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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    I live out here and really hope the A’s stay. They also won a series against the Braves in May. They have a chance to win their third series in a row today. If they can follow that up with winning a fourth series against the Phillies no need to poke fun you can just poke. A seven game series will be more challenging but it is not easy to win 4 series in a row. Today they can make it three series in a row. Go A’s! The Twins also have not won four series in a row this year. The best they have done in two in a row. They have a chance with the Tigers and Red Sox coming up. Winning four series in a row is not trivial and certainly not a crapshoot.
  2. jorgenswest
    Why is it a problem? Is it unexpected that a young player will run into struggles? I would expect that Lewis will run into a similar tough stretch. Miranda will get an opportunity. Kirilloff may be needed in RF. In fact I think the OF is where he helps most in 2024. Lewis may be needed at 2B and probably helps most in CF next year. Both have injury histories. Depth and young talent is never a problem.
  3. jorgenswest
    I am not confident the Julien is a major league 2B. Is it possible he moves to 1B with Kirilloff in RF for 2024? They still have a lot of depth in Castro , Farmer and Gordon backed up by Martin and Lee. Miranda gives hope that Lewis is a possibility also. That is enough depth to let Polanco go as they did Rosario a few years back.
  4. jorgenswest
    What is the basis of the assumption? It only took a quick look to see that two of the relievers that Celestino had hits off are Santillan and Salazar. They are both younger and on the 40 man roster. They probably have the best stuff of the 6 pitchers. Santillan has solid major league numbers and on rehab. Salazar has been up with the big club this year. The starter Herget is 32 years old and has played in the minors since 2013. He gave up 7 runs including two home runs by Williams. Herget has also played for the Reds this year.
  5. jorgenswest
    Thad Levine on the trade market
  6. jorgenswest
    I think I should have phrased it that I am not a buyer yet. If they put up the best record in the AL over the next 6 weeks I am ready to shift gears. I wrote that before Toronto. There are 44 games through July 30 and the schedule is not a difficult one. I would want to see 29 wins. They have 2 against Toronto so go 27-14 and I am a buyer. Meanwhile look for a buy low reliever or two and move on from a few veterans.
  7. jorgenswest
    Though I would not be a buyer I would consider trades where they buy low on struggling player hoping a change will turn things around. There are several relievers this year sitting with ERAs above 5 (some cases well above) that have recently been useful members of a bullpen. Some of them will return to effectiveness in the second half. The Twins need to find that reliever on a buy low. Maybe they find a trade partner hoping to find that in Pagán or maybe they trade a prospect that they would have risked losing to rule 5. They might consider a trade of a prospect for prospect. Seth suggested Jo Adell in January and stringer bell recently suggested someone like Larnach might be a fit. They need to identify that prospect that can best fit a need now and in the future.
  8. jorgenswest
    I am not a buyer this year. They have enough to win the central and a series against the 6th seed. I would try to win the central while surviving the growing pains of young players. I wouldn’t wait to find a trade partner for Kepler or Pagán. I don’t believe they have had a significant offer for either and I don’t believe that offer is coming. I would move on. The roster spot has more value than the C prospect they might hope to get. I would not trade any prospect other than those that will be up for rule 5 and unlikely to be added to the roster.
  9. jorgenswest
    Can he help in 2023? I think his AAA strike out to walk ratio screams he needs more time in AAA. There is upside and long term hope. However if they have a need for a catcher right now, Wolters is more ready to help.
  10. jorgenswest
    This discussion has me wondering who are the next two pitchers in line for the starting rotation. Ober and Varland provided great depth at 6 and 7. Who do they go to next? It seems reasonable to expect that they will need at least two more starters beyond the current 5. Gray and Ober have a recent history of injuries and could both go down. If that were to happen soon I don’t think the Twins have a good answer. I hope Maeda can make it back as a starter. They need him. Is Balazovic the next best option? Is there anyone else in AAA? Do they need to get De Leon stretched out in AAA? Should they get Enlow up to AAA as he might be the next best option? It is probably best for now to try to get Balazovic and Maeda ready for a starter work load.
  11. jorgenswest
    Is there any reasoning for this statement? Perez has a large contract that is beyond his likely value. Melendez could be their catcher of the future. They are unlikely to contend in the next few years. Wouldn’t it be a wise move to trade him to a team that will pay his full salary assuming they can get a good prospect? Is it possible Perez would be open to playing for a playoff team in these later stages of his career? I don’t think the Twins should take on that full salary and give up a prospect but it seems feasible that another team might make a run at him.
  12. jorgenswest
    The biggest benefit to putting best hitters at the top of the order is the extra plate appearance. Garlick is not one of the best hitters but he was never going to get that extra plate appearance. Falvey has him on the roster because of his ability to hit lefties… an ability he hasn’t shown yet in the small sample. In that sense it does make sense to bat Garlick near the top of the line up. He is only in the game as long as Kikuchi is in the game and likely for two plate appearances. Those two plate appearance might come in the 3rd spot or the 8th spot. By placing him in the third spot they have Kirilloff or Larnach to take that place in the middle lineup. It is that player who will likely get any extra plate appearance. If you are imaging the end of game batting order as you construct a line up it might be reasonable to put your platoon right handed bat higher up in the lineup so that your left handed batter has a possibility of that extra at bat against a right handed pitcher. It turns out the only two players hitting the ball were Lewis and Taylor. It was lucky they were close together in the lineup or the Twins probably don’t win. The platoon 6 of Solano, Kirilloff, Garlick, Larnach, Farmer and Kepler combined for one Solano hit. Baldelli put those players in a position they were most likely to succeed and they didn’t follow through.
  13. jorgenswest
    This isn’t a random 22 game stretch. I don’t believe there is any chance the A’s or even a .500 team in a weak division can go 13-9 in a stretch where they see the best in the AL and NL. I don’t believe the 1987 Twins could have gone 13-9 against the best in the NL and AL in 1987. Without the unearned dome advantage I don’t think they win in 87. The conditions are very different now and we need to set the bar higher than best in AL central. Trading the future to add players at the deadline in hopes of winning the central will continue the cycle of mediocrity. Short of being the best team in the AL over the next 6 weeks, I don’t think the Twins should be a buyer.
  14. jorgenswest
    I don’t think those playoff conditions exist anymore. In 1987 the Twins had home field advantage in both the ALCS and WS in spite of their inferior record. In 1987 the Twins had to make it through just two rounds of playoffs instead of 4 rounds. I am going to have to dust off my VCR if I want to enjoy a repeat of the 1987 Twins. I think the best I can hope for with this team is a repeat of the 2009 or 2017 Twins. Playoffs are no longer a crapshoot.
  15. jorgenswest
    Disagree here. He can’t get thrown out at 2nd and be the second out. They need that runner on third with one out to keep the sac fly in order. No way the Rays let him walk to second.
  16. jorgenswest
    No. Not as a buyer. If they want to sell off expiring contracts then I am a yes. They are only relevant because they are in the AL central.
  17. jorgenswest
    This offense needs to be shaken up. Replacing Kepler or Garlick or whoever is the current target of some will not be anywhere near enough. Is a change in leadership the best path towards shaking up an offense that continually takes poor at bats by not swinging at center cut balls, swinging at balls out of the zone and whining about called strikes on the edges?
  18. jorgenswest
    I don’t find that direct quote searching the Athletic. I wouldn’t trust it from someone rambling on the podcast. I don’t believe Kepler told them he is not willing and I don’t believe Aaron Gleeman reported it in such definitive terms.
  19. jorgenswest
    That was the kind of pitching performance they need against a good playoff team. Lopez is a playoff caliber starter. Sadly their offense makes bullpen day pitchers look like playoff caliber starters. If Arraez were in the lineup he would only add to the LOB totals after the batters behind him strike out.
  20. jorgenswest
    At the time I believed that this trade made the 2023 team worse particularly for the regular season. I still would do the trade. Pitching is expensive. Investing in pitching is risky but necessary. Starting pitching becomes more valuable and essential in the playoffs.
  21. jorgenswest
    Barlow doesn’t give the Royals salary relief. The prospect cost goes up when he is added to a Chapman deal. Perez does give salary relief. I don’t see how they fit the money he is owed through 2026 into their budget. I am not a buyer this year. I am not trading any prospect with the upside of Miranda’s bat for a reliever. Instead I would look to buy low on relievers. I would see what Maeda can give the Twins from the pen. I would look to some of the arms in St. Paul before trading anything more than C prospects.
  22. jorgenswest
    I expected he would be flipped out for Larnach. It appears the Buxton decision was made shortly before the game after a workout so they went with that move. Assuming that is the case there is no reason not to have Wallner up to DH for today’s game. Hopefully he will be arriving in Tampa soon.
  23. jorgenswest
    I wondered about Cedar Rapids a few weeks ago. I noticed that the OPs league wide is down compared to last year in a full season. There are only two teams with an OPS over 700 when last most teams were over 700 in a full season. Could it be more poor early season weather? Has it had an impact on power hitters more? The league wide SLG is down at .359. Maybe the weather conditions combined with a younger roster with many not used to those conditions has had an impact. I would go there before the coaching.
  24. jorgenswest
    Sometimes it just takes time and patience. Teams out of contention can afford that patience. If you are in a pennant race it is hard to be patient. Perhaps teams like the Twins that are in contention only because they are in the central would be better off being a seller than a buyer. They might need that extra patience to get to the next level.
  25. jorgenswest
    I sure hope they send players to the majors with awareness of situational hitting. Once you get to the majors it needs to be about the speed of the game at this level. This isn’t on Rocco.
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