Major League Ready
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Everything posted by Major League Ready
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Twins Prospect Hendry Mendez to Get Time at First
Major League Ready replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I sure hope that decision was made at the end of last season and that he was working on it over the break. -
The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
Major League Ready replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I am quite sure that the Pohlad's did not unilaterally set strategy prior to Tom showing up. It's most likely they managed the budget and let Falvey dictate strategy within that budget. I think the upheaval was a result of Tom taking the reins and insisting they had to compete in 2026 no matter how unrealistic that was at the present level of spending. Falvey told him he had his head in the sand and Tom fired him.- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
- cole sands
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The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
Major League Ready replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We just will have to agree to disagree. my point has nothing to do with specific personnel decisions. I am talking about their strategy, and the Cardinals are following a very different strategy. Zoll had virtually nothing to say about the decision to reverse directions in the middle of a rebuild. I am also quite certain that in the same position, Milwaukee, Cleveland, and Tampa would be doing the same thing as St. Louis.- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
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The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
Major League Ready replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Personnel decisions are done withing the context of the direction taken by the team. Put the best team you can on the field even if the likely result is a sub 500 team vs trying to build a contender. It sure seems to me that Tom Pohlad has chosen the direction. He has stated they have to win this year and that explains the difference between the Cardinals approach and the approach taken by the Twins. He is also very influential in determining the budget which of course has a huge impact on personnel decisions. Zoll's personnel decisions are a byproduct Pohlad's direction. The Cardinals and Twins have taken opposite approaches. Which organization do you have more faith in?- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
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The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
Major League Ready replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Tom Pohlad should take notice of what the Cardinals are doing and ask himself if he knows more about running a MLB team than the Cardinals organization collectively. Then, he should go hire someone who knows what they are doing and let them do it.- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
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The most successful low revenue teams have acquired half of the pitching as prospects. While I think it's note worthy to differentiate so that we can judge their drafting, I don't think it makes sense to suggest their effort to build a pipeline is somehow diminished because they didn't draft them all. If you go back a few years, Cleveland's had years where half or more of their best pitchers were acquired as prospects. In 2017, they had 8 pitchers that produced 1.5 WAR , five of them were acquired as prospects on one was drafted. Corey Kluber AaP Carlos Carrasco AaP Trevor Bauer AaP Andrew Miller Trade for established player Danny Salazar Intl Mike Clevinger AaP Josh Tomlin Drafted Bryan Shaw AaP The 2025 Brewers had 6 pitchers with 1.5 WAR and four of them were acquired as prospects. The 99 win 2023 Rays had a staff that was mostly acquired as prospects. That team only had 3 pitchers with more than 1.5 WAR but they had a bunch of guys in the pen that contributed. Among their top 10 pitcher by WAR, eight of them were acquired as prospects. Zach Eflin FA Tyler Glasnow AaP Shane McClanahan Drafted Drew Rasmussen AaP Shawn Armstrong AaP Pete Fairbanks AaP Kevin Kelly AaP Robert Stephenson AaP Zack Littell AaP Colin Poche AaP
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- kohl stewart
- tyler jay
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Your interpretation looks well-reasoned to me. What I read in his statement is never mind the situation screams for a rebuild especially given the fact the team is already substantially down that path. We need revenue now, so Joe expects/demands they be much better in 2026 in spite of making minimal investment toward that goal. Absolutely delusional. We should all fear for the team's future with this guy in charge. If you want a comparison of what a good organization does in this situation, take a look at the Cardinals. The approach could not be more different. Who do you trust to make the right moves to build a contender? Is it Tom Pohlad or the Cardinals? Their approaches are completely different. One of them has no clue.
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The Pohlads Are Running Out of Scapegoats
Major League Ready replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This remains to be seen for me. I always looked at the Pohlads more indifferently than most here. I didn't think they contributed any direction but they spent in line with the market. Now, I am wondering if Tom and the family did a 180 in the middle of a rebuild. I wonder if Tom is really so delusional that he thinks this roster is poised to compete in 2026. I have seen the desire for immediate results drive really bad decisions with clients. Someone posted a quote in another thread where he said "we have to be good". Well, need does not get you much if you don't do anything to improve your chances of getting what you need.- 47 replies
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- derek falvey
- tom pohlad
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Among the good trades I would put Ryan 1st and Buxton 2nd because those moves had several years of impact. Ryan is #1 because getting that kind of talent for a rental is a big win. I would rate the Lopez trade 3rd. Jeffers 4th. He helped the team for several years. However, he has been good not great. The 1st Correa signing was good but one year is not that impactful. None of the bad moves were that impactful. They did not give up any above average players in those trades. Obviously, Pressly was an impact player but they lost him for a year. That's just not nearly as impactful as giving up a player with multiple years of control. IMO, Falvey's trades were not the problem. We simply did not develop enough talent to compete.
- 60 replies
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- derek falvey
- pablo lopez
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This makes no sense to me. You are suggesting they should not rebuild because their position players are not good enough to make them competitive. Isn't that why you rebuild? Isn't the idea to trade Ryan and Lopez to get players that can help us build a contender? A rebuild means transitioning out all the 0-2 WAR players you mentioned. They have Keaschall / Martin and perhaps Lewis along with a host of other position player prospects that are close. Add the 3rd pick next year to what they could get for Ryan and Lopez and you at least have a lot better chance of putting together a contender. That group might fail too but at least there is a decent chance of building a contender. This current group with the minimal level of investment made so far has no chance.
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Trades for players like Ryan and Lopez don't happen in November. Peralta was not traded until 1/21 and Gore on 1/22. So, to say he had months to make this type of trade just does not reflect a realistic scenario.
- 71 replies
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- derek falvey
- tom pohlad
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If you are correct, and I think your assertions are very reasonable, we are screwed! It sure looks like this is driven by delusion and desperation. The "we have to have a good season in 2026" quote is really telling. Never mind reality of the relative strength of the roster, and never mind we are unwilling to spend, "we have to have a good season in 2026" so let's bury our heads in the sand and insist we have a roster to contend. I think we went from bad to worse. I am always reluctant to speculate about something like the separation with Falvey because we have limited insight. However, with what we do know, I am a lot more inclined to think Falvey was going down the path of what he thought would be a relatively quick rebuild given the number of near ready players and what he anticipated getting from Ryan / Lopez, and perhaps even Buxton. Joe shows up and insists we do a 180 and we do it without investing. This is beyond idiotic and it's pretty easy to believe Falvey told him as much. There is your clash and who is going to take that job if this is what really happened. The only person taking it is someone willing to follow Joe's lead no matter how ill-conceived. I think things just got a lot worse. I think you hit this one on the head and we are screwed until the Pohlad's are out. They have gone from no help to a major impediment.
- 71 replies
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- derek falvey
- tom pohlad
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Based on last year's deadline, you have to believe Falvey was going to rebuild. They were positioned much better to do this quickly than the vast majority of teams that rebuild. It seemed to me like most of the baseball world assumed he would sell of their remaining high value assets. Then, they announced they were keeping Ryan / Lopez and we wondered if they were just posturing because it made little sense unless they were going to significantly increase spending which seemed highly unlikely. Here is what I think. New guy comes in, surveys the situation, Many fans hated the idea of a rebuild. TD is a good example of that sentiment. Joe does not want to look bad nor does he want to take the heat while the team rebuilds so he chooses to change directions which just happens to be the worst possible choice if the goal is to build an actual contender. If a lot of things go right, they will be competitive which in no way should be confused with a contender. They can always change direction again at the deadline if they are as bad as expected next year. The cost in terms of long-term health are not the great if Ryan/Lopez remain healthy and perform. Of course, the cost will be substantial if that's not the case. The worst case scenario is they are just close enough to influence them to not to sell-off and we end up with no return and no playoff series. In other words, perpetual mediocrity.
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I would like to know who decided to tear down the BP and then "go for it" in 2026" where go for it means spending less and where the additions are Bell and Caratini. That's just delusional. The Cardinals were in a similar position. What did they do? They traded their best SP while paying $20M of his salary. If that person is Joe Pohlad or the Pohlad family, we are fighting an uphill battle until they are gone.
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A change based on lack of results would be reasonable. There is also the possibility he started down the path of a rebuild which you would have to believe was blessed by ownership. Was the decision to stop in the middle of a rebuild made by management? In other words, did thy do a 180 in the middle of a rebuild. If so, that's a no win situation for a CBO, especially if they insisted on keeping the spending level down which certainly looks to be the case. If that happened, one could see why Falvey would want out.
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Why is that a concern? He is in A ball. It's not like he was going to have any role on the big-league club. We have a ton of pitchers needing auditions so the fact that he is a couple years away is not a problem.
- 85 replies
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- pierson ohl
- edouard julien
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Do you consider Tampa Bay foolish? TB has had (8) 90-win teams in the past 20 years. 41% of their WAR produced in those years where they won 90 or more was produced by players acquired as prospects. They actually produced less WAR from the draft and International Draft combined. See chart below. BTW ... The low revenue team with the most 90-win seasons is Cleveland. Their ratio is actually a couple percentage points higher. The theory that this is a foolish practice is derived from ignoring history. 8 Tampa Bay Rays WINS Drafted Intl AaP Trade FA 100% Tampa Bay 2021 100 24.5% 5.9% 54.0% 0.0% 15.6% 100% Tampa Bay 2023 99 13.8% 9.8% 66.2% 0.0% 10.2% 100% Tampa Bay 2008 97 45.7% 0.0% 33.2% 4.5% 16.6% 99% Tampa Bay 2019 96 18.6% 0.0% 45.8% 9.0% 26.0% 100% Tampa Bay 2010 96 64.7% 0.0% 22.1% 9.1% 4.1% 100% Tampa Bay 2013 92 50.7% 0 28.6% 8.5% 12.2% 100% Tampa Bay 2011 91 61.5% 0.0% 33.0% 5.5% 0.0% Tampa bay 2018 90 18.6% 0.0% 45.8% 9.0% 26.6% Tampa Bay Total 95.13 37.3% 2.0% 41.1% 5.7% 13.9%
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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You mean losers like the 2024 Brewers who won 93 games, traded away their Cy Young winning pitcher and went on to the best record in MLB in 2025 and then traded their top SP. How did they get acquire that top SP BTW. Oh yes, he was acquired as a prospect. Of course, then you have losers like the Guardians who have been the most inclined of any team in MLB to make this type of trade. Those losers have more 90 win seasons than any team in the bottom half of revenue over the past 20 years. Why not spend 20 minutes to validate your position. All you need to do is pull up a successful team on Fangraphs, sort by WAR, and their acquisition method is listed.
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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You really should take a look at a few winning teams in the bottom half of revenue. There is plenty of variability in how they were built but in aggregate, players acquired as prospects account for almost as much WAR as drafted players. They account for more than double the WAR of free agents and triple the WAR of established players acquired in trade. You make this statement repeatedly. I tell you to go look at you obviously don't care to be encumbered by the facts. Try actually looking at a few teams like last year's Brewers team. Half of their most productive players were acquired as prospects.
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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The cool thing about baseball is occasionally teams really surprise us. That said, I would be right there with you placing a sizeable wager on the under. Honestly, I think they are taking the path of least resistance. They can pray for absolutely everything to go right and sell at the deadline if it doesn't. Probably not the best plan and they take on considerable risk but either Falvey convinced ownership or ownership dictated this direction. Either way, more pursuit of mediocrity.
- 50 replies
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- bryon buxton
- pablo lopez
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
Major League Ready replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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