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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    TWINS A.L. leading offense since winning Friday …… 2 - 1 - 4 - 2 runs over last 4 games. Starting pitching hasn’t kept the game close 2-3 times over that stretch. Cannot expect to win games if they don’t score at least 4 runs per game - 5 is probably more realistic. Need Cole Sands back and in form ASAP. IMO, Rojas should be used just like Morris - 1 inning at a time, 3-4 days per week. Gotta be able to handle that 40-70 pitch regimen per week! Parades was running out of gas …. pitched well (was effective) for 2 plus innings. As Prielipp & Sands come back over next 5-10 days, who gets demoted from current PEN? Have a whole bunch of games v. Tigers - A’s - Royals - Orioles - Angels - Giants in next 9 weeks…..get to 1 or 2 under .500 by 7/30…..still have a shot.
  2. JD-TWINS
    TWINS A.L. leading offense since winning Friday …… 2 - 1 - 4 - 2 runs over last 4 games. Starting pitching hasn’t kept the game close 2-3 times over that stretch. Cannot expect to win games if they don’t score at least 4 runs per game - 5 is probably more realistic. Need Cole Sands back and in form ASAP. IMO, Rojas should be used just like Morris - 1 inning at a time, 3-4 days per week. Gotta be able to handle that 40-70 pitch regimen per week! Parades was running out of gas …. pitched well (was effective) for 2 plus innings. As Prielipp & Sands come back over next 5-10 days, who gets demoted from current PEN?
  3. JD-TWINS
    Trade Wallner for whatever - absolutely! Trade all veterans that can play and don’t make the minimum, so “we can see” if young guys can play - I do not understand. If Rodriguez stayed healthy and performed for a consistent stretch, he’d be on the Big Club …… If Jenkins was tearing up AAA pitching he’d be on the Big Club ……. if Gonzalez was hitting anywhere near what he did last year, he’d be on the Big Club. None of them are doing that and that’s how one gets promoted. Fedko didn’t get called up because he was part of some trade or because he was a high draft pick …….. he was hitting so well they had to give him a shot. Roden, same as Fedko. Roden was throw in last year on the Varland for Rojas trade. Roden is nothing special….. he’s a 2026 version of Steve Brye……he’s OK but more than likely, nothing will come of him. IF, and I don’t profess to have a crystal ball, the Labor/Ownership negotiations go as many think, there will be a “spending floor” for each Team. With a handful of Veterans left on the Roster, who is the Team going to pay to get to the floor? Will they pay 1st & 2nd year guys $6M a piece? ……. I saw one proposed level was at $175M. A floor may not come to fruition or the number may be $125M - who knows? I’m just tired of fans at TD, after being disappointed in ownership lack of spending in off-season, acting like having guys on the roster that make $4M - $10M are some anvil around the Team’s neck. I don’t get it at all.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Serious about competing? Can the offense, with Buxton back, continue to score enough to win games? Roden & CJ Culpepper (whatever combination necessary) for A.J. Minter of the Mets. He’s a Free Agent at year end but will be sought after in 10 days or so! This would bump Funderburk and Rogers to 6th and 7th inning appearances. A solid replacement for Banda’s role! (.950 WHIP & 1.80 ERA) Minter - Sands - Paredes - Funderburk or Rojas - Rogers - Morris - Gomez - Nance or Go? ….., Raya is a maybe when rosters expand?
  5. JD-TWINS
    Will Buxton be back and ready this week? Exchange somebody for Roden from AAA. They play Royals & A’s at home…..6 games, after 4 in Cleveland. Split in Cleveland and win 4 of 6 at home and back at .500 and IN it enough to buy. 2 runs Saturday & 1 run Sunday……… need Buxton and others need to perform. Trading Larnach &/or Clemens helps nothing. Trading Bell & a prospect arm & Roden for real PEN help makes sense to open the DH spot for Jeffers/Caratini. No decisions until after the home stand ending July 30.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Who?? Jenkins is 21 & fringe ready at best. Culpepper is hurt. Rodriguez is always hurt. Roden IS up. Gonzalez isn’t exactly on fire.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Certainly there’s a chance for regression. Red Sox & O’s have to play Yankees & Rays………… & each other (10 more times)……… those circumstances will help keep them around .500. Red Sox have won 13 in a row …….. a correction will take place soon, at least a moderate correction.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Roden - 25 yrs ………mediocre ……. throw in with Rojas ……. I have no expectations, hence no concerns. Emma - 23 yrs ……… not available or just not available, year after year …… am tired about hearing of his “promise as a hitter” …… he strikes out 30+% of the time at AAA - doesn’t seem to profile well for The Show! I am sure he cannot contribute if he can only be healthy for 53 games per year ….. that’s his average over pieces of 6 seasons in the Minors. Gonzalez - 22 years …….. “MiLB hitter of the year” for the Twins in ‘25. Has slumped in ‘26 by comparison. If he gets it figured out by end of next summer, that’s good w/me. Hardly “aging”.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Rojas at Age 23 ……..he’s in MLB and in 8 games with a 2.79 ERA to date. Louis Varland at age 23 ……. in MiLB trying to develop a second pitch. Age 24 - 5 games with TWINS and goes 1-1 with a 3.81 ERA Age 25 - 17 games with TWINS and he goes 4-3 with a 4.83 ERA Age 26 - 16 games he was 0-6 and had a 7.71 ERA Age 27 - 74 games … he goes 4-3 with a 2.97 ERA …… should be noted that he pitched in 23 games for the Blue Jays and he had an ERA of 4.94. …….pitched a lot, with pretty decent results in Post Season. Age 28 - he’s flourishing and dominant! His ERA is 1.08 over 45 games with a record of 3-3. The detail is here to show, that even though Louie is from Minnesota, he hasn’t always been fantastic…….. at 23 he was NOT in MLB and at 26 he looked like he might wash out……. How about giving ROJAS a chance to be successful??
  10. JD-TWINS
    I do not see any sound reason to trade Larnach either…….everyone wants a new shiny toy …….. bored with .289/.379OBP & 129 OPS+……. makes zero sense. He’s the perfect DH & occasional OF for ‘27, v. RH pitching. He’s 29 & in the middle of a player’s prime……although ”he’s old” here at TD. “Bring up Emma……bring up Roden…..” Emma is never healthy & available to play and he strikes out at a high rate……… we’ve seen Roden, he’s not bad but he doesn’t move the needle enough to justify trading Larnach either - right? Jenkins isn’t going to play more than one OF spot at a time whenever he’s ready. To me, after drafting Lackey, the Catcher position is set for numerous years. Didn’t have Tait at this time last year ……… he can be traded w/o affecting any grand plan! Roden - Emma - Tait - Mendez ……. all can be traded for NOW help as a starter/reliever/worthwhile position player - whoever is deemed a helpful addition. I would like to hang on to Gonzalez & obviously, Jenkins, Culpepper, & Houston …… Lackey. Anyone else can be traded for some potential impact player. Luis Arraez makes sense! I live in Cincinnati and most times I’ve seen Speer play since ‘23 I’ve wished he was still with the TWINS. He can play 5 positions and is excellent at 1B - decent in LF & 3B - 2B & RF are seldom seen. He was voted Team’s MVP in ‘23. He’s been hot and cold for stretches since then but his flexibility is used so the Reds can get other bats in the line-up & those other bats only play 1 position - not because he doesn’t hit well enough……. he’s got a .770 OPS & 16 HR this year. …… it’ll be his 4th straight year, starting as a Rookie, that he’ll have 20 HR or more & he’s averaged about 85 RBI in his first 3 years……. he strikes out more than he should.
  11. JD-TWINS
    IF Team has to throw Ryan & Bradley last two days v. Texas to get in, absolutely! Scary, but absolutely!
  12. JD-TWINS
    He’s streaky, correct? ……… had -.8WAR 6 weeks ago. He’s been hitting great for 5 weeks or more. Value is high and streaks come to an end. Jeffers & Caratini & Jackson……… one of the first two should be DHing.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Bell MARKET: Pirates …….. O’Neil Cruz went to the 60 day IL. Bell & Roden for a middle of their PEN guy. 🤞
  14. JD-TWINS
    Just saw O’Neil Cruz is on 60 day IL for Pirate Team that’s 3 games over .500. ………. Roden & Bell to Pirates for some decent, middle of Bullpen type of guy……,
  15. JD-TWINS
    Exactly, hence “the need for a good feel”……… he stole 30 last year and has 18 in 91 games played this year……pretty sure he’s in bottom 10% in League for speed……he’s got a feel for sure!
  16. JD-TWINS
    France & Santana are height challenged …… last two Gold Gloves…… one can play well or one can’t play as well. Steve Garvey was OK at 1B. Arraez & Solano could HIT better than any other options so 1B becomes the default spot for guys w/o range and swinging a good bat.
  17. JD-TWINS
    I hear ya - for sure! However, Josh Naylor stole 30 bases last year (no speed)…….. can be done if you have a good feel…….last night he got thrown out being tagged 2-3” from the bag …….. stealing 2nd with two outs to get in scoring position for Martin…… I can live with that one. You’re right, he doesn’t seem very proficient in the running game.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Buxton back soon - Keep Jeffers and make QO. I guess Keaschall in RF or CF (as needed) is here to stay. If Jeffers accepts QO (doubtful) so be it ……. overpaying one guy for one year is fine to have run at playoffs for 2 years. In comparison Lopez is making $22M and won’t throw a pitch in ‘26. The payroll this year is $106M …… should see some moderate increase going forward. If Jeffers declines we get a pick that’s as good as anyone in trade this month! I seriously consider keeping Jackson and playing him every 5th day. Caratini can play a little 1B to spell Lewis (seldom) & DH some. Jeffers can DH when not catching as well. Trade Bell? I think so - tough on Clubhouse but anyone leaving now would be. Roden doesn’t move the needle. Gray is a stretch but probably starts 25% of the time going forward……….obviously, would love Culpepper for Gray ASAP……maybe August 1st? Culpepper for Gray and somebody else for Roden would be welcomed. Bell & youth arm back to Washington for Zach Littell (depth), an innings eater and potential PEN guy??
  19. JD-TWINS
    Keaschall had a .500 OBP in July (I think that timing is right?) and he went 2-3 with a walk last night. Eventually, with his arm, he seems like the everyday guy in LF for a few years!! Really lifted his play over last 6-7 weeks. Lopez out for year - Ober down for a few starts - Abel gone after a handful of starts - Buxton has missed 23 games - Jeffers missed 60 games - No Festa at all ………. Wallner sucked and is essentially gone - Lewis had to be sent down………. a hell of a lot of adversity since Spring Training started!! Tied for 6th playoff spot and .500 after 98 games. Lead AL in runs scored. Five+ runs/game on the road! They “are in it” and there’s no reason to assume anything but 2-3 games over .500 after the next 12 games. ……. gotta play the games but the last 6 of those 12 are v. A’s & Royals, at home. I know it’s not going to be positive every outing but Bailey Ober getting guys out with the “crafty” approach is great to watch!
  20. JD-TWINS
    So, I get your thinking but there probably needs to be a filter on the potential trade candidates from around MLB. Mason Miller to the TWINS is not happening w/o the likes of Jenkins. Hunter Greene isn’t going anywhere…….. I live in Cincinnati and Lodollo has a blister issue, on the IL again to try & determine what to do…..he’s “not available”. There are some guys it makes sense to pursue in your group! ….. I like innings eating Littell from Washington…… he’s starter/reliever & again, can throw innings.
  21. JD-TWINS
    You are right. ….. but, trying to get to Post-season though, so you roll the dice & start him one more time and then he goes to PEN with Prielipp back. Maybe there is an acquisition or two by end of the month & then he’s considered to put at AAA?
  22. JD-TWINS
    Agreed on Paredes and Kreidler. Lewis upside at the plate is tough to ignore …… Caratini had a career month, that’s what Royce is being compared to here. I let Royce play nearly every day. I do not move him around in the infield unless there’s an injury. He’s the guy at 1B. Jeffers probably should be traded, with logic in play, due to the contract situation. IF the organization prefers him to be the bulk catcher for remainder of the season, they need to trade Caratini quickly, at PEAK value. Caratini, because he’s under contract through next year, could probably bring back more than Jeffers. I trade Jeffers & Bell ……. need Caratini for ‘27 season …… for continuity with staff. Team won at slightly higher than .500 with Caratini & Jackson behind the plate. Bell & Jeffers combined salaries total $13.7M for ‘26………..Luis Arraez makes $12 M in ‘26. Make a BIG swing and work out a deal with the Giants! He moves to 2B everyday - Clemens can then play essentially everyday at LF - RF - 1B - DH. With Bell gone, Larnach moves to DH v RH pitching …. Clemens starts in LF v. RH pitching. Caratini can DH v RH pitching when not behind the plate ….. still needs real rest days as well. Keaschall can DH some & Arraez could DH some. Bell might hit .215 for remainder of season & worst case, Arraez may hit .290. Arraez OPS+ is 132. He’s playing a very good 2B. At this point, he’s got 3.1 WAR for the season. His acquisition could offset any Clubhouse letdown from one of the Catchers being traded as well as Bell being traded. Trade Jeffers & Bell to try & attain at least one decent relief arm & trade for Arraez. Arraez can slot behind Lewis (to provide protection) or Buxton.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Keaschall isn’t an infielder and I think most realists don’t think he will be. He seems to be getting squarely back to where he was last year at the plate ……… I think eventually he is the everyday left fielder. Buxton is in OF somewhere for 2+ years. Jenkins as well. Martin & Larnach(DH) Clemens is an OF option too! Emma - Roden can go in trade with Jeffers and Bell, no problem with that…….young arms too. Need contributors for PEN.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Bell can be traded along with a prospect - sweetens the deal for some positive return for Twins………..I’d do the same thing with Jeffers. The offense worked for most of 65 games w/o Jeffers. Better defense behind the plate or at least as good. Need relief help and need to be aggressive with what they give up to get a reasonable return. I like trades to get relief depth and then go get a bat with more consistency than Bell.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Not sure who “all these supposed prospects…..” are - that deserve to be in MLB? Emma is never healthy for more than 6 weeks at a time - Jenkins is doing OK but he is only 21 and could use some more refinement. Culpepper was probably getting close to a call-up & then hurt. Maybe an option by August. Roden is up. Fedko didn’t look ready for much at the MLB level. All the pitching help they could scrape together has been in the Show. My point isn’t to be obstinate but just to say none of these guys need to be traded if they aren’t on 26-man in near future. Guys that force their way on to the roster are obvious from performance at AAA………haven’t seen a hint of greatness at AAA lately.
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