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Game Thread: Twins vs Baltimore 5:10 PM PST (7:10PM CST) 4/26/2019

Blake

By Blake
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yarnivek1972 Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

yarnivek1972

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1) The Orioles broadcast does not have the visible strike-zone thing. Yeah!

2) Kepler batting lead-off continues to puzzle me.

Gonzalez in the lineup at all continues to baffle me.

 

 

Kepler’s sub .260 career BABIP continues to baffle me. It’s such an easy stat outlier to see compared to 90% of MLB hitters. I suppose if there was an easy fix, one of the 3 batting coaches Kepler has had at the MLB level would have tried something by now.

 

Kepler has the second best BB rate on the team. Plate discipline is a necesary skill to hit leadoff. The Twins top 3 BB rates hit in the first three spots in the order.

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yarnivek1972 Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

yarnivek1972

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It doesn't sound like Baldelli and the coaches give a crap about the promotional days. It's a shame, but a reality for a modern coaching staff.

Doug Mientkiewicz couldn’t crack the lineup on his “day” in 1999. And that was on a going nowhere team.

Danchat Minnesota Twins

Danchat

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Gonzalez in the lineup at all continues to baffle me.


Kepler’s sub .260 career BABIP continues to baffle me. It’s such an easy stat outlier to see compared to 90% of MLB hitters. I suppose if there was an easy fix, one of the 3 batting coaches Kepler has had at the MLB level would have tried something by now.

Kepler has the second best BB rate on the team. Plate discipline is a necesary skill to hit leadoff. The Twins top 3 BB rates hit in the first three spots in the order.

That BABIP doesn't baffle me. Kepler hits tons of soft pop-outs to the outfield that have almost zero percent chance of dropping. He doesn't hit many line drives, and so his BABIP will seemingly always look low, but it seems clear that's just who he is. 

yarnivek1972 Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

yarnivek1972

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That BABIP doesn't baffle me. Kepler hits tons of soft pop-outs to the outfield that have almost zero percent chance of dropping. He doesn't hit many line drives, and so his BABIP will seemingly always look low, but it seems clear that's just who he is.

The numbers don’t support that statement. His career line drive percentage is 24%. That’s lower than the league average of 26%, but that doesn’t account for a career BABIP 40 points lower than MLB average. I could see that LD% leading to a BABIP of .290 or even .285, but .257? Something else is going on. I wish I knew what it was.

Danchat Minnesota Twins

Danchat

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The numbers don’t support that statement. His career line drive percentage is 24%. That’s lower than the league average of 26%, but that doesn’t account for a career BABIP 40 points lower than MLB average. I could see that LD% leading to a BABIP of .290 or even .285, but .257? Something else is going on. I wish I knew what it was.

What's his groundball %? And what about exit velocity?

jorgenswest St Paul Saints

jorgenswest

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Really impressed with Perez. He had some tough luck of the bobbled slow roller to third, the missed pop up and missed call by umpire and got out of it without hard contact or runs scored.

yarnivek1972 Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

yarnivek1972

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What's his groundball %? And what about exit velocity?

His career exit velocity is 89.1, higher than MLB average of 87.4

 

His career launch angle is 12.9, higher than MLB average of 11. Also, last year and this, it is over 16%.

 

Kepler’s hard hit % is 37.7, also better than the 34% MLB average.

 

 

Like I said, the numbers don’t support the assertion that Kepler hits “a lot” of weak pop flys. He hits them less frequently than the average MLB hitter. Yet his BABIP is ridiculously low compared with an average MLB hitter.

jkcarew Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

jkcarew

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His career exit velocity is 89.1, higher than MLB average of 87.4

His career launch angle is 12.9, higher than MLB average of 11. Also, last year and this, it is over 16%.

Kepler’s hard hit % is 37.7, also better than the 34% MLB average.

Like I said, the numbers don’t support the assertion that Kepler hits “a lot” of weak pop flys. He hits them less frequently than the average MLB hitter. Yet his BABIP is ridiculously low compared with an average MLB hitter.

It’s rare that he hits balls hard too any area of the field other than the right-most third. When he does, it’s an accident...takes the same swing at every pitch and tries to pull everything.
Blake All-Star

Blake

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Kepler with another soft fly ball to right center...oh, wait...

Yes, he should hit more of those popups. 

snepp Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

snepp

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I want to say something about this but I think it would lead to moderator action.

 

Do it anyway, it's a game thread.

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