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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    DaShawn Keirsey is making himself a viable candidate for getting on someone’s 40-man roster at some point in 2024. Aaron Sabato’s minor league career OBP sitting at 359. Just say’in…he’s suddenly not seeming like the total disaster a lot of us had already labeled him.
  2. jkcarew
    One pitch gets hit hard. One pitch doesn’t get whiffs…so it’s likely to get hit hard at the major league level soon enough. Add to that, his challenges with controlling his pitches. It that’s the case, we have…a relief pitcher. Someone who can potentially control two good pitches. Disappointing, but probably the most realistic ceiling at this point. And if he can be a good one…
  3. jkcarew
    26-34 since April 14 30-37 against the league (ex Royals) Pitching is regressing, and hitting is what it’s been all year. Really no sign that the ship is going to turn around. Time to try something different, no?
  4. jkcarew
    What race? The absolute worse thing that can happen to a club…is to pretend mediocrity is something other than mediocrity. The division is a bad joke. The Twins are…what…coming up on 10 games UNDER 500 against the league ex/Royals. Tough argument that’s even mediocrity. The FO can only make the situation worse (and longer) by telling themselves the lie that the club is competitive or in a race of any meaningful kind. They’re not. And they’re not. Youth, and sell at the deadline, are the right things to do. And the division is bad enough that you might still win it, for the little that’s worth in 2023. Not that I’ll hold my breath that this FO would do the right thing.
  5. jkcarew
    If only the goalie didn’t give up so many goals, he’d be good. If only the pitcher didn’t give up so many really hard hits… It’s the same argument. Just needs to be better overall. AAA. Three years ago, I wouldn’t have bet 2 cents that Varland would ever see AAA, let alone the majors. He may surprise yet again, or maybe this is the ceiling. The International League ballparks, including CHS, are HR factories…an excellent situation for working on keeping it in the park.
  6. jkcarew
    Maybe. But my opinion is that he’s a horrifically erratic hitter and always has been. He’s a low OBP guy who strikes out a lot (both K% and OBP actually currently BETTER than last year)…and the offensive value is completely tied to HR’s and XBH. And those rates have been otherworldly, unsustainably high probably, the last couple years. But this year those rates have normalized pretty much right from the beginning. He’s sitting at a career 770 OPS right now, and 740 this year.
  7. jkcarew
    I’ve questioned his very existence from the moment he signed. Kinda still do. But who knew his 777 OPS (well above career average btw) would make him look like Rogers Hornsby in this lineup.
  8. jkcarew
    Buxton wasn’t hitting BEFORE he took that pitch to the ribs. Maybe a short rehab assignment?? Gallo got one during the same time frame. No. Instead, let’s bat him cleanup and leadoff first two games back. I expect Buxton will eventually have a hot streak or two yet. But head-scratching strategy with him coming back.
  9. jkcarew
    Yeah, drafted in the 8th round out of college just like Dozier was. I want to compare him to Dozier, but even Dozier was in the show by age 26. The relative disadvantage for Williams is that the threshold for the bat is higher for a 1B,DH, and ‘emergency’ catcher. He’s really always hit, but it doesn’t seem that the twins or scouts/analysts really ever considered him a mlb catching prospect.
  10. jkcarew
    Well, if Kepler in the lineup every day spites Gleeman… then every cloud really does have a silver lining.
  11. jkcarew
    Love it with all leagues in full swing! Although, the Jordan Balazovic comeback train has jumped the tracks. Results for 6 of the last 7 outings now have been anywhere from not good to really bad.
  12. jkcarew
    If that’s an Elephant taking a dump, then I resemble that remark.
  13. jkcarew
    Problem was probably not the right word. I do think he has an uphill battle. Even with the Twins, 1B and DH figure to be fairly high offensive hurdles to clear…and apparently, they don’t love him at 3rd. He’s gotta mash. Play him every day in AAA, and see what happens.
  14. jkcarew
    Honestly, I jumped the gun…just read the title 🙄. But a cool concept…I’m just too lazy to go back and introduce the math.
  15. jkcarew
    I know…I’m not playing the game. But… LHSP - Santana RHSP - Blyleven RP - Nathan C - Mauer 1B - Morneau (I’d put Killebrew here if I had to, but I don’t have to) 2B - Carew 3B - Killebrew (played almost 800 games here…when in prime) SS - Versailles (I expect this to be Correa in the future) LF - Allison (apology to Larry Hisle) CF - Puckett RF - Oliva DH - Cruz or Molitor (I could go either way) Honestly, that’ll stack up quite well against most franchises.
  16. jkcarew
    I approve of the recent Duran usage. (I post this under the supposition that Rocco reads comments of each TD game recap looking for affirmation and ideas. Who wouldn’t?)
  17. jkcarew
    Thanks for the work, team. I also would have Balazovic outside the top 20. As of June, he's starting to leak oil fairly significantly. Likewise, I'd have De Andrade inside the top 20, as do you. What are the early reports on De Andrade's defense at short?
  18. jkcarew
    Love the list. Some would consider Mack a poor fielder. He was a bit of an enigma defensively. The range was plus, the glove was average…but the arm was epically bad. Anyone and everyone ran on it. The throwing shoulder was toast before he got to the Twins. And it eventually abbreviated his career.
  19. jkcarew
    Yeah, I don’t think you can go just with counting stats. Also, fwiw, I think Kepler has benefited from some of the flaws WAR has on the defensive calculations…specifically as it relates to inflated range factors in years where he played significant games in CF. Tom Brunansky was better as a Twin…both in terms of performance (though not by that much)…and in terms of accomplishment…with an epic ALCS and a WS championship.
  20. jkcarew
    White Sox are legitimately good if/when healthy. And the LaRussa fiasco is in the rear view mirror.
  21. jkcarew
    First time caller, long-time listener… I just wanted to say that even though it’s taken ten years, this Stewart guy is finally starting to show that he was worth that high first-round pick! I’ll hang up and listen.
  22. jkcarew
    “Tip your cap to the Jugs A0400, it had us guessing all day,” said Baldelli. That’s good stuff.
  23. jkcarew
    Win today, takes your chances tomorrow (and the day after). I don’t think they are purposely stretching him beyond a 4-6 out type of thing. He was pretty inefficient in this game, though. To me, 6 outs should always be in play with Duran. Having said that, I don’t think 38-pitch appearances are sustainable. I think that’s definitely undesirable, but I wouldn’t abandon the willingness to attempt the strategy in games like this.,,for it to work he has to be more efficient than he was in this game, though, IMO.
  24. jkcarew
    I’d go with gritty or strong pitching, not dominant…but either way, nice win. On a hunch, I looked up how many of Taylor’s starts had him batting 3rd, 4th, or 5th….in 713 starts… 0 batting 3rd 2 batting 4th 31 batting 5th (Last two kinda surprising…but, KC Royals)
  25. jkcarew
    Nice. And…walks matter as well.
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