned in an earlier post - there’s 15 other teams calling the Pirates.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Loved watching Griffin Jax pitch for the Twins - he had some bad luck occasionally but electric stuff and usually very competent!! In ‘25, over 50 relief appearances (46 innings) for the Twins, he had a WAR of .2 and an ERA of 4.50 with a 1-5 record. In ‘26, over 18 appearances (34 innings) for the Rays, he has a WAR of -.5 and an ERA of 4.76 with a 1-4 record. The trade for Bradley (being part of “the big ‘25 deadline sell-off”) looks like a pretty good move.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Nice piece of hitting by Gray - hitting, what had been a pretty effective curveball was big! Adams isn’t any better than Garcia - younger, so he may come around but he can’t be a piece of the PEN in the Show at this point. What’s up with SWR? Has anyone claimed him? Do they bring him back via AAA? Curious on the timing of these types of transactions? LMK. Thanks!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Ober, IMO, is a non-starter for a frugal organization like the Pirates or nearly any organization. Ober is hurt and has inferior stuff, he’s older and costs 7 times as much as Mlodzinski (assuming he makes the minimum). Jeffers seems like a slam dunk though……big shot in the arm for a competitive and hungry Pirates Club. I assume all agree here that getting something positive for Jeffers makes sense. IF he pitched well for Twins…….. trading Ryan becomes much more probable and feasible as others heal between now and end of July. There’s probably 16 other MLB teams calling or getting ready to call the Pirates to inquire.
  15. JD-TWINS
    When they avoided Arbitration this year they agreed to $6.1M for ‘26 & for ‘27, his last year of possible arbitration, before becoming a UFA in ‘28. He has a $100k buyout if Twins don’t pick up his option……… scheduled to make $13M for ‘27. Google Joe Ryan contract.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Trading Ober is a move but not very much of a value add, doesn’t need to be …… he’s not expensive though and frankly, they need somebody to start games the balance of ‘26. Now that his elbow or whatever hurts, it could be bad for trade or continued innings eating in Twin’s uni. Jenkins is 21 & hurt & not exactly pushing his way on to the MLB squad. …….. Culpepper up within 2-4 weeks would be a breath of fresh air, in regard to moving forward…… Jenkins in August if he’s hitting, for sure. KEEPER question, is Martin more of a core guy than Larnach? It seems to becoming true that Austin should platoon with Larnach and he can play in RF maybe 50% of the time v. RH pitching. He’s wearing out and spiraling at the plate. …… at any rate, against much angst here at TD, I’d keep both of them. I need young guys to actually deserve a shot in the Show not just get a promotion because we’re curious and “they are supposed to be good.” The most difficult thing is the “acquiring a middle of the order bat” ……. to me, a big ask! How?? …… spend? trade? ……. seems this is a very competitive type of move with other clubs …… I have zero confidence this happens….. not saying your confidence level is high! Jeffers is on their roster & could catch 60% of the time and DH 25% of the time - he’s hitting .296 with decent OPS+ …… middle of the order guy & there’s extremely low confidence Team makes a move toward keeping Ryan…. agree, this is a move to try & be “competitive.” Everyone has shrewd agents - not just Jeffers, so negotiating this is possible if Team is serious about next 3 years. Bell - Wallner, other non-core guys, sure …….. trade for whatever. Arcia may play well enough to facilitate some trade value at deadline? I sure would like to see someone else getting a shot at 1B other than Clemens & Bell from August 1 forward! Extending Pablo is a real risk if done before he starts to throw again …….. solid performer & GREAT Team guy!!!
  17. JD-TWINS
    No - at least as I understand it, he signed through ‘27 for $13M next year. Twins can decline the option. They’d either exercise the option or trade him prior……. I guess he could decline to play and sit but the Twins have control through ‘27. If they didn’t have control in ‘27 there would be no question he would be traded by the deadline……….that’s not been the discussion here ……… “should Team trade this summer or in the offseason….?” is the debate on TD…… with some hoping for an extension.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Ryan is under contract through next season. I don’t think anyone will offer Jeffers anything near $22M/year (approximate QO) but he will get 3 year offers. The qualifying offer will probably get rejected. If they ARE around .500 or 3-4 under by late July they should try to make a run with Jeffers. If they are 7 games or more under Jeffers should be a trade piece for sure. Trading Jeffers and making him an offer in Free Agency is certainly within reason - I would think he’ll want to turn the page & head somewhere else. An extension for Jeffers while he’s hurt would stir up some fan support!!
  19. JD-TWINS
    They were stressed to make a move, no innings available from the group in PEN with 9 more straight days of baseball to be played - DFA for SWR is obviously not something that makes clear sense…………gotta think there was something off the field that started them in this direction…….,: maybe he snapped? said something negative he couldn’t take back? he’s certainly suitable for relief right now - maybe he didn’t like that path? You pick, Travis Adams/John Klein or SWR for an inning at a time or two innings? Makes no sense unless there’s some unrest from one side or both.
  20. JD-TWINS
    IMO, the PROBLEM was the Sun! 2nd inning - should have been 3 outs on a simple fly ball right at our left fielder …….. unfortunately, as happens 2-3 times per season, the ball got lost in the sun and that gave the Pirates another out to work with & Ober couldn’t make the big pitch to stop the onslaught in the 2nd. Then, snake bit Twins get a Catcher’s interference call against Caratini and it pushes a runner to 2B …… he then scores on a single to LF ……… pretty solid play by Larnach but tag was 1/2 second too late. MARTIN has to have the day off Sunday and they Seriously need to consider DFA for Outman and Gonzales back up to play some corner OF, as needed. Martin is in a spiral and batting 4-5 times per game, mostly against RH pitching is fruitless…….Kreidler/Outman in CF with Clemens in right & Larkin in LF with a right handed starter ……. gotta do it before Martin is mentally broken v. RH pitching. Funderburk can’t consistently throw strikes. more specifically he walks too many guys! His stuff isn’t good enough to routinely get him out of trouble - not sure he’s got the Major League make-up. Looks frustrated or anxious way too often on the mound. Looks great in spots but if Team needs 4 outs the results need to be better from him! 5 runs from the Sun ball & 1 from the interference - tough to win when those things happen.
  21. JD-TWINS
    When you’re a knucklehead, that’s injury prone, and you slide head first into 1B - you get hurt - not really surprising at all from Rodriguez! …….. out through August. Jenkins isn’t/wasn’t lighting it up at AAA - he was OK though. He’s 21 ……… don’t think we’ll see him until September., The PEN threw 4 scoreless after Bradley gave up 4. The PEN can’t get any better - but then after the eighth you’re out of arms. Rogers threw Sunday/Tuesday/Thursday & called on in the 9th on Friday. That’s asking a lot. …….. these are things that happen when you’re in the middle of 17 straight days of baseball. Rojas injury was a killer!!
  22. JD-TWINS
    Same page - if guys can hit, the Manager can figure out how to use them. Lewis at 3B couple times per week and DH 3 times per - off the bench if needed in other game. Lee can play 3B 4 days per week & DH once - maybe 2B or SS once a week. With Lewis back, Kreidler’s emphasis can be in OF as well as at SS. Speaking of hitting, Arcia should play 2B 3-4 days per week with Keaschall getting a break, until it looks like Arcia isn’t hitting. Keaschall as pinch runner - pinch hitter 2-3 games/week & 2B 2-3 times/week. I think 40 more AB’s is plenty if Royce keeps going at a fairly high level at AAA……. 2 more weeks. Can’t rush though - he needs to feel comfortable & confident when he returns.
  23. JD-TWINS
    No argument in aiming higher - younger guys aren’t available yet. My point is Keaschall is a bigger problem - Catcher is a major problem, less Jeffers - Having to play Bell 90% of the time is a problem - very, very fortunate that Clemens has found some magic to become an average hitter - the fact that Outman is rostered ……..all these things said, Larnach shouldn’t be near the Top of anyone’s list trying to fix the Team for the next 4 months. He had 118 LH pitcher AB’s in ‘25 - numbers suffered. In ‘24 his platoon was in place and he hit .259 with a .771 OPS & 116 OPS+ …… essentially mirroring this season to date …..,only his OBP is up 45 points in ‘26 and strikeout are down.
  24. JD-TWINS
    His salary is almost free, unless one is a beaten down Twin’s fan and thinks everyone should play for the minimum. He’s definitely a platoon! RH pitching throws 70-75% of the time. His defensive stats (in ‘26) are solid per analytics guys on this site a week ago. His .9 WAR at this point with some starts at DH show his defense can’t be weak or the WAR would reflect that. Buxton is having a great year and so is Jeffers ………. they are at 2.0 & 1.7 WAR respectively. Martin, his former platoon partner, has earned more playing time and has a 1.1 WAR. Larnach is 4th on the club with a .9 WAR. If the TWINS could sign 3-4 more guys for $4.5M and know they would be on pace for 2.7 WAR for the year, they’d do it in a heartbeat …….. & they would be in first place in the Division. They assumed Keaschall - Lewis & Wallner would have those numbers and it isn’t happening!
  25. JD-TWINS
    117 OPS+ - .770 OPS - .9 WAR over 1/3 of season - BA 25 points higher than career average - 22 walks/29 K’s. He sucks!
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