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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    He’s 23 ……. the 24% walk rate is from 5 1/3 innings of MLB work. …….as I pointed out earlier this week, Louie debuted in MLB at age 24 ……… at age 26 he was 0-5 with a 7.61 ERA…… he’s now 28 and performing at a top level in MLB. In June of ‘24 he was a major disappointment as a starter. Gotta take a breath. Is Rojas a guaranteed success story, nope………but he’s got talent, coaches to help, & time to develop.
  2. JD-TWINS
    I hear ya. 9th in baseball at 28.2% Chase this year. Martin is at 12.6% & Buxton is at 36.6% ……. Larnach is essentially the same rate as Team average…………”average Chase” is 23.5-25.5%.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Neither guy had a “good” ‘25. It’s even more drastic of a disappointment than I could have imagined, particularly with Lewis! They both have Options …….. I get they were hitting #3 & #4 to start the year and were part of the “core” that was going to propel the ‘26 offense. It’s not happening & either or preferably both should get to St Paul sooner than later. Rodriguez - Jenkins - Roden all being hurt is the only way Wallner is still on the Roster with a -1.100 WAR 25% of the way through the Season. Honestly, it could be worse if Shelton wasn’t recently playing Martin ahead of Wallner v. RH pitching….,,more opportunity for Matt would inflate his negative WAR.
  4. JD-TWINS
    He did pitch a Complete Game in ‘24 with same 89 pitch count …… different Manager. Many managerial decisions are pretty basic common sense. There’s not a Manager in baseball that doesn’t let a 30 year old vet, that’s given up two hits and zero walks, go out for the 9th when pitch count is in low ‘80’s. Shelton is doing a nice job with what he’s got to work with! Last night was pretty straightforward. Big time confidence in Ober when he decided to try to set-up Buxton to score with Larnach running! Basically, he was showing he thought scratching out one run might be enough for Bailey. That was nice Managing! …….good results get praised is bottom line
  5. JD-TWINS
    4 hits from the offense with 6 walks….. the more selective approach is really paying off so far & contributing to runs scored. Buxton scored w/o a hit. Jeffers looked like he was/is really locked in! He barreled a line drive at LF for an out at 113+ MPH exit - then his 2nd deck HR was 111 MPH exit. Facing a very effective pitcher tonight but somehow they need to pump up that hit total to have a chance for W……..:SWR needs to keep steam in it for 4-5 innings & I’d be satisfied. Who’s going to start on Thursday? Matthews? Rojas as bulk guy? ……….. maybe Prielipp with Zebby Friday? Who matches best against Miami’s offense might drive the choice?
  6. JD-TWINS
    Rojas is 23 with 3 pitches with Plus potential. At 23 Louie had 1 pitch and didn’t see MLB. At age 26 Louie was 0-6 with a 7.61 ERA. With health, Rojas SEEMS to have #3 maybe #2 starter stuff. Louie has made a big shift mentally - he deserves being lauded here for what he’s doing so far in ‘26! The trade of Louie for a left handed power pitcher that’s FIVE years younger seems to make a bunch of sense to me.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Very good point on trades other than Jax - Duran - Varland ……….they were whatever! I don’t get why people here fixate on being concerned about the Brock Stewart trade. He pitched 3 2/3 for Dodgers last year and went on IL …… just started pitching again at MLB level last week. He’s never thrown many innings …. 37 - 15 - 27 innings for ‘25-‘24-‘23 respectively. Coulombe - Bader - Castro - Paddack - France were all free agents & gone in 2 months from the deadline……… anyone that doesn’t think moving Carlos Correa isn’t being rational. Would have been nice to spend at least 50% of $$ saved in Correa trade.
  8. JD-TWINS
    You got the crystal ball out on Rojas as a potential starter…..at age 23? How did Louie look as a starter at 23? Louie pitched in his first 5 games at MLB level at age 24. At age 26 he was 0-6 with a 7.61 ERA. Probably need to pump the breaks on breaking down Rojas value as a starter. Thus, the value of the trade is far from being determined.
  9. JD-TWINS
    The OWNERSHIP that didn’t want to spend any money is still here though……..so we have that to look forward to for the foreseeable future.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Similar …… to the fabulous OF depth. “Trade Larnach - don’t pay him” …… “……Larnach is BLOCKING the youngsters………….Let Wallner DH and bring up two young guys to play the Corner Outfield spots!” ……. “F.O. is clueless keeping Slow Footed Larnach with all the DEPTH they have at AAA” All 3 OF “depth pieces” are on the IL and none of them are setting the world on fire………..and to add insult to injury, the would be DH, Wallner, is having the worst 7 week stretch imaginable!!!
  11. JD-TWINS
    Agree! Most Teams struggle to field FOUR “good” starters!!
  12. JD-TWINS
    He had 2 doubles in a game a day or two ago ……. his average is up 12-15 points over last handful of games. He’s hitting better than Caratini v. RH pitching! Bell doesn’t seem to be trusted to play defense more than a game/week. The only reason he didn’t have more AB’s earlier is because Caratini started hot and they faced a bunch of lefty starters. Caratini currently resides behind Lewis & Wallner as the least effective hitter on the roster. Somebody’s gotta play - the roster is what it is. There’s no roster reconstruction at this point. I didn’t/don’t really think Clemens should be kept on the Team but he’s the lesser of all the other evils on May 10th.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Zebby could throw Friday and have all the other guys back up a day - Ryan Saturday, etc. Seems like a better path than another bullpen game. Let Rojas stay up and throw after Prielipp (6th - 8th) or the next night. Prielipp would go Thursday with 5 days rest.
  14. JD-TWINS
    No idea - Keaschall’s numbers blended might be in the mix?
  15. JD-TWINS
    Rojas on an every 4th day schedule?
  16. JD-TWINS
    3 innings in a row starting out with lead-off doubles. Finally broke through with the 3rd opportunity………guys were clutch with 2 outs ……..Bell had 2 hits after striking out 6 times back to last night. Martin is quietly playing fantastic! Clemens truly seems to be heading toward being a 1.0 WAR player……. will take it…….he seems more confident & comfortable at 1B. BROOKS LEE!!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Kreidler was on Team for what 7-10 days …… 200 OPS+. 😉 Jeffers - Buxton - Larnach - Martin are carrying a bunch of essentially, non-performers. Bottom Six Hitters last night were really rough……2 of them struck out 4 times each and another struck out 3 times.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Batting averages of #4-#9 hitters on Saturday night: .205 - .230 - .185 - .172 - .200 - .167 ……….it’s no wonder Buxton was only guy with hits. 2 guys struck out 4 times one guy 3 times ….etc., etc.
  19. JD-TWINS
    5 innings from PEN - no hits!……….won’t mention the details on Funderburk
  20. JD-TWINS
    I would not roll with him. Favorite player through ‘24 but he’s currently a mess. He’s been back from injury long enough & he keeps backing up statistically. I realize the stats are based on a small sample size…….. that’s why I showed the details. Gray & Kreidler’s combined AB’s are 5 less in total than Royce to date. Kreidler also adds OF options for defense if they want to pinch hit with Bell - Jeffers - Caratini (whichever isn’t starting).
  21. JD-TWINS
    Not really hung up on any specifics for “a move”, my point is the Guardians make moves that help the Team win now. Lewis nor Wallner are helping the Team win now. They need to get re-started in St. Paul ASAP. Also, the ability to move forward and then seizing the opportunity to add to the Club via trades is something Cleveland has been open to over recent years. Culpepper isn’t ready - hopefully in 45-60 days! Lewis - .173/.269/.309 slash with a 60 OPS+ 81 AB’s Gray - .258/.299/.419 slash with a 98 OPS+ 62 AB’s Kreidler - .214/.389/.714 slash with a 200 OPS+ 14 AB’s The Gray & Kreidler platoon sure seems like an opportunity to upgrade, IMO.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Culpepper is a solid move “at some point”. I don’t see organization brining him to MLB unless his offense forces him to be used, prior to late in July 1. With the way things sit now, it would appear Lee would get pretty strong consideration to play 3B, with Culpepper at SS. The whole point of moving Lewis to AAA is to help him re-set ……… so that he can come back to club and play 3B most every day. He’s got to prove he can hit the ball prior to that opportunity.
  23. JD-TWINS
    GUARDIANS sent Bo Naylor to AAA and traded the 26th pick in the draft and another chip to Giants for Patrick Bailey. Trying to get better long-term while always focussed on WINNING MORE in the short term. Naylor has been pretty front and center for them for most of 3 years. Guardians not afraid about a starter getting somewhat deflated when sent down to find themselves! It’s a Professional Sport. Royce Lewis AAA - platoon Kriedler & Gray Matt Wallner AAA - play Larnach & Martin v. RH pitching OR Clemens in LF with other option at 1B with Larnach in RF. Unfortunately, Jenkins - Gonzalez - Rodriguez - Roden are all on IL. THAT is why Teams hang on to guys like Outman until someone forces themselves on to the roster - need a RH outfield bat to take Wallner’s spot.
  24. JD-TWINS
    The Prielipp WPA has to be an error. Above it shows he gave up 4 earned runs & it was actually 1 earned run. On the Baseball Reference stats sight for Team, Prielipp’s ERA DROPPED to 3.32 (1 earned run). Just heard on MLB Network that the Team is 3rd in A.L. in runs scored. Since April 17th they have scored 3 or less in 9 of 20 games ……. sure, they did get 7,8,11,&11 over 4 games (3-1) so those numbers skew the “offensive effectiveness”. I realize there are peaks and valleys in run production but 3 or less in nearly half of your games makes it hard to get any positive momentum going! If one drops SWR from the rotation the other 5 starters have a 3.38 ERA for the season. Defense can only change if players are exchanged. (i.e. Culpepper with Lee to 3B) Starters are solid IF Abel can return. Theoretically, offense is scoring and generally not bad……..particularly if they displace Wallner & Lewis. Gotta get more aggressive with PEN fixes - Rojas - SWR(once Abel returns) - some other young arm - Sands, when healthy. If they could trim the bottom 3 guys from the current PEN with average results from youth, .500 ball is attainable.
  25. JD-TWINS
    With 2 options left …… he’s got to go down at the end of the next home stand if things don’t really shift in a positive direction. Kiedler & Gray in a platoon in near term. …… if he squares himself away over the course of 3-6 weeks, great! If not, maybe Culpepper comes up to play SS and Lee shifts to 3B?
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