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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    We disagree on first base. I believe it is a different skill set than 2B and not a lower bar of ease. More players have adequate skills to play 1B as a player can throw left or right handed so it should be easier to find a 1B but I don’t believe everyone can more easily play 1B just because they play elsewhere.
  2. jorgenswest
    Is there an assumption that it takes no skill to play the first base? A first baseman doesn’t need range or a good arm. They do need a good glove and hands. That soft glove is not in the skill set of every player and you don’t need to throw them out there at 1B to see it.
  3. jorgenswest
    I think we disagree that an extra day off (possibly twice) will make a season long difference. I think we agree on Keuchel. I don’t want to get into another thread killing back and forth so let’s leave it at that and correct me if I read you wrong about the day off or Keuchel.
  4. jorgenswest
    Do you believe an extra day off a couple of time through the rotation will make a significant difference for Ober? I wonder if any effect is short and once they are back on the 5 day cycle his arm is at the same point as it is today. This is a game so I am not anywhere near horrified but if he does have to go on IL I would pitch Varland in his spot and go with 4 until the 24th. An IL stay would probably give him a better chance at a fresh arm into September than an extra day rest a couple of times.
  5. jorgenswest
    They should be thankful they got one good result out of two and move on. They don’t need a fifth starter again until the 24th. Fill the extra spot with a bat.
  6. jorgenswest
    I have no idea if he is the spark they need. Management needs to know. If he is then bring him up today. Why wait until September?
  7. jorgenswest
    One start that somehow worked and one disastrous start. They don’t need a fifth starter until the 24th with several upcoming off days. Release Keuchel. Bring up a bat. If Ryan isn’t back give someone else a shot at 5th starter in two weeks.
  8. jorgenswest
    Relative to league his ERA has been better than several of the batters relative to league. We look at those batting numbers and wonder why they aren’t being called up. We don’t wonder the same about Dobnak. The run scoring context in AAA is so high it distorts our perception. Dobnak’s ERA+ is 128. For comparison the wRC+ of Larnach(129), Stevenson(125), Williams(121) and Camargo(97). Jake Cave is 170 in the IL this year and 62 in the majors. I am not arguing for Dobnak to be added to the major league roster but rather pointing out that the stats of batters that some argue should be called up isn’t any more worthy of promotion than Dobnak’s stats.
  9. jorgenswest
    Jeffers and Julien had the two key at bats with runners on third and less than two outs. Both had their least competitive at bats that I have seen in a while. Learn from it and be better in the next opportunity.
  10. jorgenswest
    As for the premise of the title I think Wallner has always been in the plans. They saw his strike out rate drop significantly in the second half of his AAA stint this . I am sure he was putting in work defensively. He simply passed Larnach up due to his efforts. They were and are both in the plans.
  11. jorgenswest
    Not sure about 2022. I don’t think he ever reached 20 day threshold in minors after option. It might not take finagling.
  12. jorgenswest
    Carlos Correa has 51 plate appearances with a runner on first(only) and less than 2 outs. In those 51 plate appearances he has 9 strikeouts, 6 walks, 1 HBP, 1 double, 1 home run and hit into 15 double plays. The most frequent outcome is a double play. That isn't surprising as he hits right handed, frequently makes solid contact and isn't very fast. Those factors aren't going to change. It makes me wonder how often the Twins have tried to steal a base in those situations. I can't recall any. I think they need to view each of those grounded into doubles plays like a caught stealing. With Carlos up they need to be more aggressive stealing a base. Even a 70% success rate is probably preferable to staying on first with the likelihood of being the front end of a double play. Julien stole bases in the minors. They need to send him. They batted Correa first for a while. If they do that they need to put speed at the bottom and send them. If anyone knows how to find it I would like to see how often they have tried to steal in this situation.
  13. jorgenswest
    To add… Severino’s strike out rate has dropped quite a bit also. In July it was 24% where it started in the mid 35s. He also earned his recent promotion.
  14. jorgenswest
    A good example… Through May Wallner’s strike out over 33%. In June/July before he was called up it was 22%. Strike out stabilizes early so the change is significant. It seems like he did the work to earn that opportunity.
  15. jorgenswest
    Agree on Farmer. He turns 33 this month. As a third year arb he will be due a nice boost from his 5.585 million. His increased salary will be at the point where they would be reluctant to release him. Twins have more depth at SS than a year ago when they traded for him. At that time they hadn’t signed Correa, Lewis would miss the start of the year and Brooks Lee was at least a year away. I would not pay more for his decline.
  16. jorgenswest
    Uncle Lenny
  17. jorgenswest
    I think part of the challenge is the run scoring context of the International League can distort perception of performance. Chris Williams has a wRC+ of 118. Relative to the league Randy Dobnak’s ERA is better with an ERA+ of 121 which is close to Stevenson’s wRC+ of 123. Camargo is 93. I wouldn’t be advocating for Dobnak’s addition to the team. The average OPS in the IL this year is above 800 and the average runs per game is greater than 11. That isn’t close to the run scoring context in the major leagues.
  18. jorgenswest
    Pretty easy to make up… Head over to Fangraphs WAR and Lopez is up 3.3 to 3.2. Lopez ranks 8 among starting pitchers.
  19. jorgenswest
    Arizona is among the league stolen base leaders as are Kansas City and Oakland. The one team that utilizes the stolen base that could be an AL playoff opponent is Tampa Bay. They rank second but they also rank first in caught stealing with 34. Arizona has been amazing and only been caught 17 teams. I am not sure how much it has helped them win games though. If this is a weakness I don’t think it is the weakness that will cost them a playoff series.
  20. jorgenswest
    Concur
  21. jorgenswest
    Looking forward to the central title and playoff series win.
  22. jorgenswest
    They need to be willing to use the IL with Kepler even if it appears day to day. He did not finish well last year on a bad foot. Today is another lefty. They probably planned an off day for him. If he can’t go tomorrow they should put him on the IL and utilize their depth.
  23. jorgenswest
    I would be surprised. I also never worry about the long term. They have 11 non catching position roster spots and another usually around 4 more guys that will approach 100 PAs. There is plenty of space for good hitters.
  24. jorgenswest
    Thanks. Looks like velocity was in the 90-91 range on the 4 seam fastball and 92-94 on the sinker yesterday. I didn’t bring up Bautista but replied to another post how the two had similar stats as relievers in the minors. That kind of AAA success for a reliever is not uncommon but from my one game look it appears the tools that Bautista and Funderburk used to get there are pretty different.
  25. jorgenswest
    Cleveland added him
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