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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    Okay everyone lets not act like this is not just one game against the Yankees. We had 1 huge inning, and a 2 run homer, other than that we did not do anything. Of course you do not negate the 9 run first, as you may play things out different if we did not put up 9, but it is not like we were putting up runs each inning. Hopefully, we can score more consistent tonight.
  2. Trov
    This rotation, despite having 2 returning guys, is different from last year. Maybe everyone having a new pitch it seems will have a bit of an early affect, and after league adjusts to new pitches they regress. However, one HUGE difference is who is catching. Velaquez has shown he really knows how to call a game and get the max out of the pitcher. Outside of a few bad innings, most starters are working fast getting quick innings, allowing them to pitch into the 6th and sometimes 7th. From the games I have watched, they just look different. Joe Ryan big knock last year was he could not get it done against top offenses, but last 2 games, outside the grand slam inning, he has shut down two good hitting teams. Lopez has just been great, and Gray has been effective, just not dominate. Mahle and Maeda have been effective enough as 4 and 5 guys, but the front end of the rotation is keeping the pen fresh for most part. Could it all go pear shape in a hurry, yes if injuries set in or league adjusts to new pitches and players fail to counter, but for now they look good on the mound.
  3. Trov
    Joe Ryan looked amazing against a tough line up. He was pretty good last game too, against a good line up, outside his 1 inning where he gave up a grand slam. This game he gave up the solo shot, after a good at bat by Rizzo, and the ball was actually not even a strike, but he missed his spot. Last year the book on Ryan was he was good against bad teams, but this year he has pitched well against 2 good offenses. I do not know if it is our pitching coach, or the fact that our whole team went to driveline to add pitches, but something sure is working early in they year for our starters and their new pitches. The only worry is when teams start to scout and adjust to those new pitches how will it go.
  4. Trov
    I have been saying something like this for years. I have had it based on outs as well. If 2 outs, any runs allowed go to the relief guy, his job is to get the first guy out. If 1 out, than any runner on 3rd goes to guy that left, but anyone on 2nd or 1st got the relief guy. If 0 out then any runner on 3rd or 2nd go to guy leaving, and any runner on 1st goes to relief guy. This is based on that relief guy could do their job and get all 3 guys out, but still allow a runner to score through sac flies or ground outs. I have seen relief appearance were a guy comes in 2 outs bases loaded. Give up 2 or 3 singles allowing all runners to score, then get his 1 out, and has a "scoreless" appearance but failed their job.
  5. Trov
    I never get too concerned about a player or too hyped about a player just a couple weeks into a season.
  6. Trov
    I am a fan of building team with flexible fielding guys. Then your depth is not as challenged when injuries happen. We already are seeing this. Polanco starting on IL, AK starting on IL means we are needing back up right side of infield. Now CC back hurt, Farmer on IL means we are on 3rd SS option. Gallo hurt we are on 3rd 1b option. Kepler hurt and buck not playing OF, maybe hurt now too, we are on 4th and 5th OF options. Being able to move guys around to not have to pull up guys from AA to fill in is always helpful.
  7. Trov
    Think a little early, 5 games, to say E-Rod is struggling. He has 3 hits, all extra base hits, and has 9 RBI, so he is making good on at bats with runners on. yes, he has 11K's but he also has 5 walks. He will always have high ks but balanced with good walks. He is not going to be a .300 plus hitter, but he will be a .350 plus OBP and .850 plus OPS. 5 games is just not long enough to say struggles or not.
  8. Trov
    The writer addressed the 1 inning. All other innings were dominate. It was the one inning where he gave up a solid single, then a weak grounder that found a hole, a walk, then a very bad pitch for the GS. Outside of that he shut them down. The GS was solid hit, but only went out by a foot, could have been a long 2 run single. Outside of that inning he gave up no hits or walks. So he was dominate for 5 out of his 6 innings. Yes, that inning counts. He got the win and hopefully he will not give up meat ball next time in that situation.
  9. Trov
    Personally, I do think he has only a smaller chance of staying healthy and hitting as just DH than he does playing CF. He has hurt himself several times in his career batting and running bases. I bet if we look back he has hurt himself more doing that than playing field. Maybe, the argument can be made is that is just when the injury arose, but really the field is what led to some of them, I do not know all the specifics of those things. However, just keeping him as DH does hurt the team some, but if he gets hurt fully then we are even worse off, so it is a bit of a trade off.
  10. Trov
    I so wish Bert was still there for this. He hates it, and would love to listen to the old man complain about the use of these stats more and more. I mean long is gone is his, keep the ball down and any pitch above the knee is a bad patch and expected to get hit hard. He would hate that we talk about fastballs up in the zone is actually a good pitch, as long as not middle middle.
  11. Trov
    Outside of the 1 inning Ryan was dominate. So far our starting pitching has been great. All looking very good. Ryan just missed bad on that grand slam, and really was 1 foot from being most likely a long single coming off the limestone. Overall liking what I am seeing from pitching and hitting.
  12. Trov
    Personally, I do not believe the majority of growth in the field comes from games being played, but from practice time. You can go a full game with only a few possible balls hit for you to field, but in practice you can get a ton of reps. I fully expect Miller to get most of games at SS with Salas at 3rd. Reports are Salas is already expected to transition to 3rd at MLB level. Nothing wrong with some reps in games for Salas at SS, but that is not where he will grow most defensively.
  13. Trov
    I am not a bankruptcy lawyer, and sure MLB lawyers know what they are doing, but my limited knowledge is once someone claims bankruptcy, you cannot seek payments from them. Now, the timing of the bankruptcy may play a major roll in this, as they did not seek to back out of the contract for the Diamond Backs because they are a creditor because the non-payment was before the bankruptcy. However, I might imagine the bankruptcy court might rule now the Twins are a creditor and dismiss MLB's motion. If so, they bankruptcy court will let it all play out. I think it would be helpful for some article to, here or elsewhere where they consult with a bankruptcy attorney to express an opinion as to how this will play out.
  14. Trov
    I do not get why people are so butt hurt about game being moved. Sure if you have tickets and took day off you may be upset, but you know it is always possible a game gets moved, and even more so opening day games because of weather. They build in the off day for that exact reason. Okay, so it may not be rainy and snowy, and just colder. I wonder how many of you have have played ball in 32 degree temps. I have, and one time had a ball hit me in the palm of the glove and could not feel my fingers for 2 innings, and could barely grab a bat. If you can avoid things like that, why not? In the cold, the little things like getting jammed, or hit by pitches, or taking balls off chest, in palm of gloves, have much more issues than in warmer weather.
  15. Trov
    What happens if Lewis and Lee are even better than Steer and Encarcion? If we kept Steer and Encarcion then we would have Miranda, Correa, Polanco in the infield this year, with Lewis, Lee, Julien, Steer, Encarcion at minimum all looking to take Miranda or Polanco's spots. That is too many prospects looking to take really just 1 spot in the infield, as we hope Miranda holds down his. Maybe he would have moved to 1st freeing up 2 spots but still you have 5 guys for 2 spots? Who would you rather have? You cannot just judge how a player does after we get rid of him, but how his counter parts or other moves that were done. If both Lewis and Lee play infield spots and do better than the two we traded, should we care that we only got a year out of Mahle? Sure, if we kept them and they got more trade value, maybe we could have got more down the road, but also possible they regress and we would have got much less, if anything.
  16. Trov
    The game really came down to 1 pitch, the solo HR. Twins had a few very hard hit balls that just went to the defenders. Gordon crushed a ball down the line with 1st base making diving stop preventing a double or possibly triple. Miranda hit 2 solid balls one that almost took of the pitchers head, but right into the basic shift of 2nd baseman standing right behind pitcher. Then he smoked a liner to right but the right fielder barely had to move. Then to lose the game Larnach hit a ball pretty hard right up middle that almost hit 2nd base, but went right to the SS who was also just next to 2nd base. Not upset at how the game played out, for most part we had decent at bats, and pitched and fielded well. However, I think we basically said we were going to lose the game and sat our best hitter. Hopefully today we can hit some lefty pitching.
  17. Trov
    Okay, this is not a bash Berrios post. I also am not saying he will be terrible again this year, but wanted to point out he gave up 8 runs in 5.2 innings against the same team Twins gave up 4 runs in 27 innings. I know some wish Berrios was with Twins, or feel we got bad deal as Martin has regressed, and SWR has not done much yet at MLB level. However, I do not think Berrios would slot in our top 5 starters based on his performances last year and his first start this year. Yes, just one start this year, but he had many bad starts last year too. I expect he will be similar to what he did last year, having some good to great starts, but having many clunkers too.
  18. Trov
    I have to agree with the pitch clock. It makes watching games so much more exciting. You have more action faster. No more just watching guys do nothing with over a minute between pitches.
  19. Trov
    I like the article. I have long argued that relying 100% on analytics is a poor way to predict prospects. Yes, relying on things like he looks funny so I do not like him, is poor way too. However, I feel many are relying on analytics. For some, it will tell some stories, but the eye test still should be used. The writer points out how for years people have talked about how Kepler is just unlucky and one day it will balance out, but eventually, you just need to decide it is not just luck. The write points out how Arraez was always attacked for his lack of power and eventually that will catch up to him. However, he still keeps on getting base hits. Sure, he is not going to hit HR and drive in a ton of runs, but he still provides good value. One thing analytics never will do is truly predict future outcomes. It will not predict if a player makes adjustments to fix issues. All it does is tries to see if there is expected change in the outcomes that has happened, assuming everything being the same down the road. You assume the player will continue to everything the same, or the pitcher will and no adjustments will be made. Even then, it assumes the player is like everyone else. Take Arraez for instance. The assumption of his regression is that he would not keep his high BABIP because his hard hit rate was not high enough to track with history. However, that assumes he is not good at trying to direct the ball in the area where there is no defense. I do not care how hard you hit the ball, if you hit it where they are not, you will get a hit. If you can put the ball where you want, because you are that great, you will get hits even on weak hits.
  20. Trov
    It is 4 games into the season. People please stop drawing any long term expectations based on 4 games. No matter which side of the coin you are with Gallo, that he will be productive or that he will be a waste, I think we need more than 4 games. Last 2 games he helped make the games blowouts with 3 run bombs. We brought him in hoping he would hit those 3 run bombs and play top defense. 4 games is too early to draw any conclusion on if he was good signing or not. Check back at end of month to have some idea, but closer to break to really draw conclusion.
  21. Trov
    I think Farmer will be leadoff against lefties for now, but would not be surprised to see Buck there as well. I think too many people put too much on the lead off guy. Yes, having a good lead off guy can be helpful, but it is about overall scoring runs. They are only going to for sure lead off 1 inning. What used to be the leadoff type has gone away. I mean we are seeing guys that used to be typical 3 or 4 guys lead off. Teams have decided having your better overall hitters at top is more important. That is one reason I would not be surprised to see Buck leading off if for nothing else his speed, which clearly he is running better than last year.
  22. Trov
    Crazy how after 2 games people are calling to release Kepler for Walner because Walner hit 1 HR. Walner is a hitter only, can play no defense in RF. At least Kepler brings great defense even if he leaves some guys on base he will save many runs in field.
  23. Trov
    Not sure who has been doing an Arraez for Julien comp, because they were not even close as a comp other than both came up as second base prospect. Arraez had high OBP like Julien, but they did it very different ways. Julien walks a ton, but strikes out a ton too. Arraez would put everything in play. Julien has much more power than Arraez as well. So really anyone trying to make a comp between 2 are making a huge stretch.
  24. Trov
    I agree with most, but Mahle will get plenty of leash due to his history of sustained success. Sure, if his velo is down and doing terrible and looks cooked, then they will do what need to, but he will get plenty of run in my opinion.
  25. Trov
    I am in the boat either be as transparent as possible, or say nothing at all. The issue I have had is the half measures they do. We hear bits and pieces. First, unlike in NFL where there is game planning around certain players playing or not, there is little advantage in MLB to knowing if someone will play or is playing hurt. Maybe if you know they have injured leg they are less likely to steal, but you can see how they are running normally. Outside of that very little advantage to knowing injury issues. So not like you want to keep it from other teams. What also annoyed me last year is how Buck would be in and out of line up out of no where. We would hear he knee acted up and there is really no plan for it during the year. He plays in the all star game, then misses time right out of the break. We are told surgery will not help, only to have him get surgery in off-season, to help. We are not entitled to know anything in my opinion, but if you are going to say something, be transparent, or say nothing at all.
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