Twins Video
Jhoan Durán has been a force in the Minnesota Twins' bullpen ever since his 2022 debut. His 2.59 ERA and 31.9% strikeout rate over three seasons showcase his dominance, and his triple-digit velocity has made him one of the most exciting pitchers in baseball. Durán, who regularly touches 103-104 MPH, quickly cemented himself as one of the most electric arms in baseball.
However, with all his success, it's worth considering if this offseason might be the right time for the Twins to explore trading him.
One of the biggest reasons for this line of thinking is that Durán's performance, while still excellent, has shown some signs of decline. His ERA has crept up in each of his three seasons, from 1.86 as a rookie to 2.45 in 2023 and a less sparkling 3.64 in 2024. His strikeout rate has stepped down from 33.5% to 32.9% to 29.0%. At the same time, his fastball velocity, though still among the best in the league, dipped from an average of 101.8 MPH in 2023 to 100.5 MPH in 2024. These are still impressive numbers, but the drop in both effectiveness and velocity is something that has to raise concerns about how long Durán can continue to dominate the league.
Beyond his performance, the Twins are in an interesting position with their bullpen depth. Griffin Jax has emerged as the most dominant arm in the Minnesota relief corps, and other dynamic hurlers are knocking on the door. Cole Sands took a significant leap in 2024, turning into a reliable option in the late innings. Louie Varland could be transitioning to a full-time bullpen role, where he has already flashed his potential as a back-end piece. Add in the potential returns of Jorge Alcalá, Justin Topa, and Brock Stewart, and the Twins have a wealth of options.
That depth makes Durán a valuable and viable trade chip. Even with his slight dip in performance, Durán remains an elite arm, ranking near the top of the league in fastball velocity, whiff percentage, and strikeout-to-walk ratio. While fans might be concerned about his rising ERA or declining velocity, his stock remains relatively high. Trading him now could allow the Twins to get ahead of a potential downturn, a risk that always looms with relievers, who are known for their volatility.
Look no further than the 2023 trade deadline for proof of what a top-tier reliever can bring back in a deal. The Padres dealt Tanner Scott, a 30-year-old on an expiring contract, for a slew of high-upside prospects. Now, imagine what the Twins could fetch for a 26-year-old Durán, who is set to make around $3 million next year and is only entering his arbitration years.
And that's another factor in the trade discussion: salary. While $3 million is not a huge number in isolation, the Twins' bullpen is full of arms set to make similar amounts, and that adds up quickly. With a payroll that likely won't be increasing, the Twins will need to find ways to cut costs to make upgrades elsewhere. Trading Duran, who will be the most expensive bullpen arm, might be the most logical way to achieve that.
So, while it might seem shocking to even consider trading the triple-digit terror, it's a move the Twins should seriously explore this offseason. With a deep bullpen, rising salary concerns, and the potential for a significant return, now might be the perfect time for the Twins to cash in on one of their most valuable assets.
How would you feel about the Twins trading Jhoan Durán? Would it be a savvy move to bolster the future of the team, or too big a gamble? Let us know in the comments!
Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis
- nclahammer, Clare and tarheeltwinsfan
-
3







Recommended Comments
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now