jkcarew
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Everything posted by jkcarew
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Not allowing the opposition to score remains a foolproof plan for winning. But, I’d like to see signs of a back-up plan.
- 24 replies
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- max kepler
- bailey ober
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Sneaky contributing factor… New schedule has fewer games played within the divisions. For the ALC, that means the number of games for which they break even is smaller…and the number of games where teams outside the division demolish the ALC teams is greater.
- 24 replies
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- max kepler
- bailey ober
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Ah…but it is possible!… One team has a perfect game going into the 10th inning of a scoreless game. In the 10th inning, the team that hasn’t had a batter reach base, has their first batter hit a HR. The perfect game is broken up by a 2-run homer. (Edit: just saw where you had already acknowledged this. Sorry.)
- 24 replies
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- max kepler
- bailey ober
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You're Wrong to Not Like Max Kepler
jkcarew replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He’s currently our best hitting outfielder. And that’s part of the problem. Max is being Max…he’s fine. Even seems like he’s edging his OBP with the walks closer to what you’d want in a lead off hitter. But neither him being the best hitter in the outfield…or him being the lead off hitter are his fault. He’s not one of the clubs current problems. -
Gallo’s OBP is 342. His SLG is 619. That makes him, currently, the best offensive player on the team. Those that are going to want Gallo’s BA to be significantly above 200 are going to be disappointed. He is, and always will be, a three true outcome guy. Absolutely, there’s a fine line with his ilk…but SO FAR…there’s no way any of us could have hoped for a better version of Gallo than what we’ve gotten…and yes, I’ll add another SO FAR.
- 48 replies
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- pablo lopez
- byron buxton
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Don’t think I’d throw Kepler and Gallo in with Correa and Miranda right now. The first objective is to not make outs. And Gallo and Kepler are doing that better than almost everyone else on the team…not that that that is a terribly high bar right now…but still. History (a lot of history) says Correa will be fine. Miranda is a big worry, IMO.
- 48 replies
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- pablo lopez
- byron buxton
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3 highest OBP among regular players… Buxton (WAY above career norms), Gallo, Kepler I don’t want to say Kepler is ‘good’ or a needle-mover necessarily…but I don’t think he’s a problem either.
- 48 replies
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- pablo lopez
- byron buxton
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Here are my 5 scenarios for playing time opening up for Kirilloff… 1. The wrist is ready. 2. The wrist is ready 3. The wrist is ready 4. The wrist is ready 5. The wrist is ready
- 80 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- trevor larnach
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I was thinking about this after yesterday’s game… The bullpen has been ‘leaky’. Even today…but had some good fortune today. And, compared to previous years, that’s probably baby steps. Not as many complete implosions this year (so far), but lots of leaking.
- 48 replies
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- pablo lopez
- byron buxton
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In the 12th, Larnach, 1 PA…K, with a run scored. The once impossible (w/o a WP or PB), is now merely improbable.
- 48 replies
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- pablo lopez
- byron buxton
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IMO, Buxton easily had the worse AB in the 7th inning sequence. Easily. I don't mind the aggressive approach...yes, needs to put the ball in play; but he can't swing at that pitch...first pitch, 100 mph and in, off the plate, in a spot where it's impossible to get to. Correa got a good pitch to hit, IMO. Again, don't mind the aggressiveness; just missed the pitch. Larnach, is in a different situation with 2 outs, he HAS to get a hit (or a walk)...an out of any kind won't score a run. He HAS to get a pitch he can hit hard. He only offered at hittable pitches in the K zone; he got several, missed (or fouled) them all. That's not a bad AB. That's getting beat by the pitcher. Or you can call it bad hitting. But it's not a bad AB. Bottom line, Correa gave himself at least A chance. Larnach was able to get multiple chances. Buxton never gave himself a chance. In Buxton's defense, baseball is a cruel game and sometimes your talent works against you. If he had swung and missed on that pitch, we might not be having any of this conversation. Still, it was a bad decision.
- 56 replies
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- louis varland
- carlos correa
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Yes. Houston and New York aren't very good. So far. Check out the standings. They've both had multiple injuries impacting their lineups and are both struggling to keep their head above water.
- 56 replies
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- louis varland
- carlos correa
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Playing poorly and winning never lasts.
- 56 replies
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- louis varland
- carlos correa
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Twins Minor League Report (5/2): Errors and Extras
jkcarew replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
He was drafted last year. This is his first full pro season, and he’s done nothing but hit…hit better than others in his draft class…since the day he showed up. Not the profile for ‘organizational depth’.- 16 replies
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- mark contreras
- malik barrington
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Twins Minor League Report (5/2): Errors and Extras
jkcarew replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Two things.. Need to find out (one last chance, IMO) if Balazovic can get batters out consistently as a 'starter'/'long' guy. If he can't, then turn attention to what can make him a good short reliever. Whose wife did Dalton Shuffield make a pass at...Falvey's or Levine's?? He's 24 and seemed to hold his own in small AAA sample last year. So...Low A?? It didn't make sense to start him at Fort Myers in 2023. Looks even stranger now. Or is this a 'rehab' assignment based on some off-season injury issue?- 16 replies
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- mark contreras
- malik barrington
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White Sox 3, Twins 2: Walked-Off in Chi-Town
jkcarew replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
2023 Twins the epitome of the modern game offensively….an insanely high percentage of all runs scored are result of HR’s. It’s a recipe for frustration in general, but all the more so because they’re not particularly good at it…big strike-out numbers, but mediocre BB/OBP rates, and ok, but not great, HR frequency.- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- nick gordon
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Twins Daily Pitcher of the Month: April 2023
jkcarew replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"...but which Twins pitcher had the best month of April?" The article lays out 3 or 4 solid reasons that this should be Sonny Gray. But, I can think of about 73-and-a-half million reasons that it should be Pablo Lopez.- 16 replies
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- sonny gray
- joe ryan
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Just wanted to say...it's cool you were willing to restructure your deal to save the Vikings that cap space!
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Twins Minor League Hitter of the Month - April 2023
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Severino's an interesting case. A very highly rated international prospect...and the bat has been good pretty consistently all along the way. And yet, here we are with him having somehow become a 'sleeper' prospect. Maybe it's the limited defensive profile?- 19 replies
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- andrew cossetti
- yunior severino
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Twins Minor League Hitter of the Month - April 2023
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Celestino as a DH?? 😉- 19 replies
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- andrew cossetti
- yunior severino
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Twins have played pretty poorly across the board the last two games. Time to turn that around.
- 41 replies
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- jorge polanco
- byron buxton
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The offense wins a game where the pitching and defense were very sketchy. I guess that’s ok every now and then.
- 33 replies
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- max kepler
- jorge polanco
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Well, it's likely he's gone after 2024, at the latest, right? So...what's the earliest he would be gone? Trade deadline 2023. So, we're talking less than a season and a half of 'wondering when'? Not that unusual, I don't think. For 2023, Kirilloff might not turn out (or hold up)...Gallo could turn back into 2022 Gallo...and or Larnach could hit a wall. (Larnach is not without his own offensive issues...and more obvious defensive issues). As long at the Twins are competing and not POSITIVE of both Gallo and Kirilloff, Kepler stays. For 2024...even if Kirilloff works out, there's a very good chance Gallo is gone or not good...one or the other. So...

