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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Are you The Great Kreskin? Lee is who he is after 4 months. Bell can go away tomorrow and Larnach & Keaschall slot at DH without losing a thing. Kreidler hasn’t hit in more than 3 games for the last month and Team is just fine. My point is, what you stated. the Team went 25-22 without Jeffers so why think with Jeffers they would back up? It seems you missed or are ignoring what I stated at the Top……..”Teams will add - who adds what?” Are The Guardians a “playoff caliber team?” …… somebody wins out, regardless of what the underlying analytics present as the assured future.
  2. JD-TWINS
    The “Twins are projected” with no additions?? How does that relate to a Team that adds a couple key pieces? …….. Teams will add - who adds what? They play the A.L. Central 16 more games & the A.L. West 17 games. The O’s & Giants in one series each……., 39 games of remaining 54 v. teams that are not on different level. The Sox are 2.5 games ahead of Twins & Guards are .5 games ahead of Twins. They only need to “not show up” for 2 days and team catches them. 6-4 v. Guards in ‘26 with 3 left in Minneapolis…….Twins get 1 of 3 and they have tie breaker. They have tie breaker in hand with Astros & Red Sox…… not a big deal, until it potentially becomes a big deal. Twins were “projected” to win how many games at start of Season - 76? ……. Jeffers missed 60+ games. They just got a “fifth starter” back 2 days ago ………. seems if they add 2 contributors (with existing group in tact) they are as likely as anyone to obtain 3rd Wildcard and a break or two from winning Division. I will grant - to my eye, the White Sox schedule after next 6-7 games seems pretty soft!
  3. JD-TWINS
    Four more years of control with Varland - they assume they will be competitive within next two seasons and he’ll be a big reason why, for the Jays. Rojas, straight up …… he’s 23. Louie was in MiLB all of age 23 season. Louie was 0-6 and looked like he might wash out in ‘24 at age 26. Louie is 28……..I get the excitement & pull from a “Minnesota” perspective but I don’t get the continual angst over the trade??? Bottom line is the Jays are not trading Varland.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Nobody is trading the most effective closer in the A.L./baseball ……. with FOUR more years of control!
  5. JD-TWINS
    You are right - everyone over values the guys in their side of trades. If the Twins get effective help this year in the PEN is anyone going to fret over Soto & Debarge?? …….cannot imagine it’s ever mentioned.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Currently, the Twins are at 17-8 v. the other 4 current Wildcard Team. (Yankees - Guards - Astros - Red Sox) Texas - Chicago - Tampa are the projected Division Winners. If a Team that’s “competitive” doesn’t see that group of 7 Teams as an opportunity to get through more than one round, not sure when….. right??? …. Seriously don’t know when they would have a more open path? Chicago is 2.5 games ahead of Twins at this point…….85-77 has a real shot to win the division. I don’t see the logic in not acting on this opportunity……..they don’t need to sell 4 guys for Mason Miller or the like. To your point about being aggressive - simplest move in my mind is keeping Jeffers! Trade Caratini to a team in need of a Catcher that can play 1B & is controlled through next year…… throw in whatever prospect arm, for a reliever with probability to be effective. Trade an attractive package to Giants for Arraez. Big ….. 2B & offense upgrade with Arraez and then the added reliever. To me, they make a solid run with this group.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Larnach IS current help! Look at his ‘24 stats when he was platooned, as he is this year….., they were solid. He’s gotten better. The corner OF options are great to use - TRADE Bell. have Larnach & Keaschall split the DH spot as a platoon. Roden/Martin/Keaschall in the corner spots - maybe Jenkins at some point. IF trying to WIN, my preference would be to trade Caratini and Bell and keep Jeffers and Larnach. Have a back-up Catcher going forward if they extend Jackson for 2 years at some meager salary……… just used first TWO draft picks on college age Catchers. QO to Jeffers for ‘27 or get somebody else to fill job for ‘27.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Matt Wallner isn’t going to help them win! He wouldn’t be relegated to St. Paul if anyone thought differently. His decent stretches in ‘23 & ‘ 24 were both after extended time at AAA after failing at MLB level. That’s who he is. Why see what Matt Wallner can do when Larnach is hitting .290 with a .380 OBP & 135 OPS+???? They are the same age. Larnach can actually play corner OF. Roden was a throw-in along with centerpiece, Rojas. He’s getting the time he deserves. The ENTIRE A.L. is weak, so no “better year” to make a push!! Twins are 5-1 v. Boston. 6-4 v. Guards, 4-2 v. Astros, 2-1 v. Yankees. That’s 17-8 v. other Wildcard contenders …….. Team has as good a shot in Playoffs as any of these 4 Clubs!
  9. JD-TWINS
    TWINS v. other A.L. Wildcard contenders, as of today, (Astros, Red Sox, Guards, & Yankees) are 17-8 for ‘26. They play 3 more with Guardians & Yankees, both at home……..have already won the other 2 series. To me, this is a pretty encouraging stat! Gotta make a couple REAL moves to improve!
  10. JD-TWINS
    With experience - decent production - ability to play 1B - switch hitter - 1 more year of control……….I think Caratini gets best return and is definitely in play!
  11. JD-TWINS
    Prielipp has, potentially, enough left to get through August. ……. Paredes is out for balance if the year or at least for a month plus. Seattle has to pay $14M or no deal ……. they save $10M & move on. If it’s not a big $$ number from Seattle, pass!
  12. JD-TWINS
    A Top 10 prospect is not the “throw-in” mentioned originally. Wallner cannot play OF much better than Yankees DH. Gonzalez & Mendez aren’t going to replace Bellinger, now. Neither has seen MLB ………they aren’t playing in the Twin’s OF, how are they heading to NY and stepping in for Bellinger?? Lots of Teams will have enough $$ to sign Jeffers.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Kreidler - an absolute scorched line drive right at the left fielder and 3 doubles……..that’s his latest game. He is going to hit .215-.230 …… fine. I wish he would bunt a bit more and utilize his speed, particularly in dry spells. He can steal bases when he gets on …… solid D…..,he’s just fine in ‘26!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Cashman isn’t an H addict …… 2 high end pitching prospects for TWO months of anyone?? ………Twins accept this all day, not happening!
  15. JD-TWINS
    Can’t trade Jenkins. Everyone agrees. Emma is continually hurt so his value sucks……he’s averaged around 54 games/year for last 4 years. Can’t imagine any team being excited about him. Mendez? Wallner? Roden? ……..other than this group, I don’t know who else is interesting and hits left handed? Bell & Caratini & Jeffers are all possibilities to obtain a shot in the arm. I too hope some reliever - even one, can be brought back in a trade.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Crazy thought for Tom P. to act on……….trade for Sandy Alcantara. Make a strong playoff push! Wallner - Emma - Raya & an A Ball arm……& maybe a AA arm……...maybe Ober…… any of the prospects other than Houston - Culpepper - Jenkins - & this year’s #1 & 2 picks. Marlins have lost 12 straight & he costs $21M next year. If Tom wants to spend to be competitive, he could be the guy! Trade Bell & Caratini or Jeffers. Any two of those guys pay for Alcantara, plus, for this year’s cost. Lopez - Alcantara - Ryan would cost $56M next year …… if there is a spending floor, these guys are $$ well spent against that total. Those 3 with Bradley & Abel (or whoever) would be the best rotation in baseball! Prielipp or Rojas & Matthews to the PEN in ‘27. OR Put a package together for Luis Arraez! He goes to 2B and hits 3rd every day. He protects Buxton and plays solid 2B now. Clemens & Keaschall settle in playing LF & RF every day. Larnach moves to DH and Keaschall is DH v. lefties w/Martin in corner OF. Bell/Wallner/one of the Catchers with a pitching prospect or two - somehow, they need to bring back a reliever. Take a BIG SWING Tom!!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Experienced, competent, switch hitting Catcher /1B ………..with another year of control. Am not sure that Caratini isn’t as attractive or more attractive than Jeffers for a few of the Clubs in the hunt?
  18. JD-TWINS
    Trade Jeffers and Wallner in a package. Excellent short term help at Catcher and a potential DH with excellent upside power …… like Larnach, a platoon guy v. RH pitching. Both are just occasional corner outfielders. Wallner is almost $ free. Larnach has value this year and going forward for Twins! Trade Bell and young arm for some value. Larnach shifts to DH and line-up has better consistency……..allows Jenkins a role in OF, if Team thinks this makes sense. Clemens - Buxton - Keaschall in OF (w/Roden or Jenkins)…… Larnach & Martin (OF) at DH ……. Caratini/Jackson ……… Lee - Kreidler - Arraez or Culpepper - Lewis. Go big w/prospects to Giants for Luis!!!
  19. JD-TWINS
    I really like how Jeffers has matured into a much more consistent contributor at the plate …….tough to see him go! Has become a high level hitter!! Team just spent first two picks on Catchers. Longer term extension, anything more than 1 or 2 years doesn’t seem realistic to me. I’d extend Jackson for 2 years at $5.5M total. I assume that if the QO goes away, Owners will get to use the approach at least one more time prior to rule change. Offer Jeffers the QO. Trade Caratini now - with another year under contract and decent performance this season with much bigger workload, switch hitter, can play 1B……..his value at deadline (now) is as high or higher than Jeffers! Trade Bell and Wallner and pitching prospect for a relief arm…….. target Pittsburgh, IMO. O’Neil Cruz out remainder of the season & they are in the hunt. Saving $14M on Bell & Caratini. Make a big swing with prospects for Luis Arraez and his $12M salary. …….if upcoming negotiations create a floor for Team spending, I try to re-sign Luis for 2-3 years. With Arraez hitting #3 or #5 and protecting Buxton or Lewis or Jeffers, line-up becomes much more dangerous! Can play 2B through next year and roll to DH if necessary in last year or two of deal. Arraez allows stability at 2B with solid play. Clemens & Keaschall in corner OF spots w/Martin. If Bell is traded, then Larnach slots at DH for 75% of games going forward.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Unless Joe’s arm is too fatigued to continue on, Rojas is squarely in the PEN and ahead of Sands in pecking order as well. Gotta give Cole the nod over Adams …… at least at this point. 6 scoreless in AAA before coming back up, hoping this was just a blip. ……can’t do much for one’s psyche when a routine fly ball that should be an out, drops for a double due to Martin’s sun troubles……. that didn’t help his outing & easy to overlook.
  21. JD-TWINS
    55 games remain: 17 games v. AL West ……no Lions there. 17 games in Central Division 3 w/Baltimore & 3 w/Giants 15 games v. some good Clubs! Schedule doesn’t appear daunting to me. Everyone is playing other MLB Teams. Moves made across baseball (including Minneapolis) will shift odds for Twins schedule to increase or decrease in difficulty. Whoever Team plays, if they aren’t sharp, they have no chance…….. essentially the same story across all competitive sports. Oakland Series, to your point, wasn’t exactly a confidence builder! 0 - 2 - 11 runs is not the sign of a “good team”……they were fortunate.
  22. JD-TWINS
    It really makes no sense if the potential FLOOR is $171M for next year…… even if it’s $140M, why trade players that are effective (Ryan - Jeffers - Larnach) ????? Is the plan to pay Royce Lewis & Brooks Lee $15M/year each next year because they don’t have anyone else to spend $$ on after this year’s trades??
  23. JD-TWINS
    If there’s a $140M floor for Team spending after labor/ownership bargaining & Pablo is gone after ‘27 ……… Correa’s off the books after next year as well ……. that’s $32M available starting in ‘28 that isn’t available now. ……… I keep Jeffers and give him the QO to consider. …….. trade Caratini & Bell now while value is near this season’s peak. Both veterans and both switch hitters…… Caratini is under control through ‘27. I’d extend A. Jackson for two years at $5-$5.5M total. Lots can change this winter ……. more things to consider than just a lockout.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Seattle has, even in a very down year, Cal Raleigh …….. zero interest in Jeffers for 2 months……..to me, they have only interest in OFFENSIVE HELP! Larnach can help anybody if they are truly on the cusp. Rotation next year is Bradley - Ryan - Lopez - Abel (assuming health) with either Rojas or Prielipp …….. PEN still has the 4 guys you mentioned. They also give Jeffers the QO and keep the 3rd best hitter on the Club, Larnach. Trades at the deadline or in off-season have to strengthen what opportunity you have now or in the very near future. Seems to me that with Abel - Prielipp - Rojas - Matthews - Ober, Team should have the 4 & 5 slots for next year covered. Find a reliever in the next 10 days by trading Bell - Wallner - Caratini - Roden in some combination. Extend Alex Jackson! He’d sign for 2 more years at $2,6M/year. He helps greatly with the bridge to Lackey &/or Tinney.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Lots & lots of prospects look a hell of a lot better 12 months later……… another article so people can bitch about Falvey. Rojas & Roden for Varland is/was a good trade. Duran for Abel & Tait is a good trade. Jax for Bradley is a good trade. The three guys acquired very well may be 3 of Team’s 5 rotation pieces in ‘27. I understand the EMOTIONS but gotta be realistic. They acquired 23 year old lefty that throws 95-97 & a talented right hander at age 24 & a guy that touches 100 mph a couple times a game at age 25. Roden & Tait are essentially throw-ins. Jax - age 31 Varland - age 28 Duran - age 28 Again, I get being upset & emotional but the trades make a hell of a lot of sense!
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