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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I’d say when you add a 5.12 ERA and a 1.431 WHIP to that, ‘mediocre’ is a pretty fair term, as far as 2023 results go. Now, that doesn’t mean the stuff/potential is mediocre. The org must like that part of it a whole lot, or he wouldn’t be our one and only representative.
  2. jkcarew
    I mean…he’s K’ing right about at the team rate…above league average. However, if my hopeful eyes aren’t deceiving me, he does seem willing and able to adapt approach to some AB based on game situation and/or what the pitcher is trying to do with him. Health. Health. Health. He strikes me as one for whom the ability to think the game might be his biggest asset.
  3. jkcarew
    Lewis is K’ing at about the same rate as the Twin’s average rate, which is above league average. He’s K’ing more than Kepler and Correa, to name a couple. He does seem to have the ability and wherewithal to adapt approach to some at-bats based on the game situation. Or maybe I’m just seeing things based on hope. Time will tell.
  4. jkcarew
    I wouldn't be totally shocked if they reached a bit for Teel, assuming they think he's a mlb catcher. Don't know if that would be smart or not. I'd rather that than Dollander, tbh. Probably should just take either of the HS kids...I'm higher on Clark than Jenkins fwiw. But it will be tempting when drafting up here to go with someone they think can help sooner.
  5. jkcarew
    The Reds also have a center fielder OPS’ing 849. Not quite the same opportunity cost. They also have a healthy budding star at second, and 2 corner outfielders OPS’ing 800-850. The Reds may be wasting De La Cruz’s range (I don’t know)…but they’re not sacrificing offense. The Twins are doing both.
  6. jkcarew
    If he is a true 5-tool guy, he might be the first ever whose club chose to make him a 3rd baseman at age 24.
  7. jkcarew
    I think most years I would be with you. This year, I say sell, bring on the youth, and take your chances in a horrible division. Win/win. Be in the 2023 “race” AND get better for 2024/2025. I know that’s probably being overly pessimistic. Or overly optimistic. I’m confused as to which.
  8. jkcarew
    Rocco running interference. Nothing more. Honestly, getting to be more of a side-show than he’s worth. IL him or play him in the field. At this point, I’d welcome the IL stint. 2024 needs to be the season to turn things over to the next wave for leadership. Correa will remain valuable. Kepler will be gone and Buxton/Polanco should be considered nothing more than potential depth (or traded).
  9. jkcarew
    The signing was a bit of a head-scratcher. Looked very promising early, but he’s broken now. Still slightly above league average production-wise…but that’s not worth much at 1B or LF, and not what they were hoping for when they signed him for $11M.
  10. jkcarew
    Sell! Sell! Sell!
  11. jkcarew
    ‘not approached in 82 years’ is not true….especially if the threshold is June. Tony Gwynn was hitting 400 at least into July at least once (probably more than once). Carew was hitting 400 well into June at least twice and 411 on July 1 once. George Brett was hitting 400 in August. And those are just the first three guys I checked. I know Ichiro was way up there at least once and I’m sure there have been random ridiculous hot-streak examples that are forgotten by non-HOF types. Having said that, I agree with the comment regarding era. He’s 70 points higher than the next guy in the league. Part of that is because players don’t prioritize BA much at all anymore…but, still…70 points. Highest margin Carew ever finished a season with was 50 points over the number 2 guy.
  12. jkcarew
    Thanks for this. Rest in peace, George.
  13. jkcarew
    The organization 100% needed to trade for pitching. The traded a player from a deep organizational pool of bat-first poor-fielding infielders. They no doubt traded the one that had the most current trade value. All this is perfectly defensible. Now…if the guy you traded goes out and immediately has a career year, way beyond anything he’s ever done before, and the guy you got goes sideways… Let’s let things play out for a couple of years. We can dwell on it. But if the FO did, they’d never make another trade.
  14. jkcarew
    Cavaco is the only pick that I hated in real-time. Petty is looking like a nice pick at this stage. Still don’t mind the trade.
  15. jkcarew
    This is probably rhetorical? If not… It means there’s a last ditch effort by the organization. (Tearing down and rebuilding the swing; or something as radical as changing a batter to a pitcher, etc.) It also means not taking at-bats from other prospects that are succeeding and need to advance. I believe the player has to consent. I suppose we can assume that often times the alternative is being released, although I have no inside info on Cavaco’s specific situation.
  16. jkcarew
    When you watch Emmanuel Rodriguez, it doesn’t take long to notice that the body language and attitude seem…interesting. Has the making of someone who’s going to give everyone a run for their money…opponents, fans, managers, umpires, teammates.
  17. jkcarew
    Fwiw…HOF-wise, I think pitchers will start getting evaluated/recognized against different criteria since even the best will be denied opportunity to reach some of the traditional counting stats…although I think longevity will always hold some sway. The very best of EVERY era (and only the very best) belong in the hall, IMO.
  18. jkcarew
    Yeah...didn't want to mention that 😉. But, yeah....Blyleven was not normal. Incredibly underappreciated in his time because of the really bad offensive teams he pitched for (until the back end of his career). I just did some checking...about 1 out of every 11 Blyleven starts resulted in a complete game shutout. The list of players who did better than this are almost all dead-ball era guys (e.g., Grover Cleveland Alexander, Walter Johnson)...or players who had the heart of their career before the mound was lowered in 1969 (e.g., Sandy Koufax, Bob Gibson). The guys that remain better than Blyleven in this regard...Jim Palmer, Tom Seaver, Louis Tiant (although, Tiant's career straddled the mound change.) That's it. Blyleven threw complete game shutouts more frequently than... Nolan Ryan, Steve Carlton (career straddled mound change), Randy Johnson, Roger Clemens...and everybody else.
  19. jkcarew
    Complete game is one thing...but complete game shutout is something else again. They’ve never been ‘easy’ or ‘common’. Verlander has 9; Kershaw 15; Santana and Radke both had 10. Congrats, Joe!
  20. jkcarew
    Ugh! Don’t compare Buxton to Towns, I LIKE Buxton. Often frustrated by Buxton…and yes he, like Town, is an under achiever. But Buxton doesn’t totally suck at 50% of the game he plays. Most notably, Buxton seems to give a —it…and WAY more likable than Towns. Way. I like the analogies, but feel the urge to defend the Twins. The T-wolves are a historically bad franchise…epically bad. As dysfunctional as they are currently, this is near the zenith of their historical standard. Over 500 and sneaking into the playoffs is nearly as good as it’s EVER been. The Twins are merely historically mediocre, and the current situation is par.
  21. jkcarew
    DaShawn Keirsey is making himself a viable candidate for getting on someone’s 40-man roster at some point in 2024. Aaron Sabato’s minor league career OBP sitting at 359. Just say’in…he’s suddenly not seeming like the total disaster a lot of us had already labeled him.
  22. jkcarew
    One pitch gets hit hard. One pitch doesn’t get whiffs…so it’s likely to get hit hard at the major league level soon enough. Add to that, his challenges with controlling his pitches. It that’s the case, we have…a relief pitcher. Someone who can potentially control two good pitches. Disappointing, but probably the most realistic ceiling at this point. And if he can be a good one…
  23. jkcarew
    26-34 since April 14 30-37 against the league (ex Royals) Pitching is regressing, and hitting is what it’s been all year. Really no sign that the ship is going to turn around. Time to try something different, no?
  24. jkcarew
    What race? The absolute worse thing that can happen to a club…is to pretend mediocrity is something other than mediocrity. The division is a bad joke. The Twins are…what…coming up on 10 games UNDER 500 against the league ex/Royals. Tough argument that’s even mediocrity. The FO can only make the situation worse (and longer) by telling themselves the lie that the club is competitive or in a race of any meaningful kind. They’re not. And they’re not. Youth, and sell at the deadline, are the right things to do. And the division is bad enough that you might still win it, for the little that’s worth in 2023. Not that I’ll hold my breath that this FO would do the right thing.
  25. jkcarew
    If only the goalie didn’t give up so many goals, he’d be good. If only the pitcher didn’t give up so many really hard hits… It’s the same argument. Just needs to be better overall. AAA. Three years ago, I wouldn’t have bet 2 cents that Varland would ever see AAA, let alone the majors. He may surprise yet again, or maybe this is the ceiling. The International League ballparks, including CHS, are HR factories…an excellent situation for working on keeping it in the park.
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