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This is really interesting. I was thinking they could create a new stat that started with wRC+ and then subtracted runs gained or lost defensively. I have not given it enough thought to have a strong opinion on if such a stat would have merit. DRS has its deficiencies, but the combined stat would provide a way to make the comparison you suggest.
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Completely agree. Wallner and Sabato's offensive production is diminished by their defensive ineptitude. I was Simply making the point that Jenkins offensive production is not screaming he needs to be promoted. Culpepper had very similar offensive numbers and he is not inspiring confidence out of the gate. BTW .... I was very happy to see Culpepper promoted because the other option is Kreidler and Culpepper is likely to be at least as good offensively.
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Massey has very good range but a weak arm. I don't think we would be gaining anything over Clemens or Keashall at 2B and Keashall has the potentially to be quite a bit better offensively. This is just a short-term view. By mid-season next year, they hopefully have Culpepper at 2B and Houston at SS. The OF is Buxton, Jenkins, and Rodriguez. Now that's a team that can play defense and run the bases.
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His FB velocity is 90-92 so that will be an issue but his command is good. Maybe they could pull a little more velo out of him as a RP.
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His OPS is 150 points lower than Wallner and Sabato. He ranks 12th in OPS among Saints players. His numbers are decent and he has been a little better lately, but I would not characterize his production as demanding a spot on the MLB roster.
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If the goal is mediocrity .... Then yes. He has proven he knows how to perpetuate the mediocre performance we have seen on the field in the vast majority of the last 20 seasons.
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I am not ready to declare Rojas an all-star just yet and I did not see the need to pull that trigger at the time. However, I have watched Rojas quite a bit in STP and he definitely could become the stud you predict. If that happens, it will, have been a good trade. Let's check back in about two years.
- 45 replies
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- trade deadline
- taj bradley
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Agreed. My take on Clemmons is that we are in good shape if he plays a Willi Castro type of role, meaning the first guy off the bench. A guy who can step right in and deliver above average offense and average defense is a valuable piece of a winning team. Plus, he plays hard and he is pretty darn good in the clutch.
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Clemens is at least league average defensively at multiple positions. IDK why he gets disrespected.
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Many teams gain an advantage through positional flexibility, but the Twins don't quite have the right personnel to take advantage. I can see a scenario developing by the middle of next year, we have a lot less movement. Hopefully, Houston becomes the SS for the next several years. Culpepper probably ends up at 2B, Lee at 3B and Royce at 1B. The only guys moving around a lot are the guys meant to be Utility players.
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No. They are not the Twins. They are the model of success for any modest revenue team. Do you want them to follow a less successful strategy because they have not executed the type of plan these teams follow or do you want them to become better at the model with the greatest chance of success?
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There are two dominate teams from small markets this year. (Milwaukee and Tampa) How many of their top producing or even average players were acquired as proven MLB players? Since I assume you will ignore te any facts that don't support your narrative, I will give you the answer. Zero. How many were acquired before they were proven and by proven, I mean had even one season of average production? The answer is six for Milwaukee and six for Tampa.
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You need to actually examine that statement. Take a look at Tampa and Cleveland's track record trading for established players vs established players. The ratio 8 or 10:1 Milwaukee is not far behind. Trading for established players plays a VERY small role in the success of these teams. Trading for prospects plays a major role.
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I am quite OK with this approach if it serves its function which I assume is developmental. They must believe more frequent outings will assist in whatever it is they are working on with him. It's not like a big-league game where you are trying to get the most out of your starter in order to win the game and also preserve the BP. Development should have priority at least to a degree over winning in the minors. BTW .... He appears to be getting more consistent. I thought he look really good. Maybe this approach is helping.
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They said during the broadcast that they want to pitch him every four days and they planned the game for 3 innings for Rojas. My guess is that they are hoping that getting him out there more frequently will improve his consistency. He looked really good last night so perhaps it's working.
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- kaelen culpepper
- aaron sabato
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Great. I get your point, but you made a specific reference to having a speed guy off the bench. It's kind of pointless if you don't have a solution and I just don't know who that would be within our system.
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That sounds good in theory. Who specifically would you bring up?
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One reason is that he would lose Rookie status for next year. Wait a week and he would maintain Rookie status for next year. It makes no sense to forfeit Rookie status for next year for one week on the roster this year.
- 78 replies
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- game recap
- brooks lee
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They don't have anyone that is above average at 2B and 3B is Lee's best position so it would seem Culpepper is most likely to end up at 2B. This team really needs Houston and Culpepper to work out. Houston being the Minor League Hitter of the Month is really good news. However, if Lee does not improve offensively, the best alignment might be with Culpepper at 3B, and Keashall at 2B.
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I can get behind this plan. Ryan made $6.2M this year, scheduled for $13M next year. If they spend an extra 20M on that spot, the net change is very viable if all the young guys you mentioned are up. The other net changes would be: +8.9M for Hoffman. -6.7M from Jeffers. -5.75 for Bell. Larnach and Lewis get increases as would Kremer and Ober if they remain on the team. They will also need to replace or resign Minter. The net would be an increase of 30-35M.
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That makes sense. They need to replace Larnach in the field. Did you notice the last few games the plays he could not quite get to that were costly? He could be a DH but they have too many potential upgrades in the system to plug the holes in the OF or at SS with a free agent. They could spend some money on a catcher next year and move Caratini to a BU role but I don't see that happening. Where you would most commonly expect to spend would be on the rotation. They already have Ryan, Lopez, Bradley, Ober, Kremer, Abel, Prielipp, Matthews, Rojas, and perhaps Festa for next year. If they bring in another guy, they are 6 deep in veterans. Abel, Prielipp, Matthews, Rojas, and Festa would be depth. They could trade Ober and Kramer replacing them with one front of the rotation guy. That works and of course pitchers get hurt but stashing this many quality SP prospects at AAA does not seem like a good plan. At the end of next year they will lose 4 of these 6 veterans. Now you are back to a very inexperienced rotation. It actually makes more sense that they would add a SP in 2028 to supplement some combination of Bradley, Abel, Prielipp, Rojas, Matthews, Quick, Ellwanger, and Soto
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There are two MLB teams with below average revenue doing really well this year. Tampa has 10 players on track to produce 1.5 WAR or more. One of them (Martinez) was acquired as a free agent. He is on a 1 year $9M deal with a mutual option for 2027. Milwaukee has 15 players on track to produce 1.5 WAR or more. None of them were acquired as free agents. It sure could not hurt if the Twins spent another $40M but the role of free agency for below average revenue teams has to be filing a hole or two. Any more reliance than that and the likelihood of meaningful success is quite low.
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I am as pro prospect as anyone. However, Jenkins and Culpeper have an OPS 150 points lower than Wallner and Sabato. Why should we believe they are ready to impact a pennant race? Rodriguez makes more sense to me. It's time we get a look at him. I would give him 3 games back with the Saints and bring him up. Now, had the organization recognized they were not a contender, they could make moves like this that are designed to develop and build a contending team.
- 66 replies
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- game recap
- dean kremer
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Given what Boston gave up, it seems plausible they could have gotten Eyanson straight-up. If they passed on Eyanson, that would be disappointing.
