DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 I tend to disagree with you most of the time Dave ..........but i think this makes alot of sense, as if we dont have good playing time for Arcia, might has well have him get his reps in at AAA , wait for an injury or poor performance..............we are playing well right now, dont rock the boat.Isn't he also only like 23? Having him spend the year in the minors wouldn't be the end of the world IMO.
Brock Beauchamp Site Manager Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 The Twins have played 12 games in July. In 33% of those games, either one or both of Santana and Escobar played in the outfield. If the Twins want to play Arcia, there's room on the roster to make that happen. He won't play every day but he can get a lot of PAs.
drjim Provisional Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 The Twins have played 12 games in July. In 33% of those games, either one or both of Santana and Escobar played in the outfield.If the Twins want to play Arcia, there's room on the roster to make that happen. He won't play every day but he can get a lot of PAs. I used to agree with this before Santana started to show some life. I'm not sure I would bounce anyone off the 25 man for Arcia at this moment. Arcia is better than Robinson obviously, but they play quite different roles, and I'm OK keeping Robinson as a defensive guy and pinch runner.
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 The clearest path for Arcia in the majors is by taking over for Hunter. Which means 2016 is much more likely to be the case (unless there is injury or the Twins trade Hunter)
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 The Twins have played 12 games in July. In 33% of those games, either one or both of Santana and Escobar played in the outfield.If the Twins want to play Arcia, there's room on the roster to make that happen. He won't play every day but he can get a lot of PAs.A lot of the reason for those 33 was because Rosario was out of the lineup due to a LHP on the mound.Lefties absolutely OWN Arcia, so I am not sure you want Arcia taking those at bats anyways. I wouldn't be opposed to a straight Hunter and Arcia platoon in RF, but that isn't going to happen.
mickeymental Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 maybe the clearest path to the majors for arcia is via trade to another org.
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 maybe the clearest path to the majors for arcia is via trade to another org.That would be incredibly ill advised.
mickeymental Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 That would be incredibly ill advised.not if it's a good trade.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 You love Hicks, and Buxton, and Rosario. ......how is trading Arcia incredibly ill advised?
Blackjack Provisional Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Hopefully Arcia is playing left AND right at AAA so he can take over for Hunter in 2016. And hopefully they're emphasizing defense, making him realize that playing good defense will get you major league at bats, that playing time is not all about swinging the bat. A hot swinging Arcia at AAA is a good problem to have, he's there in case of an injury, he's good trade bait, he's perfecting his skills for 2016, and if nothing else he'll be a good call-up and boost to the Twins in Sept. Should he replace Robinson on the Twins roster?? Not if he doesn't play at least 4 games a week, he's better off getting experience in Rochester.
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 You love Hicks, and Buxton, and Rosario. ......how is needing Arcia incredibly ill advised?Because his value is no where near its high point, I don't mind trading arcia eventually, just don't sell low on him at this moment. Plus injuries can happen at any point, he is young and the Twins can use the depth. If any of hunter, Sano, plouffe, Mayer or Rosario get hurt then a spot opens up for Arcia in RF/LF or DH immediately.
tobi0040 Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 The clearest path for Arcia in the majors is by taking over for Hunter. Which means 2016 is much more likely to be the case (unless there is injury or the Twins trade Hunter) That depends on how the Sano/Plouffe situation is resolved. If we trade Plouffe or move Sano to the OF, Arcia slides to DH where he belongs.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Because his value is no where near its high point, I don't mind trading arcia eventually, just don't sell low on him at this moment. Plus injuries can happen at any point, he is young and the Twins can use the depth.If any of hunter, Sano, plouffe, Mayer or Rosario get hurt then a spot opens up for Arcia in RF/LF or DH immediately. that's all fair, not sure it makes it incredibly ill advised.....but fair. When Buxton, Hicks, Rosario are all healthy......and Plouffe is on the roster, we are sure the best use of Arcia is in AAA, waiting for an injury?
jokin Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 That depends on how the Sano/Plouffe situation is resolved. If we trade Plouffe or move Sano to the OF, Arcia slides to DH where he belongs. I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that there is virtually zero chance that Plouffe is traded in the middle of a tight pennant race: 1) Too disruptive to the team, both on the field and in the clubhouse2) Too unlikely to get enough in return on trade3) Too unlikely that highly slump-prone Arcia can be relied on for consistent production OTOH, Sano to OF on a part-time basis is a distinct possibility.
jokin Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 You love Hicks, and Buxton, and Rosario. ......how is reading Arcia incredibly I'll advised? That's the best example on TD of a spell-check nightmare I've ever seen in real time.
tobi0040 Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 that's all fair, not sure it makes it incredibly ill advised.....but fair. When Buxton, Hicks, Rosario are all healthy......and Plouffe is on the roster, we are sure the best use of Arcia is in AAA, waiting for an injury? It is too bad we don't have room for him. But I still am not moving him for a reliever unless it is an 8th inning shut down, ridiculous numbers guy who is under control. In his first cup of coffee up here, Rosario has essentialy the same OPS that Arcia has put up in his two years (.741 vs. .728). Rosario's UZR on fangraphs has a +6 runs per 150 games, compared to a rate Arcia has historically put up in the -14 range. My eye test concludes the gap between the two would be wider. Having one extra guy as we look out is okay, given all the scenarios in which he can come up: Mauer is hurtPlouffe is hurtSano is hurtRosario is hurtHunter is hurtMove Sano to OFTrade PlouffeSomeone struggles
tobi0040 Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that there is virtually zero chance that Plouffe is traded in the middle of a tight pennant race: 1) Too disruptive to the team, both on the field and in the clubhouse2) Too unlikely to get enough in return on trade3) Too unlikely that highly slump-prone Arcia can be relied on for consistent production OTOH, Sano to OF on a part-time basis is a distinct possibility. Right. I should have clarified. That is more of an off-season scenario.
Craig Arko Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 It is too bad we don't have room for him. But I still am not moving him for a reliever unless it is an 8th inning shut down, ridiculous numbers guy who is under control. Recalling Matt Capps, I don't think I'd trade Arcia in that scenario either. A team as starved for left-handed power as the Twins are will figure out a place for him. Maybe not this season.
Brock Beauchamp Site Manager Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 A lot of the reason for those 33 was because Rosario was out of the lineup due to a LHP on the mound.Good point.
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 That's the best example on TD of a spell-check nightmare I've ever seen in real time. and it wouldn't let me edit it either......
Mike Sixel Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Recalling Matt Capps, I don't think I'd trade Arcia in that scenario either. A team as starved for left-handed power as the Twins are will figure out a place for him. Maybe not this season. I agree with your agreeing, no way I deal him for a RP. that would be a bad idea.
twinsnorth49 Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 That's the best example on TD of a spell-check nightmare I've ever seen in real time.Fixed, because literacy is important.
woolywoolhouse Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 What is the latest in the season a player can be added to the 25-man roster and be eligible for post-season play (not taking injuries into consideration)? Having Arcia on the roster as a pinch-hitter or lefty power hitter against a tough righty (sit Hicks, move Rosario to center?) would be great, especially for a series where the bullpen numbers drop to get more hitters in the dugout.
spinowner Provisional Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 What is the latest in the season a player can be added to the 25-man roster and be eligible for post-season play (not taking injuries into consideration)? Having Arcia on the roster as a pinch-hitter or lefty power hitter against a tough righty (sit Hicks, move Rosario to center?) would be great, especially for a series where the bullpen numbers drop to get more hitters in the dugout.Aug. 31.
jokin Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 It is too bad we don't have room for him. But I still am not moving him for a reliever unless it is an 8th inning shut down, ridiculous numbers guy who is under control. In his first cup of coffee up here, Rosario has essentialy the same OPS that Arcia has put up in his two years (.741 vs. .728). Rosario's UZR on fangraphs has a +6 runs per 150 games, compared to a rate Arcia has historically put up in the -14 range. My eye test concludes the gap between the two would be wider. Having one extra guy as we look out is okay, given all the scenarios in which he can come up: Mauer is hurtPlouffe is hurtSano is hurtRosario is hurtHunter is hurtMove Sano to OFTrade PlouffeSomeone struggles Just a rather curious and confounding tidbit: MN Twins leaders in OBP 1) Arcia .3382) Mauer .3363) Hicks .3334) Nunez .3305) Dozier .3286) Plouffe .3207) Hunter .3128) Rosaio .310
ashbury Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Pfff. Big Pelf's got a .667 OBP. In even fewer PA. He's an on-base machine.
jorgenswest Verified Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Ervin will create an opening on the 25.
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Aug. 31.Teams can get creative with the injury exceptions etc, plus if they make the playoffs Santana is suspended again which automatically opens up a spot,also I thought Aug 31st date was only for acquisitions, not for players already on the 40 man.
DaveW Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 that's all fair, not sure it makes it incredibly ill advised.....but fair. When Buxton, Hicks, Rosario are all healthy......and Plouffe is on the roster, we are sure the best use of Arcia is in AAA, waiting for an injury?I think you keep him for this season, in the off season once you have more roster clarity then you can look into it again. That being said I would trade him or most players if the price was right, I just don't see someone giving good value while his value is so low currently.
jokin Old-Timey Member Posted July 13, 2015 Posted July 13, 2015 Pfff. Big Pelf's got a .667 OBP. In even fewer PA. He's an on-base machine. Yes, it's just 65 PAs for Arcia, but not completely irrelevant like Pelf. More curious numbers, the first two of which on this list have made many Twins fans downright giddy, of late. MN Twins 2015 OPS rates: 1) Mauer .7232) Hicks .7203) Arcia .718
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