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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. I have to say one of my favorite at-bats of the game was CC's single up the middle. He was down in count and was willing to just put the ball in play to try and get a hit. He flipped his bat out at the ball and hit a slow roller up the middle. We were, if not still are, leading the league in strike outs per game. The team clearly has a general plan of always hitting the ball hard no matter the count. This may be in part because the belief that hitting the ball soft will rarely result in hits. However, never putting the ball in play and striking out has a 0% chance of getting a hit. Even if it is like 10% chance of getting hit because too soft, that is still better than 0%. I am all for looking to hit ball hard before 2 strikes, and hate watching guys do check swings or taking defensive swings before 2 strikes, but after you get there, I like to see the get bat to ball approach and do whatever you can to make contact, even weak contact.
  2. Picking the right pen arm of the FA is like picking the floating rubber duck at kids carnivals. They all look pretty much the same as they go around, but until you pick one you do not know what you will get. Some get injured quickly, some have good starts and fade, some start slow and get better, and some just are not worth it. Pen arms are some of the most volatile positions around. I do find it interesting that the article praises Jax for being good and attacks Pagan for being bad, but overall numbers have been better for Pagan this year than Jax. Yes, Jax has had a lot more higher leverage, but really since end of April he has been down right bad. Yes, he has been giving up weak contact hits, but eventually you need to think about fact he is not getting the outs, and say it is not just bad luck. For years people would say Rogers was getting unlucky, this article mentions it that he may be getting unlucky again this year, how long can someone be unlucky before we just say, they are not getting the outs?
  3. This was really the point I was trying to make in my post doing a comparison to Jax. I know Pagan was terrible overall last year, but this year he has had only a couple of blow ups. Sure, we would love a full pen of closer potential arms, but that just will not happen. I would understand if we cut him, but overall we need guys to eat up an inning or two when our high leverage guys have been used.
  4. I believe MLB will bring in the challenge system next year, or year after. They will use it for a few years before going full robo umps. The league will want to ease in the use of the robo ump, but as they get used to it, the league will get full robo. I see no reason why not to do it if you have faith in the tech. The scorecard for umps has a huge flaw to it as well, as they give the 50/50 calls basically right either way it is call, only the balls well outside or inside the zone being wrong the wrong call. I get the job is hard, but on boarder line calls it is basically a coin flip, and the up is always considered right when the ball is thrown there. To make things worse, that is generally where the pitcher is trying to throw, the edge of the zone. So if they hit their spots the ump will always have the right call in the score card, even if it is technically the wrong call according to an ABS system.
  5. Baseball reference does not have yesterdays game log in yet. However, going into that game, Pagan numbers are not great, but not as bad as some may think. Griffin Jax has similar, if not worse numbers than Pagan, but I do not see people calling for DFA Jax. I am not saying I want Pagan pitching over Jax, but the numbers are similar. Jax had a FIP of 2.55, going into yesterday. Pagan had FIP of 2.03. Yes, he had a very bad outing yesterday, giving up a bases loaded walk, and his first HR of season, but he was out there because pen was taxed, Gray had a short start, and lets not forget we had bases loaded 0 out, and did nothing with it. The loss is not just on Pagan. If you want to be objective on numbers, maybe Jax should be looked at being sent down as well, if you want to get rid of Pagan. Guys will have bad outings, and Pagan has had more than his fair share, but he generally is being asked to fill not high leverage roll, but had to yesterday because of heavy pen use the two prior days.
  6. If nothing else he is shown he could be used as a trade chip. Not saying they should trade him, but he is showing he may be MLB prospect again.
  7. The main question that needs to be asked, is what vazquez gives you behind the plate, defense and game calling wise, is it worth the difference in offense? Maybe for games with Gray Jeffers should always catch, because Gray calls his own. Maybe for games where the starter relies more on the catcher to guide them along Vazquez has more to offer.
  8. Ryan has shown he can get out lineups now. If he has 2 pitches that rate out top 50 in all of baseball that is crazy good. Yes, neither are top 10, but considering there are hundreds of pitchers that throw an average of 3 pitches per, there are thousands of pitches to grade. I am no expert on pitchers, but the fact he continues to get it done, against people saying he will eventually fall flat and get moved to pen just shows he is willing to prove everyone wrong. Am I willing to say he is our "ace" no, but every time he takes the ball I fell like we will have a chance, no matter who we are facing.
  9. I would send him down for Farmer when Farmer is ready. There is no reason to keep putting him out there to stumble around at 3rd and not hitting any power.
  10. I expect Miranda to get sent down, to allow him to keep getting regular at-bats. He has options. Castro would have to pass waivers, which he very while might, but in reality, he would only be holding spot until Lewis is ready to come up, baring other injuries to people.
  11. Exciting time in the minors. E-Rod hopefully back for long stint, and Lewis making rehab run. Hopefully Lewis will be ready to get to MLB level, take over 3rd and hit the ground running as soon as he can get of the 60 day list. This will be his spring training.
  12. If you actually look, the zone is set as to how they are when in their hitting stance, mostly. So yes, when they are standing with straight legs it looks like the top is at the belt, but when they crouch and stride, it is much closer to the actual rule book zone. The ABS system is a work in progress and MLB has stated as such. They have tinkered with it in the minors to try and get the best they can. The ABS is coming and will start with the challenge system.
  13. I believe this will be the first the way MLB gets to "robo" umps. I like having the full system in the minor, hopefully training the umpires. I would hope they are testing their own calls with what the machine tells them. The challenge system will be next up for MLB, no way will they go full robo right away because it will be too much for fans. The challenge system will add to some things. Last I read MLB is still trying to figure out how to set the zone for the system as well.
  14. I agree with the possibility of sending down Miranda for a bit. He is not hitting much at all, and has been chasing some bad pitches up in zone over and over. Larnach has been struggling as well. However, the one issue with sending down Miranda is AK will still have to take a spot in the line up between Larnach, Gallo, or Kepler, assuming Buck will not move back to CF any time soon. Really, they all are left handed hitters playing similar positions in varying level of defense. One of them gets the Pine if all 4 are on the team, unless Twins try to move Gallo back to 3rd where he came up playing, but has not played there for years. If they go that route, then I would assume mostly Kepler gets to sit, depending on how he is hitting, because they will want Larnach to get regular at bats for most part. So overall, I think Larnach will get sent down if he continues to struggle and AK shows he is healthy and can play each game without issue. We can still option Miranda for Farmer when he ready, or at minimum when Lewis comes back from his IL rehab. I just do not see a point of having AK Larnach, Gallo, and Kepler all on MLB roster and all being healthy, if Buck is going to stay at DH, because one of the 4 have to sit every game. Maybe you rotate them around to help make up for that.
  15. I have no concerns when Jax comes in. Every pitcher will have a bad outing, so even his couple do not worry me. I think our back end of pen can be very strong this year. I would prefer one more lefty to upgrade for end of pen, or to use in addition to who we have, but we have 3 strong RH options including Jax.
  16. I bet Larnach gets optioned down when AK ready to come up. Really they are interchangeable pieces. Since Larnach still has option year left he will get sent down if he does not get on hot streak soon. He has always been a streaky hitter, but we need at least him or AK to reach what he hoped.
  17. This KC offense is just terrible. If we do not win at least 3 of the 4 we need to be kicking ourselves. We now have our top 3 pitchers and I would hope the starters do not give up more than 1 or 2 each game. Our offense is starting to click a little better too, so I am hoping to bring out some brooms Sunday.
  18. Kepler will most likely play out this season, unless a team really wants him at trade deadline. They will not just cut him, but if AK comes up and hits well, Larnach continues to hit and so does Gallo, there just is no room for Kepler in the regular line up, but he is fine enough should anyone struggle or get hurt.
  19. I could be wrong, but it was technically a combo of cutting out some of his bone in his forearm, and taking out some cartilage in his wrist. All reports after it was completed is that it was a wrist surgery. The ulna connects to wrist bones. I do not know where the section of the bone was removed if closer to elbow, wrist, or mid-forearm. That being said, I think the fact that even the team released the surgery was referred to as a wrist surgery, I think it is safe for reporters here to refer it as such.
  20. For me a few take aways from the game. First, Maeda may have made his last start for the Twins barring injury to others. He is expected to go back on IL with elbow issues. Reports I read say they think more muscle issue than ligament but still not goo d for a guy coming back from TJ surgery. Even if he is healthy later in season, he has not impressed at all, and feel like he needs to settle into pen and give one of the many young guys that could fill the 5th starter roll. Two, Headrick did a good job. Maybe the Yankees were not trying all that hard but going 5 innings 8k 2 walks and 2 runs allowed is still a good outing. His reward is to get sent down to call up the next sacrificial arm. With Maeda going on IL most likely, we will see Ober and guessing Sands come up. Ober will take starter roll and Sands will get the long relief guy until he has to step in and throw 70 plus pitches in relief then he will get sent down again for SWR or Headrick again. I know players hate when teams treat pitchers this way, but the CBA allows for as many ups and downs in a season so Twins will continue to rotate a long relief guy in so they do not need to burn their top arms during a blow out loss. Third, the offense seems to be heating up overall. Yes, there is still a long way to go, but we are scoring runs at higher clip even with Buck and Polanco sitting. We have good depth on this team, and will be getting even better in coming weeks.
  21. It is always too early to call any team a clear contender or not. We started off hot last year, and after having many injured players we faded late. That being said, if we can maintain decent health with our pitching we should contend. Really our biggest hole or lack of depth is still bullpen. If we start losing our top pen arms we could start seeing some troubles, but we have already seen both this year and last that if we start losing starters we have guys that could fill in. We have a lot of depth in line up, already we are about to face a roster and at bat crunch when AK and Farmer are ready to return. Then we still have Julien, Walner, and Lewis will be back later this year. We even could call on Lee if needed most likely.
  22. I wonder if people will stop saying Joe can only beat bad teams? He has won 2 games against the Yankees, Boston, and Houston. Botson and Houston were the games he gave the most runs, but they above league average in runs scored, and he still kept them under their average. Really Houston he was great outside the one pitch for the grand slam. Sure looks like the offense was missing Polanco more than we knew. I was always big on him, and he just seems to be that guy when healthy will lead the team.
  23. I do not want to jump the gun on the AK 100% wrist healthy. We thought this last year when he had an OPS over 1.100 last year in 35 games with St. Paul, but then crashed in majors and needed the second surgery. I am not saying he is not recovered, but until he can show he can play each day and not have issues, I will just be knocking on wood.
  24. You kind of contradict yourself in the article. You say we need a middle relief guy because Pagan and Moran have struggled in that roll, but then make comment we can use a lot of different people because only going to pitch in blow outs. Other than his last outing of terrible work, Pagan has been fine in that roll. Moran has been an issue giving up runs in most of his outings. If it does not matter who we throw out there because they are only to eat up innings in blowouts, why do we need someone that will do it better? I am mainly pointing out the contradicting statements the writer posed.
  25. I know it is SSS right now for Miller, and could be he is used to playing in the cold April games, being he played in WI high school, but if he can continue to hit like has started off doing, he will be the fastest rising prospect in our system. All reports are he will field and the bat was the main question. I am glad they moved him up to high A, as hitting the FCL is hard to judge normally. Sure more power will be nice, but if he can get on base at a near .400 clip, steal bases, and play good defense he will have a place in the majors.
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