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2024 Minnesota Twins Top 15 Prospects


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It's that time of year, and the Minnesota Twins will soon be fully engaged with spring training activities down in Sunny Fort Myers, Florida. Before the season kicks off though, and with prospect positioning set to move, I needed to put out my updated top 15 prospects for the 2024 Major League Baseball season.

The highest ranked player on the 2023 list, Royce Lewis, has since graduated and he took a couple of players with him. Both Matt Wallner and Louie Varland are no longer prospect eligible, and Edouard Julien joined them in becoming a regular for Rocco Baldelli's squad. It should be expected that a few of these names will move on by the time the dust settles on 2024, and that would be a good outcome in terms of development.

I have been posting my top 15 prospect lists here since 2016, and you can find each of them below:

2016 Top 15 Prospects
2017 Top 15 Prospects
2018 Top 15 Prospects
2019 Top 15 Prospects
2020 Top 15 Prospects
2021 Top 15 Prospects
2022 Top 15 Propsects
2023 Top 15 Prospects

Now to get into the 2024 list:

15. Yunior Severino INF
Signed when the Atlanta Braves were made to forfeit players from an international signing class that they cheated to acquired, Severino has become the darling of that group. He emerged to the highest level of the farm for Minnesota last year and showed thump that could have him as a valuable first base type. There's a lot of swing and miss, but he's now on the 40-man roster and has a clear path to a debut.

14. Matt Canterino RHP
No one has bounced around more on these prospect lists for me over the years than Canterino. Drafted out of Rice, he underwent Tommy John surgery and has dealt with arm issues as many of their pitchers do. Fully healthy, he could be an absolute weapon for Minnesota in relief this year. His stuff is impressive, and should play up even more as a reliever.

13. C.J. Culpepper RHP
A 13th round pick in 2022, Culpepper reached High-A Cedar Rapids in his first full professional season. The 3.56 ERA across 86 innings was impressive, and he owned a 9.3 K/9. There's still plenty of development to take place here, but a late round arm that works in the vein of Bailey Ober or Louie Varland is something to dream on.

12. Kala'i Rosario OF
Sent to the Arizona Fall League after the season, Rosario got in extra reps and showed out with the power. He flashed some exciting potential during big league spring training action prior to the 2023 season, and his solid year at High-A should have him ready for the Double-A challenge this season at just 21 years old.

11. Luke Keaschall INF
Minnesota took Keaschall in the second round of the 2023 Major League Baseball draft out of Arizona State and he immediately took to pro ball. He posted an .892 OPS in 31 games, and helped the Cedar Rapids Kernels secure a championship at the end of the season. He probably starts in Iowa, but could make his way to Double-A Wichita quickly.

10. Tanner Schobel INF
The Virginia Tech product tore up High-A Cedar Rapids in 2023 and earned a promotion to Double-A. He struggled out of the gate for Wichita, but did bat .294 over his final 14 games. He'll need to tap back into some of the power potential that was left in Cedar Rapids, but there's the makings of a big league regular here.

9. Charlee Soto RHP
The Twins took Soto with the 34th overall pick in the 2023 draft and he didn't pitch at all last season. Looking to build up his body and prepare for pro ball, 2024 should be a fun debut season. There is an upper-90's fastball in the arsenal, and while he's a high school arm, there is a lot to work with here.

8. Brandon Winokur OF
A tools'd out high school kid taken in the third round of the 2023 draft, Winokur impressed in limited action last year. He posted an .884 OPS across 17 games at the rookie ball level, and he showed off the power and speed combination. The plate discipline is something to watch as he develops, but the ceiling for him is immense.

7. Cory Lewis RHP
Drafted just inside of the first ten rounds during 2022, Lewis has emerged as one of Minnesota's best pitching prospects. He throws a knuckle ball but isn't a knuckleballer. With dominant stuff that led to a 10.5 K/9 in his first pro season, Lewis could start at Double-A in 2024 and may be a late season option for the Twins to consider.

6. Austin Martin INF/OF
Similar to Canterino, Martin has bounced around on my prospect lists. He got back to a workable swing last year, and while the power potential isn't there, he has solid bat to ball skills and has a good contact ability. Speed is the play here, and while exit velocities could limit his overall production, he already profiles as a plus defender in center field.

5. David Festa RHP
Taken in the 13th round of the 2021 draft, Festa represented the Twins at the 2023 Futures Game. He made his way to Triple-A St. Paul and is right there among the best pitching prospects in the organization. Festa can push velocity while also showing a strong command of his pitches. He had 119 strikeouts in 92 1/3 innings last season. Expect to see him at Target Field in 2024.

4. Marco Raya RHP
If Festa isn't the best pitching prospect in the organization, then it is Raya. Just 20 years old and a former prep arm, the Twins already have him at Double-A. He took his lumps for Wichita, but was incredibly young for the level and should be expected to use that experience for significant offseason development. He'll begin 2024 with the Wind Surge again, but getting to Triple-A St. Paul at 21 would be eye-opening.

3. Emmanuel Rodriguez OF
One of the most exciting prospects across baseball, Rodriguez has significant power potential and his ceiling is that of a slugging corner outfielder with all-star aspirations. He posted a ridiculous .400 OBP for Cedar Rapids last year despite batting just .240, and he doesn't sacrifice plate discipline for power. A meteoric rise could happen this year at 21, but Rodriguez's future is still one to be excited about even if it takes a bit more time.

2. Brooks Lee INF
Maybe the safest bet to be a big league regular for a long time across all organizations in baseball, Lee is near major league ready at this point. He's going to hit for more average than power, and can play shortstop but doesn't necessarily need to. He does everything well, and if any of the tools take another step forward, he'll end his career with more than a few all-star selections under his belt.

1. Walker Jenkins OF
The fifth overall pick from the 2023 Major League Baseball Draft, Jenkins is a superstar in every sense of the word. He may outgrow centerfield as his body develops, but he should hit for average and power while remaining a strong defender and runner. The maturity here is off the charts, and the abilities could push him into future MVP discussions. A 2024 debut isn't going to happen, but all bets should be off in 2025.

Follow @tlschwerz. For more from Off The Baggy, click here.

Edited by Ted Schwerzler

57 Comments


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Oldgoat_MN

Posted

I keep reading how impressive Rodriguez is and keep getting stuck at that .240 BA. I'm just an old man in a hat, but if he doesn't take a significant step forward in his batting average I'm still going to be hesitant to believe he is as promising as folks keep saying.

Hoping 2024 sets those concerns aside.

Nice write up. Thanks 

nclahammer

Posted

On 1/16/2024 at 2:17 AM, Oldgoat_MN said:

I keep reading how impressive Rodriguez is and keep getting stuck at that .240 BA. I'm just an old man in a hat, but if he doesn't take a significant step forward in his batting average I'm still going to be hesitant to believe he is as promising as folks keep saying.

Hoping 2024 sets those concerns aside.

Nice write up. Thanks 

I, too, remain cautiously optimistic with regard to Emmanuel Rodriguez.  Saw him play four games last season in Cedar Rapids (I know, a somehwat small sample size), and he had some lackadaisical moments on defense in centerfield resulting in an error and was looking back at the umpire several times and doing some chirping after taking some called strikes and striking out in a couple of at bats.   Maybe it was just a  tough series for him, but it came off as a touch of arrogance as we were watching it happen.  I met him after one of the games and he was very pleasant to visit with.  I wish him the best this season and in his future.

 
 
 
Karbo

Posted

I'm glad the Twins quit messing with Martins swing. He probably isn't going to hit for a lot of power, (something this FO covets) but a decent OBA with his speed should play well in todays game.

miracleb

Posted

Why didn't Charlie Soto pitch last year....injured?  We talk about building up arm strength.  Most of these 15-17 year old kids throw well over a 100 innings each summer in their Babe Ruth leagues.  Suddenly, they need to ramp back up to......100 innings.......

MinnInPa

Posted

7 hours ago, Oldgoat_MN said:

I keep reading how impressive Rodriguez is and keep getting stuck at that .240 BA. I'm just an old man in a hat, but if he doesn't take a significant step forward in his batting average I'm still going to be hesitant to believe he is as promising as folks keep saying.

Hoping 2024 sets those concerns aside.

Nice write up. Thanks 

gotta agree ..im still a batting avg guy ....if you can't hit .275 + in the minors..you wont make much impact in the bigs..be just another avg player at best..hit sub .250. we have enough K Kings up here right now..K-ing over 30% of the time and cant hit .250. i want to see more guys that can put the ball in play

tarheeltwinsfan

Posted

This core of the Twins farm system looks really good to me. However, the Twins farm system is only rated  22nd by Bleacher Reports, and the Twins are not mentioned in the Jonathan Mayo survey of the MLB executives ranking of the top farm systems from 6 days ago. I'll report back after my annual March trip to Ft. Myers.  Hope to see some of you TD writers and readers there.  

saviking

Posted

10 hitters and 5 pitchers. Time to stock up on pitching prospects in the 2024 draft. Even the two promising international prospects we just signed are hitters. Loaded with shortstop and center fielder's.

bird

Posted

Nice list. Although I have the sense that we’ll see a number of prospect gurus rank Danny DeAndrade ahead of Yunior Severino, Jose Rodriguez ahead of Kala’i Rosario, and Connor Prielipp will also make some lists.

Cory Engelhardt

Posted

I'm sorry, I can't put Severino above Woods Richardson. I just can't do it. I'd probably also, easily, have Danny De Andrade and Connor Prielipp (if his shoulder is healthy) and Pierson Ohl well above Severino too. And now that I think of it, possibly another 5 or 10 guys. Severino at 15 is probably 10 spots too high for him in my opinion. 

4twinsJA

Posted

With international signings yesterday, should note only 2 international signings on Ted's Twins top 15 prospects. Emmanual Rodriguez and Junior Severino.

arby58

Posted

4 hours ago, tarheeltwinsfan said:

This core of the Twins farm system looks really good to me. However, the Twins farm system is only rated  22nd by Bleacher Reports, and the Twins are not mentioned in the Jonathan Mayo survey of the MLB executives ranking of the top farm systems from 6 days ago. I'll report back after my annual March trip to Ft. Myers.  Hope to see some of you TD writers and readers there.  

Yeah, there isn't much that is making the top of national lists. Baseball Prospectus is out with their top 101 for 2024 list, and only three Twins make it - Jenkins is 16, Lee is 52, and Rodriguez is 62. Ouch. By contrast, Texas has two in the top 10. Detroit has 5 on the list (including 17, 22, 24). Others in the division are even worse - KC has 1 (96), White Sox 2 (11, 78). Cleveland also has 3 (31, 37, 57). 

Lee's ranking suggests maybe he wouldn't garner the haul in a trade that some think he will. Of course, other rankings will differ.

Old fox

Posted

There are several other factors why the Twins may use E. Rodriquez because their is a stock pile of CF prospects such as Jenkins. The same for Lee & Julien as who should be traded and who should be kept. It’s do you want a potential 300+ hitter with a better glove skills or a  265-240 hitter with some power and lesser glove skills. I prefer Lee over Julien. 
The type of starting pitcher the Twins & fans want will most likely require going over market value by 10-25% or more. Lozard and Gilbert are going to expensive but are well worth it. The Twins would have to meet the price by offering Julien, Rodriquez, Polanco & a ptbnl.  


 

mikelink45

Posted

I am fascinated by the way last years draft dominates the list.  That means we do not have a lot of seasoned prospects. 

tony&rodney

Posted

3 hours ago, Old fox said:

The type of starting pitcher the Twins & fans want will most likely require going over market value by 10-25% or more. Lozard and Gilbert are going to expensive but are well worth it. The Twins would have to meet the price by offering Julien, Rodriquez, Polanco & a ptbnl.  

I read this comment as you are saying this is what would be needed and not what you would actually accept. I can agree that Luzardo, Gilbert, or Kirby would be costly additions.

The trade you suggest would guarantee the Twins to finish in 2nd place in the AL Central, so not a good idea. Still your point is valid that the cost may be more than the Twins are able to meet.

arby58

Posted

4 hours ago, Old fox said:

There are several other factors why the Twins may use E. Rodriquez because their is a stock pile of CF prospects such as Jenkins. The same for Lee & Julien as who should be traded and who should be kept. It’s do you want a potential 300+ hitter with a better glove skills or a  265-240 hitter with some power and lesser glove skills. I prefer Lee over Julien. 

Lee hit .237 in 168 plate appearances in AAA last year. Julien hit .295 in 170 plate appearances in AAA last year. Then Julien went up to the majors and put up a 130 OPS+ in 408 plate appearances. 

 

arby58

Posted

2 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

I am fascinated by the way last years draft dominates the list.  That means we do not have a lot of seasoned prospects. 

Several players moved up from the minors last year and made positive contributions. Obviously, that included Lewis, Julien and Wallner, but it also included Varland and Funderburk. When you add that many players in a year, it is going to dilute the 'seasoned prospects' list.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

18 hours ago, Oldgoat_MN said:

I keep reading how impressive Rodriguez is and keep getting stuck at that .240 BA. I'm just an old man in a hat, but if he doesn't take a significant step forward in his batting average I'm still going to be hesitant to believe he is as promising as folks keep saying.

Guys that show plate discipline at his age are rare. Check out the .400 OBP

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

12 hours ago, Karbo said:

I'm glad the Twins quit messing with Martins swing. He probably isn't going to hit for a lot of power, (something this FO covets) but a decent OBA with his speed should play well in todays game.

The lack of exit velocity, even without power, could be problematic but he is comfortable again.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

10 hours ago, miracleb said:

Why didn't Charlie Soto pitch last year....injured?  We talk about building up arm strength.  Most of these 15-17 year old kids throw well over a 100 innings each summer in their Babe Ruth leagues.  Suddenly, they need to ramp back up to......100 innings.......

The Twins had very few pitching picks throw last year. For the prep arms, it's heavy body development first.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

10 hours ago, tarheeltwinsfan said:

This core of the Twins farm system looks really good to me. However, the Twins farm system is only rated  22nd by Bleacher Reports, and the Twins are not mentioned in the Jonathan Mayo survey of the MLB executives ranking of the top farm systems from 6 days ago. I'll report back after my annual March trip to Ft. Myers.  Hope to see some of you TD writers and readers there.  

The ceilings are where you'll often see guys judged by. Brooks Lee is going to be a really good pro, but he's only 52nd on the new BP 101. His ceiling isn't a perennial all star. Minnesota has depth, but not a bunch of Walker Jenkins toolsy types.

I'll be down there in mid March as always.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

9 hours ago, saviking said:

10 hitters and 5 pitchers. Time to stock up on pitching prospects in the 2024 draft. Even the two promising international prospects we just signed are hitters. Loaded with shortstop and center fielder's.

This front office has done a good job of developing late pitchers, while drafting hitting and trading for pitching.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

9 hours ago, bird said:

Nice list. Although I have the sense that we’ll see a number of prospect gurus rank Danny DeAndrade ahead of Yunior Severino, Jose Rodriguez ahead of Kala’i Rosario, and Connor Prielipp will also make some lists.

I have Prielipp at 30. With no health, he's hard to peg. Rosario's 2023 was huge, and I was high on him coming into the year.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

8 hours ago, 4twinsJA said:

With international signings yesterday, should note only 2 international signings on Ted's Twins top 15 prospects. Emmanual Rodriguez and Junior Severino.

I don't have Castro or Chivilli on my top 30 either.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

3 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

I am fascinated by the way last years draft dominates the list.  That means we do not have a lot of seasoned prospects. 

The Twins have drafted really well the past two season, and there have been a handful of graduations as well.

Karbo

Posted

10 hours ago, Ted Schwerzler said:

The lack of exit velocity, even without power, could be problematic but he is comfortable again.

IMO what matters the most is scoring runs. Some guys hit HR's, some guys don't, but if they get on base and score I don't care how hard they hit. Martin is a guy that gets on base, and can run. He should be a good to great table setter.


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