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Posted

something to remember...

 

The Twins will likely sign a few free agents. They have to have a few guys on the roster right now who can be DFAd to make room for those free agents. The guys who were just added today can't be DFAd until sometime in spring training.

 

In other words, if they sign Neal Cotts/Matt Thornton/whoever, they'd likely DFA someone else.

That's what irks me most about the Dean add, I think. Even if it ultimately doesn't impact Rule 5 much, Dean is pretty much locked into that 40-man spot well into next season.

Posted
That's what irks me most about the Dean add, I think. Even if it ultimately doesn't impact Rule 5 much, Dean is pretty much locked into that 40-man spot well into next season.

 

Yup.

Just like when they added Wheeler last year. They should have kept Gilmartin over him. I would bet 7 US dollars Dean is outrighted before September2016.

Posted

So to summarize, the Twins added a power bat and power arms and........Pat Dean(?). Curious, but maybe they think he's found something. Not convinced.

 

Regarding Gilmartin, he was older for a Rule V guy, left-handed, and doesn't have the big fastball, so there was some resemblance to Pat Dean. It's real easy to second-guess, but I don't feel real bad that Gilmartin didn't stay with the Twins.

Posted

IMO Wimmers might be the Gilmartin of this year. He might stink as a starter but I think he has the pitches to be a good bullpen piece. Will be interesting to see who gets plucked.

Posted

Of the 38 players currently on the 40-man the one I have the most trouble understanding is Logan Darnell. Yes, he's left-handed, but that's about the only significant plus I see. And he's going to be 27 years old in February. I'd have waived him before Pinto or Achter. Is there something the Twins FO sees that nobody else does?

Posted

 

Working on that, but the Twins have potentially 5-6 MLB-ready pitchers unprotected (Jones, Williams, Johnson, Peavy, Baxendale, Wimmers, Lee) Jorge who someone might pull a Santana, and  Michael, Rodriguez (not the son of Pudge or Jairo) from the hitter side.  That's 10 here. 

Major league ready?? I would disagree on any of them being ML ready(Jones would be closest IMO).....Peavy wasnt even protected last yr for the AA version of Rule 5...............I do agree that it is possible that Jorge could get the Santana treatment if some team trully believe he has big upside.

Posted

IMO the most likely Rule 5 pickups off the Twins is Wimmers and Michael(former 1st Rd picks), and I dont have a quibble with who they protected for the most part, but I would personally kept Wimmers and dropped O'Rourke.

Posted

Not saying Gilmartin is, or ever will be a stud bullpen arm, but I think the Twins made a big mistake not protecting last year. Dean is LH, breathing, and has reached AAA with success. Hard not to keep someone like that for at least another season to see if he can fit a role. I guarantee someone else would have felt that way and snatched him up rather quickly.

 

I can't really find fault with those protected overall, though I am somewhat surprised. So many A ball arms that you would think would be safe. And I can't fault them for protecting Melotakis...but he's coming back from TJ and not sure anyone could afford to stash him.

 

While not a shocker, the disappointing part is Pinto. This is a mystery that I just don't get. He was productive through the minors, making somewhat slow but steady progress. Solid bat. Not so great footwork that needed polish, but big arm. He comes up to finish the 2013 season and becomes the Twins primary catcher.

 

He hits: .342/ .398/ .566/ .963 in 21 games, 76 AB with 5Dbls & 4HR & 12 RBI.

 

He allowed 9 WP which is terrible, but so was most of the staff. He caught 5 of 11 BS.

 

I know his '13 numbers were out of the box, but still, they flashed hitting potential we saw in the minors. And now he isn't even protected by the Twins? Wow...what a hard and disappointing and unlucky fall.

Provisional Member
Posted

I can't fault them for protecting Melotakis...but he's coming back from TJ and not sure anyone could afford to stash him.

It HELPS the stashing team if Melotakis spends all but 90 days on the DL.

The stashing team can replace him with a better player for all the time he is on the DL, so they will have 25 usable payers all the time he spends on the DL.

Posted

I understand the dean move. He's useful since he is lefthanded. He can spot start, but a back up long man or fill in if a couple Left ganders go down.

Posted

Levi Michael will put up better MLB stats next year than Buxton, it sounds dumb now but Ima be bold bc I'm mad were losing him

Are you taking bets? I'd love to have 6 months rent free.

Posted

 

Of the 38 players currently on the 40-man the one I have the most trouble understanding is Logan Darnell. Yes, he's left-handed, but that's about the only significant plus I see. And he's going to be 27 years old in February. I'd have waived him before Pinto or Achter. Is there something the Twins FO sees that nobody else does?

 

He was a good prospect and he turned it on again last August when he was put back in the starting rotation in Rochester. Pitched remarkably well. CAn be better. As a relieer, could  be even better.

Posted

 

Working on that, but the Twins have potentially 5-6 MLB-ready pitchers unprotected (Jones, Williams, Johnson, Peavy, Baxendale, Wimmers, Lee) Jorge who someone might pull a Santana, and  Michael, Rodriguez (not the son of Pudge or Jairo) from the hitter side.  That's 10 here. 

 

OK, sure... but some of those have zero chance of getting selected. In fact, I would say Dereck Rodriguez has a significantly better chance of being selected in the Rule 5 than Reynaldo.

 

The guys I see as at-risk are Zack Jones, Corey Williams, Levi Michael and Felix Jorge. 

Posted (edited)

. Dean is LH, breathing, and has reached AAA with success. Hard not to keep someone like that for at least another season to see if he can fit a role. I guarantee someone else would have felt that way and snatched him up rather quickly.

.

Kris Johnson was given up for a month of Morneau, Andrew Albers was free last winter, Aaron Thompson... there are limits to the value of "left handed and breathing." Being worthy of opportunities does not necessarily equal getting a guaranteed 25 man roster spot for an entire season which is what Rule 5 selection entails.

 

Dean was Rule 5 eligible the past two winters and not selected. He might be older now than any non-minor-league-free-agent Rule 5 pick ever. His AAA success and his entire minor league career has almost entirely been pitch-to-contact, even vs LHB.

 

Still want to guarantee he would have been selected in the Rule 5 draft?

 

Even if he was, would he be missed? He might be no better than the 3rd left hander in line for promotion from Rochester, either starting or relieving.

Edited by spycake
Provisional Member
Posted

What's good for the goose, is good for the left gander. :)

IMO Dean won't be in MLB long enough for anyone to take a gander at him.
Posted

 

I'm really disappointed they protected Rosario and Dean over Michael... Michael will be picked up for sure. When healthy he hits good and plays solid D, perfect for a rule 5 guy. Rosario making it all season in a MLB bullpen seems unlikely along with Dean being 26, he's in the prime of his career already.. Landa throws 100 so I can understand a guy like him being picked up. Just so disappointed I was starting to like Michael. Have to think Jones is a risk as well.

Levi Michael wouldn't be able to crack the Twins lineup, but he might get some interest as a utility guy, then eventually work his way into a starter's job at 2nd base. Too many injuries, other guys passed him up.

Posted

Guys I'm pretty sure you can trade a rule 5 pick after the rule 5 draft....isn't that how we got Johan Santana and 50,000 for Camp....

Provisional Member
Posted

" Being worthy of opportunities does not necessarily equal getting a guaranteed 25 man roster spot for an entire season which is what Rule 5 selection entails.

 

Even if he was, would he be missed? He might be no better than the 3rd left hander in line for promotion from Rochester, either starting or relieving.

As an outsider to the Twins decision-making, I am going to take a guess on the Dean decision.

Sometimes you reward the guy who out-works all of your prospects, because all of your prospects will learn that hard work often results in rewards. THAT MESSAGE to ALL of your prospects is worth more than the 41st man on the roster who isn't working hard enough.

Posted

Wimmers also could be picked and stashed, but have not seen his medicals and maybe the Twins feel he will never make it back from TJ surgery.  Bard and Williams are the two I see the Twins losing. 

One other note, I believe the Pirates lost 7 players one year somewhere back in the 2000's.

Posted

Even if not picked, Jones must be viewed lowly in the eyes of the Twins.

 

The good thing is that the Twins are protecting most of the high velocity arms.

 

I think Dean is a starter in reserve insurance policy in AAA next year.

 

Remember the Twins will need to remove players from the 40 next year when Berrios, Burdi, Reed, or other non-40s get promoted.

Provisional Member
Posted

One other note, I believe the Pirates lost 7 players one year somewhere back in the 2000's.

2003 Rule 5 draft[edit]

 

"the Pirates lost five prospects from their minor league system with the first six picks in the 2003 Rule 5 draft, even though they had unused spots on their 40-man roster and could have protected several of the players if they had chosen to do so. Chris Shelton, who had recently been honored as the team's minor league player of the year, went with the first pick, and he was followed in short order by Rich Thompson, Frank Brooks, Jeff Bennett, and José Bautista.[1] Baseball executives present at the draft laughed openly at Littlefield's embarrassment, and the laughter intensified after the Pirates declined to make a pick of their own.[1] The Cincinnati Reds, picking seventh, had all five Pirate players listed on their draft board and were frustrated to see them all go too soon, and an anonymous executive from another American League team said that his team had also planned to take a Pirate prospect, refraining only because in his words, "There wasn't anything left."[1

 

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dave_Littlefield

Posted (edited)

As an outsider to the Twins decision-making, I am going to take a guess on the Dean decision.

Sometimes you reward the guy who out-works all of your prospects, because all of your prospects will learn that hard work often results in rewards. THAT MESSAGE to ALL of your prospects is worth more than the 41st man on the roster who isn't working hard enough.

It is not a question of Dean vs another prospect for me, I think they did a fair job protecting otherwise. But Dean's roster spot would probably be better used on a waiver claim, a FA, etc, sometime in the next year, rather than rewarding a low upside guy who was unlikely to be claimed just so he can be AAA depth.

 

Heck, I doubt most of the relevant unprotected prospects have barely if ever even been Pat Dean's teammate, much less have an understanding why he was protected over them. The last guy on the 40 man is a much more abstract position than even, say, the last guy on the 25 man. (Where the Twins have had no issues allocating the spot for reasons other than talent/merit too, I might add.)

Edited by spycake
Posted

I think Dean is a starter in reserve insurance policy in AAA next year.

 

Remember the Twins will need to remove players from the 40 next year when Berrios, Burdi, Reed, or other non-40s get promoted.

So we can just do whatever we want with the 40-man spot in the meantime? Personally, in the meantime, I'd rather use it on upside or attempting to find a guy who might stick long term, rather than just subbing it for whatever minor league FA we usually sign to be AAA starter insurance.

Posted (edited)

In regards to the Pirates losine players in the December 03 draft

Rich Thompson, Freddie Brooks were returned

Chris Shelton, minimal playing time

Jeff Bennett was the mop up man for the Brewers

4 out of the 5 say the Pirates did not lose anything but gained revenue.

Jose Bautista was with a lot of differetn teams in 04, ended up back with the Pirates, and still did not develop for a few more years

Edited by old nurse
Provisional Member
Posted

Heck, I doubt most of the relevant unprotected prospects have barely if ever even been Pat Dean's teammate, much less have an understanding why he was protected over them.

1) They have all been to the Twins Minor League Spring Training camp for three to five years from late February to early April where:

2) Baseball players often speak to each other at batting cages, bullpens, team meetings, pitchers meetings, meals, workouts, weight lifting, bull-**** sessions and local establishments.

3) They often speak to each other about "why were you and I passed over for THAT guy?"

4) They all speak to their own teammates and often on the subject of the teammates' teammates.

5) During ST,usually they talk to other players more frequently, than to their own family and friends.

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