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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    This article appeared in April 2014. At that point in his career Joe Mauer’s longest hitless streak was 0 for 10. https://bringmethenews.com/minnesota-sports/mauer-snaps-hitless-streak-in-twins-win
  2. Eris
    You mean the Austin Martin who was the 22nd ranked MLB prospect in 2021 whom the Twins tried to change his swing to generate more power. They screwed up his swing so badly that some even questioned if he would be an MLB player. The difficulty in wishing for more players like Austin Martin is that the Twins try very hard not to acquire/draft such plays and if they do they change their swing or trade them. One aspect of the Twins hitting philosophy that really makes me question how hitters are being coached is the pitches on the outside part of the plate that batters try to pull rather than hitting to the opposite field. Buxton seems to be in that zone right now.
  3. Eris
    Kyle Farmer played most of the 2022 season at SS for the Reds, turning in slightly above league average defense. He was expected to provide insurance for the infield, including as a longer term substitute at SS if needed. I think one of the reasons he was retained was due to Correa’s injury. Why he is not the primary SS now that Correa is out is the question that should be explored.
  4. Eris
    The Orioles are a much better team than the Twins right now. Hard to expect success.
  5. Eris
    MLB could do a number of items to reduce injury risk. First, they could raise the seams as this would enable more ball movement with less stress. Second, make it harder to hit home runs by deadening the ball. Three, raise the pitching mound. Changes that were made to increase offense resulted in pitchers adjusting by adding velocity and spin to be more effective. Youth sports is also part of the problem. In order to be drafted, players need to be playing baseball year round (or at least 9 months of the year).
  6. Eris
    Carlos Santana is a top 20 percentile first baseman is true in the statistical sense but only because so many 1B have negative fielding run value. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/fielding-run-value?year=2023&team=&min=500&pos=3
  7. Eris
    Every time Larnach seems to be getting things together he gets hurt and his hitting falls apart. I hope he does better this time as the Twins need several players to step up. I do think it is important not to judge a player while they are hurt, but at some point you are a player who is not productive enough to contribute. if Larnach bombs, this would be the 3rd hitter who were first round picks that didn’t make it.
  8. Eris
    Very good for Tyler Jay. I hope it works out for him. A number of pitchers have had thoracic outlet surgery to relieve finger numbness from nerve impingement. Very few of these players return to their pre-injury effectiveness.
  9. Eris
    I wondering if it is possible to auto fill our comments from last year. Instead of summarizing another awful performance by our team, we could have highlight videos of the Twins all time greatest plays/games.
  10. Eris
    This is a more complete list from Fangraphs. Includes the Senators. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&rost=0&players=0&team=8&pos=cf
  11. Eris
    I thought strikeouts didn’t matter. Hmm! I think over the course of the season that is probably true but for individual game situations it likely is not true. We essentially have the same team as last year +/- a few players. Why are we expecting a different outcome. Wallner’s Ks are bad but so were Gallo’s.
  12. Eris
    Guardians had 6 hitters with an OPS above 700. The Twins in contrast had 2 hitters above that OPS. Not going to win many games like that.
  13. Eris
    The team has continued last year’s ineptitude with RISP primarily because they emphasize power over contact. (Imagine Steve Kwan on this team) Interesting that they have chosen pinch hit for Martin with RISP and needing a run or two. Martin is the one player on the team who is a contact hitter. Currently only Kirilloff and Correa are producing at or above expectations. The team won’t win many games with only two offensive contributors. I expect Julien and Jeffers to eventually come around. Castro and Kepler had near career years last year and Wallner has struggled since spring training. It might be a long season for the Twins faithful.
  14. Eris
    Ben Revere had a 0.058 ISO and played 7 years with a career fWAR of 7.5. Denard Span had a career ISO of 0.117, played 10 years with a career fWAR of 27.5. if Austin Martin has a career similar to Denard Span, I think that would be considered a success.
  15. Eris
    Not an expert. My daughter was being recruited for college volleyball when she tore her ACL. She had the BEAR procedure almost a year ago. There is significant amounts quad muscle atrophy from ACL surgery. There is still a noticeable difference in muscle size and also strength (about 90% of the contralateral leg). My daughter hits the gym almost every day. While I expect Lewis to be in top shape, it would not surprise me if there were measurable weaknesses in his twice surgically repaired knee/leg.
  16. Eris
    Toronto has been in the playoffs 5 of the last 10 years. The best team doesn’t always win, e.g., look at the Dodgers over the last 10 years. Winning a playoff series is a combination of skill, luck, can a team set their rotation, and a player or two getting hot at the right moment. Often a game and series win come down to one play made or not made. A bad pitch or a strike 3 call a pitch just off the plate. As mentioned in the article the Blue Jays have a number of FA signings or extensions that may not age well. Berrios has had 1 good year (3 fWAR) and one not so good year (1 fWAR). Springer has only lived up to his contract 1 of the 3 years. I think the Twins have been fortunate to limit bad multi-year contracts. They were fortunate to be able to off load Donaldson’s contract.
  17. Eris
    Watching a game at Wrigley is truly a unique experience. I would encourage everyone who has a chance to go. Shouting from the rooftops. Since they built the large screen in right field maybe about 8 years ago, it is no longer possible to watch the game from the rooftop bar across the street. So there is no longer any shouting from those rooftops during the games.
  18. Eris
    But he was playing hurt. It is not reasonable to assess his capabilities under those circumstances. More reasonable we could ask why was he playing when the team the team knew he would need surgery. His injury history is an important consideration. If you can’t pencil someone in the lineup 130 - 140 games a year his value goes down. A healthy Kirilloff is likely in the top 3 of Twins hitters ( after Lewis and Julien).
  19. Eris
    If I am remembering correctly from past threads the best indicator of future TJ surgery was velocity in high school. With travel teams and clinics, many kids who are drafted play baseball at least 9 months a year. Also in my area (NJ) it is almost impossible to pitch on a high school team without having a private pitching coach by the time you are in 8th grade. What do most of them teach—mechanics to deliver max velocity. Tom Glavine gave an interview about this many years ago indicating that he didn’t have a pitching coach until he was in the Braves organization.
  20. Eris
    One of the challenges with managing a roster with Byron Buxton. You get greatest CF in baseball —who is truly a game changing talent. On the other hand you are holding breath every play hoping he can play more than half the season. Therefore a need to build a roster with 2 very capable CF (both O and D). Someone who mostly fill that role wants to be paid like a starter (see M Taylor) I think both Castro and Martin can fill that role. I have so far been unimpressed with Margot.
  21. Eris
    I was struck by the absence of Joey Gallo at the top of the strikeout list. If you include everyone else on the had he qualified criteria (Wallner had 254 PA) Wallner would be 28th. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&type=8&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&qual=250&sortcol=9&sortdir=default&pagenum=1
  22. Eris
    I think this is a correct assessment on the 3B depth chart also the possibility that Correa moves off SS towards the end of his contract. in addition, Miranda was/is a poor defender at 3B.
  23. Eris
    While Nick Punto was during a couple of seasons the worst offensive player in the MLB, it is also worth remembering that he contributed 15 fWAR over his 13 year career—almost all from defensive value. By comparison, Eddie Rosario has 13.4 fWAR at this point in his 10 seasons. Also Punto has a WS ring with the Cardinals in 2011. Nick Ahmed is a good comparison to Punto as is Greg Gagne who was slightly better offensively. Career WRC+ for all three players are 73, 77 and 83 respectively. (Data from Fangraphs)
  24. Eris
    Which Margot are we getting, the 2021 version with 13 DRS or the 2023 version with below average defense and below average offensive. If it is the 2023 version, then no thank you.
  25. Eris
    “Having one of the most well-rounded 26-man rosters “ Struggling to agree with that—in part because the entire infield defense (excluding C) was in the bottom half of MLB last year. Some of this can be rationalized by injuries (Correa and Kirilloff) and by inexperience (Lewis at 3B). Also the outfield D being above average depends almost entirely on Buxton. Kepler’s defense has slipped in recent years.
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