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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Thanks for taking the time to make that post. I was thinking the same thing but thought to myself that it would take a lot of explanation so I just let it go. Let me add that we often scoff at some of the practices of the Brewers / Rays / Guardians. We might say that Megill was dumpster diving. Martinez was a 1 year $9M deal. The Rays traded Adames to get Rasmussen when he was just getting started was not yet established. These teams don't really draft any better than the Twins. However, they do a lot better job of acquiring young / unestablished talent. Money definitely matters but the point to be taken from you here IMO is why are we obsessed with spending when it's simply not feasible for the Twins to spend like teams in the top 10 in revenue. Many of us have been saying for a few years now that the Rays / Brewers & Guardians have shown us quite clearly what needs to be done. The Twins have chosen to ignore their example. That has never been clearer than this last year when the Twins managed to minimize the value of their tradeable assets.
  2. Major League Ready
    Brewers Payroll From Spotrac. More than 1/3 of their payroll went to the injured list or dead money. Our problems were deeper than Lopez going down and paying $10M of Correa's salary for Houston.
  3. Major League Ready
    Falvey had a different idea and apparently stood his ground. Zoll could have done the same and then we would be talking about the next guy willing to take that job. This owner, despite knowing jack s#i! about building a baseball team, demanded a direction be taken. Had he backed that up with spending, perhaps there would have been somewhat of a case. There only other option would have been to empty the farm system to bolster a bad team which would have been even dumber than reversing course in the middle of a rebuild. If your boss insists on an incompetent plan, the person executing it may or may not be incompetent, but the root of the problem is the owner insisting on a really bad plan.
  4. Major League Ready
    I think the biggest question they need to answer is are they going to manage their assets in a manner that promotes building a contender or are they going to place the emphasis on the immediate term. They could do a little of both. For example, if they invested in the BP, those assets are very tradeable at the deadline. That position is also the least predictable.
  5. Major League Ready
    Those 3 teams had a total of 41 players that produced 1.5 WAR or more (1.2 for RPs). Of those 41 players, there was one free agent and one player that was acquired as a somewhat established player. They did not spend wisely. They drafted and acquired prospects and developed them and there were a couple well executed extensions of young players (Rameriz / Chourio) very early in their careers.
  6. Major League Ready
    I want to see them sold at this point as much as anyone. However, I don't think the Pohlad's are going to be convinced to sell in a hurry so that a "saavy buyer" can cash in on a valuation that is on the verge of a very substantial increase. I would be more inclined to believe their desire to sell diminished when they figured out the league was headed for more revenue sharing. I think they are bad owners but I don't think they are stupid.
  7. Major League Ready
    I don't see it happening until the CBA is completed. There looks to be a real push for significantly more revenue sharing. Of course, this would significantly increase the value of the teams that are on the receiving end of that sharing. If you are a seller, waiting it out could mean a much bigger payday.
  8. Major League Ready
    My first post had a typo. If you look back, the premise of that post was if they "invest in a 1B". I meant to say Culpepper goes to 2B.
  9. Major League Ready
    I was thinking about this myself. They could leave Clemmen at 2B and invest in a 1B. Clemmens moves to super utility when Houston comes up and Culpepper goes to 1B. That's probably what they do if they are big believers in Houston.
  10. Major League Ready
    My understanding is that it includes player benefits. That make perfect sense. Every business includes the cost of benefits in personnel cost. It also provides consistency for the floor regardless of if compensation is increased via salary or benefits. It's roughly $23M/team so the payroll minimum would be $148M.
  11. Major League Ready
    Trading a good prospect for yet another SP that would become a free agent in 2027 might be the dumbest thing they could possibly do.
  12. Major League Ready
    They might also have Kreidler or Ross as a bench player. They could have a roster with 7 guys that can play better OF than Larnach. If they can trade him before the arbitration deadline, great but I sure am not worried about Larnach leaving a hole in the roster.
  13. Major League Ready
    That's what the Twins have been doing for the last decade and it's not worked out so good. They have plenty OF depth and one key acquisition at 1B or 2B would allow them to move Lewis. What would be really great would be if Keaschall could play quite a bit at 1B. That would allow them to hide Keaschall's defense. Getting a good 2B and putting Keaschall at 1B/Of and Clemmens at 1B/OF gives this team way more ceiling IMO. We also gain ceiling by moving on from Ober. One of the young guys has to be better if we are going to improve this team.
  14. Major League Ready
    I would much rather they reconstruct the roster. Bring in a 2B via trade or free agency. Put Keaschall at 1B/OF and let Clemmons play pretty much every day as a super utility or DH. They should have Roden doing 1B drills this off-season too.
  15. Major League Ready
    The average cost paid per WAR is not the same as value. Nobody is paying Bailey Ober $14.4M. Just as nobody would pay $24M/year for Brooks Lee. A lot of free agents drastically underperform which makes the average WAR per dollar spent much lower than expected.
  16. Major League Ready
    It's time to shake it up. Players like Larnach, Lewis and Ober time will not get it done. They have refused to make the changes others have spoke of and the result is clear. Let's not continue down the same path to mediocrity.
  17. Major League Ready
    I think you have to make a distinction in type of trade. Trading prospects for an established player is strategically very different than trading for unproven players in whatever form such a trade is made. I have only looked at the players that produce 1.5 WAR or greater so I can't speak to all the players and trades your reference here. However, among those productive players, none of them were acquired after producing a season of 1.5 WAR or greater. In other words, all of those players that were acquired in trade were prospects in some form. The off-season discussions on acquiring players via trade is generally focused on acquiring established players to immediately impact the roster. Our discussion here has been improving the 2027 roster. So, when Gman stated, " I think there are very few teams that build a contender from trades", he is right if he meant this in the context of acquiring established players.
  18. Major League Ready
    Why would they need to keep Larnach / Lewis / Ober? They have Ryan / Lopez / Bradley / Kremer / Prielipp / Matthews / Rojas and possibly Festa. They have Buxton / Jenkins / Keaschall / Rodriquez / Roden / Martin for OF. If they sign a 1B or 2B FA, Clemmens could be used in the OF if needed. Lewis is easily replaced by a free agent. Clemmens and Keaschall could also contribute at 1B. They would be a better team if the used the money from Larnach / Ober and Lewis to sign louis Arraez or Brandon Lowe at 2B. I could even see filing 1B with France and putting Clemmens at 2B until Houston makes his way up and Culpepper goes to 2B. At that point, Clemmens moves to a super utility role. These combinations are definitely better than having Lewis at 1B and Larnach in the OF, especially defensively. I will take my chances with Preilipp or Matthews outperforming Ober as a SP. Could he up the velocity out of the pen and be good for a couple innings in relief. Maybe. That's a reasonable question.
  19. Major League Ready
    Rotowire says Spring Training.
  20. Major League Ready
    Those 3 would account for almost $20M. Spend that money on one good player or 2 RPs.
  21. Major League Ready
    That's a good point about Sands having an option.
  22. Major League Ready
    How much excess value do any of those players have? What would Lewis, Larnach, or Sands bring in trade? Not much. They could keep Lewis and still open his roster spot by making Lewis a utility player. They need to upgrade some positions. Running the same failed players out there and expecting a different result is not a good plan. We would be in much better shape had they accepted this reality last off-season.
  23. Major League Ready
    Yep. There was just no need to make that move. However, I believe Falvey thought he could rebuild much more quickly than a normal rebuild. When I looked at what he was doing, I thought he could put an entertaining young team on the field for 26 and 27 and be back in contention in 2028. If Rojas is a legit #2, it's a good trade. If he is a back of the BP arm and Roden is an average OFer, it's still a decent trade. In that context, he was making the kind of move that gives a chance at contention that some of us want to see. The vision is not hard to see now. Had they traded Ryan for Tolle and another good piece, perhaps even Arais and they had traded Jeffers for Eyanson, they could be in great shape by 2028 and well beyond. The rotation would be Tolle / Bradley / Rojas / Prielipp and Matthews or Eyanson. That would look pretty good with Quick / Ellwanger / Soto / Wachsman and Bohorquez as the next wave. Plus, Hill had they not decided they were a contender. Point being, I didn't like the Varland trade but the direction they were headed gave them a chance to build a contender. That's a lot more appealing to me than operating on the delusion this team was a contender in 2026. They still have a lot of young talent but they certainly have not maximized their opportunity like Milwaukee or Cleveland would have.
  24. Major League Ready
    I would guess there were some White Sox fans that proclaimed trading Crochett and Kopech was "just plain stupid". No way they make the playoffs this year without those trades.
  25. Major League Ready
    I never understand this focus on drafting only when it comes to building a pitching staff. The 23 Rays won 99 games. They drafted one of their top 10 pitchers by WAR. Their best SP (Eflin) was a free Agent Acquisition. The other 8 were acquired as prospects.
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