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  • No Polanco? Now What?


    Ted Schwerzler

    The Minnesota Twins are less than two weeks from Opening Day and trending toward a Kansas City road trip without their starting second baseman. So what will they do at the position?

    Image courtesy of Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

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    Despite an insistence from the Twins brass that Byron Buxton, Alex Kirilloff, and Jorge Polanco were tracking well, it appears there has been a change in plans. Although it was Kirilloff initially noted to be behind schedule, he has now played multiple games on the back fields getting live at-bats and action in the field. Buxton has hit consistently, and he looks to be all systems go.

    The guy left out is Polanco.

    On Thursday, as Carlos Correa, Buxton, and Kirilloff were in action against Atlanta Braves minor leaguers, Polanco and teammate Max Kepler were in street clothes behind home plate. Kepler was watching his friends during a scheduled off day. Polanco had a compression sleeve on his left knee and a noticeable limp as he walked back to Hammond Stadium.

    This week the Star Tribune’s Phil Miller reported that Derek Falvey has acknowledged time is running out for Polanco. He hasn’t played in any game-situation scenarios, and being ready for Opening Day continues to trend toward a pipe dream by the day. This is not a good development for a guy who missed two months last season and is dealing with a knee injury that can be of the nagging sort.

    Where do the Twins go from here?

    Immediately the answer is Kyle Farmer. Nick Nelson touched on the status of second base earlier this month, and while Donovan Solano will be in the mix, he’s further down the pecking order, one would think. Farmer started for the Cincinnati Reds regularly at shortstop, and his sneaky pop was something Minnesota coveted. Farmer has been a regular before, and the drop off from what Polanco has been would be inconsequential.

    From there, Nick Gordon and Solano are candidates to rotate in from the projected 26-man roster. Gordon has done a great job operating as a utility man, and when healthy, he has played primarily second base this spring. Solano is a battle-tested veteran, and although his spring numbers aren’t good, he has a long track record of hitting for average.

    Polanco starting the year on the injured list would be a detriment to himself. He has a plate appearance threshold to reach this year if he wants his contract option to vest for 2024, and that almost certainly won’t happen with missed time. With a plethora of depth behind him, Minnesota could seamlessly move on from Polanco at virtually any point this season.

    The big league club wants to see Brooks Lee play and develop more at Double-A and Triple-A. Royce Lewis looked the part last summer but won’t be available until late May at the earliest. Austin Martin could be in the equation, but how his UCL injury is handled remains to be seen. Edouard Julien could struggle in the field, but he showed his bat is ready during March.

    From that group, the Twins can find an answer.

    With Farmer, Solano, and Gordon providing immediate major-league options, the high-quality prospect depth behind them is more than exciting to dream on. Lee and Lewis are the cream of that crop, but Julien could be a guy to rotate in solely because of his bat. 

    Tendonitis is a painful condition, and for an athlete, it's difficult because it’s a degenerative issue. Polanco isn’t getting younger, and the situation is about management more than a true fix. If he’s going to miss time, the Twins haven’t been straightforward about it, but they do have options to pick up the slack.

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    "Polanco had a compression sleeve on his left knee and a noticeable limp as he walked back to Hammond Stadium."

    A very bad picture

    When Polanco was hurt last season with his knee, we heard nothing. They kept on playing him, although to many of us he was playing hurt.

    All this could have been avoided if they used common sense and rested him (a must for tendonitis) while treating it. Now Polanco has to pay for their negligence.

    We have a lot of options but none that can really replace him right now. He's very valuable to us, if he delays coming back & shows some long term problems; the team will be out a lot money because of another management's folly.

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    2 hours ago, Minny505 said:

    I tend to agree that Gordon will get at least 50% of the starts at 2B while Polanco is out. 

    It seems then, that they played him there this spring purposefully…….. Gordon will be at 2B v. every RH pitcher we face until Polanco is back healthy. I think Solano at 2B v. LH pitching with Farmer at 3B & Miranda at 1B.

    If Polo was limping with a sleeve on his knee and skipping workouts 14 days prior to Opening Day he will not be ready. Need to make an adjustment of expectations.

    Larnach takes Polanco’s spot in roster and plays a little LF but is the regular DH v. RH pitching.

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    11 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    It seems then, that they played him there this spring purposefully…….. Gordon will be at 2B v. every RH pitcher we face until Polanco is back healthy. I think Solano at 2B v. LH pitching with Farmer at 3B & Miranda at 1B.

    If Polo was limping with a sleeve on his knee and skipping workouts 14 days prior to Opening Day he will not be ready. Need to make an adjustment of expectations.

    Larnach takes Polanco’s spot in roster and plays a little LF but is the regular DH v. RH pitching.

    I think Larnach will have a lot of left field time until Alex Kirilloff demonstrates he is healthy. I'm pretty sure he'll be on the IL for a while.

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    Gordon plays 2B against RHP and Farmer starts against LHP. Farmer could also be a late inning defensive replacement for Gordon if they feel that's the right move.

    Gallo starts at 1B against RHP, and Solano starts against LHP, but can also play 2B in place of Farmer as needed. Larnach plays LF against RHP, and Gallo slides back to LF against RHP since he's generally been neutral against both sides. Taylor figures in here and there as well.

    This is why the Twins built the roster with the depth they currently have. For the short term, it robs the Twins of their depth until Polanco, and even Kirilloff, are ready. But, potentially, Polanco could be ready a couple weeks in to the season. AK, maybe even a little longer just so he can get 100% confident and ready.

    Julien is a phone call away. But no matter how good he looks, he still hasn't played a game above AA. Nothing wrong with him begining the year for St Paul. But if Polanco is on the IL to begin the season, along with Kirilloff, there's room for 1 more add. The question is who might be the extra player for the short term? Is it Garlick as a LHP masher? Is is Castro after having a great ST...even with unsustainable numbers...but experience and position versatility, but experience and talent at only 26yo still? Whoever they choose might have to pass through waivers in order to keep when Polanco is healthy and ready to go. And that stinks. But it's also why the roster was built with this much depth.

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    11 minutes ago, DocBauer said:

    Gordon plays 2B against RHP and Farmer starts against LHP. Farmer could also be a late inning defensive replacement for Gordon if they feel that's the right move.

    Gallo starts at 1B against RHP, and Solano starts against LHP, but can also play 2B in place of Farmer as needed. Larnach plays LF against RHP, and Gallo slides back to LF against RHP since he's generally been neutral against both sides. Taylor figures in here and there as well.

    This is why the Twins built the roster with the depth they currently have. For the short term, it robs the Twins of their depth until Polanco, and even Kirilloff, are ready. But, potentially, Polanco could be ready a couple weeks in to the season. AK, maybe even a little longer just so he can get 100% confident and ready.

    Julien is a phone call away. But no matter how good he looks, he still hasn't played a game above AA. Nothing wrong with him begining the year for St Paul. But if Polanco is on the IL to begin the season, along with Kirilloff, there's room for 1 more add. The question is who might be the extra player for the short term? Is it Garlick as a LHP masher? Is is Castro after having a great ST...even with unsustainable numbers...but experience and position versatility, but experience and talent at only 26yo still? Whoever they choose might have to pass through waivers in order to keep when Polanco is healthy and ready to go. And that stinks. But it's also why the roster was built with this much depth.

    Castro has an option year. Once he is on the 40-man he can go to St. Paul on that option. 

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    17 minutes ago, DocBauer said:

     

    Julien is a phone call away. But no matter how good he looks, he still hasn't played a game above AA. Nothing wrong with him begining the year for St Paul. 

    SSS on Julien’s numbers in spring training and the WBC. A stint at St. Paul will probably provide evidence of when he will make his debut. He’ll get his chance probably sooner than later. 

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    4 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    "Polanco had a compression sleeve on his left knee and a noticeable limp as he walked back to Hammond Stadium."

    A very bad picture

    When Polanco was hurt last season with his knee, we heard nothing. They kept on playing him, although to many of us he was playing hurt.

    All this could have been avoided if they used common sense and rested him (a must for tendonitis) while treating it. Now Polanco has to pay for their negligence.

    We have a lot of options but none that can really replace him right now. He's very valuable to us, if he delays coming back & shows some long term problems; the team will be out a lot money because of another management's folly.

    Actually, we have a lot of options, MOST of whom can replace him right now.  Farmer, Solano, Gordon for sure.  Julien and / or Lee if we have the balls to take a shot.  Pretty much just Lewis & Martin that can't step in now.  Not to mention that this is the type of situation you brought Willi Castro here for.

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    Umm. This just in. Solano looks terrible. He's 35 and no longer has the range of somebody you'd want out there half/most days. He's had precisely two (out of 9 pro seasons) really good batting years by OPS+ standards; 2019 at 116, and the short year of 2020 at 127 (in neither did he appear in more than 81 games). His OPS+ last year was 97, and he is currently hitting .040 (1 for 25) in ST.

    Farmer's OPS+ last year was 90, but at least he can play defense to make up for it.

    I'd start Gordon agains all lefties, Farmer against RHs, and give Solano a chance to get into the mix (but if he isn't hitting by the end of March, you start the countdown clock for Julien and the cutdown clock for Solano).

    Willie Castro would be a good add until Polanco is ready (and if his knee is bad enough after 8-9 months that he's still limping, I doubt we are talking a few weeks). And Larnach for Kirilloff. (Gallo can play 1B, Larnach can DH/OF, and Castro can fill the Gordon UT role since he'll mostly be at 2B.)

    If it were me, I'd release Solano out of ST, sign him to a minor league deal when he clears waivers, or wave goodbye if he walks. Castro is 10 years younger, is likely to hit the same, hits from both sides, and plays more positions than Solano including OF.

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    1 hour ago, stringer bell said:

    SSS on Julien’s numbers in spring training and the WBC. A stint at St. Paul will probably provide evidence of when he will make his debut. He’ll get his chance probably sooner than later. 

    100%

    Once a top prospect reaches AA and performs that well, and throw in the AFL results which are AA PLUS similar...not to mention ST and the WBC...he is, indeed, only a phone call away. A lot of AA players do jump, or jump soon after.  I'm not comparing him as a player, but I recall Knoblauch jumping straight to MLB from AA.

    I agree, sooner rather than later. He just might "Arraez" to the Twins, which is becoming is fast becoming an adverb in Twins dialect, lol.

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    I do think we are overly excited about Willi Castro's SSS spring training stats against plenty of minor league pitchers and some major leaguers who are working on stuff. The past two seasons, he has hit .230 and even the Detroit Tigers chose not to keep him.

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    Just now, FlyingFinn said:

    I do think we are overly excited about Willi Castro's SSS spring training stats against plenty of minor league pitchers and some major leaguers who are working on stuff. The past two seasons, he has hit .230 and even the Detroit Tigers chose not to keep him.

    I’m a Castro backer, but more for what he has offered rather than expecting him to hit like he has in Florida. He’s young (turning 26 next month), versatile and a switch hitter with some speed. 

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    I think this is why Farmer is on the roster.  I mean he would have been the starting SS if they didn't re sign Correa.  I see no reason to not give him the starting 2B gig with Gordon occasionally spelling him?  Gordon will get at bats in the OF, DH and a little 2B too.  But I think Farmer should start 85% of the time.  JMO. I mean the Twins got him for this reason right here.  

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    4 hours ago, Twodogs said:

    I think this is why Farmer is on the roster.  I mean he would have been the starting SS if they didn't re sign Correa.  I see no reason to not give him the starting 2B gig with Gordon occasionally spelling him?  Gordon will get at bats in the OF, DH and a little 2B too.  But I think Farmer should start 85% of the time.  JMO. I mean the Twins got him for this reason right here.  

    I think Gordon is the better option at second versus right handed pitching. Farmer should always be in the lineup against lefties, but his splits against right handers are pedestrian at best. 

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    At this point Solano hasn't earned anything.  We have a TON of options at 2B.  I agree with the idea of releasing Solano at the conclusion of ST and signing him to a minor league contract at that point.  Julien's bat will play.  He could be a very effective leadoff hitter.  I'm hoping Polanco can contribute heavily this season but his condition is concerning.  

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    17 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    "Polanco had a compression sleeve on his left knee and a noticeable limp as he walked back to Hammond Stadium."

    A very bad picture

    When Polanco was hurt last season with his knee, we heard nothing. They kept on playing him, although to many of us he was playing hurt.

    All this could have been avoided if they used common sense and rested him (a must for tendonitis) while treating it. Now Polanco has to pay for their negligence.

    We have a lot of options but none that can really replace him right now. He's very valuable to us, if he delays coming back & shows some long term problems; the team will be out a lot money because of another management's folly.

    No one can make a player play.  If Polanco said he could not go, like what eventually happened, he would have sat.  Sure, could the team have overruled Polanco, yes. However, they do not know how bad the pain is.  As someone who gets recuring different tendonitis each bout is its own thing.  Sometimes the pain is not bad, sometimes it is terrible.  I never really can see it coming on.  Yes, the only way to get it better is rest, but sometimes it would go away in a day or two, sometimes it lingers for weeks. 

    Sometimes the players need to be honest with themselves and the team.  Polanco has played through many different injuries in his career. I am no medical doctor, but in my experience in tendonitis there is little you can do to prevent it in the future, other than just stop doing what you are doing.  Which means, for Polanco retirement.  It is fully possible the Twins shut him down earlier last year, and he is still here with same issue. I would not say we know it would have been avoided, I mean he has sat for nearly 8 months now.  I would also not say this is negligence.  If Polanco is not being honest on how bad things are, hard for any medical people to really give a good opinion. 

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    2 hours ago, stringer bell said:

    I think Gordon is the better option at second versus right handed pitching. Farmer should always be in the lineup against lefties, but his splits against right handers are pedestrian at best. 

    Exactly!

    Also, we got Solano to load up the line-up with RH batters v. LH pitching. Farmer - 3B, Solano - 2B, & Miranda 1B……..at least some combination of these 3 guys at these 3 positions v. LH pitching.

    Gordon daily v. RH pitching.

    Polanco back soon we hope.

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    This is very concerning for Polanco, and very concerning for our lineup. We can replace him in the field but not at the plate. Polanco was our third most important hitter behind Buxton and Correa, arguably second since he played every day.
     

    Think about our top six hitters, assuming Vazquez hits seven. Right now it’s probably Buxton, Correa, Miranda, and… Gallo? Gordon? Larnach? Maybe Kepler has found some thing that he’s never had before outside of 2019? Farmer but only against left-handed pitching? Same for Taylor but not as good? It’s going to be interesting to see how they fill out those 4–6 spots of the order and who leads off. Polanco was one of the key hitters in the lineup, a good RBI man who consistently took good at bats. We are going to miss him a lot in the lineup if he can’t go. We need some young guys to step up or there are going to be a lot of low output came from this team.

    Hey, that Joey Gallo, signing looking better and better all the time, huh? Same for not trading Kepler? Boy, I was wrong about those two moves.

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    43 minutes ago, Trov said:

    No one can make a player play.  If Polanco said he could not go, like what eventually happened, he would have sat.  Sure, could the team have overruled Polanco, yes. However, they do not know how bad the pain is.  As someone who gets recuring different tendonitis each bout is its own thing.  Sometimes the pain is not bad, sometimes it is terrible.  I never really can see it coming on.  Yes, the only way to get it better is rest, but sometimes it would go away in a day or two, sometimes it lingers for weeks. 

    Sometimes the players need to be honest with themselves and the team.  Polanco has played through many different injuries in his career. I am no medical doctor, but in my experience in tendonitis there is little you can do to prevent it in the future, other than just stop doing what you are doing.  Which means, for Polanco retirement.  It is fully possible the Twins shut him down earlier last year, and he is still here with same issue. I would not say we know it would have been avoided, I mean he has sat for nearly 8 months now.  I would also not say this is negligence.  If Polanco is not being honest on how bad things are, hard for any medical people to really give a good opinion. 

    A good ball player who loves the game will want to play no matter what. Polanco is that type of player. If he's hobbling, he'll still go out there if he's sent. From a spectator's view, I could tell he was hurt & it affected his performance. Those who's responsible should have seen it right away & shut him down. 

    Polanco has not had recurring tendonitis in his knee. This tendonitis is due to the injury he suffered last season. I'm not a professional but an injury like this needs rest along with treatment to limit the inflammation to the injured tendon & reoccurrence. If not rested or treated properly right away and constantly aggravated the damage will be greater which delays recovery and more risk of reoccurrence.

    I am shocked that Polanco's knee hasn't recovered 100% yet. Which makes me wonder if there's something worse might have occurred thru the added abuse. 

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    1 hour ago, Doctor Gast said:

    A good ball player who loves the game will want to play no matter what. Polanco is that type of player. If he's hobbling, he'll still go out there if he's sent. From a spectator's view, I could tell he was hurt & it affected his performance. Those who's responsible should have seen it right away & shut him down. 

    Polanco has not had recurring tendonitis in his knee. This tendonitis is due to the injury he suffered last season. I'm not a professional but an injury like this needs rest along with treatment to limit the inflammation to the injured tendon & reoccurrence. If not rested or treated properly right away and constantly aggravated the damage will be greater which delays recovery and more risk of reoccurrence.

    I am shocked that Polanco's knee hasn't recovered 100% yet. Which makes me wonder if there's something worse might have occurred thru the added abuse. 

    Agreed....if it's really just tendonitis, 8 months of rest in the offseason should have been plenty of time to recover.  This one worries me if he is still walking with a limp.....

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    1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

    You think the combination of Gordon/Solano/Farmer and eventually Lewis is up to 7 less wins? 

    If Polanco was a 7 WAR player, he;d be the highest paid Twins

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    5 hours ago, stringer bell said:

    I think Gordon is the better option at second versus right handed pitching. Farmer should always be in the lineup against lefties, but his splits against right handers are pedestrian at best. 

    So, since he doesn't hit well, I'm guessing the Twins traded for Farmer because of his glove then??  I'm trying to figure out why we have him?

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    All of the comments here about Polanco's health is 100% conjecture.  All we know about Polanco's injury is that it is his knee.  That's it.  Most players sign off on letting the public know what is going on, but HIPPA is still a real thing.

    How quickly the tides turn.  Here is one of the most important Twins players of the last 5-7 years, everybody sees an injury and is ready to drop him without any knowledge of what is going on.  Why am I not surprised...

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