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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    One of the challenges with managing a roster with Byron Buxton. You get greatest CF in baseball —who is truly a game changing talent. On the other hand you are holding breath every play hoping he can play more than half the season. Therefore a need to build a roster with 2 very capable CF (both O and D). Someone who mostly fill that role wants to be paid like a starter (see M Taylor) I think both Castro and Martin can fill that role. I have so far been unimpressed with Margot.
  2. Eris
    I was struck by the absence of Joey Gallo at the top of the strikeout list. If you include everyone else on the had he qualified criteria (Wallner had 254 PA) Wallner would be 28th. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&type=8&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&qual=250&sortcol=9&sortdir=default&pagenum=1
  3. Eris
    I think this is a correct assessment on the 3B depth chart also the possibility that Correa moves off SS towards the end of his contract. in addition, Miranda was/is a poor defender at 3B.
  4. Eris
    While Nick Punto was during a couple of seasons the worst offensive player in the MLB, it is also worth remembering that he contributed 15 fWAR over his 13 year career—almost all from defensive value. By comparison, Eddie Rosario has 13.4 fWAR at this point in his 10 seasons. Also Punto has a WS ring with the Cardinals in 2011. Nick Ahmed is a good comparison to Punto as is Greg Gagne who was slightly better offensively. Career WRC+ for all three players are 73, 77 and 83 respectively. (Data from Fangraphs)
  5. Eris
    Which Margot are we getting, the 2021 version with 13 DRS or the 2023 version with below average defense and below average offensive. If it is the 2023 version, then no thank you.
  6. Eris
    “Having one of the most well-rounded 26-man rosters “ Struggling to agree with that—in part because the entire infield defense (excluding C) was in the bottom half of MLB last year. Some of this can be rationalized by injuries (Correa and Kirilloff) and by inexperience (Lewis at 3B). Also the outfield D being above average depends almost entirely on Buxton. Kepler’s defense has slipped in recent years.
  7. Eris
    “Strong fielding has been a core component of the Minnesota Twins franchise since the franchise formerly known as the Washington Senators arrived in the Twin Cities.” Historically this may have been true. Certainly when Tom Kelly was manager. It has been quite awhile since the Twins Way was expected from players who rose through the system. Seems that in recent years we are more interested in bombas than solid defense.
  8. Eris
    How does draft, international signings and minor league salaries factor into this. Spending money is not the only consideration. The money needs to be spent wisely. Look at last year, $70 million was tied up in 4 players who combined to produce slightly more than 4 WAR.
  9. Eris
    Found this article from 2019 about Bauer to be interesting. https://www.si.com/mlb/2019/02/19/trevor-bauer-cleveland-Guardians-training-tools-twitter-controversy-cy-young#gid=ci0254ea9900002511&pid=trevor-bauer-pitching-overhead-tall2jpg
  10. Eris
    With regards to Bellinger, do we know that Boras is the reason he is unsigned. It is possible that clubs offered a 2-3 year contract and Bellinger regected these. Similar with Taylor, do we know he hasn’t received an offer. Obviously neither Taylor or Bellinger received an offer to their liking.
  11. Eris
    I thought that a team could release a player in/after spring training (don’t know the details) if they lost arbitration with out owing them the guaranteed portion of their salary. Not sure if this applies if the team wins arbitration. Am not 100% sure that what I have written is correct.
  12. Eris
    The culture/values of an organization/clubhouse is probably as important to success as some physical skills.
  13. Eris
    Is Byron Buxton’s $9.5 million in incentives included in the Twins payroll figures.
  14. Eris
    The challenge is that other teams are are also looking for starting pitching. The consequences being that even average pitching has become very expensive.
  15. Eris
    Looking back at the 2017 draft, after Lewis, 4 pitchers were selected. Hunter Greene had TJ and is still trying to establish himself. MacKenzie Gore has had control issues but seems to be getting things together after being traded to Washington. Kyle Wright injured his shoulder and Brendan McKay injured his elbow. Wright and McKay were college pitchers and likely will not have successful MLB careers. SSS, but this a 50% flameout because of injuries.
  16. Eris
    MLB defines what is in/out of market and their definition may surprise you. just for curiosity I looked for a region in the continental USA far far away from a team and plugged the zip code into MLB website. Someone in Raymond Montana is considered part of the home market of the Seattle Mariners. It is about a 16 hour drive from Raymond to Seattle. https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games
  17. Eris
    Is there anything in the arrangement that prevents Bally from selling streaming rights to Amazon.
  18. Eris
    There is a stat (kind of) that measures outcomes vs run expectancy for the 24 possible scenarios. It is RE24. In Fangraphs it is under the win probability stats. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=3&season=2023&season1=2023&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&startdate=2023-10-03&enddate=2023-11-01&sortcol=4&sortdir=default&postseason=D
  19. Eris
    For me the frustrating part of the Twins season was the lack of situational hitting. Against the Astros in the playoffs how many at bats did the Twins have with the bases loaded and failed to score. It was way too many. Sometimes a single is all that separates a W from an L.
  20. Eris
    In 2022, Hall was MLBs 7th ranked LHP prospect, right after MacKenzie Gore https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2022/lhp/
  21. Eris
    The average MLB career is 5.6 years (I could not find the median). It makes sense for young players to secure their financial future. The value of Polanco’s contract can’t be taken in isolation. They also gave a similar contract to Kepler (which has turned out okay) and to Sano (who had a disappointing career).
  22. Eris
    The travel schedule can be brutal. Being functional at high level after arriving at your hotel early in the morning can be difficult. The older one is, the harder this becomes.
  23. Eris
    Lots of comparisons to Spencer Steer. At A+ Steer was the better hitter. BB% 16 vs 10, OPS 915 vs 860, WRC+ 150 vs 140. Data is from Fangraphs.
  24. Eris
    Thank you. 4 players show up on both your offense and defense lists. Lee, Jenkins, Rodriguez and Martin.
  25. Eris
    Rather disappointing trade. Won’t really improve the team this year and we are not saving $$$. Might improve the team 2 or 3 years from now and we have a RH hitting outfielder to go with our excess of LH hitting outfielders.
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