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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Twins haven’t reached out to Trevor…… apparently, nor have 29 other teams
  2. JD-TWINS
    Completely agree on the “winning”! However, if in the end there’s a tie, I like our chances.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Last 15 games …….he ‘s been pretty bad…….swinging at pitches he laid off of almost all year. First 110 games pretty SOLID! IMO, he should be a lock for DH in a platoon with Keaschall & Buxton. Pick a 15-35 game stretch for Lee - Lewis - Buxton - Keaschall- Bell……..ALL have been terrible for long stretches. I REALLY don’t understand the dominant thinking here that the Team can’t afford to pay anyone? They spent $50M more in ‘23 than in ‘26. The owner says “they need to spend more”. …….”Baseball”, after negotiations this off-season, is going to have some minimum spending expectations for Teams to get their revenue share going forward. In ‘27, Buxton makes $15.5M - Ryan is at $13-$19M - Lopez is at $22,5M - Caratini is at $10M including his ‘28 buyout……Correa’s $10M owed……..that ‘s around $75M………..On paper, Bell & Jeffers are gone ($12M)…….they have Lee-Lewis-Clemens-Keaschall-Martin, all at LOW cost - maybe $8-$9M total?……..back to $74M at this point. Kremer-Hoffman….$15M(?) Ober & Larnach …….$13M(?) total. That’s $102M ………everyone else is at minimum or pretty close (i.e. Sands/Banda)……this includes Larnach & Ober. I do not understand why the Team has to” be careful” not to spend on any existing player that contributes???
  4. JD-TWINS
    TWINS are in the mix & own tiebreakers with: Toronto 4-3 Houston 4-2 Boston 5-1 Baltimore 3-3 Need 1 of 3 in home Guardian Series (up 6-4) Need 2 of remaining 6 w/Tigers (up 5-2) Need 1 of remaining 3 w/Texas (up 3-0) Down 4-3 so far with White Sox w/6 left Team is 3 games under .500 overall & swept by Dodgers - Pirates - Reds - Phillies…….0-12!
  5. JD-TWINS
    If there’s a “floor” at $150M or more, could get aggressive on 3-4 key guys!
  6. JD-TWINS
    I think the sentiment is …….”after giving up 24 runs in 3 games” ……… as well as “v. the Team that’s been leading the NL East all year”…….it’s nice to see the Staff dominate v. a good Club.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Kody FUNDERBURK!! MORRIS!!! MINTER!!!! GOMEZ has really got some mental fortitude - keeps getting results!!!!! Great to see Buxton come off the bench & provide some spark …… he was cruising into & around 3rd!
  8. JD-TWINS
    Not sure if Bench calls pitches - Catchers call pitches - Pitchers call pitches?? Whoever thought it was a good idea to not throw another high fastball to Arraez, with 2 strikes on him, needs to look at themselves in the mirror when blame for this loss is placed. Throwing another high fastball was a no risk pitch with Luis. An off speed pitch away but over the plate, to the best contact hitter in the game for 5 straight years……..brain dead! Result, typical flare to left field that Martin couldn’t make a play on - game SHIFTS! Arraez had taken a questionable fastball strike above the zone - then swung through next high fastball - he either fouls off, or pops up, or K’s
  9. JD-TWINS
    Hind sight is always a solid way to determine what should have been done. Jeffers was a FA rental…… not sure what level of quality the 2 starting pitchers would be, traded for Ryan & Larnach?
  10. JD-TWINS
    After getting to this point, they might as well get the real sum of games played through the A’s series ……… 9 more games……..that still leaves 28 games for any call-ups if it’s even more obvious to punt. “How bad Twins are” is not the only fact/variable in the Playoff Race. After getting swept, they are 1.5 games out of the last Wildcard. They’ve gone 4-10……still in the mix. Is it feasible to go 6-4 over next 10?
  11. JD-TWINS
    IF Team is trying “to make a push”, you are absolutely correct. However, they are 60-65 and need to go 23-14 to end up “in the mix” at 83-79. If 83-79 gets them into the Playoffs, to me, would be a minor miracle……..let alone going 23-14. The Twins & Guards are tied for 10th (11th) in the 15 Team American League for real perspective, today. Jenkins is 21. Rodriguez is 23 and a habitually injured guy that strikes out way too much. Wallner is 29 & needs to go somewhere after this season. 40 man spot difficulties are not really difficulties, plenty of options to move someone……………who does the Team move up? Here’s another question, who thinks that Allen Roden is any sort of long-term option for the Club??? Why is he playing (going forward) if he’s got no chance of sticking in the OF? Is he going to displace Rodriguez in the pecking order going into ‘27? I can hardly force myself to watch Matt Wallner play MLB. However, if Team is trying to take a flyer on a guy to provide a spark, a desparate guy who’s been there may be the best shot???
  12. JD-TWINS
    He cannot throw ….. playing Luke in RF is a glaring show of the Team’s lack of real options. Martin wasn’t great/good in his transition from the dirt to the OF 2-3 seasons ago - he’s at least adequate now. Keaschall should be able to transition to LF with a bit of off-season work and the all of Spring Training. He won’t be good but he’ll at least approach adequate. He may need to take a sedative before the game to ever be worthwhile on defense? He’s way overcharged everywhere he plays! The strong desire from 80% or so of the regulars here at TD to think that getting Larnach off the roster is a must…….I don’t get it from a baseball view. Being bored with Trevor is understandable. Moving him so “we can see if some prospect can hit 🤞” makes no sense to me. Being excited about the “potential promise” of prospects I get, from an emotional perspective. Rationally though, Larnach was a #1 pick, highly touted, out of college. He struggled with some injuries and it’s been determined he shouldn’t hit v. LH pitching with any regularity. He’s had 2 good years in a row when platooned (‘24 & ‘26). He too was a great prospect …… until reality set in and it took parts of 3 seasons to get to his ‘24 level. He’s easily as good in LF now than Keaschall may ever be. ……. Be careful what you wish for is my point ……. change for change sake, is that the best course of action? He’s perfect for Platoon at DH v. RH pitching with Keaschall or Buxton or Gonzalez …….or whoever, being the RH side of the platoon. Buxton is going to miss 25% of the season with injuries, at a minimum, forever. Jeffers is gone. Larnach, with Buxton out, is the best hitter on the Team v. RH pitching (70-75% of pitchers)…….He strikes out much less - his OBP is up…….yes, his salary might be $7-$8M going forward? That’s what Caratini makes - Bell makes - in other words a pretty affordable salary for an above average hitter, without question. There’s still room for Keaschall - Jenkins - Rodriguez - Buxton - Martin………whoever deserves a spot on the 26 man.
  13. JD-TWINS
    The “should have traded for prospects in ‘26” talk in general, I can’t get my head around. Buxton is somewhere in the OF for 2 more years ……. if advantageous for Team, could probably extend a year or two on a Team friendly deal, with his attitude about “staying a Twin!”……..Keaschall is probably moving to LF permanently to account for his weak arm. ……Jenkins - Gonzalez ….. maybe Rodriguez are ALL strong candidates for future OF……. Mendez too has an outside shot. Culpepper - Houston - Lee - Lewis make up the core of the infield for 3-6 years to come. Festa - Matthews - Banda - Sands - Prielipp - Raya - Rojas - Predes - Acton are all in a position to help the Bullpen, as needed, in ‘27 …….. Morris - Gomez - Funderburk - Hoffman - Nance are a very good core to start from in ‘27. Bradley - Ryan - Lopez - Kremer - Abel - Ober is a sound core for a rotation. Catchers - Diaw, Lackey & Tinney ….. with Tait out a bit longer, seem to haveTeam covered for 6-8 years - right? Assuming the CBA negotiations get players some “spending floor” from ownership…….I think our present 2nd best hitter, after Jeffers leaves, Larnach ……he gets offered a deal in arbitration to be the primary DH v. all RH pitching……….. with $$ to spend, I think Ober gets arbitration offer too at some modest total. Clemens - Martin & even Minter (with spending floor) could all be back one more year to fill roles. Frankly, I can’t worry about more than just through the ‘28 season with all that changes each year - that are unforeseen. I like the Club going forward over the next few years with pieces already in the organization. Not saying PLAN to stagnate but I don’t think there should be any desperation to ACT swiftly. FA’s - always have an open mind! ….. QO Jeffers if realistic to bridge for another year….. can’t imagine he’d sign.
  14. JD-TWINS
    I have no rational argument that they go 22-14 either. They play a number of not very good Teams over these last 36, but the Braves & Yankees & Padres are 9 of those, along with White Sox for 6. UPHILL battle for sure! 5-8 v. Royals 0-3 v. Pirates 0-3 v. Reds Shown face to face results above aren’t those of a Playoff Team.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Pleaded - begged - rationalized that the Club go after Arraez, HARD. Wanted him to protect Buxton or Jeffers or Lewis by hitting 3,4,or 5. Last 7 games 3 - 3 - 2 - 1 - 1 runs in 5 of the games. Bullpen is certainly at a point of reasonable respectability after deadline. Six guys that can get batters out, generally. Rogers & Adams can give them innings when trailing. Needed a consistent contributor on the offensive side. …..hoping Buxton or Lewis (talented guys) are going to be good (Bell) consistently is “wishful, blue sky thinking”!
  16. JD-TWINS
    Stating the obvious here - if a team has 3 deep playoff runs in 20 years and makes the playoffs 3 other times…….that’s 14 years of OK to Bad ………….6-7 of those 14 years can be assumed to be Bad. The winning and attendance are generally in lock step…,,,towns like St. Louis come out regardless …….but, as the Team that’s won 2nd most World Series, there’s a pretty solid case of winning tradition to overcome the lulls.
  17. JD-TWINS
    The winning % equates to what range of time? Last year? Last 5 years? Last 25 years? The Giants haven’t been #9 in winning % for a bit & the Brewers at 23rd in winning% seems really outdated. Can’t blend down years with good years and draw any conclusions that relate to specific years of winning & specific years of drawing well or not. Rays 24th in winning%???
  18. JD-TWINS
    I’ve lived in Cincinnati since the Spring of ‘91. Reds had won in ‘90 & Twins won in ‘91 ….. I was experiencing Baseball Nirvana. 10 years later most people thought the Twins were getting contracted by MLB, with Carl’s help. The Reds draw when they win - they draw when St. Louis - Cubs - Pirates - Guardians are in town because visiting fans buy half of the seats that are sold. CINCINNATI is a self proclaimed “baseball town” …… oldest franchise in MLB …… Opening Day always kicked off here FIRST each year. Fans here, due to mediocre Management & Ownership spending, have been ambivalent for 30 years,……they still live on the cost-tails of “The Big Red Machine”! Team has been occasionally competitive - mostly below mid-line of the NL. The attendance here, outside of Season Tickets that are sold with seats left vacant, is embarrassing. Tuesdays they sell Bud for $3 - hot dogs for $2 - ice cream for $1. Essentially the only way to get adults under 35 out to a game. Win, and they will come. …….. that’s small market baseball all over the country.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Kreidler HAS to play CF with Buxton hurt. Keaschall couldn’t figure out 2B …..had to be moved. Athletic & hitting much better …… gotta try him in RF & occasionally in CF with Buxton missing time…….zero time to “train him” in the middle of season, while trying to be “competitive.” Lewis was displaced at 3B by Lee - Lee was displaced by anyone that could play SS. Lewis going to 1B is perfect going forward ……. needed his offensive infusion when back from AAA ……no time to “train him” at 1B. It’s tough to get moved repeatedly & maybe unexpectedly…….professional athletes though! Culpepper at 3B - Houston at SS - maybe Lee at 2B - Lewis at 1B going forward seems to make the defense on the dirt much more athletic & solid. OF going forward in ‘27 is Rodriguez/Gonzalez - Buxton/Jenkins - Keaschall/Jenkins …….Clemens to float……..2 Catchers. Caratini/Diaw and principal DH, Larnach. Martin - Roden - Wallner ……… all need to be moved ………possibly Rodriguez as well?3
  20. JD-TWINS
    To me, it’s obvious that Keaschall gets moved around because he’s not good enough to lockdown a position. He had 2B handed to him and was brutal - either move him on the diamond or demote him……those were the options. Martin & Clemons move around to fill gaps left by others. Lee had SS handed to him and was brutal - had to move him to 3B full time. Buxton being hurt for long stretch drives much of the “moving around”. Kreidler & Keaschall have had to play CF to fill the void. Larnach/Martin in LF - Buxton/Keidler in CF - Keaschall/Roden in RF Lee/Kreidler - Culpepper/Kreidler - Clemons - Lewis - Jeffers/Caratini ……….. DH - Bell …..w/o Jackson on roster, there will seldom be a Caratini at 1B line-up. With Buxton being healthy & able to play, the rest of the positions are pretty well set! ……………….. 13 guys ……full-time DH ……. still with 2 Catchers …… there are 10 guys to cover 7 spots.
  21. JD-TWINS
    I just have to believe that the loss of Skubal & MIZE will be too much for the Tigers to overcome for much longer. The BEST 2 guys on the Staff are now gone…….that has to have some effect over last 16 games those two would have started. Riley Greene just went on IL yesterday.
  22. JD-TWINS
    I have no issues with a probable 5 tool guy not hitting a bunch of HR’s at age 21 ……. nor ever (becoming a 4 tool guy). Emma, in his 6 seasons in the organization, has played in: 37 - 47 - 99 - 47 - 65 - 36 games. He consistently strikes out over 1/3 of his PA’s. I understand the things he does well …….they just don’t seem to outweigh the negatives, IMO, for the long-term. I’d see if Roden keeps hitting over his next 3 starts …… if he doesn’t remain at a fairly high level, I’d displace him with Jenkins. When the Rosters expand, I bring up Emma……..Rojas, if not up prior, is the other obvious call-up with Roster expansion.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Agreed………rolling out Zebby & Bailey & Prielipp & Kremer every 5th day is not what the “plan” was at the onset of the season. 🤞🤞
  24. JD-TWINS
    The “Twins SS” comment I saw was describing Lewis getting 2 doubles. ………….When it’s 7-5 and a guy walks, the tying run is not on base…….
  25. JD-TWINS
    He’s certainly frustrating since he just doesn’t hold up! He is a back to back All-Star though …… not many of those guys as a 3 or 4 on any staff.
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