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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    I would say it was a win for the Twins. For most part it was just a way to dump Donaldson bad contract, which allowed us to go out and sign CC. Really the trade should be judged with Mitch Garver in mind, as we traded him for IKF, kind of like a 3 team trade being it happened so quickly and IKF never played a game for Twins. Garver missed a lot of time last year, but had average season up to that point. This year got off to quick start for a few games, but back on IL after only 6 games.
  2. Trov
    Stealing bases is more than just speed, it is a combo of things. Paul Molitor who was never known as a speed guy, stole 504 bases caught 131, for 79% success rate, right where it makes it worth it. Yes, 504 over his career is not a ton, and he played in a different era where teams hit and ran as well. A good base stealer can steal even if they do not have elite speed, and guys with elite speed can still get caught. That being said it also comes down to opportunities. Stealing to just steal makes no sense, it needs to be worth the risk, and be in the right situation. Poor throwing catcher, slow to catcher pitcher, and other things all are involved. I also feel the team is very risk adverse for both injuries of guys as well. Correa reportedly during a slide on a steal attempt had issues with his ankle. He said, 90 feet was not worth the possible injury. Buck has been hurt on steals as has many others. So it is not just the risk of the out, but increased risk of getting injured that teams may be looking at. I am sure when the chances are their they may start increasing the running game.
  3. Trov
    Buxton is who he is at this point. He is a streaky hitter that when hot will carry an offense and one of most dangerous hitters in league, but when he is not hot, he will strike out a ton and provide almost no offense. Right now he is on a bad streak. Hopefully he can heat up soon. He will never become what people want him to be, he tried years ago and failed. He will not be a guy that walks a lot. The book on him has never changed, get ahead in count, then just throw endless sliders off the plate, he will chase them more often than not. Just throw a fastball once in awhile low and outside corner to keep him honest and thinking maybe this time it will be that fastball. He needs to attack early in counts because if he does not, he will fall behind and strike out more often than not.
  4. Trov
    I said before the season started, when everyone was thinking the shift rule would increase certain lefties a ton. I said it will make little to no difference, and so far that has held true. Sure, there may be a hit or two they get but for most part has made little difference. I agree no team will have an advantage from pitch clock. Steals I think will just come down to if the Twins actually want to try. They have guys that could, but have not chosen to yet.
  5. Trov
    I think AK only stays down much longer if his wrist starts to act up. Hopefully that does not happen. He clearly has the ability to hit, when his wrist is healthy. I hope he gets called up soon. Our offense could use a jolt.
  6. Trov
    On the current 26 man, Julien will be sent down when either Gallo or Polanco are back. After that, when AK or the other are back will lead to some crunching. Castro and Garlick are most likely to be sent back down. Castro is out of options but he would likely pass through waivers, if not, so be it we can fill his roll with others not worried about that. When Lewis and Farmer are ready to come back that is when things will get really squeezed. It will really depend on if they look for trades, willing to let a guy go completely, or will option guys that still can. Much of that will depend on performance at the time a move needs to be made. Larnach started off hot, but cooled off quickly and could be optioned down. Not as likely, but Miranda still has options, but he would really need to be struggling in my opinion to go that route. Gordon would have to pass through waivers, and I doubt he would, so if they are looking to send him down, they need to look into a trade first in my opinion, but that is not likely to happen either. Solano has show decent enough bat, but if that goes really cold over next few weeks they could look to cut him if needed, the contract is small enough to eat. Most likely though someone will be hurt and the moves will take care of themselves.
  7. Trov
    I am not concerned about E-Rod K number yet. He missed a lot of time of live action and pitchers are going to try their best to get him to strike out. I have not watched him at all, but would not be surprised if he is trying a little hard to get going like he did last year. Also, possible he is trying to hit for even more power than he did before, leading to a little more swing and miss. If the K-rate stays at level for a few more weeks I will have concern.
  8. Trov
    As high as I am on Lee, I would be a little shocked if they call him up this year. There is 2 ways it happens, both require Lee to be raking down in minors. First, injuries of many ahead him just make it needed because we are that far down depth chart, not ideal. Second, is he is raking so much and we are having issues with at least one spot in infield. I doubt there is a situation where Lee forces his way, and others are doing well at MLB level.
  9. Trov
    This is the exact kind of deal I have been saying Twins should be offering for pitchers. 3 year deals basically, as 1 year they had him anyway. So really they signed a 3 year deal. Most long term deals for pitchers you only get 2 good years out of the contract. Many times on the front end, but sometimes on back end after injuries and adjustments to being older. Yes, HOF pitchers are outliers of that, so people can throw Cole, Verlander, and Scherzer as outliers, but I would throw dozens of others wasted long term deals that hardly work out for the team. These short term deals lock up a guy, but limits the risk for the team. The writer talks about Berrios, and my guess Twins offered something similar to him, but he wanted the 6 to 7 year deal, not a 3 year deal. I am happy to see they locked up Lopez and only had to sign him through 31.
  10. Trov
    I fully agree. If you look at most FA contracts for pitchers, a small percentage of top contract do pitchers live up to. Most end up being very over paid for poor performance, if any performance due to injury. For a mid-market team, signing poor contracts for long term guys will hamper you. Also, always hoping drafted guys to develop will not always work out either. Although it would seem to make sense to only spend on FA pitching, as then you can always keep who you think is the best players for your team, but people forget you can only have 40 guys on roster at a time, and after so long they get exposed to other teams taking them anyways.
  11. Trov
    Well, the FO has offered FA pitchers deals, but the FA have gone elsewhere. What we offered only the team and player will truly know. However, very few FA pitchers really live up to their deals, most after like 2nd year start regressing, injured, or both. I think getting a guy with control, and in your team you can better look at them and see what you really have in them and if worth extending. Also, they can get to know you and how they like the organization and if would be willing to take maybe less than what another team might offer. What FA pitchers last couple of years would have wished we offered big years and money to?
  12. Trov
    I would disagree that Lee is the least aggressive. This is his first full season of pro ball. They were super aggressive on moving him all the way up to AA by season end. Could they have tried AAA off the bat, sure, but then he would be in the more aggressive. I am sure you can find someone on the prospect list that is much less aggressive than Lee. I would put Walner in the least aggressive over both Lee and Juilien being he is in AAA, and has repeated that level even after getting some MLB time last year. At least with Lee he barely played AA last year, and Juilien moved up a level.
  13. Trov
    Okay everyone lets not act like this is not just one game against the Yankees. We had 1 huge inning, and a 2 run homer, other than that we did not do anything. Of course you do not negate the 9 run first, as you may play things out different if we did not put up 9, but it is not like we were putting up runs each inning. Hopefully, we can score more consistent tonight.
  14. Trov
    This rotation, despite having 2 returning guys, is different from last year. Maybe everyone having a new pitch it seems will have a bit of an early affect, and after league adjusts to new pitches they regress. However, one HUGE difference is who is catching. Velaquez has shown he really knows how to call a game and get the max out of the pitcher. Outside of a few bad innings, most starters are working fast getting quick innings, allowing them to pitch into the 6th and sometimes 7th. From the games I have watched, they just look different. Joe Ryan big knock last year was he could not get it done against top offenses, but last 2 games, outside the grand slam inning, he has shut down two good hitting teams. Lopez has just been great, and Gray has been effective, just not dominate. Mahle and Maeda have been effective enough as 4 and 5 guys, but the front end of the rotation is keeping the pen fresh for most part. Could it all go pear shape in a hurry, yes if injuries set in or league adjusts to new pitches and players fail to counter, but for now they look good on the mound.
  15. Trov
    Joe Ryan looked amazing against a tough line up. He was pretty good last game too, against a good line up, outside his 1 inning where he gave up a grand slam. This game he gave up the solo shot, after a good at bat by Rizzo, and the ball was actually not even a strike, but he missed his spot. Last year the book on Ryan was he was good against bad teams, but this year he has pitched well against 2 good offenses. I do not know if it is our pitching coach, or the fact that our whole team went to driveline to add pitches, but something sure is working early in they year for our starters and their new pitches. The only worry is when teams start to scout and adjust to those new pitches how will it go.
  16. Trov
    I have been saying something like this for years. I have had it based on outs as well. If 2 outs, any runs allowed go to the relief guy, his job is to get the first guy out. If 1 out, than any runner on 3rd goes to guy that left, but anyone on 2nd or 1st got the relief guy. If 0 out then any runner on 3rd or 2nd go to guy leaving, and any runner on 1st goes to relief guy. This is based on that relief guy could do their job and get all 3 guys out, but still allow a runner to score through sac flies or ground outs. I have seen relief appearance were a guy comes in 2 outs bases loaded. Give up 2 or 3 singles allowing all runners to score, then get his 1 out, and has a "scoreless" appearance but failed their job.
  17. Trov
    I never get too concerned about a player or too hyped about a player just a couple weeks into a season.
  18. Trov
    I am a fan of building team with flexible fielding guys. Then your depth is not as challenged when injuries happen. We already are seeing this. Polanco starting on IL, AK starting on IL means we are needing back up right side of infield. Now CC back hurt, Farmer on IL means we are on 3rd SS option. Gallo hurt we are on 3rd 1b option. Kepler hurt and buck not playing OF, maybe hurt now too, we are on 4th and 5th OF options. Being able to move guys around to not have to pull up guys from AA to fill in is always helpful.
  19. Trov
    Think a little early, 5 games, to say E-Rod is struggling. He has 3 hits, all extra base hits, and has 9 RBI, so he is making good on at bats with runners on. yes, he has 11K's but he also has 5 walks. He will always have high ks but balanced with good walks. He is not going to be a .300 plus hitter, but he will be a .350 plus OBP and .850 plus OPS. 5 games is just not long enough to say struggles or not.
  20. Trov
    The writer addressed the 1 inning. All other innings were dominate. It was the one inning where he gave up a solid single, then a weak grounder that found a hole, a walk, then a very bad pitch for the GS. Outside of that he shut them down. The GS was solid hit, but only went out by a foot, could have been a long 2 run single. Outside of that inning he gave up no hits or walks. So he was dominate for 5 out of his 6 innings. Yes, that inning counts. He got the win and hopefully he will not give up meat ball next time in that situation.
  21. Trov
    Personally, I do think he has only a smaller chance of staying healthy and hitting as just DH than he does playing CF. He has hurt himself several times in his career batting and running bases. I bet if we look back he has hurt himself more doing that than playing field. Maybe, the argument can be made is that is just when the injury arose, but really the field is what led to some of them, I do not know all the specifics of those things. However, just keeping him as DH does hurt the team some, but if he gets hurt fully then we are even worse off, so it is a bit of a trade off.
  22. Trov
    I so wish Bert was still there for this. He hates it, and would love to listen to the old man complain about the use of these stats more and more. I mean long is gone is his, keep the ball down and any pitch above the knee is a bad patch and expected to get hit hard. He would hate that we talk about fastballs up in the zone is actually a good pitch, as long as not middle middle.
  23. Trov
    Outside of the 1 inning Ryan was dominate. So far our starting pitching has been great. All looking very good. Ryan just missed bad on that grand slam, and really was 1 foot from being most likely a long single coming off the limestone. Overall liking what I am seeing from pitching and hitting.
  24. Trov
    Personally, I do not believe the majority of growth in the field comes from games being played, but from practice time. You can go a full game with only a few possible balls hit for you to field, but in practice you can get a ton of reps. I fully expect Miller to get most of games at SS with Salas at 3rd. Reports are Salas is already expected to transition to 3rd at MLB level. Nothing wrong with some reps in games for Salas at SS, but that is not where he will grow most defensively.
  25. Trov
    I am not a bankruptcy lawyer, and sure MLB lawyers know what they are doing, but my limited knowledge is once someone claims bankruptcy, you cannot seek payments from them. Now, the timing of the bankruptcy may play a major roll in this, as they did not seek to back out of the contract for the Diamond Backs because they are a creditor because the non-payment was before the bankruptcy. However, I might imagine the bankruptcy court might rule now the Twins are a creditor and dismiss MLB's motion. If so, they bankruptcy court will let it all play out. I think it would be helpful for some article to, here or elsewhere where they consult with a bankruptcy attorney to express an opinion as to how this will play out.
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