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  • Rays 7, Twins 0: Twins Take an Extra Off-Day in St. Pete


    Steven Trefz

    The Twins got to town a day early in order to rest and to prepare for playing the best team in baseball. They should have stayed another day on the beach. The Rays are who we feared they were, and here's how the game went down.

    Image courtesy of Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score:
    SP: Louie Varland: 6 IP 7 H 7 ER 4 BB 5 SO (90 Pitches, 58 Strikes, 64%)
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA: Varland (-0.223), Donovan Solano (-0.072), Willi Castro (-0.046)

    Win Probability Chart (Via Fangraphs):

    chart(11).png.f91adc5dd7c4817738eb02868a5dcb77.png

    The Twins entered Tuesday's clash with the Rays with some lineup adjustments. Carlos Correa was back to batting third after sitting out the Guardians series with planter fasciitis. Byron Buxton headed to the injured list, and Trevor Larnach met the team in St. Petersburg to take his place in the lineup. They faced a stiff challenge, with Zach Eflin and his .99 WHIP and 7-1 record. Meanwhile, Louie Varland attempted to keep the good times rolling having won three of his last four starts.

    Sometimes the Pitchers are Just Really Good
    In the first three innings:
    Eflin - 0 H, 1 BB, 5 K - 45 pitches
    Varland - 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K - 34 pitches

    Those commentating on the game professionally spun the angle that Eflin and Varland were nearly unhittable and on top of their game. Those commenting on the game from the Twins fan-zone were convinced that the Twins offense will never score again for at least a decade, maybe more.

    Sometimes One of the Offenses is Just Really Good
    In the top of the fourth, Correa belted a one-out double, 108 mph+. A Donavan Solano warning track fly ball, and a Larnach strike out later, the threat goes unredeemed.

    In the bottom of the fourth, the Rays displayed how offense works. Former Twins prospect (aka the other guy traded for Kenta Maeda) Luke Raley led off with a foul ball that ended up being called a triple. Could the Rays cash in where the Twins failed? That answer took all of four pitches. Randy Arozarena singled to center, and it was 1-0 Rays.

    Harold Ramirez followed that up with a walk. And then Randy Arozarena took the extra base on a fly out, and the Rays had runners at the corners with one down. Would the Rays cash in again? That answer only took three pitches, and Christian Bethancourt singled to where Michael A. Taylor and Correa weren't, and Ramirez took the extra base. 2-0 Rays with runners at the corners and one down.

    Do the Rays cash in again? Of course they do. The Ballys booth called it, and the Twins were caught flat-footed, as newly called up Vidal Brujan used the safety squeeze bunt to make the score 3-0. 

    Seven batters, three hits, one walk, and no home runs later and the Twins were in trouble.

    Pleading in the Fifth
    Remember in that last sentence how I pointed out that the Rays don't always need to hit home runs to score runs. Well they do that too, in fact they came into the game leading the majors with 103 home runs. Raley confirmed this statistical fact with a 108.6 mph, 450 foot cannon shot to center with Wander Franco trotting on home in front of him. One walk, one home run, 5-0 Rays after five.

    Live to Fight Another Day, or Fight to Win Today?
    Who needs former Twins that were traded as surplus from our stacked lineup, and are currently lighting up scoreboards? We have...ummmm...

    Nothing. The Twins had no answer. Eflin took his team into the seventh, the bullpen took care of the Twins in easy fashion. Meanwhile, Varland also took his team into the seventh, but Jose Siri greeted him there with a 110.8 mph, 457ft blast to make it a 6-0 score. Franco continued to rake, setting up another run with a double which a ground ball delivered upon. 7-0.

    Game, set, match to the superior team. 

    Sometimes the Twins Offense is Just Really Bad
    In the last 11 games, the Twins offense has been held to two runs or less seven times, going 1-6 in those games. In the other four games, the offense feasted to the tune of seven or more runs in each game and went 4-0. The overall record says 5-6, but does that really tell the story of how the team did?

    Will an AL Central division title, with a barely above .500 record, where half of the games are unwatchable be enough for everyone?

    What’s Next:
    The Twins send RHP Pablo Lopez (3-3, 4.54 ERA) and a well-rested bullpen out for the second game of the series in hopes that the Twins offense has another one of their seven run outings. The Rays annouced after tonight's game that righty reliever Shawn Armstrong (0-0, 0.00 ERA in 2 innings in 2023) will be their opener. First pitch is scheduled for 5:40pm CDT. 

    Postgame Interviews

    Bullpen Usage Chart

      SAT SUN MON TUE TUE TOT
    J. López 31 0 0 0 0 31
    Pagán 4 0 0 0 20 24
    Morán 19 0 0 0 0 19
    De León 0 12 0 0 0 12
    Jax 0 11 0 0 0 11
    Thielbar 0 10 0 0 0 10
    Durán 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Stewart 0 0 0 0 0 0
     
     
     

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    6 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    Really difficult to take seriously a team putting Donovan Solano in the 4 hole

    That's because they're not a serious ballclub, and they haven't been for awhile.

    I know it's still a bit early. I know I'm too negative. But this is not a team I can see winning a division. Not even this division.

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    Dad to his kindergartener: “How was baseball after school?”

    Kindergartener to his dad: “I was doing fine until the older kids got out.”

    Does it just seem a little bit like that watching the game tonight?  Oh well, let’s get ‘em tomorrow.

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    And it gets worse going forward.

    Between strikeouts and injuries, Byron Albatross provides little value and is being paid $15m per year for another half-decade. Carlos Albatross makes $33.3m for a similar time and mostly just strikes out and grounds into double plays.

    This team has two strikes against it for the next five years. And that's not counting the non-trivial likelihood that the $20+m that Pablo Lopez makes starting in two years ends up paying for disappointing performances, or even for a pitcher sidelined by injuries.

    Twins fans had better hope that their kids all turn into superstars (and several might!), because they won't be able to afford anything more expensive.

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    1 hour ago, LastOnePicked said:

    That's because they're not a serious ballclub, and they haven't been for awhile.

    I know it's still a bit early. I know I'm too negative. But this is not a team I can see winning a division. Not even this division.

    I could not play for this team and their plan ...

    Rocco sending varland out for the seventh when stats say the seventh inning has been the twins worst in allowing runs  , I like varland but this was not his best game  , he looked alittle frazzled out there after giving up 5 runs , 4 walks is to many for a pitcher that throws strikes  ...

     

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    38 minutes ago, PDX Twin said:

    And it gets worse going forward.

    Between strikeouts and injuries, Byron Albatross provides little value and is being paid $15m per year for another half-decade. Carlos Albatross makes $33.3m for a similar time and mostly just strikes out and grounds into double plays.

    This team has two strikes against it for the next five years. And that's not counting the non-trivial likelihood that the $20+m that Pablo Lopez makes starting in two years ends up paying for disappointing performances, or even for a pitcher sidelined by injuries.

    Twins fans had better hope that their kids all turn into superstars (and several might!), because they won't be able to afford anything more expensive.

    They won't if they keep them in St. Paul.

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    On 6/7/2023 at 11:48 AM, PDX Twin said:

    And it gets worse going forward.

    Between strikeouts and injuries, Byron Albatross provides little value and is being paid $15m per year for another half-decade. Carlos Albatross makes $33.3m for a similar time and mostly just strikes out and grounds into double plays.

    This team has two strikes against it for the next five years. And that's not counting the non-trivial likelihood that the $20+m that Pablo Lopez makes starting in two years ends up paying for disappointing performances, or even for a pitcher sidelined by injuries.

    Twins fans had better hope that their kids all turn into superstars (and several might!), because they won't be able to afford anything more expensive.

    I fear they will turn into superstars........after we trade them away....what is it with that anyway? Why can't we unlock any of these hitters?

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    1 hour ago, mikelink45 said:

    It's really hard to comment in such a frustrating time. What about the hottest hitter that we sent down and continues to be hot in St Paul? Wallner. Do we wait until he cools off before we call him up.  

    Garlick has done nothing for the twins this year  and really hasn't torn the cover off the ball in AAA  either ... 

    Being called up because cleveland had a lefthander going last Saturday  and they felt they needed another right-handed bat isn't putting the best team out there ...

    Wallner really has done well the   past 2 weeks  and he could be a DH  , I don't like his defense yet but I like that arm ...

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    9 hours ago, LastOnePicked said:

    That's because they're not a serious ballclub, and they haven't been for awhile.

    I know it's still a bit early. I know I'm too negative. But this is not a team I can see winning a division. Not even this division.

    An honest evaluation of this team can't be anything but negative. When over a third of a teams outs is by K it can't be considered a serious threat. That's why I don't even watch! I follow via box score. According to this site the team has an abundance of talent. If it can't perform on the field it's because the management is poor. I do think this team can win the division, just not with this management. 

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    The elevator ride down in the division seems to be under way. This is a very uninspired group of ballplayers that have little concept of plate discipline and extensive knowledge of the injury list. In my humble opinion the manager is the issue, though others will see it differently. Max Kepler and Kyle Garlick both need to have opportunities with other clubs now. Oh, and this is just a starting point suggestion. Let the young future team members play. Right now, this team is as flat as the bottom of a new frying pan!

    GO TWINS! Twins Geezer......out!

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    15 minutes ago, Fezig said:

    An honest evaluation of this team can't be anything but negative. When over a third of a teams outs is by K it can't be considered a serious threat. That's why I don't even watch! I follow via box score. According to this site the team has an abundance of talent. If it can't perform on the field it's because the management is poor. I do think this team can win the division, just not with this management. 

    I would agree with this evaluation ... 

    Also will add  , The twins win the terrible division with good pitching ( whoopi ) but lose in the playoffs  ... 

    Anal lit ics is killing the game of baseball ...

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    Ugly ugly ugly!!! Let’s flush this one down the toilet. Need to get offense fixed ASAP!!! Way way way too many strikeouts!!! 28 last 2 games. As much as I love this team. They are difficult to watch. With that being said let’s hope twins come back with a vengeance rest of road trip and come home with winning trip.

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    I hate for anyone to lose their job but Rocco should have been fired after yesterday’s game.  Ownership needs to show Minnesota fans that they care about the fans.  These boys need a tough coach to get them in line and the players need to know playing time is not guaranteed.  The media article headlines need to change.  They focus on pitchers.  Yes allowing 7 runs is not good but the Twins putting up a glaring goose egg should have been the headline.  How many games have the hitters given our pitchers a lead so they can relax a bit.   WHY DID LEWIS SIT OUT especially with Buxton out.  WHY IS KEPLER still on the team.   I seriously think the AAA team could beat the MLB team.  Whoever made the decision to send Waller down should also be fired.  The person responsible for the Arreaz trade should also be fired.  

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    Ugly and it could get worse. I can't imagine this current Twins lineup being remotely competitive against a very strong and balanced Tampa Bay team. I expect the Rays will sweep easily. But hey guys, surprise me!

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    2 minutes ago, MABB1959 said:

    I hate for anyone to lose their job but Rocco should have been fired after yesterday’s game.  Ownership needs to show Minnesota fans that they care about the fans.  These boys need a tough coach to get them in line and the players need to know playing time is not guaranteed.  The media article headlines need to change.  They focus on pitchers.  Yes allowing 7 runs is not good but the Twins putting up a glaring goose egg should have been the headline.  How many games have the hitters given our pitchers a lead so they can relax a bit.   WHY DID LEWIS SIT OUT especially with Buxton out.  WHY IS KEPLER still on the team.   I seriously think the AAA team could beat the MLB team.  Whoever made the decision to send Waller down should also be fired.  The person responsible for the Arreaz trade should also be fired.  

    Very valid points  , WHY WHY and  WHY  ...

    Why wasn't some of the coaches replaced after last season  , because management's FO and Rocco's thinking was injuries ruined our 2022 season  and their evaluation was wrong again ...

    Why are falvey and Levine in hiding  when twins play poorly ???

    Why hasn't the pohlads said enough is enough and this isn't the game of baseball that the fans want  ??? 

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    My two cents...this current group is a very long way from being a solid, competitive team. We're starting guys night in and night out, that would have a hard time making the AAA roster for a lot of other teams in the majors. Injuries certainly have something to do with that, but not in all cases. For some reason, we've always had an inordinate number of injuries. Other players have underperformed for years. Some, if not all, of this dead wood has to go. The players that we're counting on to lead this team and perform well...have been complete disappointments so far. What is the core reason for all of this? Is it the FO? Is it the manager and coaching staff? Is is solely on the players? What is going on here? There's no doubt that changes have to be made, and made soon. We're in the worst division in all of baseball, and we're barely keeping our head above water. When we play good teams, they dominate us. At what point do you blow this thing up? It's disappointing and embarrassing at times, to watch this team on the field. 

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    10 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    It's really hard to comment in such a frustrating time. What about the hottest hitter that we sent down and continues to be hot in St Paul? Wallner. Do we wait until he cools off before we call him up.  

    Yes... we will wait until he cools down. Or more accurately wait until more injuries occur forcing Wallner to perfectly time his hitting with opportunity... instead of creating opportunity when he is hitting.  

    I'm under the impression that it doesn't matter what Wallner does even if he is given a chance.

    Simply... I don't believe that he is in our plans this year. There is clearly a pecking order in front of him starting with Kepler at the front of that line and poor play doesn't seem to take them out of line so the line is very slow moving. 

    Leap frogging in that line doesn't seem to be allowed. 

     

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    37 minutes ago, MABB1959 said:

    I hate for anyone to lose their job but Rocco should have been fired after yesterday’s game.  Ownership needs to show Minnesota fans that they care about the fans.  These boys need a tough coach to get them in line and the players need to know playing time is not guaranteed.  The media article headlines need to change.  They focus on pitchers.  Yes allowing 7 runs is not good but the Twins putting up a glaring goose egg should have been the headline.  How many games have the hitters given our pitchers a lead so they can relax a bit.   WHY DID LEWIS SIT OUT especially with Buxton out.  WHY IS KEPLER still on the team.   I seriously think the AAA team could beat the MLB team.  Whoever made the decision to send Waller down should also be fired.  The person responsible for the Arreaz trade should also be fired.  

    For a guy who doesn't want to see anybody lose their jobs, your plan sure involves many getting fired.

    Firing a staff mid-season is a desperation move. If you were in a upper management meeting and suggested this for a team in first place, you might find yourself heading to human resources, lol.

    The time for a major change of course is in the off-season. Constant clamoring for people's heads during the season, especially a team in the Twins position, is just hystrionics. 

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    11 hours ago, Steven Trefz said:

    Will an AL Central division title, with a barely above .500 record, where half of the games are unwatchable be enough for everyone?

    It’s certainly not enough for me to spend my personal time off work watching them. I am grateful for the game recaps to stay up to date on the team. That’s about all I can take these days.

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    10 hours ago, NJTwin said:

    If Spencer Steer (Mahle trade) was still with us he'd be leading the team in RBI.😡

    If Spencer Steer was still with the Twins he would either, A) be playing in St. Paul, or more likely, B) be platooning and hitting .195 average while striking out every third at bat. 

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    1 hour ago, Blyleven2011 said:

    Why hasn't the pohlads said enough is enough and this isn't the game of baseball that the fans want  ??? 

    I took this photo during Sunday's game. A picture perfect June afternoon, first place against second place. The entire outfield is completely empty. 

    The fans are letting their money do the talking. It isn't the stadium, it isn't Minneapolis, it's just boring, robotic baseball with little energy. Something has to give. 

    IMG_3826 (1).jpg

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