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JD-TWINS

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  1. He’s a gamer, multi-tool guy, and pretty consistent producer. Team just rid itself of a $34M SS………after partial pay down, they are saving $24M. Should be able to re-invest $8M in ‘26 and if Duran is effective, he may cost $11.5M & $15M going forward. I think it makes sense to add a consistent guy to Buxton/Keaschall at the Top of the line-up…….yes, at these potential costs over 3 years.
  2. Batting Champ for Lopez wasn’t that long ago and it would fall under something other than “status quo”. I don’t care how good Abreu is with the glove if he’s not a consistent bat. (not directed to you but just a general thought) The Sox were reportedly shopping Duran (less control) last season as others became MLB ready. I trade any two pitchers that the Red Sox want, other than Lopez or Ryan. ……. Ober seems that he could be a potential nightmare at Fenway? Abel & Raya for Duran? Maybe Twins add another, even younger arm with promise? Bradley is available if desired in Boston as well……..Festa too. Larnach at DH v. RH pitching is a good thing for Team’s offense. Bell at 1B ahead of Clemens is generally a good thing for the offense. Letting Martin play 20 games in LF - 20 games in CF - DH 30 games - play 30 games in RF…….and available off the bench in 60 games - to me, that’s a good roll for him and the Club. Duran in LF for 140 games. Lewis - Lee - Wallner need to play (hit) much better if Club is to be successful. Adding Bell & Duran to these 3 mentioned along with Martin/Jeffers/Larnach - to me that Team can compete.
  3. 320plus MLB AB’s ….. .201 BA ……. They signed Alonso for 5 years so Mayo didn’t turn the heads of the baseball people in the building in Baltimore.
  4. I may try and trade Ober & Morris & E. Rodriguez for Rutschman………they extended young Catcher last year and Alonso has 1B occupied………Twins can then DH Jeffers for all LH starters they face and catch 65 games …… maybe play some 1B? E. Rodriguez and either one of Ober or Morris plus Raya to Boston for Duran. TWINS need impact players, not guys that they hope will eventually work out.
  5. A fine rotation is more than many Teams have. 10th is good. 3rd is delusional - agreed. Why am “I” losing Jeffers - Lopez - Ryan & you aren’t, if you’re such a fan? You troll - that’s it. You jump in and tell everyone here they’re clueless & the Pohlad’s are clueless (everyone knows that) and you seemingly don’t give a rat’s ass about the organization other than seeing an opportunity to demean. Ryan, Lopez, & Jeffers aren’t going anywhere. A “laughing stock” across baseball, I guess that’s your opinion. Btw, spending $200M more than the Twins and not actually shaking anything up is a pretty weak mgmt achievement ……..they managed to drop Nimmo - Alonso - Diaz …….. they are shaking this year.
  6. Winning the Division and having a shot to advance and re-energizing the fanbase is a lot better than selling at the deadline and winning 72 games. Step in a better direction! I could care less if they win 87 games v. 92 games if they are in post season either way. Top 1/3 in rotations is solidly above average. A rotation with expectations to produce between #7-#12 is a lot better than #14-#16, IMO. btw, I’m aware of who their pitchers are. I’m a fan and said the rotation was top 50% - Fangraphs has them at #10, per you. Doesn’t seem to be “vastly overrated” estimation by this fan - right? Could spend $340M and miss the playoffs, like the guys in Queens - that’s when one has to look at an organization and wonder where the level of the evaluators/coaches/effort is at……
  7. The rotation isn’t the ‘70 Orioles but it’s certainly above average for MLB, as of today. 5 guys that could win 12-15 games with decent health. Bradley - SWR - Ryan - Ober - Lopez (Festa & Abel for depth) Lewis - Wallner - Lee can’t perform at a lower level than in ‘25, IMO. If they perform at average expectations for themselves, it’s a shot in the arm. Jeffers should be mildly better at the plate and Jackson should be mildly better than Vazquez at the plate. Jenkins - Gonzalez - Rodriguez ……. one and maybe 2 of these guys should have some positive affect on the offense by June/July. Bell should be at a minimum, mildly better than 1B offensively. Keaschall will be in the line-up 140 games and that’s another very probable shot in the arm. Larnach will be back to a more strict platoon role v. RH pitching and his numbers will increase. Need a real SS option, i.e. IKF or like. Clemens is at best, the 13th guy on the roster with flexibility to play 1B - 2B - Corner OF. Not any better or worse than ‘25…………placeholder for potential injury depth and keeping spot warm for young guys at AAA. If they don’t spend $50-$60M (obviously not happening) they could spend $15-$20M above the current $102M on the books and get the Team to serious competitor in the Central. I’d trade Festa & Rodriguez (3rd sweetener if needed) to Boston for Duran. Everyday guy in LF that WILL produce! SS & 2 FA relievers…….. Prielipp - Orze - Raya - Morris - Adams - Sands - Topa - Funderburk - Klein - MATTHEWS in back end, along with 2 FA’s and the PEN is very functional for a contending Team.
  8. The Varland trade was for the lefty, Rojas (nice upside) & Roden was a throw-in and in my opinion, not worth fretting over. Same with Stewart (immediately injured again in LA) for the flier on Outman. If one of them has a good spring Training they will either work out for ‘26 or be a short-term place holder for Gonzalez-Rodriguez-Jenkins. Duran trade was to get the Young Catcher, highest rated in MiLB at the time. They also got Abel, previously touted as a mid-rotation “for sure guy” ……… Abel at a controllable expense for next 5 years. Paddack - Bader - Coulombe - Castro - France were all going to be Free Agents………not very surprising there……freeing ourselves of Dobnack made total sense. Jax……4.03 ERA in ‘25 despite fantastic stuff. Seemed disillusioned with his role in MN. Struggles between his ears and with pitch mix in my opinion. Jax for Bradley was a choice……results remain to be seen. Correa not being healthy and steadily declining on defense and at the plate……saving $22-$25M/year made perfect sense as well……..can’t have ownership approve $35M/yr for ONE GUY & then slash overall roster spending the next 2 years…… that’s the ZERO plan that was thrust on to shoulders of FO to fix on the fly. Those were/are the strategic thoughts.
  9. The Varland trade was for the lefty, Rojas (nice upside) & Roden was a throw-in and in my opinion, not worth fretting over. Same with Stewart (immediately injured again in LA) for the flier on Outman. If one of them has a good spring Training they will either work out for ‘26 or be a short-term place holder for Gonzalez-Rodriguez-Jenkins. Duran trade was to get the Young Catcher, highest rated in MiLB at the time. They also got Abel, previously touted as a mid-rotation “for sure guy” ……… Abel at a controllable expense for next 5 years. Paddack - Bader - Coulombe - Castro - France were all going to be Free Agents………not very surprising there……freeing ourselves of Dobnack made total sense. Jax……4.03 ERA in ‘25 despite fantastic stuff. Seemed disillusioned with his role in MN. Struggles between his ears and with pitch mix in my opinion. Jax for Bradley was a choice……results remain to be seen. Correa not being healthy and steadily declining on defense and at the plate……saving $22-$25M/year made perfect sense as well……..can’t have ownership approve $35M/yr for ONE GUY & then slash overall roster spending the next 2 years…… that’s the ZERO plan that was thrust on to shoulders of FO to fix on the fly. Those were/are the strategic thoughts.
  10. The Varland trade was for the lefty, Rojas (nice upside) & Roden was a throw-in and in my opinion, not worth fretting over. Same with Stewart (immediately injured again in LA) for the flier on Outman. If one of them has a good spring Training they will either work out for ‘26 or be a short-term place holder for Gonzalez-Rodriguez-Jenkins. Duran trade was to get the Young Catcher, highest rated in MiLB at the time. They also got Abel, previously touted as a mid-rotation “for sure guy” ……… Abel at a controllable expense for next 5 years. Paddack - Bader - Coulombe - Castro - France were all going to be Free Agents………not very surprising there……freeing ourselves of Dobnack made total sense. Jax……4.03 ERA in ‘25 despite fantastic stuff. Seemed disillusioned with his role in MN. Struggles between his ears and with pitch mix in my opinion. Jax for Bradley was a choice……results remain to be seen. Correa not being healthy and steadily declining on defense and at the plate……saving $22-$25M/year made perfect sense as well……..can’t have ownership approve $35M/yr for ONE GUY & then slash overall roster spending the next 2 years…… that’s the ZERO plan that was thrust on to shoulders of FO to fix on the fly. Those were/are the strategic thoughts.
  11. Buxton - Martin - Larnach - Wallner - Lewis - Lee - Keaschall - Bell - Jeffers - Jackson all seem to be locks for roster out of Spring Training in my estimation. 10 spots. Last 3 on roster: Roden or Outman - Clemens - some guy that can play SS ………..any conversations about how Eddie Julien is going to get Reps at 1B, to me, are ridiculous …….unless he hits .500 in Spring Training he’ll be jettisoned.
  12. I would sign Luis Arraez for 3 years and $37M in a heartbeat! The analytics shown here and the tone is Luis isn’t a worthwhile offensive player and he swings at too many balls ……. has the writer seen Tony Oliva or Kirby Puckett hit?? Many here think someone (maybe himself) can fix Eddie Julien or Matt Wallner. However, a guy (Arraez) can’t be coached up to swing at pitches in the zone?……….TAKING pitches to boost OBP are Julien & Wallner’s strong suit! They both are unbelievable in taking great pitches for strikes and for striking out in key situations!! Can’t put ball in play in key situations. In ‘24 Julien lead MLB in strikeouts looking and closest guy in backwards K’s had 100 more AB’s. Working with a guy that accidentally gets 180-200 hits/year and strikes out 3-5% of his AB’s is a waste of time though???? I still contend having him hit 5th in the TWIN’s line-up every day generates 90 RBI at a minimum. Too late for Arraez. Bell signing is better than some other options available. So, hopefully, leaves $15M to spend on another depth player and a couple serviceable relievers. Sure would be nice to figure out 1B with an internal option by Spring of ‘27!!!
  13. The Acquisitions above did work out…… the math problem seems to be your issue, as the Team won 72 games without any of these guys for 1/3 of the season. Jax - Duran - Varland - Stewart vacating the the PEN for 1/3 of the season lead to no chance for Team to compete. Conscious decision by front office at that point. Equating a terrible year end record with a mediocre record at trade deadline are two different things. Lopez being hurt and Keaschall being hurt and guys like Lewis - Lee - Wallner underperforming is what lead to the demise of ‘26. The front office gets laid all the responsibility (blame) but players that have shown previous competence and have expectations to perform at a level that contributes to wins - they need to perform! It’s not the Manager’s fault nor the FO. Hell, at one point maybe 45 days into the season they had lost 3 different games almost solely due to pitchers not fielding their position properly. This ultimately falls at the feet of the FO - why?? It wasn’t the hitting coaches fault in ‘24 either (‘25 coach of the year). The ability for the Players to grind through a season and make adjustments to keep themselves at a level of performance is generally on them.
  14. Andujar hits great against LH pitching - those are about 85% of his AB’s in ‘25. I live in Cincinnati and I see he was 37 for 102 here after the break - big time platoon though. Can’t get excited about a guy that is pigeon holed into 25-30% of potential AB’s available. He had a nice year but has no defensive spot either - pretty limited signing.
  15. Larnach had a good ‘24 …… in ‘25 they let him have about 100 more AB’s v. LH pitching and it ripped up his stats line. He’s a good hitter v. RH pitching. Bring aging Bell on to roster will help Larnach specifically platoon v. RH pitching and this will push his OPS toward .765 and a BA near .260. With 450 AB’s against 90% RH pitching, this will get Larnach to 16-20HR and he’ll contribute as a solid DH and occasional few innings in corner OF spot. I think Bell sees 125 starts at 1B. I agree …….. $3-$4M each on a couple relievers and another $3-$4M on an IKF type at SS or maybe a little more for Castro’s flexibility (potential to bump Clemens off roster) ……..this is the sum of the adds for ‘25.
  16. TWINS fans can only hope Bell blocks as many Eddie Julien opportunities as possible. If Julien is on the Team roster in ‘26 I’ll be shocked! How does Josh Bell or any 1B signing take AB’s away from Luke Keaschall at 2B???? #4 is some extra reason to complain with seemingly no basis since it doesn’t have any specific that it refers to at all. The only reason Bell would DH in front of someone else would be to utilize his ability to switch hit while keeping guys like Wallner & Larnach away from hitting against lefties……I have zero issue with that.
  17. What MLB caliber First Baseman do the TWINS have that is getting his opportunities/innings blocked by the Bell acquisition? Bell has a career 114 OPS+ and his total for ‘25 was 110. Seems he can still be productive - switch hitter helps - he struck out 4 less times. than Clemens with 125 more AB’s. Not an ideal signing but certainly an improvement over present options. Buxton - Keaschall - Lewis - Bell - Larnach - Jeffers - Wallner - Lee - Martin …………still could use some juice with an additional pick-up. Can’t imagine TEAM not just hoping Lewis - Wallner - Lee just play to their average expectations & this no more additions. Castro could be an FA candidate adding depth that’s affordable and adds another switch hitting bat……..IF & OF option with the glove. Would leave $5-$8M for a couple middling FA relievers…………the Coulombe/Thielbar types. At some point one of Gonzalez - Rodriguez - Jenkins could add some needed energy at the plate………really need a young SS to be able to make there way to Big Club sooner than later in ‘26.
  18. I hear ya - the consistent negativity here never wains! They do have a very competitive Rotation with guys that have been in the SHOW or have shown promise at MiLB level. Shifting a guy like Matthews to backend PEN guy or some similar move is a real option. Orze - Sands - Topa - Funderburk are all adequate pieces for a solid PEN…… Raya - Prielipp - Adams - Klein and probably 2-3 other guys I missed can have a real opportunity to add PEN depth/effectiveness. They need a bat and they need 2 relievers from FA. I like Arraez due to the known quantity regarding consistent productivity. If he hits in the 5 spot every day he has minimum of 85 RBI through his 185 plus hits and 30 or less strikeouts……. Acquire WHOEVER, as long as it’s fact based and not “hopeful” acquisition. I’ve been saying since October that the infusion of $425M or more wasn’t charity and that there had to be some expectations for TEAM success/competitiveness in ‘26 attached to the money from investors. I really don’t see any “inside info” coming from Dan Hayes of the Athletic nor anyone at TD. I don’t know why people think the Twins would tell anyone their plans? It’s common sense moves v. Pohlad’s potential reluctance to care about results. This “they may spend up to $110M & is that better than a rebuild?……” Another wild guess total - what if they spend $127M due to right deals coming together? How good could they be if the spread $32M (above the current $95M) over 4 players in FA? Hopeful, but not naive……….anxious to see what Team looks like on March 1st!
  19. I think LaTroy Hawkins will seriously help with mental aspects and approach from the PEN! Orze - Sands - Topa - Adams - Funderburk are all 5th-6th-7th & maybe, occasional 8th inning guys. Add……..Prielipp - Morris - Raya - Mathews (Klein & I guess, Ohl have an outside chance) Personally, I’d add Thielbar & Coulombe for $7-$8M total & figure out the backend with the young guys (Matthews?). With that said, the TEAM still has $15M to spend in free agency. Spend on a depth SS & one of Arraez/O’Hearn/Lowe. Can then look at trades to really add a strength………to me, trading Ryan or Lopez for prospects makes no sense whatsoever.
  20. I don’t follow “player values”, wherever that info can be found but if Julien & Larnach are similarly rated, it’s a bad system. Agreed, Lopez or Ryan for Mayo is laughable. Organization doesn’t need to move effective players for “potential prospects”, particularly a guy that’s hit .201 over 102 games! I’d seriously consider Lopez for Rutschman as the O’s extended the guy behind Rutschman at Catcher & they have Alonso cemented at 1B. Twins take $$ saved on moving Lopez to get another bat (Arraez-O’Hearn) and they could have the best Catcher combo in the game in short term. Still leaves $15M to spend on PEN & SS depth in FA market…………it’s a potential path to consider, but I would really prefer to keep Lopez and spend up to $125M on player salaries while keeping good core players on roster.
  21. Those are all DFA guys that have been kept as “just in case” guys for early ‘26 in case of crashing injuries or a really disappointing off-season from FA. Their spots are placeholders until better options are acquired, IMO. Trade value for any is essentially non-existent. To me, Outman & Gasper have potential to start the year with the organization - that’s it from this group. Rule 5 guys have to stick the whole season with big Club and can’t be optioned - doubt that’s Culpepper’s future in ‘26.
  22. How do we, as fans, know more about who may contribute to the Club in the future than the internal baseball people within the TWINS organization? How far are these guys down the line on the organization’s depth chart? They are player assets and not all can be kept forever or for sentimental sake. I don’t get the angst as it seems to be just a Wild Guess - right? Specifically, who would you exchange off the 40 man and why?
  23. Sure, if those are real, that’s his best move. Obviously, my point is Twins positioning themselves to somehow justify offering Jeffers a QO has to have better alternatives!
  24. If Team (any team) can absorb $23M for a year, seems signing Realmuto for 2 years at $31M would make more sense - trade Jeffers and a young arm (Festa/Morris) somewhere for another player that’s ready now or has been successful in the Show……….same 2 years spend of near $31M for this year’s $6.6 plus next year’s $23M if it’s Jeffers in Arb & QO. …….??
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