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The winter meetings came and went and all that came out of the Twins’ camp were rumors and speculation regarding potential targets and offers made to free agents who signed elsewhere. This is, of course, a part of the monotonous cycle of free agency as not every day or week or month can be exciting regarding the moves being made. A few moves have been made but most of them have been foundational in nature and not transactions that catapult the team into the upper echelon of baseball.
Before I go further, I want to make something quite clear; I have mostly been a fan of what the front office headed by Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have done since taking over after the worst season in Twins’ history. They have worked wonders in upgrading the minor league system so that players have more personally-tailored coaching and are better suited for major league play when they get the call. They have also been incredibly pragmatic in making moves with the future in mind while avoiding some of the pitfalls that come with being overzealous in the free agent market as a team looking to right the ship. I feel like I have to get this out of the way because sometimes criticism is mistaken for an outright dislike of someone/something as a whole when that isn’t the case.
So, with all of this being said, I have one major point of anxiety that worries me regarding how the rest of the offseason will go.
Almost a year ago was when Thad Levine dropped his somewhat infamous quotes regarding when a team should make big moves in which he used analogies that included both open windows and neck stomping. The comments didn’t go over particularly well with Twins fans who looked at the remaining free agents who could have impacted the team while also eyeballing the payroll drop from 2018 into 2019 and couldn’t quite understand the hesitation.
This type of risk-averse thinking regarding transactions is nothing new in this landscape of baseball but luckily for Levine, the 2019 team did pretty well so his comments can be somewhat forgiven.
The thing is, we so far have yet to see this promise to eventually make big moves actually pan out. The Twins had their first shot at proving themselves last season at the trade deadline and acquired two relievers (albeit good ones, at least at the time) when it was painfully apparent that they needed one more starting pitcher as well. We all know how that ended so I don’t think that I need to dwell on this specific instance too much but this decision gave me reasons to pause. Levine specifically stated that they prefer to make big moves when their team is in the driver’s seat, so what gives? Was the position they were in at the deadline not good enough?
Many people will point to the Pohlads and their notorious cheapness but I don’t believe that to be the case in these situations. They offered 100 million dollars to Zack Wheeler and Darren Wolfson reported that ownership had no limits regarding their chase for Madison Bumgarner (personally, I think holding back on going five years was smart but that’s a different topic). Both misses hurt but both players also seemed pretty dead-set on joining the locations of each team respectively, so some slack can be cut there. But when will the reasons for a player not joining the team finally end and the script gets flipped? It almost feels like never at this point.
This inability to walk the walk is where I have a great level of anxiety regarding the rest of the offseason. They balked once when it came to making a big splash and I tend to believe that executives are consistent in how they make moves. Being gun-shy once would lead me to believe that they will be hesitant once more in actually fulfilling their promises and in a division where the second-place team is literally begging to be buried, this would be a major mistake.
The mindset of a lot of front offices is almost always focused on the downside of a move. They look at a player like Hyun-Jin Ryu and think “well, what happens if his injury-prone past continues and he declines rapidly” instead of thinking “what if he’s over these issues and we can snag a pitcher who finished second in Cy Young voting”? We can debate the possibilities of both outcomes and weigh them to reach the optimal outcome, but is that really the way to go about it? Didn’t we just see two teams in the World Series who both took tremendous risks to get there?
The exercise in self-discipline in the Twins front office so far regarding these types of moves has been overbearing. Most of us don’t live our lives as purely utilitarian beings with no need to give in to the enjoyments that life has to offer. We like to live a little and do something that might be bad for us because it just feels so damn good to do it in the moment- that’s one of the major characteristics of being a human.
With the way the Twins are set up, they can afford to take on a little risk and act in a way that a fan would. They already have Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler locked up long term and most every other major core player is either pre-arb or in early stages of arbitration so they will never be cheaper than they are currently. There will never be an absolutely perfect opportunity to make these kinds of moves so to wait for such a fairy-tale opening would be foolish.
The payroll is low, the minor league talent is deep, and the major league team is the best it has been in a long time. Now is absolutely the time to step on the gas and it is completely up to you guys in the front office to do it. The offseason isn’t over yet but the chances to make the impact moves they promised seemingly diminish with each passing day. So, impress me, do something out of your comfort level and change the future of the Twins forever.
What do you think? Do the Twins need to own up to what they've been promising? Leave a comment and join the discussion.
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