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When the Twins took a chance on Nick Gordon with the fifth pick of the 2014 draft out of high school, the Twins were betting on his speed, hit tool, solid arm, and baseball pedigree eventually making him their everyday shortstop. At times, it has looked like he could become a major contributor, but a slow start this year has meant his Twins’ career is at a crossroads. After a long and winding path to the majors, his time in Minnesota could be nearing an end, but he deserves a chance to show that he can contribute to a winning ballclub, as he did for most of 2022.
Health Struggles
Gordon’s minor league career was up and down. He was always above average as a hitter, but he didn’t really show the star ability the Twins hoped he would. Gordon’s lack of power meant he struggled to sustain success throughout minor league seasons. The star breakout the Twins hoped he’d show when they drafted him never really happened, and he fell down prospect lists accordingly.
Beyond that, Gordon had chronic gastrointestinal issues that made gaining enough weight extremely difficult. In 2020, as Gordon finally seemed close to making the majors in the shortened season, Gordon had an elongated and severe case of Covid-19. He continuously tested positive, so he was unable to get to the alternate site with the team. Covid-19 also compounded his gastrointestinal issues, and they could not get them under control. He had no appetite, causing him to lose 15 pounds. He couldn’t really eat or sleep, and it was a very difficult time for his career- missing what seemed to be a pivotal season.
Despite his prior underperformance and horrible medical struggles, Gordon finally made it to the majors in 2021. That season could have been better for Gordon, as he posted a 79 wRC+- meaning he was a 21 below-average offensively. Gordon split his time between the outfield and middle infield and was a mostly acceptable defender at all positions. While he wasn’t productive, after everything he went through and after being written off by most, playing in the major leagues was a massive accomplishment for Gordon.
2022 Breakout
As incredible as it was that Gordon made it to the majors, the tenacity that fueled him to work through his on-field and health struggles helped Gordon finally be a productive player with his bat.
It took a while for Gordon to click in 2022, just like it did for his entire career to click. He had an 80 wRC+ in both April and May, and it seemed he might be designated for assignment. Being out of options, his time with the Twins appeared to be nearing its end. But the Twins stuck with him, and he kept working with hitting coach David Popkins, and in June, things changed.
Gordon posted a 127 wRC+ and 128 wRC+ in June and July, followed by a sensational 151 wRC+ in August. This offensive explosion was shocking and one of the stories of the season. Beyond that, Gordon's bat was critical to the Twins maintaining their lead in the AL Central in August. His batted-ball data was great, so it seemed unlikely the production was just smoke and mirrors. The Twins and their fans hoped that his breakout would carry over to the 2023 season.
2023 Struggles and Playing Time
To start the 2023 season, Gordon was on the strong side of a platoon at second base, filling in for Jorge Polanco. The Twins seemed to believe in him in that role, hoping he’d repeat his solid 125 wRC+ against righties from 2022 - or even improve on it. But that just has not happened- although this could be somewhat related to a high ankle sprain he suffered in spring training.
Gordon has basically only faced righties, and his hitting has been atrocious. He’s gone 6 for 52, with just two doubles one walk, and a triple, good for a hideous .324 OPS. But it’s only been 52 at-bats, and he started slowly last year, too, although he wasn't this bad. Further, his expected metrics indicate he has been extremely unlucky. His expected batting average based on the quality of his contact is .254, a whopping .139 points lower than his actual .115 AVG.
He hasn’t hit for enough power or walked enough, so he would still be a below average hitter, but not one of the worst in baseball. In a typical situation, teams would let a player work through these struggles - especially if they had a really solid season in the year prior. Teams, especially the Twins, know that they shouldn't take so much from a small sample size.
But Gordon has not received this benefit of the doubt. He has started just two games in 13 days, including his 4/26 start against the Yankees. As much as Twins fans like Edouard Julien, it was striking that he got opportunities to platoon against righties over Gordon, despite barely ever playing in AAA in his career. It’s also notable that Max Kepler (who admittedly is getting on track) and Jose Miranda have been bad too, but the Twins have run them out there just about every day they’ve been available. Given that Gordon was their best left-handed slugger last year (a low bar), it’s strange he’s not given the same chances to get right.
What’s Next for Gordon?
The Twins will soon face roster crunches, with Kyle Farmer and Alex Kirilloff coming back from their injuries in the coming weeks. Gordon is out of options, so he would need to be designated for assignment to make room for one of them. If DFA’d, he’s unlikely to clear waivers, so that would be the end of his time with the Twins.
It’s likely that Willi Castro would be optioned before Gordon is DFA’d, especially given that he can go to AAA without clearing waivers. But if the Twins remain healthy (a big if), there will be two roster spots needed for Kirilloff and Farmer. If Gordon is not playing, it makes little sense to keep him around.
Gordon has worked so hard to produce at the big-league level, and he provided energy and enthusiasm when the Twins needed it. He also enthusiastically learned to play the outfield to provide needed positional flexibility. The Twins letting him go without giving him a chance to get his bat going again would be a mistake. Hopefully, they will work to get him back on track.
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