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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I seriously doubt there is even one person that comes to this site that does not understand the futility in using a player's BA alone to measure their performance. The only reason to isolate that particular stat is to support a preferred narrative. The 604 OPS is much more indicative of his offensive value.
  2. Major League Ready
    I would prefer to get 2 top 100 prospects and then go resign Ryan in 2028 if he is healthy. They are not getting a discount now so if they are willing to pay the price they can have him or someone like him and a couple good prospects.
  3. Major League Ready
    The most successful modest revenue teams know this, and their actions very clearly demonstrate that they agree with you. History is very clear if we bother to look into how these organizations have acquired their talent. We can't complain that Cleveland or Milwaukee consistently puts a much better product on the field and then insist they follow practices that completely contradict the practices that have promoted their success. I pray he stays healthy and we can make the right deal. It won't help that there are a fewer number of teams than most years with a realistic shot at doing something in the playoffs.
  4. Major League Ready
    I have been hoping for a break-out from Ben Ross for a couple years. He is a good defender and you can put him literally anywhere but catcher. Most importantly he is a legit back-up at SS and CF. He could be a better version of Willi Castro. A guy like Kyler Fedko who came out of nowhere last year is so easy to root for. Outman is better defensively but he has no future with the team. Give Fedko a shot. I really hated the Sabato pick at the time. It would be great to be completely wrong. How great would it be if this guy was the solution at 1B/DH?
  5. Major League Ready
    Sorry. I thought we were talking about Jeffers. My bad.
  6. Major League Ready
    I can except counting all the WAR Berrios provided Toronto if the comparison is all the WAR the twins got with the money they didn't spend on Berrios. The Jays got Berrios for Martin / SWR and $131M expenditure. The equitable comparison for the Twins is they got Martin / SWR and $131M to spend on other players.
  7. Major League Ready
    I thought we were talking about Jeffers. That explains the confusion.
  8. Major League Ready
    Fangraphs and BB Reference have him as a free agent in 2027. What source claims he is signed for $13M next year?
  9. Major League Ready
    Berrios didn’t cease to exist but the Twins contractual control ceased after the 1.33 years from the trade. WHat he did after that control ceased has zero relevance in the context of evaluating the trade. None. The Twins gave up 1.33 years of control and the Blue Jays received 1.33 years of control. The Twins gained SIM and Martin and the Jays lost whatever those players produce. The Twins made a decision not to pay him $131M. If you want to pretend the Twins would have or should have paid him $131M. Then, the appropriate analysis would be what they got in trade AND what they could have produced for $131M spent on another or other free agents. Right now, that decision to not pay him $131M is looking pretty good.
  10. Major League Ready
    I don't think so. He is a free agent at the end of this season.
  11. Major League Ready
    Are you predicting they play well enough to have a good shot at the playoffs or are you suggesting they will act with incompetence?
  12. Major League Ready
    They can't force them to sign. It changes nothing strategically. They should still go get a return for Ryan and Jeffers. Then, go sign them in free agency.
  13. Major League Ready
    I am not sure where the difference lies. I asked AI ... What was the total spend on payroll with benefits in 2026 and what would it have been under the proposed payroll by the owners which was a floor of $150M and a ceiling of $300M Using the 2026 Opening Day payroll figures, total MLB payroll was approximately $5.81 billion. If you apply a hypothetical system with: Payroll floor: $150 million Payroll ceiling: $300 million and simply move every club below $150M up to $150M and every club above $300M down to $300M, the result would be: Actual 2026 payroll $5.810 billion Calculated with a $150M floor / $300M cap, Payroll would have been $6.071 billion. This is a net increase of $262M. The players proposal is actually very close in terms of the net number. The difference in the proposals would be a massive impact on the valuation of teams. A super majority of owners would be required to pass. This is highly unlikely. AI will give you a breakdown if you ask it if this proposal would be likely to pass. Here is the bottom line from AI. MLB bylaws require 23 of 30 clubs (75%) for a major structural change. A rough estimate: Group Clubs Likely Vote Small-market beneficiaries 8-10 Yes Large-market contributors 8-9 No Middle-market clubs 11-13 Split Suppose: 9 beneficiaries vote yes. 8 large-market clubs vote no. You would then need 14 of the remaining 13 clubs, which is impossible. Even if a couple of large-market clubs surprisingly supported the proposal, you'd still need almost every middle-market owner on board.
  14. Major League Ready
    OK. So, why are they proposing it? It's salary neutral so any argument that it's about profitability is not supported by the impact on aggregate payroll of the league. I don't really understand where you are coming from with the statement that competitive balance won't help the league. If you are suggesting it won't grow revenue, I find it hard to believe that strengthening the weak markets won't bring out more people. However, let's say that's true. I don't care about profitability. Reducing the large gap in revenue / salary helps my team. It would give my team a shot a holding onto players and my team a little better odds of fielding a contender.
  15. Major League Ready
    I wondered how you came to this conclusion. Did you do the math? I was about to do the math myself when I realized I could ask AI to do the math for me. Turns out the payroll neutral cap using a $150M floor is $294M. Your assumption has no merit. It would appear the owners offer is to provide a payroll neutral model that would give teams /fans better competitive balance and the players are using this desire to provide competitive balance to get a bigger cut.
  16. Major League Ready
    If you are betting there will be a prolonged strike, why would you sit on your hands, especially given the current team is not a contender. Move the players set to expire this year and next and position the team for 2028.
  17. Major League Ready
    I ran this scenario through A/I and the floor of $171 and a cap of $246M makes sense. It's pretty close to a wash in terms of total payroll spend. The top revenue teams would need to provide a substantial subsidy to the low revenue teams. The bottom teams would be losing money for certain with the present revenue sharing model. The valuation for those teams would literally go to zero unless the rest of the league forces the top 7 teams to give the bottom 7 teams would have to cover a $500M subsidy over the current sharing model. I think it would be good for the game but I suspect there are legal obstacles to taking revenue from these teams.
  18. Major League Ready
    If they were to perform equally, Twins win this trade by a considerable margin.
  19. Major League Ready
    Thanks. I just flat out missed the splits on the MLB page.
  20. Major League Ready
    Let's hope it's a confidence thing with Lewis and this reset at AAA is just exactly what he needs. I am skeptical but it would be very unfortunate if he becomes a AAAA player. We should all be rooting for this young man's future to be a productive member of the ML club.
  21. Major League Ready
    Yes, 3B is definitely the best fit for Lee. There is also the fact that the Twins have 4 guys that are at least as good or better at 2B. (Arcia / Kriedler / Clemmons and Keaschall) You could even make an argument we would be better off with Martin at 2B if not for Martin's significant defensive improvement in the OF.
  22. Major League Ready
    You might be right. I will take note and we will see what happens next fall/winter.
  23. Major League Ready
    I would question how much Skubal's Arb 3 ruling impacts Ryan. Skubal's bWAR for the last 2 years is 13.2. Ryan's is 7/1. Skubal is the next level up and that level often decides playoff games. Dylan Cease got $13.75 in his Arb 3 season and his performance has tracked a fair amount higher than Ryan. If Ryan continues to perform close to his current level he might get close to Cease money. Just an opinion of course.
  24. Major League Ready
    I pray for a big haul from Ryan and hopefully Jeffers stays hot and brings a good prospect. I hate to see Buxton go but as they say ... if the price is right. The Guardians are once again on top of the central and the Ray's have the best record in the AL. Those two teams consistently trade for younger / cheaper talent with more years of control. Why, when fans hate it? Because the only way a team with half the revenue can possibly construct a true contender is to trade a year or a year and a half of control for 7 years of control at a cost far less per WAR than free agents or even the last couple years of arbitration. These teams have traded many productive players with .5 - 1.5 years of control for prospects or MLB ready players that performed well for them for 5+ years and then traded that player for a player that gave them another 5 or 6 years of production. (ie. Cory Kliuber) That's a big part of their success. Many fans hate the idea but the evidence and the success as compared to other organizations is quite clear.
  25. Major League Ready
    I have been watching and rooting for Fedko since he took off in AA last year so I want to see him get a shot. However, I am not sure how you can come to the conclusion he should have been up by August. He didn't even get promoted to AAA until August 1st. He was pretty good at AAA (.829 OPS) wRC+ was 15% above league average. This just does not scream promotion. There is no indication IMO that the organization does not believe in Fedko. He has been playing at a higher level this year through 137 ABs. If he is still playing at the same level after 250 or 300 ABs, we can start to question why he is not up.
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