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There are high expectations for any player taken with the first overall pick. When the Twins selected Royce Lewis in 2017, he immediately rose into the conversation as one of baseball's top prospects and has stayed there throughout his time in the minors. Lewis has shown flashes of being a five-tool talent throughout his professional career, but injuries marred the start of his Twins tenure. Like other top prospects before him, injuries are preventing Lewis from reaching his full potential. Here's a look back at the last five Twins Daily top prospects and how injuries have impacted their careers.
Austin Martin, SS/OF
TD Top Prospect: 2022
Martin was the top prospect received from the Blue Jays in the Jose Berrios trade. Many evaluators viewed him as the best college bat in his draft class, and Toronto drafted him with a top-five pick. Martin struggled last year at Double-A by hitting .241/.368/.317 (.685) with 14 doubles, three triples, and two home runs in 92 games. Minnesota sent him to the AFL, and he posted a .936 OPS, which pointed to a potential turnaround in 2023. Martin entered spring training with a chance to impress the organization, but his elbow started bothering him, and the team shut him down. He was diagnosed with a UCL sprain, an injury that often leads to Tommy John surgery.
Minnesota's medical staff decided to have him rehab to try and avoid surgery. He started rehabbing in early June but left his sixth start after colliding with another player in the outfield. Martin restarted his rehab in the last week, and the Twins promoted him to St. Paul. There is still a chance that he will need Tommy John surgery, but there is also an opportunity for him to help the Twins this season.
Alex Kirilloff, OF/1B
TD Top Prospect: 2021
Kirilloff was a hitting savant by hitting .322/.380/.520 (.900) in his minor league career. He missed the entire 2017 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He returned strongly and debuted with the Twins in the 2020 playoffs against the Astros. Wrist issues have haunted him throughout his big-league career, culminating in a unique wrist surgery last winter where he had an osteotomy procedure to shorten the ulna bone. The team delayed the start of his 2023 season while he worked his way back from this unique procedure. There have been some positive signs since he returned, with his walk rate increasing and flashes of power. In 52 games with the Twins, he has hit .277/.378/.403 (.781). Fans hoped Kirilloff would be a staple in the middle of the Twins' line-up by this point in his career, but there have been multiple bumps in the road.
Royce Lewis, SS/3B
TD Top Prospect: 2020, 2019, 2018
Lewis is one of the best prospects to come through the Twins organization since Byron Buxton, which makes his injury history even more frustrating for fans. His last two seasons have been cut short due to ACL surgery, and now he will miss around six weeks with a Grade 2 oblique strain. Lewis returned from his second ACL surgery in late May, providing a unique skill set to the Twins' line-up. In 26 games, he slashed .326/.354/.478 (.832) with four home runs. Last year, he provided similar production when he returned from his first ACL surgery. Lewis has a tremendously high ceiling, but injuries have stopped him from impacting the club long-term.
Fernando Romero, RHP
TD Top Prospect: 2017
Twins Daily made an aggressive selection at the top of the prospect rankings in 2017 because it looked like Romero had the skills to be a frontline starter. Tommy John surgery impacted his early professional career, and he missed the entire 2015 season. However, he returned strongly and posted a sub-2.00 ERA across 16 starts in 2016. He received national attention with Baseball Prospectus, and MLB Pipeline included him in their top-100 prospect rankings entering the 2018 season. His path to the big leagues ran into some struggles in the upper minors. He played parts of two seasons with the Twins but posted a 5.17 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. In 2021 and 2022, he played in Japan before appearing in the Angels organization this season. There were high hopes that Romero could join Jose Berrios at the top of the Twins' rotation, but that dream never became a reality.
Byron Buxton, OF/DH
TD Top Prospect: 2016
A novel could be written about how injuries have impacted Buxton throughout his career. However, there have been flashes of brilliance when the Twins find a way to keep him on the field. There has only been one season where he played over 100 games, so the Twins decided on a new approach for the 2023 campaign. His knee continues to be an issue, so the club moved him to a full-time DH role. A healthy version of Buxton is one of baseball's top players with his five-tool talent on both sides of the ball. Earlier this season, I argued that Buxton didn't live up to his prospect hype. However, only some players considered baseball's best prospects can become perennial MVP candidates. Injuries will define Buxton's career, and fans are left wondering what might have been.
The names listed above are recent examples of top prospects struggling with injuries. Going further back, players like Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau, Francisco Liriano and Jason Kubel were prospects that suffered injuries in the early part of their careers that didn't give them a clear runway at the big-league level. It's an unfortunate trend and one the team can hope to avoid with the next generation of top prospects.
What are your impressions of this disappointing trend for the Twins' top prospects? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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