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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    What does this number have to do with base running blunders? Correa is right handed, hits the ball ball harder than most, hits ground ball more than average and is slower than average. Aren’t those the factors leading to his number? How much an impact are his blunders?
  2. jorgenswest
    Sometime Sonny gets caught in the emotion of the moment. I think he can look back on this season where he… stayed healthy all year threw more innings than he has since 2015 made his third all star game and first since 2019 led or among league leader in ERA … and appreciate how the Twins and their use of him put him in a position to get a big contract in free agency at age 34.
  3. jorgenswest
    I know it’s been reported that they are trying to adjust the automatic strike zone but they still must have work to do. Royce Lewis and others have talked about how small it is. 14 walks. They still have work to do. The pitchers have no choice but throw fat pitches which AAA batters are feasting upon.
  4. jorgenswest
    I appreciate the article. I look forward to seeing Williams get his chance in the majors.
  5. jorgenswest
    I think Moran is injured. I wondered the same about Headrick. With two games and a day off they probably don’t need 9 arms in the pen. I would bring up a bat.
  6. jorgenswest
    Camargo is young and apparently is solid defensively. He can take a step forward next year. I think he is worthy of a 40 man roster spot. He isn’t blocked yet. Hopefully 2025.
  7. jorgenswest
    Isola and Williams are at best emergency catchers. Astudillo was a better catcher in the minors. Camargo will strike out a lot with occasional power. He has been pretty consistent the last two years. His wRC+ is 92 and was 92 in AA last year. His strikeout rate of 33 and walk rate of 8 are virtually the same as was his ISO. Jeffers had wRC+ of 151, 112 and 109 at those levels. Caleb Hamilton 117 and 99. Rortvedt had wRCs of 101 and 101. Relative to league Carmago has not been at the level of those three with the bat. I would put him on the 40 this winter in hopes that he can get his strike outs down and walks up. Right now I don’t see anyone being blocked.
  8. jorgenswest
    Julien had BABIPs of .471 and .450 in June and July. Maybe it gave some the illusion that the Twins could afford to trade Polanco and possibly anoint Julien rookie of the year. In season slash stats vary so much by the small sample it is really hard to draw any conclusions looking at a change from one small sample to another small sample. Julien has a good bat and possibly good enough to DH long term or make up for deficits at 2B. He has work to do also. He needs to cut down on his strike outs and he needs to have better at bats against left handed pitching.
  9. jorgenswest
    Really nice response after the Cleveland series compounded by the waiver loss. Glad that Luplow was on the team today. Great pitching by Ryan and the bullpen.
  10. jorgenswest
    I don’t think the 50 points is valid in the run scoring context of AAA. Even taking 50 points off which I guess would be 100 points of OPS doesn’t make up for how skewed the AAA numbers are. I think Jake Cave is a good comp. Jake was hitting much better than Stevenson in AAA this year. They both have had stretches of success in the majors. Let’s hope we get a good stretch from Stevenson in September.
  11. jorgenswest
    15 months off? We really have a different view of the effort it takes to come back from a serious injury.
  12. jorgenswest
    Good for Cleveland and their fans. Sport is better when teams try to win. Let’s look forward to meaningful baseball down the stretch. Ultimately it is the game of baseball that is the enjoyment for me. I can enjoy the game whether the Twins are in contention or not and whether it is a win or a loss. This month it will be baseball in the race for the central. What could be better?
  13. jorgenswest
    They head into the last month with a five game lead on the Guardians. Buxton, Castro and Kirilloff will return. They will be an upgrade over Gallo and Luplow. A player like Martin could infuse some energy. On the pitching side they could see the return of Ober, Stewart, Paddock and Alcala. They didn’t get a waiver claim but the front office still has moves they can make.
  14. jorgenswest
    I wonder if the front office has the message yet that Gallo is of little use. Rocco certainly is having a hard time finding a use for him. He is pinch hit for by a right handed hitter that doesn’t hit right handed well. Baldelli probably assessed that Luplow had a better chance than Gallo in that spot. It is hard to disagree. If Baldelli doesn’t trust Gallo to hit in that spot where would he use him. This isn’t the first time that he pinch hit for Gallo reverse platoon though I think the other times it was Solano batting. Hopefully using Luplow there sent the message that he needs a better option. Choosing between Gallo and Luplow there is a no win situation. His options in the pen have been thin also. Funderburk was put in a high leverage situation and couldn’t command the ball today. I think he will better the next time but the Twins do need to find out if Funderburk is somebody that can be trusted in the playoffs. Brock Stewart was also used late game early in his tenure (3rd game?) and I think walked three White Sox. He settled down more after that,
  15. jorgenswest
    Watching the game I was hoping Gallo was ready to tag. You don’t know how the crash into the railing is going to go and you can’t wait to see how it goes. He makes an aggressive move to get to third with one out and slips trying to return. I like the aggressive move. Getting to third with one out is critical. It is the same aggression with Solano. If they get that first out at home he needs to be on third. I think he could have got enough of a lead to make it or get back if no throw but you take chances to get to third with less than two outs when one run is needed.
  16. jorgenswest
    The sun and shadows in the last few innings made it incredibly difficult on the batters. Those are very difficult conditions to bunt in and very difficult conditions to stay in the zone as a hitter. Gallo doesn’t swing out of the zone often and did a good job of making the pitcher throw strikes after the first two batters couldn’t lay off some pitches that weren’t close. Turned around the inning. Great work from Keuchel.
  17. jorgenswest
    Is the timing right moving into the two series with Cleveland? In a 5 man rotation it should line up as Maeda, Lopez and Gray in the first series followed by Lopez, Gray and Ryan in the second series? What does it look like in a 6 man rotation? Is the rest from a 6th starter more important than throwing your best atms against Cleveland? I am not a believer that an extra day of rest is as beneficial as a skipped start. I would suggest that it might be better to win the Cleveland series and close out the division early. Once secured give any of the starters real rest to end the season. edit: had I noticed I would have simply liked what DJL44 said much more succinctly.
  18. jorgenswest
    The Mets really favored the high upside under 20 prospects. They also received a 2023 top 50 international prospect for Pham. It probably would have taken Twins top international signings of the last few years. Those players are so far away and often don’t establish themselves before they are a 40 man roster decision. Falvey and Levine must feel pretty secure not to engage the Mets in trading off the very young few away prospects for players like Robertson and Pham that were needed.
  19. jorgenswest
    I advocated for non-tendering Pagán and signing a free agent. The Twins would probably have been worse off with my plan. Pagán has been as good or better than many of the similarly salaried free agents. In hindsight a more expensive Matt Moore would have been a great addition. Andrew Chafin (2 yrs 18 million) and Michael Fulmer not so much.
  20. jorgenswest
    There are four relievers listed in MLBs top 23 deadline trades. Since they were moved it is fair to believe the Twins could have made a better offer and won the deal. I was interested to know how they were performing with their new clubs as well as what it might take to win the deal. They could have acquired Jordan Hicks, David Robertson, Scott Barlow or Paul Sewald by beating the offer of the other team. .Could the Twins have avoided disaster by adding one of the 4? What would it take? I looked at the deals in the Twins Forum.
  21. jorgenswest
    Jake Cave is probably a good comp. They both had 5 seasons with opportunities in the majors coming into this season. They both can play CF. They both hit left handed. They both have had success at AAA. Cave has a career OPS of 710 vs Stevenson’s 687. Defense in CF is a toss up. Stevenson has the better DRS. Cave has the better OAA. Cave is maybe a little better but it is close.
  22. jorgenswest
    I do miss the September call ups where the AAA season ends in early September and teams can go to 40. It was fun to see some prospects and sometimes an opportunity for a long minor leaguer to put on a major league uniform for the first time. I don’t miss the constant switching of pitchers from the large bullpens though I think the three batter rule mostly would have solved that problem. This article would have made sense in that time.
  23. jorgenswest
    I am not a believer that an extra day off for a starter makes a significant difference long term. They just had three days off in 11. I wrote heading into it that they had an opportunity to run a 4 man rotation for about two weeks through the 24th. My interest was dropping Keuchel but it could have been used for Ober. Instead of giving Ober an extra day off twice why not give him real rest that might make a difference the rest of the season? That is probably not a field staff decision but one that comes from the front office who would have needed to option Ober or IL him to get that rest.
  24. jorgenswest
    Floro gave up six singles. He wasn’t walking batters. He didn’t give up home runs. Two of the singles had an XBA in the 100s. Correa should have been given an error on the missed double play. There was another throw from Wallner offline that put runners in scoring position. Farmer could have come off the bag there also. As for Baldelli he sees Floro strike out batter three and the next two batters hit balls for singles with exit velocities in the 60s. Batter number six hits a double play soft liner to Correa that he gets every time except yesterday. I don’t see indicators in batters three through six that Floro was not effective. I will argue that Baldelli should not have had the infield in as early as he did that inning. The sixth inning was a team effort and the biggest burden of letting the game get away should be on Correa’s shoulders with an assist from Baldelli playing the infield in at that point.
  25. jorgenswest
    One of their top international signings is a catcher. He is years away but pretty equivalent to drafting a high school catcher.
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