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The Twins entered Sunday's game in a strange spot. They have pitched pretty well thus far this season, but their top players have been either injured (Carlos Correa, Royce Lewis Jhoan Durán) or mediocre (Pablo López, Byron Buxton). Just when everything was at its bleakest following an 8-2 trouncing by the Tigers in Detroit on Friday in which Correa sustained his oblique injury, the club went ahead and swept a doubleheader Saturday. You would be forgiven for thinking the outlook felt very much like 2021 and 2018, but with a victory today, the Twins would get their record to .500 and take a four-game series against (arguably) their most legitimate competitor in the division. Well, it looked good for a while.
Box Score:
Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober: 6+ IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K (84 Pitches, 58 Strikes, 69%)
Home Runs: Christian Vázquez (1)
Bottom 3 WPA: Griffin Jax (-.543), Caleb Thielbar (-.200), Carlos Santana (-.081)
Win Probability Chart (Via Fangraphs):
For Sunday's game, the Tigers turned to reclamation project Jack Flaherty and the Twins started Bailey Ober. Flaherty hasn't been the same since he battled arm troubles following his dominant 2019 season. Hopefully, people haven't forgotten what Flaherty did the second half of that year as a 23-year-old: 15 starts with a 0.91 ERA, as he led his Cardinals to the postseason, He's never been near that level before or after that, with injuries and a drop in velocity as well as command turning him into a mercurial fifth starter. The Orioles traded for him at the deadline last year hoping he could become 85 percent of what he was for those magical 15 starts, and the Tigers spent $13 million this past offseason hoping the same. So far, he's disappointed on all fronts.
His slider is still decent and his velocity is mid-90s, but the Twins quickly showed how important command is in this league. They made Flaherty battle during the first inning before Willi Castro struck out on a ball inside to end a two-out, two-on threat.
They got to him in the second, running a lot of deep counts, drawing walks and finally getting a bases-loaded hit off the bat of Ryan Jeffers. He then gave up a home run to Christian Vázquez, which seemed to irk the starter. His velocity jumped to the high 90s after that, and he simply out-stuffed the Twins from that point forward.
On the other side, Ober was trying to build off on impressive outing against the Dodgers last Monday in which his command was excellent and his cutter looked like a weapon. He served up a leadoff double to wunderkind Riley Greene, but settled down from there, inducing pop-ups galore. Ober, when he is going well, can settle into a rhythm where he lulls the batter to sleep, eliciting a ton of swings on pitches they just can't quite get the barrel on. For example, the bottom of the fifth inning took approximately 35 seconds for Ober to retire the side.
He had a ten-pitch at-bat with Spencer Torkelson leading off the seventh, and after the Tigers' first baseman doubled off the left-center-field wall, Ober's day was done. Brock Stewart entered and promptly walked Kerry Carpenter, which was not at all intentional, but considering Carpenter has been the Tigers' most consistent hitter for a couple of years now, it may have been a blessing in disguise. Two grounders later, Stewart had cleaned up what mess there was, preserving Ober's line.
The Twins' lineup was fairly silent outside of the exploits of their two catchers. They let Flaherty off the hook while he settled into his rhythm, and didn't get a chance at the Tigers' bullpen until the seventh. It appeared that early on, they were attacking pitches early in counts. Later, they tried to work more counts but by then Flaherty's stuff was playing up.
Caleb Thielbar made his long-awaited return to start the eighth, and it wasn't pretty. He got Twins killer Matt Vierling to pop out, but then served up a home run to the free-swinging Javier Báez; a sharp grounder that Castro misplayed for a hit; and then another base hit to put the go-ahead run at the plate. Griffin Jax entered and induced a grounder from Mark Canha that Kyle Farmer misplayed into a double, allowing the tying run to score.
In a further homage to his 2023 bad-luck struggles, Jax then allowed a bloop hit to Torkelson to score the go-ahead run.
The Good:
Ober's form is starting to resemble his mid-2023 form, where for a brief moment, he was the Twins' best starter. Jeffers looks well-suited to the two spot in the lineup. I would never have believed that a week ago. Carlos Santana took some good at-bats, walking to start the second-inning rally and lining out sharply to Greene in left.
The Bad:
Castro took some brutal at-bats today, swinging at balls and looking at strikes. Perhaps his big home run Saturday was much ado about nothing. He also made a key misplay on a sharp grounder (ruled a hit) as the Tigers staged their comeback in the eighth. Thielbar was throwing strikes and his stuff looked fine, but it was certainly not the debut he wanted.
What’s Next: Louie Varland (0-2, 9.00 ERA) faces lefty Cole Irvin (0-1, 8.10 ERA) as the Twins look to bounce back against one of the more fungible lefty starters in the AL. The Orioles were a trendy pick to contend for a World Series, but the reality is their lineup, starting rotation and particularly their bullpen, have pretty big holes. They called up number one overall prospect Jackson Holliday last week as they looked to channel some of their 2023 magic.
Postgame Interviews:
Bullpen Usage Chart:
| WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | TOT | |
| Bowman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Funderburk | 11 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 0 | 43 |
| Stewart | 13 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
| Jax | 16 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 45 |
| Sands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 28 |
| Jackson | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 23 |
| Okert | 16 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 29 |
| Thielbar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 |







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