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Entering last season, Austin Martin had to be feeling good about the start of his professional career. He’d been a collegiate star on a powerhouse Vanderbilt squad that made a run to the College World Series before the Blue Jays took him with the fifth overall pick. The Twins acquired Martin along with Simeon Woods Richardson for Jose Berrios, and he was a consensus top-100 prospect. Double-A was his likely destination, with an outside chance at making his big-league debut during the 2022 campaign.
Unfortunately, prospect development doesn’t follow a linear path, and Martin struggled through much of the 2022 season. In his first 77 games, he hit .236/.365/.306 (.671) with 11 doubles, three triples, and one home run. His OPS dropped over 120 points, and he was hitting for little to no power. There were some positive signs in his sub-par performance, with a 49-to-41 strikeout-to-walk ratio while going 32-for-37 in stolen base attempts. Players must make adjustments throughout the season, and Martin decided to return to his roots near the end of the 2022 campaign.
The Twins tried to adjust Martin’s swing to help him produce more power, but it was clear something wasn’t working during the 2022 season. Eventually, he decided to revert to the swing mechanics that made him one of the best collegiate baseball players in the country. He redeemed himself in September by hitting .268/.405/.423 (.827) with five doubles and two home runs. Minnesota wanted him to get more reps to continue working with his revamped swing, so the club sent him to the AFL. He was one of the AFL’s best hitters with a .374/.454/.482 (.936) slash line, including six doubles and a home run in 21 games. It was an encouraging conclusion to the season, putting Martin back on the prospect map.
Martin entered spring training in 2023 with a chance to prove himself to the big-league coaching staff. Injuries to MLB players meant he was getting a long look at multiple defensive positions and performed well in early action. It was a significant opportunity, but his elbow started bothering him, and the team shut him down. He was diagnosed with a UCL sprain, an injury that often leads to Tommy John surgery.
The Twins and Martin decided to have him attempt to rest and rehab his elbow to see if he could avoid surgery. He didn’t see any game action until last week, and the team will be careful while he continues ramping up his workload. In his first six games, he went 1-for-6 with a home run and a stolen base. He left his sixth rehab game after colliding with another player in the outfield and this will delay his rehab even further. Surgery is still possible and might be the most likely outcome. Unlike pitchers, position players can take less time to recover from Tommy John surgery. In more recent years, the Twins have seen players like Alex Kirilloff and Miguel Sano have TJ surgery. Martin can attempt rehab and still have time to recover for the beginning of next season if he has surgery later this summer.
If Martin can avoid surgery, it seems likely for him to be done playing shortstop. There were questions about his defensive future throughout his professional career, and this latest injury might be the nail in the coffin. He can still provide value at other defensive spots, including second base or outfield. Throughout his career, he has been known for his athleticism, and evaluators viewed him as the best college bat in his draft class. Martin can serve in a super-utility role with the Twins, where he plays defensively at multiple positions.
Many of Minnesota’s top prospects have suffered some setbacks on their way to becoming regulars at the big-league level. Royce Lewis is returning from his second ACL tear, Jhoan Duran had elbow problems, and Alex Kirilloff underwent TJ surgery, to name a few. It might be unlikely for Martin to avoid surgery, but players have used the rest and rehab process without going under the knife.
What are the chances that Martin can avoid surgery? Can he help the Twins in 2023? What is his long-term defensive home? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
Interested in learning more about the Minnesota Twins' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!
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