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  • Major Decisions Imminent Regarding Two Twins Minor Leaguers


    Seth Stohs

    On Monday night, the Texas Rangers took a 2-1 series lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks in the World Series. As soon as the final out of the World Series is in the books, there will be many new free agents. The Twins have the ability to keep a couple of intriguing minor leaguers from joining the ranks of free agents.  

    Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints

    In reality, the World Series could be over as early as Wednesday night. At the latest, a Game 7 would be played on Saturday. 

    When that final out is recorded, hundreds of players will become free agents. As you know, big league pitchers Sonny Gray, Dallas Keuchel, Kenta Maeda, Tyler Mahle, and Emilio Pagan, infielder Donovan Solano, and outfielder Joey Gallo will be among the newly-minted free agents. Five days later, they can start signing with other organizations. 

    Things get interesting on the minor-league side, and it isn't always as easy to know who is a free agent. This year, players drafted in 2017 and not on a 40-man roster will become free agents. Those players signed contracts to play in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, and 2023. In addition, they were given credit for 2020 despite the season being cancelled by Covid. 

    2017 Draft
    Royce Lewis was the #1 overall pick in the 2017 draft. However, he was added to the Twins 40-man roster after the 2021 season and remains on the 40-man roster to this day. No, Royce Lewis will not be a free agent. The same is true for Bailey Ober, the team's 12th round pick in 2017. 

    2016 International Signings (or Earlier)
    In addition, players signed when they were 16 years old in 2016 who are not on the 40-man roster can also become free agents. The Twins didn't spend big on any one international prospect that year. While I found Wander Valdez and Jesus Feliz very interesting prospects, neither came close to the big leagues. One player signed that year was right-hander Prelander Berroa. However, he was traded to the Giants in the ill-fated Sam Dyson. He was later traded to the Mariners and made his MLB debut in 2023. What we can learn from Berroa, however, is that when a player is dealt to another organization, his free agency timeline doesn't change. 

    In addition, a player signed in 2015 became a free agent after last year's World Series. When he signs another minor-league contract, he becomes a free agent again a year later. 

    Case #1: C Jair Camargo
    That is the exact scenario that played out a year ago for catcher Jair Camargo. In fact, he was the one pending minor-league free agent a year ago that I recommended the Twins bring back. That is exactly what happened. The Twins and Camargo quickly came to terms on a one-year minor-league contract. The Twins have the same season again this year. 

    Camargo signed with the Dodgers out of Colombia in 2015. He came to the Twins with Kenta Maeda in the Brusdar Graterol deal before the 2020 season. He had a breakout season in 2022 between Cedar Rapids and Wichita. Combined, he hit .262 (.793) with 18 home runs. With the minor-league signing last offseason, Camargo was left at risk to be lost in the Rule 5 draft. Fortunately, he was not selected. 

    However, as a 23-year-old in 2023, Camargo jumped up to Triple-A St. Paul. In 90 games, he hit .259/.323/.503 (.826) with 16 doubles, 21 home runs and 63 RBI. 

    If the two sides reach an agreement again quickly on a minor-league deal, there is no way that Camargo is not lost in the Rule 5 draft. A power-hitting catcher who is athletic and a solid-to-average defensive backstop? It's likely Camargo would be the first pick of the Rule 5 draft.  

    The Twins were able to go through the entire 2023 season and only used two catchers, Ryan Jeffers and Christian Vazquez. That is not normal. Jeffers, 26, is entering his first arbitration season and won't be a free agent for three more years, after the 2026 season. Vazquez, 33, just completed his first season of a three-year, $30 million contract

    Most years, the Twins bring in a veteran catcher or two on minor-league contracts. They essentially become the team's #3 catcher and can be recalled if and when needed. Examples of that in recent years include Tony Wolters, and later Mark Kolozsvary, in 2023. In 2022, veterans such as Chance Sisco, Grayson Greiner, and later Jose Godoy. Tomas Telis was a Triple-A catchers for the Twins for three years before that. 

    What Should Happen? 
    Before the World Series ends, the Twins should absolutely add Jair Camargo to their 40-man roster. That move can be done without a corresponding move as the Twins 40-man roster is already below 40. Camargo should go to spring training understanding that if Jeffers or Vazquez miss some time, he will be the first call. In addition, they should still bring in one more veteran catcher for St. Paul, and to work with other younger catchers in the organization. 

    What Will Happen? 
    The Twins will absolutely add Jair Camargo to their 40-man roster. 

    Case #2: RHP Blayne Enlow
    The case for Enlow is a lot more difficult and a case could be made either way. In case you are new to Twins fandom, Blayne Enlow was the Twins third-round draft pick in 2017 out of high school in Louisiana. He dropped in the draft because he had a commitment to LSU and a specific number in mind that it would take to get him signed. Royce Lewis agreed to sign with the Twins well below slot and the extra money was used to sign Enlow. 

    Enlow moved up the Twins organizational ladder slowly, but he was long a top 10 Twins prospect. He threw in the low-90s and was known to be able to spin the ball well. Unfortunately, he was not able to pitch in 2020. In 2021, he began at Cedar Rapids. Through three starts, he had a 1.84 ERA, and in 14 2/3 innings, he had 23 strikeouts. Missing bats was the one thing he needed to start doing. Unfortunately, in a bullpen, something didn't feel right in his elbow. Soon after, he had Tommy John surgery and missed the rest of that season. Still, the Twins had seen enough improvement and with his rehab that they added him to the 40-man roster after the season. 

    He was able to return to the mound quickly, He threw 43 pitches in 1 2/3 innings of a May 7th rehab with Fort Myers, and the Twins deemed his rehab complete. They sent him to Double-A Wichita and he made 10 starts and 14 relief appearances. In 57 1/3 innings, he posted a 4.40 ERA. He had 64 strikeouts (10.0 K/9) but he also walked 30 batters (4.7 BB/9). Last offseason, the Twins were making player claims for pitchers such as Oliver Ortega. When they did that, Enlow was outrighted from the 40-man roster.  

    He started the 2023 quite well. In Wichita, he made 11 appearances and went 3-1 with a 3.17 ERA. In 54 innings, he had 65 strikeouts (10.8 K/9) to go with just 13 walks (2.2 BB/9). He had found his lost control and he was still missing bats at career-high rates. He moved up to the Saints and made 15 appearances (12 starts). Things didn't go as well. He went 2-5 with a 7.94 ERA. In 45 1/3 innings, he had 44 strikeouts (8.7 K/9) and 19 walks (3.8 BB/9). He gave up a lot of hits and two homers per nine innings. 

    Enlow will turn 25 in March. He's still young and still learning. He is a hard worker, and he knows the game well. However, he should have a lot of options this offseason. 

    What Should Happen?
    I would like to see the Twins try to sign Enlow and keep him around another season. He lost a full season to Covid. He lost a full season due to Tommy John surgery, and that 2022 season was more about getting through the season healthy. Since he's at Triple-A and healthy, give him another six-to-eight weeks as a starter. If that doesn't go great, move him to the bullpen full-time. See how he can perform in that role where he can air it out more often and see if it can play out. The hope would, of course, be that he becomes a dominant reliever and either help the Twins in the season's second half or make himself an easy addition to the 40-man roster. 

    If the Twins don't add Enlow to the 40-man roster, they should still attempt to sign him to a minor-league deal. However, Enlow should certainly take advantage of his free agency, talk to any and all teams that show interest and do what is best for him. Of course, that means, which team does he think he has the best opportunity to get called up to the big leagues and live out his lifelong dream. 

    What Will Happen?
    I would be surprised if the Twins added him to the 40-man roster, and that's probably the right decision. I would like to think that the Twins would make him a fair minor-league offer. However, Blayne Enlow needs to go to an organization that needs pitching in the upper-levels of their minor-league system and there is more opportunity than there would be with the Twins. 

    Other Free Agents
    There is one other member of the Twins 2017 draft class that is still in the organization is Andrew Bechtold. He was the Twins fifth-round pick out of Chipola. He played all over the infield during his early years in pro ball. Blessed with a huge arm, his most natural position is third base. He also spent a lot of time at second base earlier in his career and at first base the last couple of seasons. In 2021, he started working bullpens in the catchers gear and ended the season making one start behind the plate. That year, he went to the Arizona Fall League and caught some more. In 2023 with the Saints, Bechtold added another position. Because of his arm, he was given a chance to pitch out of the Saints bullpen. He made 20 appearances, and in 18 innings, he had 24 walks and 16 strikeouts. Nothing like learning on the job in the highest level of the minor leagues. 

    What I'd Like to See Happen? I would really like to see the Twins bring Andrew Bechtold back and give him a real opportunity on the mound. See where it goes. Let him hit. Let him catch. Let him play the corner infield spots. It doesn't need to be an everyday role, but building his versatility can hopefully keep his career going. 

    Gilberto Celestino came off of the 40-man roster as the playoffs were about to begin. He was outrighted, but because it was his first outright, he could not elect free agency. Once the World Series ends, Celestino will become a free agent. But could the Twins add the still-just-24-year-old before then and keep a right-handed outfield bat on the roster, at least for right now? 

    Right-hander Alex Scherff was the Red Sox fifth round pick in 2017 out of high school in Texas. He came to the Twins in a July trade deadline deal in 2021 that involved Hansel Robles. Once a very exciting prospect, injuries have really cost hi a lot of consistent development time. This year, he posted a 3.57 ERA in 53 innings at Wichita. he had 66 strikeouts but also walked 31 batters. He made five appearances with the Saints. Not a guy that would be considered for the 40-man roster, but an intriguing arm worthy of a minor-league deal. 

    Obviously this is not a complete list of potential minor-league free agents (meaning, guys who could be free agents in the next several days), but these are certainly names that likely received quite a bit of conversation in the Twins offices. 

    If you were Derek Falvey, Thad Levine, Jeremy Zoll, Alex Hassan, Drew MacPhail, a minor league coach or coordinator and could have your voice heard, what would you recommend? 

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    Surprise, Surprise, I agree with a post on Twins Daily...

    Then I scrolled back up and realized who wrote it.

    Sign JC and roll the dice with BE.

    It's good to have difficult decisions, well usually.

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    1 hour ago, Trov said:

    Add Carmago to 40 man, try to sign Enlow.  Celisteno I would try to resign but not add him to 40, if they do they will most likely just DFA him later.  He has not developed as a hitter they were hoping. 

    Agree.  However, most of us TDers would probably admit that we had higher hopes for Celestino. Larnach seems to be in somewhat of a similar situation. 

    It’s easy for some of us (not saying you are at all, btw) to just blame the player for not taking the next step.  That’s a bit of a cop out.  Maybe not in this particular case, but in some cases, if not many, the organization has to share the blame.  Hopefully lessons are learned in these instances and applied, We’d all hate to see Martin, Rodriguez, Wallner, Julien, even Lee for that matter, etc. go the path of Celestino and others.

    Obviously not every prospect becomes the big leaguer he (and we) hope to be.  However, to truly be able to compete in this free agent, high spending world of MLB,  small to mid market teams must truly differentiate their ability to develop top minor league prospects and, importantly, continue that development upon making the majors.  I’m not sure this capability is yet a Twins’ strong suit. 

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    I agree with OP on the adds.  Camargo needs to be added or will be gone and while he has warts in K rate and walk rate his HR power seems to make up for it.  He seems solid behind the plate so really a perfect third catcher that with better plate discipline could be more.

    I like Enlow and he could be a good reliever in the end, but how many young relief guys that might or might not make it. can this team carry?  They already have Sands, Winder, Henriquez, Headrick, Balazovich, Moran and Canterino. If Enlow deserves a 40 man spot one of those other guys has to go IMO.  I'm not sure Enlow has shown enough to even beat out those names.  Would love to have him back just not on the 40 man.

    Celestino is under rated IMO.  His walk and K rates are really good.  He simply lacks power.  If the power ever shows up he is a major league Centerfielder.  The issue is he and Martin have similar skillsets with Martin showing more power and better stealing numbers and Celestino the better defender.  The issue is you really can only afford one of those two on the 40 man and with Celestino having two option years used up already and a bat that hasn't been a difference maker to this point he feels like the odd man out to me.  Again I hope they sign him to a nice AAA contract and he doesn't get picked in Rule V but it doesn't seem like there is room on the 40 man for him IMO.

    Bechtold is really good third baseman but the bat just hasn't been MLB worthy to this point.  If I were him I would see if the A's or Angels are interested as the Twins infield is stacked.  The odds of him doing well in relief seem low to me but if he wants to stay on in that role with the Twins in the minors he would be a nice piece to have around.

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    1 hour ago, jorgenswest said:

    Yunior Severino was signed by the Braves in July of 2016. Does he need to be added?

    If that is the case I would prioritize him over Enlow and pretty even with Camargo.

    Severino does need to be added too, and think that will happen without much hesitation by FO. 

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    11 minutes ago, Trov said:

    Severino does need to be added too, and think that will happen without much hesitation by FO. 

    I figured Severino being added is a given.  If there is space, I hope they keep Enlow.  I would like to see him in a Twins uniform someday.  
    Bechtold is making himself into the baseball Swiss Army knife.  3rd C, reliever, back up IF.  I hope he plays in the majors for someone in this backup type role.  But this gives me a question,  Does a player like him count as one of the pitchers on the roster as I keep hearing about a limited number of pitchers?  

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    I wonder if Jair Camargo has a bit more of a market than most regular minor league free agents. There are teams hurting at catcher that would love to see what Camargo can do for them. While I have no idea, it seems like he could demand at least the minimum MLB salary ($740K) to sign a minor league deal with the Twins or any other team. So, yah, sign him.

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    Carmargo should be on the 40 man! I would absolutely sign Enlow to a minor league deal and make sure he understands that when he is ready, he will get his shot in MLB. We never have enough pitching! I’m sure their are a couple more exciting prospects that will be added to the 40 man for rule 5 protection. It seems like the list of MLB free agents to be is a bit blah this offseason.

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    Unfortunately, the Twins haven't put much importance on catching. What we need at the premium position of catcher is an elite prospect, You have to dig pretty deep  in the MLB prospect rankings to find our top catching prospect & our top prospect catchers are years away. Carmargo is a solid hitter & average defensively in the minors but I doubt that will translate in the MLB. Unless they go out & trade for an elite MLB ready catcher (which I doubt) our only option is to sign Carmargo.

    You asked what would I do if I was FO? I would have pursued promising catcher prospects Endy Rodriguez, Jefferson Quero (MIL), Edguer Quero (now CWS) or even Rushing (LAD) early; go all in to draft Ethan Salas in the international draft; or atleast draft Cole Carrigg.

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    I respect Seths opinion, but this feels like a minor decision to me. Camargo to the 40-man roster. The rest are nice minor league depth signings, They're common throughout the league. It's not fun to say, but the rest are one of the twenty+ or more similar players. Twins draft pick or not.

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    9 hours ago, Dman said:

    I agree with OP on the adds.  Camargo needs to be added or will be gone and while he has warts in K rate and walk rate his HR power seems to make up for it.  He seems solid behind the plate so really a perfect third catcher that with better plate discipline could be more.

    I like Enlow and he could be a good reliever in the end, but how many young relief guys that might or might not make it. can this team carry?  They already have Sands, Winder, Henriquez, Headrick, Balazovich, Moran and Canterino. If Enlow deserves a 40 man spot one of those other guys has to go IMO.  I'm not sure Enlow has shown enough to even beat out those names.  Would love to have him back just not on the 40 man.

    Celestino is under rated IMO.  His walk and K rates are really good.  He simply lacks power.  If the power ever shows up he is a major league Centerfielder.  The issue is he and Martin have similar skillsets with Martin showing more power and better stealing numbers and Celestino the better defender.  The issue is you really can only afford one of those two on the 40 man and with Celestino having two option years used up already and a bat that hasn't been a difference maker to this point he feels like the odd man out to me.  Again I hope they sign him to a nice AAA contract and he doesn't get picked in Rule V but it doesn't seem like there is room on the 40 man for him IMO.

    Bechtold is really good third baseman but the bat just hasn't been MLB worthy to this point.  If I were him I would see if the A's or Angels are interested as the Twins infield is stacked.  The odds of him doing well in relief seem low to me but if he wants to stay on in that role with the Twins in the minors he would be a nice piece to have around.

    Well-said!

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    The Twins were able to go through the entire 2023 season and only used two catchers, Ryan Jeffers and Christian Vazquez. That is not normal.

    Not only "not normal" that's almost heard of for a MLB team, let alone the Twins. And none of our catchers were forced to pitch either! But yeah, as so many others have already said, bring back Carmago somehow. Looks like he's ready for the next step, and if nothing else he'll be good insurance. Not sure about Enlow. So much promise, so I hate to give up on him, especially after 2 lost years. 

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    I went looking for the language and I don’t know if the language I found is up to date.

    Quote

    MLB RULE 9 (FORMERLY MLB RULE 55): An unsigned minor league player is automatically declared a free-agent at 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series (the deadline is 5 PM Eastern on October 15th if the World Series is canceled) if the player has spent all or any part of at least seven separate seasons on a minor league roster (including all or parts of any season spent on Optional Assignment to the minors and/or on a minor league Injured List) and/or if the player has been previously released or non-tendered in his career and his present contract (known as a "second contract" even if it's his third or fourth minor league contract) has expired. For purposes of determining eligibility to be a minor league free-agent where spending seven separate seasons on a minor league roster is required, a player does not accrue a minor league season if the player spends the entire season on an MLB Active List, MLB injured list(s), and/or other MLB inactive list, or if the player spends an entire season on the Restricted List, Disqualified List, Suspended List, Ineligible List, Voluntarily Retired List, and/or Military List. Also, participation in a post-season instructional league or winter league and/or the Arizona Fall League (AFL) does not count toward a minor league season if the player otherwise did not accrue a minor league season that year. Note that a player who ordinarily would have been declared a Rule 9 minor league free-agent is NOT eligible to be a free-agent if the player is either added to an MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) or agrees to a minor league successor contract prior to 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series.  

    It made me wonder about Severino. He signed in 2016 but did not play in the Braves system until 2017. I do not know if he was in a roster.

    It appears the Twins have 5 days after the last out.

    I also found this from the collective bargaining agreement signed this spring,

    Quote

    Players who sign at age 19 or older are going to be under club reserve for six years, rather than seven, which is the blanket number that previously applied to all players. This policy is not retroactive to players who previously signed at age 19 or older.

     

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