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Twins (Woods Richardson) vs Braves (Sale): 4/19/25, 6:15pm

Brock Beauchamp

By Brock Beauchamp
in Archived Game Threads

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IndianaTwin
IndianaTwin

I know there isn't supposed to be math in a Game Thread, but hear me out.  SWR has a career WHIP of 1.335. That means in four innings, on average, he allows between five and six baserunners. Sinc

shortround81
shortround81

If we could get a win on Joe's birthday, that'd be pretty neat

thelanges5
thelanges5

It’s Pablo day for the Saints. 

Patzky Wichita Wind Surge

Patzky

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, thelanges5 said:

Look at all dem righties! LFG Twins ⚾️5bfd5068-1a00-42fd-af5f-b603536ba7eb.png.618ff40e2f2717f13a2d0716f05ede4b.png

I'm pleased Bader is ascending in the lineup. He's earned it. Guess the OF defense is sound and now we will see if Keaschall can field 2B equal or better than Julien.

sampleSizeOfOne MVP

sampleSizeOfOne

Verified Member
Posted
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Craig Arko said:

Apparently Topa is going to be an opener for this game.

Gotta counter a four letter name with another!

 

Don't want to give them any extra letters, especially as location-wise, bases correspond to triple word scores...

 

(ps now i want to see a scoring ruling that awards a team the bonus for including every player on the field)

Edited by sampleSizeOfOne
clarity? yeah right! that's it. clarity.
Patzky Wichita Wind Surge

Patzky

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, Twins_Fan_in_NJ said:

Why Topa? 

I think I understand the philosophy behind pushing. Woods Richardson back an inning (or two ideally) to conserve the shaky last part of the bullpen. It's like daylight savings time and the wise Indigenous chief though.. got to get runs to make it work.

Patzky Wichita Wind Surge

Patzky

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, Twins_Fan_in_NJ said:

SWR will pitch in 'bulk relief'...

Is the Summer Sausage Bulk too?

IndianaTwin Wichita Wind Surge

IndianaTwin

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

I know there isn't supposed to be math in a Game Thread, but hear me out. 

SWR has a career WHIP of 1.335. That means in four innings, on average, he allows between five and six baserunners. Since you can't have a partial hit, let's call it six. Add the 12 outs and he pitches to 18 batters over four innings, meaning he starts his personal fifth inning with his "leadoff" hitter.

So, if he starts the game, his fifth inning on average is starting with the leadoff hitter and his sixth inning with the No. 5 hitter. 

But if you give the effective Topa the first inning and let SWR start the second against 4-5-6 (hopefully) or 5-6-7, it's more likely that SWR is facing the bottom half of the lineup when he gets to the fifth.

And if he's more effective than usual and is facing 1-2-3 or 2-3-4 in his fifth inning, that's a good thing, since he's been more effective. And if he gets through that unscathed, it's more reasonable to send him out for inning No. 6, because by then he'll be at the bottom of the border. 

Meanwhile, pushing SWR back an inning gives an additional inning to figure out whether it's best to use the high-leverage relievers or the low.

 

I figured this all out on a speadsheet. Spreadsheets can be really handy. 😀 

sampleSizeOfOne MVP

sampleSizeOfOne

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, IndianaTwin said:

I know there isn't supposed to be math in a Game Thread, but hear me out. 

SWR has a career WHIP of 1.335. That means in four innings, on average, he allows between five and six baserunners. Since you can't have a partial hit, let's call it six. Add the 12 outs and he pitches to 18 batters over four innings, meaning he starts his personal fifth inning with his "leadoff" hitter.

So, if he starts the game, his fifth inning on average is starting with the leadoff hitter and his sixth inning with the No. 5 hitter. 

But if you give the effective Topa the first inning and let SWR start the second against 4-5-6 (hopefully) or 5-6-7, it's more likely that SWR is facing the bottom half of the lineup when he gets to the fifth.

And if he's more effective than usual and is facing 1-2-3 or 2-3-4 in his fifth inning, that's a good thing, since he's been more effective. And if he gets through that, unscathed, it's more reasonable to send him out for inning No. 6, because by then he'll be at the bottom of the border. 

Meanwhile, pushing SWR back an inning gives an additional inning to figure out whether it's best to use the high-leverage relievers or the low.

 

I figured this all out on a speadsheet. Spreadsheets can be really handy. 😀 

I like my theory better.

But alas it has math too.

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