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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Agree with everything you have written about Royce Lewis. It has been quite awhile since the Twins have had a player who could repeatedly rise to the occasion and elevate their game when it is most needed.
  2. Could someone please comment on the defensive aspect of Prato and Helman’s game. Neither Gordon or Castro are above average defensively.
  3. Another factor is that Brooks Lee does not need to be put on the 40 man roster this year. That is one less player that can be protected from the rule 5 draft.
  4. Royce Lewis is having a better season than Gunnar Henderson, who is the top candidate for AL RoY. Lewis has a better OPS (910 vs 823) WRC+ (150 vs 124) and BA (0.302 vs 0.257). The major difference is that Henderson has 502 plate appearances vs 202 for Lewis (about 2.5x more). In cumulative stats Henderson leads. HR (26 vs 14) RBI (76 vs 50) fWAR (4.2 vs 2.1). There offensive vs defensive splits are about the same in that both are offensive first player but not a liability on defense. Lewis should be in the discussion as a RoY candidate. He is clearly out playing Gunnar Henderson and should be given more consideration for RoY. Current AL Rookie of the Year Odds: (from Bleacher Report) Gunnar Henderson -215 Masataka Yoshida +330 Triston Casas +400 Tanner Bibee +1500 Josh Jung +7500 Esteury Ruiz/Royce Lewis/Edouard Julien +10000
  5. “Wallner started his third stint off hot, hitting .238/.333/.571 (.904) with 15 hits, six home runs, and a well-above-league average wRC+ of 145 from July 17 to August 6.” Maybe there is a deficiency with statistics in that a player with a batting average of 0.238 is considered to be 45% above league average. It seems that power may be overrated. Ronald Acuna Jr., has a K% = 11.3 with a BA = 0.334 has a WRC+ of 168. (Data is from Fangraphs)
  6. They should move Correa to the IL right now. Farmer or Lewis can man SS. Some sacrifice on D but I am not sure the Twins would be worse off.
  7. We are all assuming that this is a move that the Angels made without consequences. How do players in general feel about this. Will this impact the ability of the Angels to attract free agents. Part of this would be on how it was handled. Did they ask the players who were waived if they wanted an opportunity to play for a contender. I have not read an articles about the human element of these roster moves. Mike Clevinger who one of the better pitchers placed on waivers, went unclaimed. Although he had other baggage (domestic abuse) his buyout clause was an inhibiting factor in being claimed. This suggests what players can do to limit being claimed on waivers. In Clevinger’s case his buyout is 4 million dollars.
  8. I don’t really think there is a fair to do this as every system that can be devised has pluses and minuses. From a team perspective, extending the trade deadline would give every team an opportunity to bid on a player. And perhaps would seem the most fair to the teams still in the playoff hunt. Granting free agency to the waived player would would likely result in the best free agents going to the best teams as given a choice, the player would choose the team that appears most likely to go deep in the postseason. This overall would be good for the players but not good for baseball. Generally, I think it is good for players on uncompetitive teams to to be waived or traded to teams that are still playing for the postseason. This is especially true for players on expiring contracts as it gives them an opportunity to further showcase their talents and value. (An example of this is Eddie Rosario receiving a contract from the Braves primarily because of his postseason heroics).
  9. I’m not sure this would matter. The old system was revocable waivers. The claiming team could work out a trade, or sometimes a team would let the waiver claim proceed. If the player cleared waivers they could be traded to any team. However, the decision was left for the team placing the player on waivers as to whether or not they would let the waiver claim go through. In the current case (with the Angels) the outcome could have been the same if the Angels were content to let a player go with no compensation other than salary relief. The revocable waivers was more of a game of chess as blocking a move from your competitor was part of the strategy. Most of the time (but not always) this could be done without acquiring the player as most teams expected to receive a trade as part of the outcome.
  10. The challenge with changing the waiver rules to move every team that claimed a player to back of the line is that eventually a good player on waivers will be awarded to best team in the league. I think current system has worked just fine. Cincinnati and Cleveland might be better teams now and baseball will have a more competitive stretch run. If this happens, baseball as a whole will be better off. (Of course not so good for the Twins) There are many elements the waiver/ free agent system that lack fairness under some circumstances. At least with the waiver claims, the worst teams receives the first chance at benefiting and they pay the salaries. I think an equally interesting example that has not received any attention is Josh Donaldson clearing waivers and signing a minor league contract with the Brewers. In case of an injury Josh Donaldson could be eligible for the Brewers post season roster and the Brewers risk is the prorated league minimum. Josh Donaldson has been hurt most of the year, his performance has been declining (and he has a reputation for not being a good teammate) but he is still an above average defender. I think the Brewers got a steal. Insurance at one of their weakest positions without having to make any roster decisions.
  11. It is really hard to know. If one of the acquired pitchers gets hot down the stretch it might have a big impact. The deadline trade of Steve Pearce in 2018 barely registered but he got hot in the postseason and earned WS MVP honors.
  12. Here are what I see as positives for baseball 1) AL Central race is now more competitive —although bad for the Twins —potentially good for baseball 2) Some good players will be playing in October instead of watching The bad 1) Angels improve their future situation by tanking and save $$$ in the process. 2) The worst team benefits the most as they have first choice in waiver claims The players who cleared waivers can still be released and as such would be free agents. The signing team would pay the prorated league minimum with the Angels (or releasing team) paying the remainder. I don’t see outright releasing as a preferred alternative to waiver claims as I think the released players would gravitate to the best teams (as players would choose the path that gave the best opportunity for a ring). In this scenario, the best teams would get better at the expense of the out of contention teams
  13. These waiver acquisitions are not a free lunch and involve roster management decisions that can impact the playoffs or possibly future talent. Moving someone to the 60 day IL is the only move that doesn’t involve potentially losing a player. Theoretically let’s say the Twins (or any other team) puts in for 6 waiver claims and is awarded all 6. What do they do. They could move several players to the 60 day IL, maybe release a few from the 40 man roster. I suppose they could release the newly acquired waiver claim (is this allowed). The acquiring team would be on the hook for the remainder of the contract, but they also prevent another team from putting that player on the playoff roster (as these transactions are taking place on the last day to have 40 man additions eligible for the playoff roster). A possible outcome is that the few most desirable waiver claims go to worst team at this time (e.g., Cincinnati) that team gets hot and goes deep into the playoffs.
  14. Interesting article, but I am confused. This write up was written as if these are all irrevocable waivers. Does this mean that the revocable waivers is a thing of the past. If someone clears waivers they can not be traded as the trade deadline was Aug 1. Thank you for clarifying.
  15. The USS New Jersey is moored in East Camden (across the Delaware River from the City Center, about a 15-20 minute drive). It is nearly an identical ship to the USS Missouri. https://www.battleshipnewjersey.org/
  16. Maybe the Twins should try bunting with runners on third and less than 2 out. At 40% success rate, they would be in a better position to score runs. Jeffers as done this a few times.
  17. Interesting article. Hard to to understand how the Twins can have so many underperforming players. In a couple of years, maybe even next year, Correa and Buxton and some of the others will be bench players unless they produce better than they have this year.
  18. Not sure that trust is the right word. I thought the Twins should have been sellers at the trade deadline. I question the direction the team is going. Almost every position player has seen an increase in Ks vs previous years and the quality of at bats at times has been very poor. There seems to be a lack good situational hitting.
  19. Baltimore is a fun team to watch this year. By having hindsight regret we are assuming Coulombe would have pitched as well for the Twins as he has for the Orioles. Both Cano and Coulombe are having career years. Maybe the coaching staffs have something to do with this.
  20. There is an analysis of the NY Yankees struggles in the NY Post. Change some of the names and a lot of what is written could also apply to the Twins. https://nypost.com/2023/08/05/yankees-failure-to-learn-needed-lessons-behind-ongoing-decline/
  21. It is also possible that a straightened out Syndergaard is a better pitcher than Civale. Depends on whether Syndergaard is willing to listen to Cleveland’s coaches better that the Dodgers. Looks like Cleveland sold high on Civale and bought low on Syndergaard.
  22. Mostly agree with the article. I would have liked the Twins to be selective sellers. Maybe moving Sony Gray. But they would have needed someone who would have made such a trade worthwhile
  23. Trey Cabbage had his first HR last night.
  24. It is a pleasure to watch someone who actually knows how to hit an outside pitch
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