Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 To me the safety net you are talking about should include include guys on the 40 man roster. Granite, Wade, and Gordon have all gotten to AAA. If they aren't considered likely/possible replacements for injuries or poor performances, they shouldn't be on the 40 man. Actually any highly rated prospect who has reached AA should be in that category. This is the whole point of building a strong farm system. You should have at least several ready or nearly ready prospects in system at all times to be the safety net. 4 A guys should just be short term replacements or backups to backups. Most major league backups are versatile guys or role player types. Even on good teams. What you want and sometimes you don't really have enough of these guys, is for your near ready top level prospects, to be your depth in case of injury or non performance. It looks like, maybe, the Twins are getting close to that goal.The CBA states that Gordon and Wade must be on the 40 man or you lose them. However sometimes that hard timeline doesn’t match up with an individuals particular development and you simply need more time with them before setting them adrift. I agree that we are progressing nicely and the team looks closer to have legitimate options in Rochester for safety nets. But a Rochester 40 man safety net could be a significant step down from a 25 man safety net. There’s a difference between declaring Wade as your safety net and signing a Adam Jones type (for example no need to focus on Adam Jones) as a safety net. I’d rather the team bring in a stronger safety net to be 4 OF deep on the 25 man and have Cave and Wade as a safety net to that safety net on the 40 man. This sets up competition for playing time in Minnesota (May the best man win) and competition for call up to Minnesota in Rochester. I understand that a 40 man roster is a hard cap with limitations that will prevent GM’s from creating a 10 deep depth chart and therefore bottom line - I consider each roster spot to be precious. I want to avoid suffering through Byron Buxton playing everyday while hitting .140 because they don’t think the Ryan LaMarre type wasting roster space isnt good enough to replace a hitter hitting .140. I believe what I’m talking about is the minimum requirement of any front office and if it’s May and Buxton is hitting .140 and Michael Reed is gathering dust in the bench. That’s the moment I start complaining about not learning lessons from past issues, simple contingency planning and eggs in one basket. I will not tolerate any “we really expected more out of Buxton” excuse when they are asked what went wrong in 2019. Now (the off season) is when they can prepare for as many unplanned issues as possible.
Thrylos Old-Timey Member Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 The CBA states that Gordon and Wade must be on the 40 man or you lose them. If someone selects them on the Rule 5 draft.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 If someone selects them on the Rule 5 draft.Which I assume is likely.
USAFChief Twins Daily Contributor Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 Based on the 9.85% state income tax, the Twins offer has to be about 5% better than those of teams in states of ~5% income tax (includes the division rivals in OH,IL,KS,MI) and 10% better than teams in FL, AZ etc that do not have state tax to be equivalent. So a Twins $11M offer in AAV is just equivalent (not better) to a Diamondbacks $10M offer or Indians $10.5M pretty much. So if Harper has a $200M offer on the table from the Phillies (3.07% income tax in PA), they would need to offer $213.6M to just match it. (rough math because 1/2 of someone's salary is used to pay tax in away games, but still...) People don't think about it generally, but it is an issue. nitpic: AZ has a state income tax.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 nitpic: AZ has a state income tax.Good thing you have no income.
USAFChief Twins Daily Contributor Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 Good thing you have no income.Well I don’t have Harper’s tax bill, that’s for sure, but I sure wouldn’t complain if I did.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted December 19, 2018 Posted December 19, 2018 Well I don’t have Harper’s tax bill, that’s for sure, but I sure wouldn’t complain if I did.C’mon now. Yes you would. You’d be a second nature complainer who couldn’t help it.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted December 20, 2018 Author Posted December 20, 2018 Ron: You think Kepler will put it together this year? If he does can he be a 4-5 win player? Buxton just needs to be healthy, right?Keith Law: I thought he was going to put it together in 2018, so I guess yes, I still do. Buxton needs to get healthy. Sano needs to get in shape. There’s a lot of upside on that team, which is one reason I don’t agree with fans who think Cleveland has the division on lockdown. http://meadowparty.com/blog/2018/12/20/klawchat-12-20-18/
PseudoSABR Verified Member Posted December 20, 2018 Posted December 20, 2018 Ron: You think Kepler will put it together this year? If he does can he be a 4-5 win player? Buxton just needs to be healthy, right?Keith Law: I thought he was going to put it together in 2018, so I guess yes, I still do. Buxton needs to get healthy. Sano needs to get in shape. There’s a lot of upside on that team, which is one reason I don’t agree with fans who think Cleveland has the division on lockdown. http://meadowparty.com/blog/2018/12/20/klawchat-12-20-18/Keith Law doesn't hate the Twins! Woo hoo!
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted December 21, 2018 Author Posted December 21, 2018 Flo: Twins still in on Cruz? If they sign him, does Tyler Austin get DFA’d?10:32Jeff Sullivan: Or Cron gets moved again10:33Jeff Sullivan: No reason for them to worry too much about either one
dbminn Verified Member Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 Jeff Sullivan at Fangraphs has written an ode to Willians Astudillo now that he's a nominee for LVBP (Venezuela Winter League) MVP. He keeps hitting the ball harder without increasing Ks.
jorgenswest Verified Member Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 I hope that Astudillo is getting real consideration for the starting catcher job.
jorgenswest Verified Member Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 MLB.com These prospects drove the ball the best. Two Twin prospects make the list. https://www.mlb.com/news/10-prospects-who-drove-the-ball-best-in-2018/c-302274922
jkcarew Verified Member Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 MLB.comThese prospects drove the ball the best. Two Twin prospects make the list.https://www.mlb.com/news/10-prospects-who-drove-the-ball-best-in-2018/c-302274922Thanks. It probably shouldn't be a surprise to me that Rooker makes this type of list. By all reports, he hits the ball REALLY hard...but probably more pull that optimal, and at the expense of a lot of K's. Who does that sound like . FWIW, in Chattanooga at age 22, Sano's K-rate was just under 24% and his HR-rate was 5.2%. At age 23, Rooker was at 26.4% and 3.9%. My glass-half-full take is that Rooker is going to be much more diligent in making adjustments as he advances. Here's hoping he can end up being a bit of a late-bloomer.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted January 3, 2019 Author Posted January 3, 2019 Ron1:09 HI Keith- The Cruz signing a decent deal? Get the bat if there is something left and maybe an influence on Sano etc? Money wasn't bad and maybe has a year left in the tank? Your thoughts? Thanks!Keith Law1:09 Yep, very good deal. Twins are quietly building a legitimate threat to Cleveland.
nicksaviking Community Moderator Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 Thanks. It probably shouldn't be a surprise to me that Rooker makes this type of list. By all reports, he hits the ball REALLY hard...but probably more pull that optimal, and at the expense of a lot of K's. Who does that sound like . FWIW, in Chattanooga at age 22, Sano's K-rate was just under 24% and his HR-rate was 5.2%. At age 23, Rooker was at 26.4% and 3.9%. My glass-half-full take is that Rooker is going to be much more diligent in making adjustments as he advances. Here's hoping he can end up being a bit of a late-bloomer. I'm a Rooker-lover but I think last year showed he was diligent on making adjustments Brent Rooker's 2018 K% and BB% by month:April: K% 29.6 BB% 2.2May: K% 28.7 BB% 7.0June: K% 28.0 BB% 11.2July: K% 24.2 BB% 13.3August: K% 22.8 BB% 13.1
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted January 3, 2019 Author Posted January 3, 2019 Mike sixel: Will Rooker cut his strikeouts enough to be a good MLB player someday? What position do you think he might play, if so? thanks.Keith Law: 1B most likely, and yes. I think average regular
diehardtwinsfan Old-Timey Member Posted January 3, 2019 Posted January 3, 2019 I'm a Rooker-lover but I think last year showed he was diligent on making adjustments Brent Rooker's 2018 K% and BB% by month:April: K% 29.6 BB% 2.2May: K% 28.7 BB% 7.0June: K% 28.0 BB% 11.2July: K% 24.2 BB% 13.3August: K% 22.8 BB% 13.1 I think his progression in 2017 was similar too... I'd just warn everyone here that his ML debut probably won't be pretty...
Vanimal46 Old-Timey Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Article calling for a Kepler breakout. https://www.pitcherlist.com/going-deep-new-year-new-max-kepler/
USNMCPO Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Article calling for a Kepler breakout.https://www.pitcherlist.com/going-deep-new-year-new-max-kepler/Would love to see a Kepler breakout this year. I believe he has it all, but just needs to put it together.
amjgt Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 If he doesn't put it together there is another sweet-swinging lefty in the minors who might just push him out of a starting job.
GP830 Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 I don't know if this is the best place for this, and I'm posting without editorializing, but Sano's recent Instagram posts show a significantly slimmer and more in-shape Miguel. He posted a pic of him with Rocco in the DR and he looks great. Seems to perhaps be taking this seriously.
PseudoSABR Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 I don't know if this is the best place for this, and I'm posting without editorializing, but Sano's recent Instagram posts show a significantly slimmer and more in-shape Miguel. He posted a pic of him with Rocco in the DR and he looks great. Seems to perhaps be taking this seriously. Here's the link: https://www.instagram.com/p/Br6CG7-jpPE/
nicksaviking Community Moderator Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Here's the link: https://www.instagram.com/p/Br6CG7-jpPE/ Looking good, keep it up.
amjgt Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Two things... What’s up with the glow around Miguel’s head? Rocco is way taller than I thought. Miguel is 6’5” right?
Squirrel Community Moderator Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Here's the link: https://www.instagram.com/p/Br6CG7-jpPE/This was posted in another thread recently. Two things... What’s up with the glow around Miguel’s head? Rocco is way taller than I thought. Miguel is 6’5” right?I think perhaps Miguel has on a hat?
USAFChief Twins Daily Contributor Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 Here's the link: https://www.instagram.com/p/Br6CG7-jpPE/They're in some sort of establishment that clearly serves alcohol. I'm starting the rumor right now, and thereby getting a jump on the competition... Alcohol abuse issues, for the both of 'em.
USAFChief Twins Daily Contributor Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 This was posted in another thread recently.I think perhaps Miguel has on a hat?Graying hair. Clear sign of alcoholism.
amjgt Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 This was posted in another thread recently.I think perhaps Miguel has on a hat? Good call on the hat. You can't unsee it after the first time.
amjgt Verified Member Posted January 7, 2019 Posted January 7, 2019 I looked it up... Baldelli is 6'4"
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