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During the 2020 season, Willi Castro posted a 153 OPS+ and finished fourth in American League Rookie of the Year voting. The next two seasons, of traditional length, saw him post just a 79 OPS+ across 237 games. Although the Tigers aren’t a juggernaut by any means, they decided his services were no longer needed. Given his performance and their change in leadership right at that time, it's hard to blame them.
Castro had a solid first season with Minnesota after signing a minor-league free-agent deal, but 2024 has taken it to another level. Despite the presence of Royce Lewis, Brooks Lee, José Miranda, and Carlos Correa on the infield, Castro has been available for whatever role Rocco Baldelli has asked of him. It has resulted in a career-best 112 OPS+ and made him an All-Star for the first time in his career.
This season, Castro is being paid just $3.3 million through arbitration. Even with his strong season, that number shouldn’t jump to much more than $6 million next year. Next season is his final year of arbitration eligibility, but it’s also a moment when Minnesota could generate some cost certainty and buy out some of his free agency.
Twenty-eight years old in 2025, Castro and the Twins could find a middle ground on a three-year deal that would buy out the first two years of his free agency. He would still hit the market as a young 30-year-old, and his utility may then be enticing for a franchise within sniffing distance of the World Series.
For Minnesota, Castro’s presence over the next three years can help to mitigate whatever growing pains some of the less tested talents go through. He is playable both on the dirt and in the outfield. That skillset shouldn’t wane in the short term, and he’s above-average at the plate. His presence doesn’t force anyone out of the picture, and he has proven to be among the most valuable Twins this season.
Of course, Castro should want to capitalize on his earning potential, but he doesn’t hit free agency this offseason, and that’s where the opportunity exists for Minnesota. Trading in some future certainty for the sake of additional dollars may be in Castro’s best interest. After all, he has been sent packing before.
I’m not sure if three years and $20 million would be enough to get the job done, but $30 million should. Facing self-imposed payroll restrictions, the Twins could push the money to the final two years of the deal, in hopes that the Pohlads have their business ventures figured out at that point. Tacking on an option at the end may be a possibility, as well.
Castro has provided tremendous surplus value each of the past two seasons. Rewarding him for that would be fun to see, and it seems to be something that could be beneficial for both sides. Castro appears to have found a level of comfort with the Twins, and his manager has consistently spoken fondly of him as well. We'll see whether the front office is as exuberant.
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