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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Cavaco was a horrendous reach at the time. Multiple draft analysts (and members of this community) said he was a reach in real time. He’s now a first baseman (that has never been able to hit)…a clear indication that the Twins are throwing in the towel. The rest of 2019 looks pretty good. A little bit of…“other than that, Mrs Lincoln, how did you like the play?”
  2. jkcarew
    Yeah, it’s still more about Mahle than it is about what we gave up, IMO. Time and CES could change my opinion. Right now the trade looks better if Miranda had been one of the highly-regarded right-handed infield bats we had given up…that’s true. But that too could change.
  3. jkcarew
    The league has seen the sweeper, they are looking for it…especially with 2 strikes. The simplest explanation I have is they are not swinging and missing against it as frequently as last year…significantly less frequently. I think the stats reflect that. It is foiling the plan/pitch sequencing that he and the club took into 2023. Not bad luck. The batters adjusted. Now it’s Jax’s turn to adjust. It will probably depend on a little better control of his best secondary pitch…and sequencing differently off that. We’ll see.
  4. jkcarew
    He’s a moderately above average DH…no better, no worse in that role than we should have expected.. 6 SB and the occasional mad dash to home, doesn’t make him more than that. It’s not a terribly valuable equation. If he does that all year, is that an overall win for the club? I’m not sure it is. Maybe the best way to look at it is…”and then he’ll play CF in the playoffs”. Sure would be nice to have the option to play a young/hot left-handed bat at DH (against righties) and plunk Buxton in center in the playoffs. But even in the ALC central, you have to make it to the playoffs first.
  5. jkcarew
    In general, Twins hitting prospects at A+ are actually YOUNGER than those at A. This is skewing perceptions based on stats alone.
  6. jkcarew
    Buxton is definitely struggling with men on base, but striking out less frequently than he did last year and exactly at his career average. His OBP is actually better than it’s been in the past due to taking way more BB than previously. His overall production has been a little better than his career average. IMO, 2023 has been ‘down’ for Buxton for these three reasons… 1, he’s been really bad with RiSP; 5 for 37 2. his SLG is down…fewer HR/XBH 3. Fans continue to have the perception that he’s a great hitter. He’s not. But, he is capable of incredible hot streaks, and he hopefully has one or two left in the tank for 2023.
  7. jkcarew
    This. Wallner is K’ing at a 37% clip in AAA playing full time. There’s about a 100% chance that at least one of Gallo and Kepler won’t be here next year (to say nothing of 2nd-half injuries this season). If he keeps working/improving, he’s going to get his chance.
  8. jkcarew
    Good on Rocco for staying with Duran in the 10th. You win the game in hand, and take your chances tomorrow. Every time. We heard day one from multiple sources inside and outside the organization that Lewis had the “it” factor. The question has been does he have enough talent (hitting) to make it matter at the major league level. Knocking on every bit of wood I can find that he stays healthy and gets to prove himself.
  9. jkcarew
    That’s a lot. But with the way the game is played now, I’d take 15 Ks every game if it came with 14 and 19 base runners.
  10. jkcarew
    Let that be a lesson!
  11. jkcarew
    ‘bout time.
  12. jkcarew
    I’ll accept it with 2 out and MAT on deck. Missed a good pitch to hit.
  13. jkcarew
    But not missed.
  14. jkcarew
    Pick to click. Isn't that a Hawk Harrelson invention!? Should be banned here.
  15. jkcarew
    Fwiw, Kepler would figure to put the ball in play much more than Wallner, which seems like a reasonable choice given the lineup’s struggles in that regard. Realistically, I see offensive Wallner as 2024’s version of 2023 Joey Gallo (assuming the Twins don’t resign Gallo). If he continues to improve and can be better than that, GREAT.
  16. jkcarew
    I find it interesting that the talk of Lewis in CF has kind of gone away. Not that he ever played a ton in center in the minors, but 3B seems to be a waste of his range…and it’s not like we have a star playing CF. Farmer at 3B and Lewis in CF would be better offensively over the longer haul, no? Maybe not by enough to compensate for the delta in defense? With Lewis now, and Castro, Gallo, Kirilloff…it’s amazing how many different defensive configurations are possible that would render at least average-ish defense. So, we have that going for us.
  17. jkcarew
    Good question. Does Celestino have options?
  18. jkcarew
    Especially when you’re not trying to ‘hit’ it…you’re trying to crush it into the air and carry it 400 feet. On every attempt.
  19. jkcarew
    Same team, same birth year (2001)… Jorel Ortega is having a better year and appears the more complete hitter and base runner at this stage (playing mostly 3B). Not an international signing…6th round pick out of Tennessee, signed for $250K
  20. jkcarew
    The spark may be somewhere in this article. Or, it might not be. The good news is that it looks almost assured that the ALC will give the Twins a good amount of time to find it. And, if the pitching holds up, even a decently functioning offense gives the club a chance in a playoff series. My formula is Buxton in CF (70%), Correa coming around, a good platoon at DH (Buxton vs lefties, Julien righties?) and Lewis being good, a good addition to the bullpen at the deadline…and health. That’s probably too many things to be likely. The exact catalyst, I don’t know. We’ll see.
  21. jkcarew
    I think AAA is more about ‘taxi-squad’ than development. The young guys at AAA tend to be the ones deemed ‘ready’, but haven’t cracked the starting lineup. My guess is Lee will be at AA all season. Don’t really have anyone ‘tearing it up’ at AA…Severino maybe/kinda? FWIW, I saw they did put Lewis at SS at least once.
  22. jkcarew
    I spent a ton of money on women and booze, and like a fool, I wasted the rest. — Benny Hill
  23. jkcarew
    Tip of the hat to Rocco who tried something different with the bullpen. I wouldn’t say that it necessarily ‘worked’…but IMO he needed to try something different. At the end of the day, his best reliever pitched a scoreless inning in a game the club won by two runs. Also, he got Stewart out there before it was too late.
  24. jkcarew
    You would have hated Harmon Killebrew. Gio Urshella doesn’t make the team better. He might make it funner to watch for some here. More wins? No.
  25. jkcarew
    The data matches the observation. He isn’t putting batters away with the sweeper…they’re fouling it off eventually walking or putting something in play. And if/when he finally gives in…hard contact.
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