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Are 30% Playoff Odds Enough for Twins to Buy at MLB Trade Deadline?

Matthew Taylor
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Mike Sixel GOAT

Mike Sixel

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Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, TheLeviathan said:

That would be fine, the problem is the cost of quality relief pitching is highest right now.  How much are you willing to pay for a reliever?

Look at what Philly spent last year. It's expensive. 

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Craig Arko
Craig Arko

I would probably adopt what the math world calls ‘a mixed strategy.’ That is, buy a little to improve right now, and sell where appropriate to improve for the future. Of course, what constitutes

chpettit19
chpettit19

I'd wait until I see Joe Ryan throw tomorrow before I made any decisions. He already struggles pretty significantly in the second half of seasons so if he's looking like he's struggling right now it'd

amjgt
amjgt

Fangraphs currently has us at 21% to win our division.  If the playoffs started today, the White Sox would have a first round bye.  I think the 30% odds you talk about, under normal circumst

Craig Arko Minnesota Twins

Craig Arko

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Linus said:

It seems like our attention is laser focused on the 30% and doesn’t even compute the 70%. 

How many .300 hitters are there this year? Most players would be pretty happy with 30%.

Linus Wichita Wind Surge

Linus

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Craig Arko said:

How many .300 hitters are there this year? Most players would be pretty happy with 30%.

Huh?

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