Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 I apologize because I know we've all seen this topic before but it's the turn of a new month and I still think these numbers should be screaming at someone. Since July 1, 2015 including April 2016 (The last 4 months) Brian Dozier At Bats 424Hits 86Batting Average .203Home Runs 15 Looks like a less powerful Chris Carter to me.
nicksaviking Community Moderator Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Until Josh Willingham destroyed the left field seats at TF, Dozier was a high OBP, hit-to-all-fields hitter. I am still surprised he didn't give up his super-pull tendencies this year after his prior approach failed the second half last year. I know he'll get a much longer leash, but I'm ready for Polanco, the team needs his on base skills.
TheLeviathan Old-Timey Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Well presented point. Clearly argued. Not a small sample. My god are you going to get strawmanned......good luck to you sir. I hope you fare better than the rest of us did.
jorgenswest Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 I am not sure why pick the middle of a previous season unless some injury can be pointed to on that date that may have indicated a skill change. He happened to have a great May and June so it conveniently misses that data. His talent level is somewhere in between. He will likely be close to the league average 2B as he finishes out his prime seasons and years of control with the Twins. That is a useful player but not one that should be batting at the top of the lineup.
bluechipper Provisional Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Brian Dozier has a .197 BABIP so far this year. That should come up some eventually, but he's always been a low BABIP guy in the .260 range. Can any of you recall many other "power" hitters who hit so many weak fly balls and easy grounders when they don't connect for a HR? It's basically all or nothing with Dozier.
Primetime82 Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Dozier is toast. He'll never learn to hit the other way and teams have adjusted to the only thing he does well at the plate. He hasn't exactly been good in the field this season either. Should have traded him while his value was sky high and the team wasn't competitive. Now we have a turd 2nd basemen we'll never remove from the lineup with a promising young player ready to takeover. Typical Twins though, Polanco will get his chance after 2/3 more years of pathetic ball from Dozier.
Pardon My Dinger Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 I think our April is a blessing in disguise. Out with the old, in with the World Series in 2018.
Hrbowski Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Dozier hits way more flyballs than Chris Carter.
Thrylos Old-Timey Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 I apologize because I know we've all seen this topic before but it's the turn of a new month and I still think these numbers should be screaming at someone. Since July 1, 2015 including April 2016 (The last 4 months) Brian Dozier At Bats 424Hits 86Batting Average .203Home Runs 15 Looks like a less powerful Chris Carter to me. Got to add: Lame plays at second base: 23
bluechipper Provisional Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Dozier hits way more flyballs than Chris Carter.Just this year. For their careers, Carter is at 48.9% compared to Dozier at 42.5%.
USAFChief Twins Daily Contributor Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 Chris Carter?? All Carter does is catch touchdowns.
Winston Smith Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 This team has a real hard time benching anyone with tenure or a muti-year contract no matter how bad it gets. Terry said yesterday he is accountable, however he has a lifetime contract, so how is he accountable if no matter how bad things get he keeps his job? See a pattern? Change is hard to come by with the Twins.
Rosterman Verified Member Posted May 1, 2016 Posted May 1, 2016 You don't keep giving a guy an extra at bat (and an out) when he is struggling as bad as Dozier. You move him down in the order until he gets his act together.
Platoon Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 I am not sure why pick the middle of a previous season unless some injury can be pointed to on that date that may have indicated a skill change. He happened to have a great May and June so it conveniently misses that data.His talent level is somewhere in between. He will likely be close to the league average 2B as he finishes out his prime seasons and years of control with the Twins. That is a useful player but not one that should be batting at the top of the lineup. I would imagine the middle of last year is when pitchers finally accepted what seemed like an obvious fact. You can miss anywhere in the entire batters box area with BD, and get away with it, except for one small area. Very top of the zone, and in. Everyone has a weak spot, but few have one that large. And no I don't think it's because he can't hit to the other side, he had three hits there the other day. He thinks he is a HR hitter, he likes that scene. It's kind of a shame, he could be a good player if he wanted.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted May 2, 2016 Author Posted May 2, 2016 I am not sure why pick the middle of a previous season unless some injury can be pointed to on that date that may have indicated a skill change. He happened to have a great May and June so it conveniently misses that data.His talent level is somewhere in between. He will likely be close to the league average 2B as he finishes out his prime seasons and years of control with the Twins. That is a useful player but not one that should be batting at the top of the lineup. I chose July because it was the start of the month and on July 1st... His Batting Average was .268 and that was his high water mark. That's when the downhill clearly began.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted May 2, 2016 Author Posted May 2, 2016 Brian Dozier has a .197 BABIP so far this year. That should come up some eventually, but he's always been a low BABIP guy in the .260 range. Can any of you recall many other "power" hitters who hit so many weak fly balls and easy grounders when they don't connect for a HR? It's basically all or nothing with Dozier. His BABIP is low because he a dead pull hitter and shift stops him dead. With the shift... He has so little open green to find. He hits pop ups and weak grounders because that's the only thing he can do when he tries to pull off an outside pitch. A guy like Ortiz will send an outside pitch over the CF wall. Dozier ain't that strong. Major League Pitchers who give a crap know this and will try their best to not give him the only thing he can punish.
Riverbrian Old-Timey Member Posted May 2, 2016 Author Posted May 2, 2016 This team has a real hard time benching anyone with tenure or a muti-year contract no matter how bad it gets. This part sure seems to be the case
jimbo92107 Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 Consider this batting lineup: Danny Santana (S) CFBrian Dozier (R ) 2BJoe Mauer (L) 1BMiguel Sano (R ) RFByung-ho Park (R ) DHOswaldo Arcia (L) LFEduardo Nunez (R ) 3BEduardo Escobar (S) SSKurt Suzuki (R ) C Of all these guys, only Mauer, Park, Nunez and Escobar are giving professional at-bats. Santana cooled off post hammy, Dozier is clueless, Sano seems content to get lots of 3-2 counts, then do little, Arcia is stepping in the bucket, and Suzuki looks physically worn out at the beginning of the season, but he still looks better at the plate than Murphy. And this was a day that Whiffmeister Rosario started on the bench! For the sake of good sanitation, bring up Polanco and bat him first, bat Esco 2nd, and bench Dozier for at least a week. Then bat Park 4th and Sano 5th for a while. Park is a far more professional hitter right now, and he's quickly figuring out MLB pitchers. If your lineup isPolancoEscobar / NunezMauerParkSano... Then you've got good hitters at the top to get on base before the power guys.
TheLeviathan Old-Timey Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 Anyone know how to check to see how a guy is being pitched? I'm thinking he's getting pitched up in the zone more this year but wouldn't know how to look that up.
Reider Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 I don't have any stats to back it up, but it seems like most pitchers have been avoiding Dozier's hot zone this year (e.g. fast balls over the inside of the plate). He's been getting a lot of pitches on the outside of the plate. If he doesn't adjust and start hitting the ball hard up the middle or off field, I don't see how pitchers are going to start giving him those inside fastballs that he likes. Thus, I don't see how he gets out of his slump. I do believe that Dozier is strong enough to drive the ball up the middle and off field for big hits. He won't hit as many home runs, but if he hits the ball hard up the middle and / or hits the gap/wall in right, he can still turn some of those types of hits into doubles/triples.
HitInAPinch Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 I don't remember what game it was, something like 4-5 games ago, Dozier had 3 hits to right field. I was kinda hoping Bruno had a long talk with him.
Shane Wahl Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 Dozier should be lower in the lineup anyway. He is not a 1-2 hitter at all. Joe Mauer, FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME is the prototypical 2 hitter. If Santana is the leadoff guy now, I recommend:SantanaMauerSanoArciaParkDozierRosarioANYONE WANNA CATCHEscobar
stringer bell Verified Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 I like Dozier, always have. He went from suspect to starter because he was able to pull effectively. He was hitless in the Detroit series after bringing his average to .220 with a nice series against Cleveland. He is striking out much less than he did last year (still quite a bit) and IMHO hitting in tough luck. From May of 2013 to June of 2015, Dozier was a top quartile offensive player, that is over two years. He been bad for just over half a year, and I do believe he was nicked late in the last season. I can get behind hitting Dozier down in the order, but his 2014 was the best leadoff hitting the team has had since Denard Span.
jokin Old-Timey Member Posted May 2, 2016 Posted May 2, 2016 Dozier should be lower in the lineup anyway. He is not a 1-2 hitter at all. Joe Mauer, FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME is the prototypical 2 hitter. Or how about leading off? The thought even occurred to Jack Morris in the first inning today, right after they flashed the fact that Mauer is OPSing at .609 in the 1st inning.
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