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This offseason Colon signed a one-year, $12.5 million contract with the Atlanta Braves but was released on July 4 after compiling a 2-8 record with a 8.14 ERA. Clearly the results have not been pleasant but Colon is virtually the same pitcher he was in the prior season with the Mets when he finished 15-8 with a 3.43 ERA in 191 innings.
According to Fangraphs.com’s hard-hit rate, Colon’s marks stayed nearly the same (35.4% in 2016 and 32.4% in 2017) but his new defense failed to convert balls in play into outs at the same frequency as the previous season, as his BABIP ballooned from .291 to .360. He’s also be unable to keep runners from scoring as his left-on-base rate has fallen from 76.5% in 2016 to 48.2% this season.
Why might he be more successful in Minnesota? It may come down to defense.
Opponents posted a .314 batting average on ground balls against Colon, well above the MLB average of .239. It stands to reason that with a better infield and a better plan of defense, Colon should be able to keep some of those hits off his ledger. When it comes to infields, the move between Atlanta (-10 runs saved) and Minnesota (-6 runs saved) is basically a wash however the Twins have been implementing more defensive shifts than the Braves. Of course, Colon has also had a noticeable uptick in free passes issued, as his walk rate grew from 4.2% last year to 6.7% this year. A very good mark, yet more baserunners nonetheless.
Once someone who was reaching triple digits at a young age, now Colon can barely break glass with his velocity - not even averaging Back To The Future velo on his fastball anymore (under 88). Colon has been using movement and pitch variation to keep major league hitters at bay. When operating correctly, his two-seam fastball is a weapon to behold.
https://twitter.com/ParkerHageman/status/781609637514612736.
Colon reportedly picked up a grip from Greg Maddux which allows for the added movement. Essentially, the right-hander will aim at a left-handed batter’s hip and watch the pitch spin back over the zone as the hitter flinches.
https://twitter.com/JohnCurtiss43/status/883547762092068864
You never know what might be left in the tank in a pitcher at this age but with Colon, a lot of his more recent success was based on guile. It is a low-risk maneuver for the Twins and one that could add some instant depth to the rotation at a low cost as they attempt to stay in contention in the season’s second-half.







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