Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Eris

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    878

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    Per Fangraphs, Margot has not had a year with positive defensive metrics since 2021. Not sure why he should be considered a defensive first outfielder. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/manuel-margot/14712/stats?position=OF Where is is the current generation of Nick Punto when need him. The modern version of Nick Punto would not be on this team because he can not hit. But wait, the hitters aren’t hitting and we are stuck with the worst of both worlds.
  2. Eris
    “Of course, part of the hope for the Twins this season was to strike out less” Hope is not a strategy. A strategy is drafting or promoting players with elite contact skills or hitting outside pitches to the opposite field.
  3. Eris
    “And the softer upcoming portion of the schedule is conducive to going on a run” haven’t they played Detroit and KC 10 times this month. On average it doesn’t get a lot softer than that. The White Sox are bad but still.
  4. Eris
    Did not like the idea of PH for Kirilloff and Larnach in the 8th. With RISP 2 players with a combined BA of 0.609 were replaced with two players with a combined BA of 0.278.
  5. Eris
    Does Buxton not running on his “double “ off the wall show up in WPA.
  6. Eris
    Somehow there is a disconnect between the Twins results and the statistical data. The statistical data is that runs scored is strongly correlated with ISO (R^2 is close to 0.80) and that strike outs don’t matter (R^2 is small). This reflects the Twins organization approach. We want power and K’s don’t matter. The last few years the Twins were close to the top in terms of runs scored as a result of HRs while leading the league in Ks. Yet for the Twins, they have a losing record when striking out more than 10x per game. This was discussed on the Twins radio pregame show last year.
  7. Eris
    This article appeared in April 2014. At that point in his career Joe Mauer’s longest hitless streak was 0 for 10. https://bringmethenews.com/minnesota-sports/mauer-snaps-hitless-streak-in-twins-win
  8. Eris
    You mean the Austin Martin who was the 22nd ranked MLB prospect in 2021 whom the Twins tried to change his swing to generate more power. They screwed up his swing so badly that some even questioned if he would be an MLB player. The difficulty in wishing for more players like Austin Martin is that the Twins try very hard not to acquire/draft such plays and if they do they change their swing or trade them. One aspect of the Twins hitting philosophy that really makes me question how hitters are being coached is the pitches on the outside part of the plate that batters try to pull rather than hitting to the opposite field. Buxton seems to be in that zone right now.
  9. Eris
    Kyle Farmer played most of the 2022 season at SS for the Reds, turning in slightly above league average defense. He was expected to provide insurance for the infield, including as a longer term substitute at SS if needed. I think one of the reasons he was retained was due to Correa’s injury. Why he is not the primary SS now that Correa is out is the question that should be explored.
  10. Eris
    The Orioles are a much better team than the Twins right now. Hard to expect success.
  11. Eris
    MLB could do a number of items to reduce injury risk. First, they could raise the seams as this would enable more ball movement with less stress. Second, make it harder to hit home runs by deadening the ball. Three, raise the pitching mound. Changes that were made to increase offense resulted in pitchers adjusting by adding velocity and spin to be more effective. Youth sports is also part of the problem. In order to be drafted, players need to be playing baseball year round (or at least 9 months of the year).
  12. Eris
    Carlos Santana is a top 20 percentile first baseman is true in the statistical sense but only because so many 1B have negative fielding run value. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/fielding-run-value?year=2023&team=&min=500&pos=3
  13. Eris
    Every time Larnach seems to be getting things together he gets hurt and his hitting falls apart. I hope he does better this time as the Twins need several players to step up. I do think it is important not to judge a player while they are hurt, but at some point you are a player who is not productive enough to contribute. if Larnach bombs, this would be the 3rd hitter who were first round picks that didn’t make it.
  14. Eris
    Very good for Tyler Jay. I hope it works out for him. A number of pitchers have had thoracic outlet surgery to relieve finger numbness from nerve impingement. Very few of these players return to their pre-injury effectiveness.
  15. Eris
    I wondering if it is possible to auto fill our comments from last year. Instead of summarizing another awful performance by our team, we could have highlight videos of the Twins all time greatest plays/games.
  16. Eris
    This is a more complete list from Fangraphs. Includes the Senators. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&rost=0&players=0&team=8&pos=cf
  17. Eris
    I thought strikeouts didn’t matter. Hmm! I think over the course of the season that is probably true but for individual game situations it likely is not true. We essentially have the same team as last year +/- a few players. Why are we expecting a different outcome. Wallner’s Ks are bad but so were Gallo’s.
  18. Eris
    Guardians had 6 hitters with an OPS above 700. The Twins in contrast had 2 hitters above that OPS. Not going to win many games like that.
  19. Eris
    The team has continued last year’s ineptitude with RISP primarily because they emphasize power over contact. (Imagine Steve Kwan on this team) Interesting that they have chosen pinch hit for Martin with RISP and needing a run or two. Martin is the one player on the team who is a contact hitter. Currently only Kirilloff and Correa are producing at or above expectations. The team won’t win many games with only two offensive contributors. I expect Julien and Jeffers to eventually come around. Castro and Kepler had near career years last year and Wallner has struggled since spring training. It might be a long season for the Twins faithful.
  20. Eris
    Ben Revere had a 0.058 ISO and played 7 years with a career fWAR of 7.5. Denard Span had a career ISO of 0.117, played 10 years with a career fWAR of 27.5. if Austin Martin has a career similar to Denard Span, I think that would be considered a success.
  21. Eris
    Not an expert. My daughter was being recruited for college volleyball when she tore her ACL. She had the BEAR procedure almost a year ago. There is significant amounts quad muscle atrophy from ACL surgery. There is still a noticeable difference in muscle size and also strength (about 90% of the contralateral leg). My daughter hits the gym almost every day. While I expect Lewis to be in top shape, it would not surprise me if there were measurable weaknesses in his twice surgically repaired knee/leg.
  22. Eris
    Toronto has been in the playoffs 5 of the last 10 years. The best team doesn’t always win, e.g., look at the Dodgers over the last 10 years. Winning a playoff series is a combination of skill, luck, can a team set their rotation, and a player or two getting hot at the right moment. Often a game and series win come down to one play made or not made. A bad pitch or a strike 3 call a pitch just off the plate. As mentioned in the article the Blue Jays have a number of FA signings or extensions that may not age well. Berrios has had 1 good year (3 fWAR) and one not so good year (1 fWAR). Springer has only lived up to his contract 1 of the 3 years. I think the Twins have been fortunate to limit bad multi-year contracts. They were fortunate to be able to off load Donaldson’s contract.
  23. Eris
    Watching a game at Wrigley is truly a unique experience. I would encourage everyone who has a chance to go. Shouting from the rooftops. Since they built the large screen in right field maybe about 8 years ago, it is no longer possible to watch the game from the rooftop bar across the street. So there is no longer any shouting from those rooftops during the games.
  24. Eris
    But he was playing hurt. It is not reasonable to assess his capabilities under those circumstances. More reasonable we could ask why was he playing when the team the team knew he would need surgery. His injury history is an important consideration. If you can’t pencil someone in the lineup 130 - 140 games a year his value goes down. A healthy Kirilloff is likely in the top 3 of Twins hitters ( after Lewis and Julien).
  25. Eris
    If I am remembering correctly from past threads the best indicator of future TJ surgery was velocity in high school. With travel teams and clinics, many kids who are drafted play baseball at least 9 months a year. Also in my area (NJ) it is almost impossible to pitch on a high school team without having a private pitching coach by the time you are in 8th grade. What do most of them teach—mechanics to deliver max velocity. Tom Glavine gave an interview about this many years ago indicating that he didn’t have a pitching coach until he was in the Braves organization.
×
×
  • Create New...