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Mike Sixel

By Mike Sixel
in Minnesota Twins Talk

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Brock Beauchamp GOAT

Brock Beauchamp

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Mike sixel

12:38 If the Twins signed keuchel, do you think they'd win the division? Thanks

AvatarDan Szymborski

12:38 No

After this start, I’m surprised they’d be that dismissive. Cleveland’s offense has the potential to be really pathetic this season. Sure, their pitching should be pretty good but teams still need to score to win baseball games. They’re just 9-7 on the season after playing an incredibly cupcake schedule to start the season (KC, TOR, CWS, DET).
Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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After this start, I’m surprised they’d be that dismissive. Cleveland’s offense has the potential to be really pathetic this season. Sure, their pitching should be pretty good but teams still need to score to win baseball games. They’re just 9-7 on the season after playing an incredibly cupcake schedule to start the season (KC, TOR, CWS, DET).

Agreed. And his answer was just short.

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Pablo
3:25 What are your thoughts on Pineda for 2019?
Steve Adams
3:26 He'll give the Twins something like 140-150 pretty good innings if the arm holds up, though that's never a given with him. So long as he's healthy, he's a pretty easy mid-rotation starter. The $10MM investment looks pretty shrewd at this point.

 

https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-4-16-19-5089.html

 

amjgt FCL Twins

amjgt

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Maybe their projection and probability models differ.

Yes. Think of it this way... you run 1000000 season simulations. The Indians might win the division a higher percentage of the time, but the Twins might average more wins over the 1000000 simulations. Basically, what that tells me is that the floor is much lower for the Indians. A couple things go haywire and all of a sudden it’s a completely lost season. Which I think makes sense based on the rosters.

Otto von Ballpark All-Star

Otto von Ballpark

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Looks like Cleveland is back on top on both of those pages now, so maybe their was an error that they fixed. The numbers on each page are a little different, though, so I'd be curious about an official explanation.

jkcarew Ft Myers Mighty Mussels

jkcarew

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80 Hit Tool
3:06 Willians F'n Astudillo. That's all.
Meg Rowley
3:06 Eric and Kiley: We're putting an 80 on Astudillo's hit tool. Meg: Good.

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/meg-rowley-fangraphs-chat-4-23-19/

Funny. But, due to an almost total lack of K's or BB's, it's looking like fact that he'll hit around .300...and that the OBP, won't be much higher than .300. Meanwhile, he'll never have value on the bases. That leaves SLG (or ISO...whatever you want to use for extra-base ability). If he doesn't have that...like he didn't for most of 9 years in the minors, he's not offensively valuable. If he does...like he did in his last minor-league season and his first 150 major-league PA's, then he's valuable. 

PseudoSABR Cedar Rapids Kernels

PseudoSABR

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7 Dark horse candidates

Jorge Polanco, SS, Twins: His 1.033 OPS ranks fifth in the AL after the Twins' win over the Orioles on Saturday, and his 1.3 fWAR is third behind only Trout and Chapman. That’s how good Polanco has been. Still only 25, Polanco is off to the best start of his career after reworking both his mental approach and swing mechanics, as detailed by MLB.com's Mike Petriello here.
PseudoSABR Cedar Rapids Kernels

PseudoSABR

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Grading the first month.

Best storyline: Dingers! The Twins homered 49 times in their first 25 games and led the majors in home-run rate and at-bats per home run through Sunday. They look like a lock to beat the franchise record for home runs of 225, set in 1963 -- the longest-standing team home run record. They've taken advantage of a soft schedule -- they're 10-0 against the Orioles, Royals and Tigers -- but that's the path to a division title. Beat up on the weaklings of the AL and hold your own against everyone else.

 

Mulligan: Everyone applauded the Marwin Gonzalez signing, but he has been helpless at the plate. Miguel Sano isn't expected to return until late May, but Gonzalez's struggles have opened the door for Sano to get a chance at third base.

 

 

Hosken Bombo Disco All-Star

Hosken Bombo Disco

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Following on the above poster’s link:

 

 

 

”In addition to Kepler’s maturation as a hitter and big leaguer, Falvey credits new Twins manager Rocco Baldelli for the outfielder’s comfort level atop the order. Baldelli is one of several MLB managers who sets lineups for an entire series ahead of time, helping the process along by giving chatting with starters about upcoming days off, and with backups about the opportunities that will soon come their way. Soon after taking the Twins’ skipper job, Baldelli took that look-ahead approach to extreme levels with Kepler, alerting him months ahead of time that he hoped to make him the team’s leadoff hitter, then riding him in that spot throughout spring training.

 

....

 

“There’s a lot of transparency in the clubhouse, to where he’s found a way to be over-communicative. That, and the way he leans on his coaching staff. With Rocco, it’s never about him. He arrives at the best possible conclusions for our team by talking to the pitching coach, the hitting coach, the strength and conditioning coach, the trainers, everyone. It creates a psychologically safe environment in which to share ideas.”

 

“The combination of up-and-comers in their 20s, big-hitting veteran imports and managerial guidance has borne fruit ...”

 

https://theathletic.com/957782/2019/05/02/keri-the-twins-are-for-real-how-are-they-doing-this/

 

 

Can’t argue with it.

 

Also some nice stuff about Rosario in there, things coming to fruition with him that the minor league writers tipped us off to, as did the late poster Madre Dos, who hosted these guys in the minors.

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Mike G
1:08 Worried about Royce Lewis's slow start?
Keith Law
1:09 About his start, no. About the changes to his mechanics - he's gotten very noisy, with a hitch now and multiple triggers - yes.

 

Chris P
1:30 I try to remind myself that nothing really matters until the end of June...but I'm definitely enjoying this Buxton comeback so far
Keith Law
1:31 He was also pretty good the last five months of 2017, before injuries ruined his 2018. I'm more inclined to buy into a good April when there is preceding performance to support it.

 

Minny
1:51 Alex Kirilloff was just activated today at AA. Does his injury to start the season remove any hope (if there ever was any) of seeing him in September? Or does the Twins competitive team and full OF make it a moot point anyway?
Keith Law
1:52 Yeah it'll take an injury to find a spot for him, I think.

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Derek
2:24 In light of Kluber's injury and Ramirez's extended struggles, are the Twins the favorite to win the AL Central now?
Craig Edwards
2:26 Cleveland is still the favorite. If Kluber were out for they year or Ramirez's struggles continued all year long, it would be really close. Despite everything that's gone on, the Twins are still only a couple games ahead right now. One more bad thing or a continuation of the above bad things and it is pretty much even/slight Twins lean.

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/craig-edwards-fangraphs-chat-5-2-2019/

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Ryan
12:28 Are the Twins the favorites to win the Central now? And since they're the favorites, they probably shouldn't worry about making any moves to make the team better, since that's what AL Central favorites do, right?ReactReact
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:29 I think the Indians are the mild favorites, but they only have themselves to blame

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-5-6-19/

 

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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TwinsWin: Martin Perez was at best mediocre. He added a cutter which has been very successful.  Can he continue success, or will the hitters eventually catch up?
2:11
Meg Rowley: I’m pretty encouraged. Hard not to be when you couple the jump in strikeouts with the decline in home runs, which, how is that working in 2019? I need to dig on him further (I’ve only seen parts of two of his starts) but early returns look really promising.
2:11
Meg Rowley: If a Martin Perez led rotation helps fell Cleveland… Jeez, baseball rocks (sorry Cleveland fans).

 

Jay: Who do you think will be leading the AL Central by the end of May, and by how many games?
2:45
Meg Rowley: Twins but only by like, three.

 

Spahn and Sain: How worried are you if you’re the Indians that the Twins might be a better team than you, particularly with Kluber and Clevinger out for an extended period?
2:56
Meg Rowley: I would be pretty worried.
2:56
Meg Rowley: Their whole deal was predicated on the stars being stars and playing most of the season.

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/meg-rowley-fangraphs-chat-5-7-19/

Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Kirk: when you put Balazovic on your near miss list, you caught a lot of Twins fans off guard. Stat line looks good so far – still see the same ceiling so far?

Keith Law: Yep, no change.

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