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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Small sample…maybe anecdotal is the right term…seems to me that he’s been hurt in a couple of key situations by throwing the same pitch (sweeper),…without exaggeration…5-6 times consecutively during an at-bat. It’s a nice pitch. It’s not THAT good. Not yet anyway.
  2. jkcarew
    Don’t think I’d throw Kepler and Gallo in with Correa and Miranda right now. The first objective is to not make outs. And Gallo and Kepler are doing that better than almost everyone else on the team…not that that that is a terribly high bar right now…but still. History (a lot of history) says Correa will be fine. Miranda is a big worry, IMO.
  3. jkcarew
    3 highest OBP among regular players… Buxton (WAY above career norms), Gallo, Kepler I don’t want to say Kepler is ‘good’ or a needle-mover necessarily…but I don’t think he’s a problem either.
  4. jkcarew
    Here are my 5 scenarios for playing time opening up for Kirilloff… 1. The wrist is ready. 2. The wrist is ready 3. The wrist is ready 4. The wrist is ready 5. The wrist is ready
  5. jkcarew
    I was thinking about this after yesterday’s game… The bullpen has been ‘leaky’. Even today…but had some good fortune today. And, compared to previous years, that’s probably baby steps. Not as many complete implosions this year (so far), but lots of leaking.
  6. jkcarew
    In the 12th, Larnach, 1 PA…K, with a run scored. The once impossible (w/o a WP or PB), is now merely improbable.
  7. jkcarew
    IMO, Buxton easily had the worse AB in the 7th inning sequence. Easily. I don't mind the aggressive approach...yes, needs to put the ball in play; but he can't swing at that pitch...first pitch, 100 mph and in, off the plate, in a spot where it's impossible to get to. Correa got a good pitch to hit, IMO. Again, don't mind the aggressiveness; just missed the pitch. Larnach, is in a different situation with 2 outs, he HAS to get a hit (or a walk)...an out of any kind won't score a run. He HAS to get a pitch he can hit hard. He only offered at hittable pitches in the K zone; he got several, missed (or fouled) them all. That's not a bad AB. That's getting beat by the pitcher. Or you can call it bad hitting. But it's not a bad AB. Bottom line, Correa gave himself at least A chance. Larnach was able to get multiple chances. Buxton never gave himself a chance. In Buxton's defense, baseball is a cruel game and sometimes your talent works against you. If he had swung and missed on that pitch, we might not be having any of this conversation. Still, it was a bad decision.
  8. jkcarew
    Yes. Houston and New York aren't very good. So far. Check out the standings. They've both had multiple injuries impacting their lineups and are both struggling to keep their head above water.
  9. jkcarew
    Playing poorly and winning never lasts.
  10. jkcarew
    He was drafted last year. This is his first full pro season, and he’s done nothing but hit…hit better than others in his draft class…since the day he showed up. Not the profile for ‘organizational depth’.
  11. jkcarew
    Two things.. Need to find out (one last chance, IMO) if Balazovic can get batters out consistently as a 'starter'/'long' guy. If he can't, then turn attention to what can make him a good short reliever. Whose wife did Dalton Shuffield make a pass at...Falvey's or Levine's?? He's 24 and seemed to hold his own in small AAA sample last year. So...Low A?? It didn't make sense to start him at Fort Myers in 2023. Looks even stranger now. Or is this a 'rehab' assignment based on some off-season injury issue?
  12. jkcarew
    2023 Twins the epitome of the modern game offensively….an insanely high percentage of all runs scored are result of HR’s. It’s a recipe for frustration in general, but all the more so because they’re not particularly good at it…big strike-out numbers, but mediocre BB/OBP rates, and ok, but not great, HR frequency.
  13. jkcarew
    "...but which Twins pitcher had the best month of April?" The article lays out 3 or 4 solid reasons that this should be Sonny Gray. But, I can think of about 73-and-a-half million reasons that it should be Pablo Lopez.
  14. jkcarew
    Just wanted to say...it's cool you were willing to restructure your deal to save the Vikings that cap space!
  15. jkcarew
    Severino's an interesting case. A very highly rated international prospect...and the bat has been good pretty consistently all along the way. And yet, here we are with him having somehow become a 'sleeper' prospect. Maybe it's the limited defensive profile?
  16. jkcarew
    Celestino as a DH?? 😉
  17. jkcarew
    Yes! But not as jealous as I'd have been if this journey had started, lets say....middle of May. My goodness! The late fall, early winter, football gear must have been in play with the temps the Twins have played in to this point!
  18. jkcarew
    Twins have played pretty poorly across the board the last two games. Time to turn that around.
  19. jkcarew
    The offense wins a game where the pitching and defense were very sketchy. I guess that’s ok every now and then.
  20. jkcarew
    Well, it's likely he's gone after 2024, at the latest, right? So...what's the earliest he would be gone? Trade deadline 2023. So, we're talking less than a season and a half of 'wondering when'? Not that unusual, I don't think. For 2023, Kirilloff might not turn out (or hold up)...Gallo could turn back into 2022 Gallo...and or Larnach could hit a wall. (Larnach is not without his own offensive issues...and more obvious defensive issues). As long at the Twins are competing and not POSITIVE of both Gallo and Kirilloff, Kepler stays. For 2024...even if Kirilloff works out, there's a very good chance Gallo is gone or not good...one or the other. So...
  21. jkcarew
    Ricardo Olivar: Catcher, Centerfielder Now, there’s something you don’t see every day.
  22. jkcarew
    Current odds of the Twins winning 4 games in a row against an average team: 10% Current odds of the Royals losing 4 games in a row to an average team: 33% Let's just win A game...and go from there.
  23. jkcarew
    There’s the bat-to-ball skill, and there’s the power skill/tool. I assume the first will be there sooner or later. I worry about the power (at the major league level and in major league parks). It will be there if he can cut loose on a daily basis. But that still seems like a big if. I certainly hope so. He’s been a really low BB% guy, which limits the OBP. He needs to provide SLG to be a needle-mover, IMO.
  24. jkcarew
    Current Saints that played for the Red Wings…(only looking at Saints roster not at BB Refernce, etc) D Rodriguez Contreras Alcala Dobnack Megill LaMarre … I got the easy ones...someone else is going to need to bring it home (4 to go)...
  25. jkcarew
    We're golden if Gallo stays where he is K-wise over the course of the year (30%). Can kinda be a story of 'be careful what you wish for' though. The guys with the lowest K-rate on the twins... Gordon (by a mile); then Kepler (also very low); and Correa and Miranda have also been among the lower K guys on the team.
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