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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. It’s pretty clear that in Rocco’s mind Buxton has been the one blocking Wallner…not Gallo. It’s been the opening up of the DH at-bats that finally got him here. (Today he rested Kepler). That, and Rocco doesn’t want to give up the delta in defensive flexibility between Wallner (none), and Gallo (a lot). But if Wallner is going to hit,,,and Gallo is not…it can’t be ignored when Buxton (and Polanco) return. As usual, the obvious solve is putting Buxton in center. Then you can part company with Gallo, and take turns picking between Wallner and Julien who you’re going to hide at DH.
  2. Well, the FO probably couldn’t have known how things would develop with his family when they acquired him. But, they’re doing the right thing. And hope and prayers to the family. I DO wish the FO would have known that he’d be bad. Or that Cano would be good. Or that Mahle was damaged goods. Or that Dyson was damaged goods. Or that Spencer Steer was going to be better than Miranda. Or…
  3. I’m so dumb…. I didn’t know Severino was a switch hitter. His right handed splits (this year) are not AS good, but similar, to his left-handed splits…good SLG, OBP…with a ton of K.
  4. But, then again, none of the others have anything close to elite stuff, either.
  5. The bats kind of imploded as well. Very few balls put in play…and the only reason they had the big lead is that early in the game, literally everything they did put in play has a hit, XBH, or HR. Horrible loss in that it was potentially a huge momentum-breaker. Hope not.
  6. Is Lewis coming back? If yes… Will Candelario be free? And will he come with an active roster exemption?
  7. btw, there’s no truth to the rumor that the league tried to take Córdova’s trophy back a couple of years later. None. ok, they might have tried.
  8. True. But my point would be don’t get any more of that type just to add to average-ish depth. Get a needle mover, or don’t bother. Having said that…if you CAN’T count on Thielbar…you have to get another lefty, period.
  9. I still say this is a don’t buy year…unless you can make a splash. The Twins roster is jamb packed with guys that are ‘decent’ or ‘talented, but inconsistent’. Even St Paul has some. Don’t need any more. You’re keeping Gray, you’re keeping Kepler. Lewis and Polanco are coming back. I like the Idea of a right handed corner outfielder for the postseason. But even that isn’t needed to get there. Meanwhile Thielbar and Stewart should be healthy soon. A real difference maker for the bullpen…sure. But only that.
  10. The delay was puzzling…especially in light of what he signed for.
  11. I hate the idea of buying…especially this year…just for the sake of showing everyone “you did something”. Make a splash or don’t do anything.
  12. Gotta think bigger picture… Rick Dempsey for Danny Walton. Graig Nettles (and Dean Chance…who only had one good year left, plus two others), for one year of Luis Tiant, and Stan Williams. And they outright released Jim Kaat and effectively released Luis Tiant. So, they essentially traded them for nothing at a point when they had a collective nearly 250 major-league wins left in them.
  13. How about next game the scoreboard operator hangs a ‘9’ over every inning of the Line Score. Worth a try, I say.
  14. They should definitely be shopping at LEAST one of Larnach, Kepler, Wallner, Gallo. Larnach probably doesn't get you much right now...Gallo may get nothing, but I'm sure the FO will try before DFA'ing him. There may be a team out there that would take on Kepler's remaining option year. And Wallner might be attractive to someone in the off season. I'm torn on Wallner...I see him as a DH and there's no room there...even if Buxton moves to CF, I would assume Julien would be next in line at DH. And as an outfielder, I only see Wallner as a bridge to the next wave of guys coming up that figure to be good hitters, but with a few more other tools than Wallner. I think I'd be willing to shop Wallner. But not feel in a hurry...if anything, wait to see if the bat can drive his trade value further.
  15. It looks like the Twins should be able to get to $8M (or very, very close) without triggering the lost pick. Clark took $7.7M at 3, and Langford $8M at 4. I don't see what the hold up is...unless Jenkins just doesn't like the Twins situation for whatever reason, and wants to go the J.D. Drew route. Or the Twins are agonizing over the tax to go over $7.3M Probably the latter.
  16. Maybe we shouldn't have Jenkins on the list yet? Only first round pick that remains unsigned. Tick, tick, tick...
  17. And what about Mountcastle's road slash line of 217/261/413? Yuck. And he's borderline unplayable this year against right-handed pitching. So...a platoon guy who can only hit lefties and play first base?? We have way more right-handed bats than left now, especially after Lewis comes back...Farmer, Buxton, both catchers, MAT, Solano, Correa, Lewis...and Polanco and Castro switch hitting. Vs Kirilloff, Julien, Kepler, Wallner, the switch hitters...and Gallo (who everyone seems to want gone, and who has a better OBP and OPS than Mountcastle, and is way more useful defensively.)
  18. It seems unfathomable that it could ever get to the point where it would make sense for the Twins to trade pitching for hitting. But we might be there…or headed in that direction. My how the tables have turned. Still, you’re not trading Ryan anytime soon.
  19. Thomas…call me crazy, but the ridiculous splits are NOT good. In 75% of situations he has very little value (negative considering defense?) Tough to justify over 162 games with the way 26-man rosters work these days. In certain playoff series, certainly would be nice to have, though…platooning/replacing Gallo probably, or Kepler…not Kirilloff. I’d rather he be a cheap rental, actually. Hernandez makes the most sense to me. But, I’m not liking the idea of any buy deals that cost anything more than lottery tickets this year. On the other hand, there are some sell candidates where I would happily take a lottery ticket or two in return.
  20. Brooks LeeWalker JenkinsCharlee SotoMarco RayaEmmanuel RodriguezKala'i RosarioDanny De AndradeMatt WallnerJorel OrtegaYasser MercedesBrandon WinokurSimeon Woods RichardsonBlayne EnlowBrent HeadrickTanner SchobelJose RodriguezAustin MartinJose SalasCory LewisDaShawn Keirsey Jr
  21. Your summaries of Rosario and DeAndrade are confusing. You say DeAndrade probably won’t stick at short? Why? Who is saying this? Meanwhile, he’s 19 and has a 362 OBP and a 762 OPS in the Florida State League. How is that not at least pretty good? Noah Miller, who you have ranked much higher, was at 627 at 19 in the FSL. If that discrepancy holds, Miller would have to be Ozzie Smith with the glove to make up the difference. You mention Rosario’s hit tool is shakey. And you worry about his K’s. Why? BA 275, OBP 386…and K’ing at 26%…which is about the same as the ‘good stretch’ that you site for Rodriquez. 25% is a sign of good things to come for Rodriquez, but 26% is a red flag for Rosario?? And Rosario just turned 21, drafted out of HS in Hawaii…it’s not like he’s that much more of a finished project than is Rodriquez.
  22. He’s not hurt (beyond the knee maintenance thing)…confirmed today by Falvey in an interview with Chad Hartman on WCCO radio.
  23. I’m not convinced his approach has changed much from 2021. He’s just not executing the approach as well AND not getting as lucky. In 2021, his BABiP was unsustainably high (344)…and his HR/FB was around 20%…and had been otherworldly high across 2020, 2021, and 2022. This year those numbers are 235 and 14.9%. In 2021 his XBH% was ridiculously high (and unsustainable) 16.5%, this year 8.9%…career number is 10.6%. 2021 OPS 1.005, career, 763. I think we can forget about 2021 (which was only 250 PA, btw) If anything he’s been a little less aggressive, more P/PA, getting deeper into counts…and it hasn’t worked…more walks but more K’s and slightly lower exit velocity. He’s always been a very low OBP guy, making a ton of outs, and relying on an extreme rate of XBH to provide offensive value. It’s a profile that is a bit of a house of cards. The sad part is that even at a 700-750 OPS…which isn’t that far from what he’s been, it would be just fine if he were playing CF and batting 6th or 7th in the order.
  24. Not for the record or even the division.. for actual relevance in terms of a team that could compete in the post season. Tonight was the first game to start demonstrating that type of relevance. 0-1.
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