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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    Seems to me this set of stats are pretty easily explained away if he’s in the mix as one of the youngest players at these levels. He was 18 to start last summer. Not concerned - not guaranteeing success either. I just don’t see these stats as being very meaningful for his future until the end of ‘26 season.
  2. JD-TWINS
    My pushback is that there are only 13 Roster Spots. Can’t just experiment with the MLB Club like it’s some laboratory or like it’s AAA. Always wanting 4/6 guys to “get a chance” is not a good way to approach running an organization. I understand the “want” & curiosity from a Fan’s perspective. Once a guy comes up some Veteran needs to be traded or released/DFA’d to create space. They are gone. Guys need to be ready or at least they need to have shown signs they are ready, other than some draft perspective from 2-3 years prior or some hot 45 days in MiLB. Martin - Larnach - Buxton - Wallner - Jeffers - Jackson - Lewis - Lee - Keaschall - Bell are 10 LOCKS for the roster omitting injuries……3 other spots open. I don’t love Kriedler/Arcia - Clemens - Gasper - Wagaman - Julien - Roden - Outman……..one could certainly make the case that at least 4 of these 8 guys have already played themselves off of any MLB roster! I DO NOT think these guys, nor any of the 2-3 fringe guys in the 10 listed above, are blocking prospects at AAA. The AAA guys need to force their way on to the roster in the Show with their play……..not because “they deserve a chance”. Culpepper - Rodriguez - Gonzalez - Jenkins are all guys I would expect to see prior to year end. The performance of guys in front of them in the Show, the Big Club’s record, and the AAA individual’s performance will all blend into who gets a look and when. I completely agree that the organization should be able to develop a 1B from current blah to OK defenders at current positions, that have shown the “hit tool”. Gonzalez - Keaschall - Jeffers - Lewis as well as numerous (2-3) others in MiLB are options.
  3. JD-TWINS
    To me, SWR’s stuff doesn’t warrant #2 starter talk. He’ll be age 25 through the ‘26 season, so still young. He’s had steady improvement though and if he can continue to refine his control “in the zone”, he is the #4 starter this year and forward. 2.2 WAR in ‘25 with only 111 innings pitched …….. 2.0 WAR in ‘24 in 133 innings. If the #4 starter can get to 150-160 innings & gives a 2.5 plus WAR it’s a good rotation! Emma “needs to play” at AAA and show he can remain healthy and productive for more than 4-6 weeks at a time! Moving or demoting a currently similar veteran bat to make room for Emma, & then to have him be hurt 15 days later doesn’t work!
  4. JD-TWINS
    A DH, to me, isn’t just a guy who may be defensively challenged or bad. He is supposed to “contribute” positively to the offense. Wallner hit .195 v. RH pitching in 2025. He had 22 HR & 21 singles & struck out in 34% of his AB’s ……. this is not sustainable output for ANY MLB hitter, let alone a DH. Larnach hit .254 with a .759 OPS v. RH pitching in 2025…… in a somewhat, “down year”.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Wallner hit .202 in ‘25. He had to have hit “better” v. RH pitchers - an assumption……..but he didn’t. .195 v. RH pitching & .224 v. LH pitching. .224 is sub-par and should not be commended as “good”. .195 is terrible and should be viewed as “terrible”. Why “want” to have him hit v. LH pitching? What’s the fascination? How about he hits .245 v. RH pitching and gets platooned 90% of the time v. LH pitching. This would be an extreme positive over ‘25. To me, Lee has to get his OPS+ up from 76 to 95 and he’ll be a sporadic contributor w/o the huge lulls. His ability to switch hit will always be a bit of a positive as well. With enough games played, between back issues, he has 20 HR potential.
  6. JD-TWINS
    I’m not a psychologist but my assumption is that it’s because he’s from Forrest Lake……..I’ve said here before, if he was from Kenosha, fans would have a completely different view of him. The local ties & sentimentality coupled with what they say in the movies, “girls (everyone) love the Big Fly”. How can a guy play sub-mediocre defense, admittedly with a big arm, and throw the ball all over the place and be seen as an OK outfield option for years to come? I’d live with the OF play but even more mystifying are the continual comments about how he had a down year at the plate in ‘25 but it was really “still productive”. He had 22 HR & only 40 RBI - really tough to accomplish ……… more HR than singles - an even more difficult feat. He struck out in 34% of his AB’s. He hit .202. …….. I do not equate this level of performance anywhere near productive/effective! He’s got talent! He’s earned a chance. If he can strike out 4-5% less and hit .240, he can be a real positive contributor. Actually staying healthy enough to play every day AND to hit well enough to not need to be sent AAA to fix things, would be a step in the right direction.
  7. JD-TWINS
    “…….Johan was also younger and had more minor league innings under his belt” ……… not really sure what this has to do with Prielipp being a reliever to start out in MLB? Btw, Johan was a Rule 5 pick up, correct, BUT he pitched from the PEN significant innings over his first FOUR seasons in MLB. He “pitched in” 117 games in his first four seasons with the TWINS and started only 41 of those games………. then went on to be a pretty solid starter.
  8. JD-TWINS
    I defer to your superior intellect oh wise one. I’m just trying to get past all the fray here at TD (with a success story) that Prielipp can’t be “wasted” in the PEN. He’s shown little durability to date and isn’t getting any younger. The probability of him being a starter, for the Twins, ahead of Abel - Festa - Bradley - Rojas is very low. I think it could be beneficial for the Team & Prielipp to only have him throw 75 innings or less and to let him go 100% in those innings out of a relief role. I could care less if he ever starts another game.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Keaschall learns to bunt effectively or at least develops that skill. he could hit .280. I like his bat to ball skills and his energy…….having him play 135-145 games will be a big shot in the arm. Ober, control in the zone is the key. His fastball doesn’t get punished that much, even at 89 MPH. His sliders up or change-ups that stay in the zone when meant to dive out of the zone, they get rocked. His stats with guys on base were really elevated - seems that throwing from the stretch changed his delivery. Maybe health related? This needs to get fixed! PEN: Traded for Orze - Funderburk, Topa, Sands are all OK middle inning guys. Need a couple FA signings that can bolster middle innings through 8th inning. (Coulombe & Seranthony Dominguez) To me, Matthews gets moved to Closer. 🤞 Need 2-3 young guys to be able to supplement/support these 7 guys. Prielipp - Morris - Adams - Raya - Festa(?) - Klein. It seems the physical capabilities will be there WITH a couple signings. I do think that LaTroy Hawkin’s experience in every PEN role will help him support guys with routines and mindset day to day through the 162 game grind. SEEMS like a pretty reasonable solution.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Your “take” is ridiculous! Matt Wallner - Brooks Lee - Royce Lewis ALL underperforming is why the Twins sucked in ‘25……..along with starting pitcher injuries. Bader - France - Coulombe had zero to do with not being competitive. The 57 game win pace after July 31 was due to Bader - Castro - FRANCE - Varland - Duran - Jax - Coulombe all being traded for youth. They then became non-competitive.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Agreed on Prielipp! I pointed out here a few weeks ago that Johan Santana started in the PEN & he worked out pretty well.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Jeffers being valued less as an asset than Prielipp or Lee seems odd. If offering Jeffers in the trade market, regardless of remaining control, he would get more of a return than either of those guys, IMO. That’s value as an asset.
  13. JD-TWINS
    How does the TWINS ‘25 win record pace, after they gave up July 31, have anything to do with Ty France signing a minor league deal last off-season? Just rambling about nothing to bitch more.
  14. JD-TWINS
    He won a gold glove and was an average hitter, worked out well ……..it’s depth move with Arcia, period. If he’s on the roster it’s because circumstances deem it necessary - not because he’s making X $$. I too, as another reader here stated, think that he more than likely has an “out” if his agent can find him an MLB deal ……… certainly after June 1.
  15. JD-TWINS
    I get the frustration with numerous SS drafted high and no real results that meet expectations!! SS are traditionally/logically good athletes and thus good hitters coming up from youth - amateur - college baseball. Nothing new here. Gary Sheffield & Henry Aaron are a couple former SS off top of my head. Drafting these types of guys is not unusual. Not getting ANY of them to pan out in recent memory AT SS is certainly frustrating.
  16. JD-TWINS
    It’s a MINOR league contract…….it’s not some huge strategic move to worry about. He’s passing along experience to young guys in St. Paul and available due to injuries if absolutely necessary. Can’t “hurt” anything. Not exciting - not a marketing move, just something that all organizations do at positions of need.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Not a “slam dunk” & a lot of “ifs” ……. describes Twins and about 24 other clubs. If Lee is a 1.25 WAR guy I’d be ecstatic! Lewis just performing to expectations (not some lofty MVP thoughts) gets the Team to competitive. Wallner needs to hit .230 and the rest of his stats will fall in line. A bat of some sort via FA along with a couple support relievers from FA market would reduce the “ifs” needed……fingers crossed.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Kriedler and Fitzgerald were redundant. Am assuming that Kriedler is still on the 40-Man. To me, this is a minor depth move in case of injury with Bell/Clemens. He may not still be on the roster by the time April rolls around.
  19. JD-TWINS
    You get down on someone for not being astute and giving credit for Keaschall’s rise as a Rookie and Jenkin’s accomplishments in MiLB BUT then you say Wallner is above average and an ideal DH………come on, the guy’s been sent down for weeks and weeks over past 3 seasons and or hurt……. he’s got fabulous power but on a day to day basis he’s barely mediocre. A .200 BA with 20 plus HR and less than 40 RBI with an extremely high K rate is not what any Team is looking for in a DH. If he were from Kenosha instead of Forrest Lake he’d have about 5 supporters here. I don’t think Wallner is without potential but he sure as hell better start showing it or he’ll be gone……..can’t hit great for 4 games, 4/5 times during the season and suck the rest of the time ……..not an affective contributor with that profile. He’s the antithesis of clutch.
  20. JD-TWINS
    His previous Team didn’t protect him - right? Can’t be that good. Had you heard of him prior to the Rule 5 claim? Don’t see this as something to be too concerned about
  21. JD-TWINS
    2025: Wallner regressed! Larnach was not platooned properly and was exposed v. LH pitching. Lewis was bad or underperformed 80% of the games he played. Lee was disappointing in his first true full season. Those 4 guys could/should all play considerably better…… not big stars but acceptably……..that with our rotation and good baseball by Jeffers/Buxton/Bell/Keaschall and the Team has a real shot at being competitive. Need a shot in the arm in PEN & at SS via Free Agency.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Lee - Larnach - Bell are all guys found on good rosters around baseball ……. just not guys expected to carry the heavy load of offense and a bit less defense. They are good 8, 9, 10 guys at least. Your point is well taken, Team needs more offensive help!!
  23. JD-TWINS
    Larnach v. Eddie, to me, is laughable. Larnach hits v. RH pitching, period. Larnach wasn’t platooned properly in ‘25 & his numbers took a hit…….. Eddie try’s to walk……and often, takes strike 3.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Low expectations for Lee (realistic) - Wallner & Lewis need to get back to their expectations of production, not stars, but can not suck. Julien can’t make the Team unless he hits .400 in Spring Training…….. so he’s gone. Trade deadline “tear down” was just exchanging established relievers for upside, highly touted youth……….. Abel - Bradley - Rojas. Had to rid organization of Correa’s ups & downs at the plate and physically…… can’t pay $33M for that level of performance!! Stewart was hurt a handful of days after landing with Dodgers and Coulombe was a pending FA, along with Paddack ……….Bader & Castro were to be FA’s as well. The only deadline moves that stung were Duran - Jax - Varland, that’s it - the rest is just mob rule bitching. Those 3 relievers are SIGNIFICANT!!! Adding Abel - Bradley - Rojas will “hopefully” be significant in a positive way. If organization spends another $15-$20M on 3 guys (SS & 2 Relievers) Team could actually approach 90 wins, IMO.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Generally agree on all. More bluntly put, Julien is gone - Outman has one foot off the DFA cliff - Clemens is holing on to Outman’s belt.
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