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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    The bad news……… Lewis has no options. Caratini has no options. Clemens has no options. Outman has no options. Bell has no options. Keaschall & Wallner do have options but they won’t (per your point) make a move.
  2. JD-TWINS
    5 League Average guys have a much higher success rate and would contribute a bunch more than 2 guys that should be optioned & 3 guys that have negative WAR. Gray is being used to play ahead of our overall #1 pick…….future star. It’s a long way for Lewis to go from where he is to “star”. These 5 guys are so bad, along with Outman, that the Team has little chance. The PEN is mediocre at best! There is some eventual path for it to get better. Klein - Rojas - Festa - SWR all getting into the PEN by end of May at least seems to give that group a chance for improvement. Don’t see that optimism on the position player side of things. Through yesterday they had 7 of 10 games with 3 or less runs & yesterday they needed an unearned run to get to 4. “League average” OPS+ for 5 guys is 500. These 5 guys OPS+ totals 314 or 63% of Average…… that gap being closed from 1/2 the line-up would have a positive daily effect.
  3. JD-TWINS
    I get that every Team in baseball has some scenario where their record could/should be better. (fantasy scenarios) As of this evening, if Twins could have held it together for 3 more wins to date, they would be 18-17 and in the 2nd Wild Card spot in the A.L. Fine margins between success and failure. I just think, even with Ryan going down for some extended period, if guys that are well below expectations can just get to “mediocre to OK”, the Team can be competitive. Abel back in 3 weeks …… Festa in the PEN later this month……. potentially Zebby to rotation and SWR to PEN? Addition of Klein. Rojas is a real option. Sands back in a month or so ………. it’s not all terrible IF the position players come along.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Keaschall has had some success over the weekend - much needed!! Wallner with an RBI double off a lefty, or anybody, was impressive. A base hit later in the game - I nearly passed out. If Wallner - Keaschall - Caratini - Bell - Lewis could approach “average performance” for MLB hitters the Team would be greatly improved……..can’t comment on Clemens due to a pretty poor history prior to ‘26….. my gut says they need to move on but that takes a plan. Wallner …… hit .225 & get OBP to .325 with .400 slug% …….. that should not be out of reach for Matt. Keaschall ……. hit .250 & get OBP to .325 with .340 slug% ……… that’s underperforming for him based on ‘25 stats - it’s OK though at this point. Caratini ……. hit .230 & get OBP to .310 with .340 slug% ……. that’s attainable and expected headed into the year Lewis ……. hit .240 & get OBP to .310 with .375 slug% ………way below the bar nearly everyone expects of Royce but OK in ‘26 Bell …… hit .235 & get OBP to .320 with .360 slug% ………. not difficult for Bell to attain NONE of these guys are near expectations for an “average season” from them. NONE of these sets of goals terribly challenging for any of these 5 guys …….. just perform near your average expectation - don’t need to be All-Stars ……… Buxton - Jeffers - Martin - Larnach & now Lee are at or above their expectations…….they need some help!
  5. JD-TWINS
    Squarely on the PEN Saturday. García’s stuff wasn’t as bad as I expected - he hit 97 Mph once - ground ball up the middle (2runs) - “roller” between 1B & 2B with infield pulled in for an infield hit (1run) - Banda gets a tapper back to the mound and it hits the edge of grass and squirts under his glove (1run) - then mental breakdown and 4 pitch walk (1run) ……,…. I know, that’s baseball, ………. a little snake bit with bad breaks as well. Offense ……. 7 hits ……… 1 Walk ……. THREE EARNED RUNS ….. with Toronto giving them a 4th. Not very impressive……. again. Wallner (with neutralizing games off lately) has now reached a full -1.00 WAR on May 2nd and his Slug% is LOWER than Luke Keaschall’s abysmal .278, at .273. ……. “Wallner strikes out a lot but he hits for power and has a high OBP - valuable” …….. .265 OBP - .273 Slug% BRUTAL. Gotta admit - Lee has gotten to “playable” with surge over last couple weeks! ………. dare I say, Clemens is slowly getting to a point where he may be worthy of the 13th roster spot.l!
  6. JD-TWINS
    Offense needs to score, granted! Gotta play decent defense, granted. Zero to Zero score & SWR faced a .217 hitter with a guy on first and he had him 0-2. Then, as he has done repeatedly, he hung a splitter and the guy lined the ball to left center. Again, 0-2 count. Then a few pitches later, the ball went to the backstop (WP but Caratini needs to stop that pitch) and both guys move into scoring position. That lead to pulling the infield in to cut down the run at the plate on a ground ball……,. sharply hit ball to Bell and he choked and threw the ball out of play. SWR certainly helped create a bad situation prior to ball hit to Bell. …… Bell should help bail him out though.
  7. JD-TWINS
    10th in MLB in HR’s (2nd a couple weeks ago) - scored most runs for Twins in month of April since 1996, per last night’s broadcast. That said, I have been a leader bitching about the offense. I get it, there is no magic wand to level run production game to game……… (8 runs in a loss last week & 11 in a win) ……..Team was scoring runs and overcoming some, just OK pitching, to get to their 11-7 record. Over the last 15 games they are 3-12 & the previous run production has dropped! Pitching has stepped up “in general” - 4 great starts in a row heading into last night…… PEN has been spotty at best. They haven’t scored enough in most games to have the PEN’s performance matter. 3 of last 10 games they have above 3 runs (5 games at 2 or less runs)……..can’t pitch well enough to succeed with that type of run production.
  8. JD-TWINS
    That is definitely a path forward (DFA Clemens) but Bell happens to have a lower WAR than Kody - my point here isn’t keep Kody but have eyes wide open for Bell’s real performance to date ……… he started great offensively and BOTH he and Caratini have spiraled downward. Outman - Clemens - Wallner are ALL extreme weak spots at the plate, regardless of an occasional contribution once every 8-9 games. As bad as Wallner & Keaschall have been (both really bad!) ……… the Team leader for disappointing start to season has to be ROYCE LEWIS!
  9. JD-TWINS
    He’s entering “his prime years” physically…… it’s a 110% between his ears and what comes from his brain to his physical approach. “K’s went up” ……… He has always stuck out at an alarming rate. He’s tinkered and generally fixed (improved) himself in ‘23 & ‘24 in St. Paul - need to try that again, immediately as he has an option left.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Just replace current roster with the guys in St. Paul - brilliant!…….Team is on its way.
  11. JD-TWINS
    😁😉
  12. JD-TWINS
    Lee can play 2B ………. the real need for Culpepper is SS defense ……… some short term relief for Keaschall.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Come on - not disputing the Lee comments - his performance to date doesn’t need to be defended, but the delusional Wallner support - come on. Wallner has ”….. bad 2-4 week period” - what 2-4 weeks are you describing? As an example, Wallner’s first 6 weeks of 2026………27 games & 109 PA’s …….. .168/.275/.284 Overall .186/.304/.305 IF ONLY v. RH pitching ….., continually battling for the League lead in Strikeouts. 3 HRs & FORTY-ONE Strikeouts. There’s no defense for this offense, coupled with well below foot speed in the outfield and the occasional times he gets on base. He’s got an option left - needs to be exercised. LEE, over 29 games, has one less PA (108) than Wallner in 2026. .242/.306./.414 as a switch hitter - 5 HRs and TWENTY Strikeouts. Wallner -.700 WAR & Lee .300 WAR ….. as you state, Lee’s not getting any positive WAR from his defense.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Nice potential thought with the Gallo parallel …….. shift Big Matt back on to the mound and he can fill a void in the PEN by August! 😉
  15. JD-TWINS
    Nobody is “trading” for a very slow, 38% K rate guy that isn’t barreling up the ball - ever. He’s hitting .168 and I can’t remember how long it’s been since he got an XBH? He’s “limited on defense” (being nice) and he’s 28. Splits in ‘26: LH pitcher .139 BA with .225 OBP & .475 OPS RH pitcher .186 BA with .305 OBP & .609 OPS Does a strict platoon help Matt? Not much! He went to AAA a couple times in ‘23 after being up and fixed himself. He went to AAA in ‘24 in April & came back in July, very nice finish. Hurt a couple time in ‘25 - I’ll give him that, for an off year. He has an OPTION - why are the decision makers waiting? Trying to protect Matt’s ego? His perceived value? ……… those ships have sailed. Splits in ‘26 for Player 2: LH pitcher: .255 BA with .308 OBP & .627 OPS RH pitcher: .192 BA with .241 OBP & .487 OPS Eventually, Team will see 70-75% RH pitching, so these numbers above for Luke Keaschall will be more & more glaring as weeks go by. A .241 OBP (v. righties) for a guy that gets 1 or 2 infield hits a week (speed) is alarming! To me, Luke Keaschall looks like a Jr. College athletic freak with good bat to ball skills, yet that doesn’t have enough power to hit the ball further than 310 feet to left or right field and maybe 350 feet to center field. Gotta face it, it’s ugly! ………..plenty of Options for Luke to go work some things out.
  16. JD-TWINS
    6’9” is different & his command is pretty sharp inside and outside of the Zone. Differing pitch shapes, that are significantly different.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Ober is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA! Banda had 2nd straight decent outing. Topa was solid with his ground ball approach. Morris solid in a shorter outing - decent stuff! Buxton had 3 of 6 total hits …….. 4 walks ……. put up 7 runs with some HELP from the Jays defense. Fortunate! Larnach 0-2 but 2 walks and 2 runs scored……. Martin 1-3 with a walk…….. along with Buxton’s surge, these guys are making offense go. Bottom 4 guys in line-up were 0-13 with 1 walk and a sac fly between them.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Top 10 ranked hitters went 5-41 on Wednesday - ouch!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Hello - I guess my sarcasm wasn’t obvious……..I was making fun of people here that think Falvey never made a good trade - yet Joe Ryan - Taj Bradley - Mick Abel are on the Roster and most think they are great. Never made a good FA signing, yet signed consecutive Gold Glove winning guys at 1B. Tough to be critical of the 153OPS+ & 143OPS+ put up by Vazquez & France so far. ….. it’s a LOOONG season though…… Josh Bell was around .600 WAR 15 days or so ago & is now at -.100 WAR, all in April.
  20. JD-TWINS
    He was the throw in as Rojas was the centerpiece - Roden is hurt & out for weeks at AAA. He was hurt last year as well after being placed on 26 Man. The season is 31 games old.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Poor acquisitions by the idiot Falvey!
  22. JD-TWINS
    A lot of stuff “may happen”. Louie was washed as a potential starter in MN. Numerous opportunities, wasn’t happening. Rojas was not acquired to be a one inning a game guy for 68 innings per year. ……. by end of ‘28 it may be one of the best trades the Twins have ever made. Louie is local - likable energy - having success over last 12 months…….I get it…….his trade, on April 30th of year one doesn’t define the success of the move. Abel has definite upside over Duran over a period of years ……… same with Bradley v. Jax. Those two guys were coveted more than Louie at the deadline last year if you were a Twins fan or a Team making a trade with Twins. Gotta let things play out.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Gotta disagree. Cannot go from $155M player spend in ‘23 down to $106M (according to FanGraphs) in ‘26. IF an organization wants to run their team with these types of economics, it takes years of planning and strategies in place to have some mild success. To me, OWNERSHIP did not give the FO the tools to succeed. The SPEND this year is $106M ……. of which $10M is paid against Correa’s salary & $21.5M is paid against Lopez salary (injured for the season). That means the Club on the field has a $74.5M spend…………that’s 47% of what was spent 3 seasons prior. It’s laughable …… if you’re not part of the FO that’s trying to make things work. The $74.5M (actual spend for active players) is between Miami and Cleveland at $73M & $84M respectively at #30 & #29. Caratini is a switch hitting Catcher/1B ……. he was playing well until 2 weeks ago - bat went cold. Should have had game winning RBI today! Being upset about $7M this week but not 2 weeks ago is just 20/20 hindsight. It’s the same with Larnach - essentially everyone bitched about him being paid $4.5M ….. now that he has been playing a reasonable LF with an OBP in the mid .400’s ……. the detractors have disappeared. With 5 position guys being pre-arbitration and only Buxton making real money, at $15M, Bell - Caratini - Larnach totaling $18.5M is a bargain! It’s 2026 MLB! The ‘26 payroll is ridiculous! $133M in ‘20 - $122M in ‘21 - $134M in ‘22 - $158M in ‘23 - $135M in ‘24 - $124M in ‘25 - $106M in ‘26
  24. JD-TWINS
    Been there myself, most of the past 3 weeks.
  25. JD-TWINS
    The PEN only played a part in 2 of last 8 games, last Thursday’s 10-8 loss and today’s 5-3 loss. I would say they have 6 guys that can currently function in the PEN but they need Rojas & Klein (or something similar) to elevate the talent. Sands - Topa - Funderburk - Orze - Morris - Banda or Rogers………… add Rojas & Klein …….. delete Banda or Rogers & Garcia. Festa may be ready for a reliever slot in a month from now …….with him, Rojas & Klein removing “the current bottom 3”, I think the PEN can be ranked #15-18 in baseball. Just like the starters that throw 4-7 innings, The PEN is going to give up a run or three if they have to cover 2-5 innings……..that’s not changing. Gotta SCORE to WIN!
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