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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    It’s hard to imagine that we can’t score 3-4 runs per game v. these arms……..it’s hard to imagine giving up more than 3 runs with our arms. Mahle’s start tonight will set the tone. If we split, a disappointment, but we’d be 16-13 for the first month……..17-12 would be an amazing start 16 wins out of 29 games projects to 90 wins for the Season.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Perry wasn’t near the pitcher he would become when Pasqual was around……Dean Chance threw a no hitter in there and had at least one solid year.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Until Kenta blew up today with 10 runs in less than 4 innings, our starters were leading the Majors in ERA at 2.62 runs per 9 innings. Fantastic!! Bailey Ober gave up 1 run in 6 innings……….time to make him a regular in the rotation.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Commenting in middle of Wednesday contest. Picked it up in middle of 4th - Kenta appears to have gotten rocked with 5 ER in two different innings. Time for a change - when you have depth, there’s no reason to experiment and give extra chances hoping for better outcomes. Give St. Paul a call & move Bailey Ober into the 5th slot. Headrick seems to be doing OK today (1 run through 3 1/3) so he seems to be a competent long guy for the near-term. Maeda needs to join him in the Pen for the month of May…….then re-evaluate. Those 2, along with the López - Jax - Duran - Thielbar - Alcala - Morán - & a new guy for Pagán would be a nice relief corp - maybe not perfect but pretty nice!! …………………….. Whoever said we shouldn’t have signed Joey Gallo needs to write a formal apology as I am here……….Sorry Joe! …….,Sorry FO! 7th dinger on the 26th of April……..he was out 10 days on IL as well!! Wow, when right, he’s a monster. Gold Glove outfielder that has played a flawless 1B every time he’s on the field! ……………………… Today’s game seems to be a proving ground for Headrick - a break-out day for Miranda….2 HR - and even Nick Gordon just tripled in the gap.
  5. JD-TWINS
    I can’t stand that Pagán is still on the staff but Aroldis Chapman is a very hit & miss guy as are most relievers. Very hit & miss. Pagan is in his 4th week of his 2nd year with the club……..not like his 5th year? Problem with Pagán is that he has stuff that plays better in the Pen than many guys in the system - you assume if a guy can practice well he’ll play well. He doesn’t have the guts/smarts to pitch in tight situations. Tough to quantify these things for the guys behind him as well………..we need to eat the $4M & move on at some point.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Gray’s curveball used about 15-20% of the time is looking really good most of his starts!! Ryan’s fastball, while not dominant from a speed standpoint, really seems to be under control and hitting intended spots 80-90% of the time he throws it……..saved him v. Yanks when he couldn’t get a feel for slider and struggled a bit with change/sinker as well. How about every pitch Jorge López throws - what a turnaround!! I had him paired up with Pagán on the first bus out of town when season started. 3 hits & no walks in 11 appearances & BTW, no runs. He’s got velocity - movement - command - confidence. Really fun to watch in ‘23. Pablo’s change-up is pretty effective and it has been lost with the success of his new sweeping slider.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Isn’t Headrick sufficient for long relief? I know he went 3 innings in first game. Not much of a track record to date. Winder is another talented potential long guy, once healthy. Balazavic is a new Pen option in another 3-4 weeks. The new guy, Stewart, will get a couple looks but really don’t expect him to stick. We have guys with better stuff……,they dobsee something if they DFA’d MeGill - he throws 98 with a plus curveball…….lack of control though. Gotta get to some scenario soon where it’s completely logical - beyond any doubt - that Pagán is TOO inconsistent to keep on the staff. Last, Morán may need to go down…….. with the ultimatum that he’s not coming back up until he can complete two consecutive outings without walking anyone. He’s got a nice change-up - tired of hearing that, as he walks 1-3 guys per inning. He doesn’t get knocked around, he just puts himself in trouble way too often. Somewhere in the 7.50 ERA range at this point.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Lopez - Paddack - Ryan - Varland - Ober in ‘24 (…..maybe Gray resigned?) - SWR - possible FA or trade acquisition? Balazavic is behind all of this as a starter, at a minimum. I too think a hard throwing guy to displace one of our current 6-7-8 guys in Pen …….a 2-3 pitch guy like Jax. I do think he’s been throwing in relief in St. Paul for a couple weeks plus. Hope he’s going to get a shot by June/July.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Health is a risk with both Mahle & Gray (probably anyone) & Mahle’s age makes him seem like the way to go. Don’t think he’s as hungry to win nor is he as smart, relative to pitching, as Gray. I’d offer Gray two options (maybe not at same time) of more $/yr & shorter duration & then a more standard offer. 2 years at $21M per year………back-up offer, 3 years at $17.5M. First one is a decent value for club & more risk averse.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Agreed - with Thielbar - Jax - Duran back at 2022 effectiveness & the addition of a very effective Jorge López, our Pen has a great core group…….need to round out another 2-3 guys. Maeda would/could be a nice piece to bring consistency. The elephant in the room & performer/player that seems to have been missed in this article’s body - PAGAN - he’s gotta go. His occasional success is greatly offset by his more than occasional disappointments! Again, he’s gotta go!!
  11. JD-TWINS
    Tuesday line-up: Castro - LF ……Taylor - CF ……Gallo - RF Solano-1B…Polanco-2B…CC-SS …Miranda-3B Jeffers - C …..Buxton - DH Jorge is supposedly a better LH hitter and would be rested by Farmer but Farmer’s hurt & Jorge got 3 hits Sunday from right side. Gotta get to Nestor with these guys.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Rosin is used to get a better grip - temps in the 40’s should generate a real need - maybe we’ll see another dust up with German, if for no other reason, just to irritate him. Seems to make sense for Mahle to go Wednesday on regular rest and to drop Maeda into the Royals series somewhere as it makes most sense. Gallo in LF Tuesday……8 other RH bats v. Nestor…….gotta break through!!
  13. JD-TWINS
    Lewis is a July option & things need to shift by mid-May. Seems like, at this point, Lee may be an option. Farmer helps v. LH pitching but not much difference v. RH pitching. Miranda - Gordon - Larnach (hopefully) - Kepler - Correa all just need another 15 games. Still have 7 games left in April - EARLY!!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Maeda to the Pen to make room for Ober in rotation? Agreed on the Hometown bias. CC is a .275 lifetime hitter - Buxton is a .244 lifetime hitter - Larnach has been brutal, other than 1 game, since we left Miami & remains unproven as a MLB player - Gordon has been as bad as anyone could have imagined - very fortunate Gallo has contributed to date - Kepler is still rough - etc. Gallo/Solano at 1B & Vázquez/Jeffers at C have been better than average to date. Taylor in CF has had flashes at the plate that bring him into the acceptable range but close to not, after brutal dropped ball & poor throw/effort on Saturday. 3 of 9 spots in line-up performing OK. Buxton is close at DH but nothing exciting. All teams lose games they should win because of shoddy play once in a while. If we can get a couple against Yankees & 3 against Royals we’ll be 17-12 for April……..before first pitch was thrown this year we would have been ecstatic with those results. Keep pitching & wins will come!
  15. JD-TWINS
    Not worried about the players security shown here - tens of $millions earned - they seem like an odd group to want to support or worry about. Minor leaguers - guys that don’t meet MLB service time minimums, yes! The topic was how are guys doing that were former Twins - Luis Arraez is killing it!! Contested others here about his inability to play defense - his lack of power - his probable inability to stay healthy………long way to go, I understand. Right now though, he’s the best hitter in the game. I was down on the trade for López from 2 months prior to a couple weeks after. Realized trade was for Twins best interest & now that we’ve extended Pablo I’ll never look back.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Buxton can be an electric presence in the line-up. He’s capable of hot streaks that are sweet to watch and some real ugly slumps. He is often the same electric presence in the OF & it upsets fans he’s not giving it (us) his all as a daily DH. IMO, using him as DH & having him playing 90% plus of the time - thus giving him a chance to carry us for a game or 3 once in a while is worthwhile. Buxton through 21 games v. career. 2023……………….Career OBP .316 ……………….. .301 BA. .243 ……………… .244 OPS. .759 ………………. .773 SLG. .443. ……………… .472 OPS+ 114. …………………. 108 Guy isn’t going to change in his 9th year. Just hoping for plenty of the 2-3 game streaks that help us win games! Hopefully, being healthy and playing 80-90% of the time v. his track record of 47% of games in 7 of 8 years gets us wins in ‘23.
  17. JD-TWINS
    It’s over - no bearing on what’s happening day to day in ‘23. I do hope Martin’s arm is OK & he can progress to give us some help next year or turn into a trade chip for some help. SWR is OK…..not great. If he were he’d be in our rotation. He got up above 90 pitches within 36 hours of getting called up so the fact that he tired is reasonable. Yesterday’s issue was the lethargy most guys seemed to be captured by. I get it was ridiculous weather - same for both teams & you’d hope guys living there could be better with the mental adjustment! Vázquez can’t let the slider go off his glove as López was working his way out of a jam by striking out the side - free run. Taylor cannot drop a ball that hits the pocket of his glove & then give up another base by throwing behind the runner - at least one if not two free runs. All of a sudden we’re down 4 runs after two National’s at bats & it’s 34F…….bad day!! Correa 3 hits - Buxton drew a walk & hit a home run……..looking for bright spots. IMO……would be fantastic to salvage 6 of 10 in this home stand…….down two early. 6 wins gets us to a 17-12 April which sounds nice to me.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Moran is what he is…….gonna walk guys to start potential rallys & strike guys out to get out of them. Hopefully, his change-up is sharp enough to get 3 outs at a time w/o much damage. Same kind of description for the bottom 4 guys in most MLB bullpens. Just hope he sharpens his nerve & focus to not let walks bury him. I like what I see below in a post - a thought I expressed as a possible idea after he got punched at beginning of spring training - Balazovic as another Griffin Jax type of guy out of the Pen. Looks like we are grooming him now for potential mid-summer help. He’s basically taking Megill’s spot as another hard throwing right hander - good luck Jordan!
  19. JD-TWINS
    He’s averaged 46% of the games (74) in 7 of 8 years. Gotta do something different or we pay him to sit half the year. Open to suggestions……..something other than “just play him til he gets hurt & who knows, maybe he won’t”. Are you concerned with $ he’s being paid? We have a gold glove CF playing every day - so our defense isn’t suffering.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Agreed on Moran. He’s starting to look like he may be unfixable at MLB level and needs to develop some command of the zone in more Minor League work. He can’t throw strikes in good outings nor bad outings…….needs to get that better! Bringing a guy up w/o using him doesn’t make sense. Gray hasn’t looked ready to go deep into games to date so maybe SWR gets 2-3 innings on Sunday & we try to rest the Pen?
  21. JD-TWINS
    I get it - many of us were thinking the same thing! If Polanco gives up an out, they walk Miranda & we’re a double play away from ending the game…….also, a sac fly from being tied. Decisions made in today’s game are just different - sometimes very difficult to justify!
  22. JD-TWINS
    He needs a good series to get some positivity going forward - no doubt. I just keep thinking about 2022 when he hit .289 with 28 doubles & 8 HR after May 1st. Something close to that would be awesome………long way to go before we’re looking at DFAing Nick but we need some offensive contributions.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Correct! Maybe he got hypnotized before last night’s game v. Nationals………had Dr. tell him he was not DHing but actually playing CF so he could stay engaged……..2-4 in game one of the series. Baseball is a series of (0 - # off at bats) and a few (2-4’s) sprinkled in once in a while……hence the hopeful Average of .250 or better across the season. I don’t think enough emphasis has been put on Buxton’s games played to date. 18 of 20 games (90%) & that means the DH move is working. He’s batting .242…..if he had 2 more walks & 1 more home run his slash line would be exactly what we would hope for from Byron. 3 different AB results & all would be good - it’s that early. Sample size is way too small. Nobody likes to lose, especially after getting used to winning early, but gotta give him a break. Correa & Miranda, regardless of $ they make, those 2 both need to get going!!
  24. JD-TWINS
    Reviewing your 7X at 2 runs or less comment: The Royals don’t have good pitchers - we had back to back 2-0 wins in the first series of the season. “Pitchers are ahead in April….” ?? or whatever - maybe we suck? The other 5x we got two runs or less are against the 5 pitching stars we’ve faced that I mentioned originally…..Alcantara - Luzardo - Cease - Cole - Sale. It’s like facing Pablo López with better stuff 5 times out of 19 games. No reason to think we should do anything but struggle against these guys! There is no refuting this - all 5 of them are excellent. Let’s wait til May 15 before we condemn our offense. Houston’s starters - 3 game series with them -aren’t bad. Garcia - Brown - ??……Brown was very sharp as well!
  25. JD-TWINS
    Not sure why you are pointing out “up the middle strength” & then referring to guy’s offensive stats w/o ever mentioning Polanco. He’s a career .270BA - switch hitting guy with 20 plus homer power! No need to worry about when Buxton gets back to CF. Taylor & Gordon have the D covered. Don't get lost in the early offensive stats! A big part of our offensive issues as a team fall into 5 games we’ve played & lost. We mustered 6 runs against these 5 starters………… Yankees - Cole, Marlins - Alcantara/Luzardo, White Sox - Cease, Boston - Sale. ALL 5 of these guys are like running into the proverbial buzz saw. The only two w/o a former Cy Young are Cease - voted 2nd in ‘22 & Luzardo - too young to have been noticed……left hander that throws 98 Mph with 2 other pitches! We’ve lost 3 starts out of 19 starts to normal pitching - not bad! Buxton - Gordon - Kepler - CC - Miranda all need to get rolling,
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