Twins Video
Baseball is a team game. No one position player can have that much of an impact on a game. I would never suggest that the Twins are somehow better without Miguel Sano than they would be with him. Still, there's no denying there are some interesting trends in how they've done without him in the lineup over the years.
Sano made his major league debut in 2015. From that season forward, the Twins have actually been much better in games he doesn't start than they have been in games where he's in the lineup. This is especially true of the past two seasons. Check out the year-by-year numbers:
2018
28-42 (.400) in Sano starts
50-42 (.543) otherwise
2017
56-54 (.509) in Sano starts
29-23 (.558) otherwise
2016
43-71 (.377) in Sano starts
16-32 (.333) otherwise
2015
40-38 (.513) in Sano starts
43-41 (.512) otherwise
The team was slightly better with Sano his first two seasons but has been significantly worse with him in the lineup over the most recent two years. By the way, the numbers above are all courtesy of Baseball-Reference, where you can find team record in appearances stats on a player's game logs.
Add it all up and the Twins have been an even .500 without Sano in the starting lineup, 138-138. Meanwhile, they've been 167-205 (.449 winning percentage) in games he's started. Even with this data in mind, I still refuse to believe the Twins are better off without Sano, but I do think we can confidently say this 2019 team can win without him. They've done it in the past.
What about how the Twins have fared with and without some of the other players over that same time frame? Check this out:
Twins 2015-19
230-243 (.486) in Eddie Rosario starts
75-100 (.429) otherwise
138-142 (.493) in Byron Buxton starts
167-201 (.454) otherwise
Twins since 2016-19
173-201 (.463) in Max Kepler starts
49-63 (.438) otherwise
131-134 (.494) in Jorge Polanco starts
91-130 (.412) otherwise
Again, baseball is a team game, but these are some pretty interesting numbers to look at. The Twins have been significantly better with Rosario, Buxton, Kepler and Polanco in the starting lineup but significantly worse with Sano. Here's all that data crammed into a tidy table:
So what does this actually mean? If you can't tell by now, even I'm having a hard time really committing to this data being truly telling. At the same time, I do feel as though this should ease the minds of any Twins fans who may feel like the sky is falling just because Miguel Sano is injured again.
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