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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Nice write up! Connor Prielipp. Sigh. Not getting a good vibe watching Rodriquez. I hope he's willing to listen and learn. A lot of success early on...but the path is rarely linear.
  2. jkcarew
    I'm enjoying the results. Sometimes, it just seems like confidence and throwing the ball over the plate early in the count with conviction. I know it's not that simple.
  3. jkcarew
    The 'catch' with Kirilloff is that for him to be productive, a needle-mover in the 3-5 spots...he has to come with power. And the injury (even in the 'repaired' state) seems like one that could possibly negatively impact his power...even while maintaining his bat-to-ball skills. For now, I'll just be happy that it looks like we're going to get to find out. His floor (in a scenario where he is 'healthy'), is still probably someone that helps the Twins lineup. At least the 2023 lineup. But, yes, the jury is very much still out on whether he can be healthy ENOUGH to be a difference-maker in the middle of the order.
  4. jkcarew
    Lee not realistic at all. Polanco, Kirilloff, and Lewis will make a crowded infield more crowded. What are you doing with Solano, Farmer, Gordon, Miranda? If the Twins contend into the second half, Lee comes up only in the event of multiple long-term injuries…and only to take someone’s job and play every day. If the Twins DON’T contend, I could see a fire sale, and then bringing him up. And if they love him as much as they say they do, it doesn’t matter in the least whether he comes from St. Paul or directly from AA. (Buxton came to Twins directly from AA, for instance…not uncommon at all for the top guys.)
  5. jkcarew
    He’s gotta play, though. Hasn’t even started a rehab assignment, right? He’s looking at 20 PA into May…and then, he’s looking at the possibility of getting platooned/sat against lefties (he’s already been pinch hit for a couple of times). Gotta have some counting stats to win that award...not clear whether he’ll get the PA’s needed. I’d be happy if he simply got healthy, and can be moderately productive against right-handed pitching, while providing some defensive flexibility.
  6. jkcarew
    To be fair, Rocco backed himself into a corner by sticking with Moran all the way to the Refsnyer AB. By that time, he’s going to look bad if he leaves Moran in to get beat…but, he also looks pretty silly bringing in a right-hander (even ‘good’ Pagan) to face Verdugo and/or Devers with the game on the line. IMO, he needed to make the move to Pagan right away…and give Pagan a chance to clean up the mess against the bottom of the order.
  7. jkcarew
    If we’re going to score runs…well, like we’re scoring runs…then the pitching AND the defense both need to be very good. Again, the pitching was good enough…but, the defense wasn’t. I didn’t have an issue with Moran in the 10th. Thought it bizarre when he was left in to face Refsnyder. He get’s the DP somehow…then, I’m sure Rocco wants to leave him in against Verdugo to preserve the lefty-lefty matchup. Weird sequence. It’s Fenway…it’s not a great pitching staff…score more than 2 runs.
  8. jkcarew
    I mean, I doubt seriously that they’re in a hurry to move him to AAA. He’s played all of 10 games now at the AA level…and it’s a level at which most organizations have their very best, most talented, young prospects…including pitchers. They’re not close to handing him the big-league starting 3B, 2B, or SS jobs…so no need to have him in the wings at St Paul. If something happens and they do want to give him one of those roles, they’d probably be willing to move him directly from AA. That’s not that unusual. But that’s a long-term injury or two from happening…or a half-season of drastic underperformance from Miranda from happening (and maybe even not then if Lewis is back and healthy). Certainly, nothing imminent.
  9. jkcarew
    IMO, this is what Buxton is. He generally looks clueless in the batter’s box…and I’m always astounded when pitchers throw his strikes. But he has a pretty proven track record at this point…he’ll get scorchingly hot, just when you think he’ll never get another hit…and go ice, ice cold, just when it looks like he’s going to enter into elite status. Incredibly streaky…and now just happens to be at the bottom of the cycle.
  10. jkcarew
    Amazing, no?! I honestly never thought I'd see a regulation 2:07 game played again in my lifetime. The clock has been way more impactful than I thought it would. Incredible. (In this game the trifecta of fast baseball...few hits/runs/runners, get-away day, the clock.)
  11. jkcarew
    The Yankees didn't look or feel like a superior team in this series. Let's hope that means good things ahead. Going into this season, the offense didn't figure to be great. A whole lot of things needed to go right for 'good' to happen, offensively. They haven't so far. I do think it will get somewhat better...especially if Kirilloff can get to 'right'. The pitching continues to be a joy to watch.
  12. jkcarew
    Supper hard to figure out. Everyone says the power will come...and have been saying it for some time. But, it hasn't. Over 500 career PA now with a low SLG and pedestrian ISO. Having said that, he does desperately need a full season of health, which he hasn't really had yet, in which he can work on his adjustments. There are some scenarios out there where he plays the second half of the season in St. Paul.
  13. jkcarew
    AAA is for "4-A", break-glass, veterans...and prospects that have noting to prove at AA. Julien fits that bill, so AAA was appropriate. You can see that he has plenty of work to do...including on defense...before he's in a starting major-league lineup. And you don't bring him up to sit on the bench and PH. Lee, does have a little to prove in AA. I'm fine with that start. I like the aggressiveness. Although, Rodriguez is worrying me a bit with his 50% K rate. Yep, 50%.
  14. jkcarew
    Rodriguez now with 17K in 34PA, for a round 50% K rate. Just turned 20…I like that the Twins started him at high A, but slightly worried about bad habits. I’m sure there’s some rust involved.
  15. jkcarew
    So many to choose from. Full-season projection after first 15 games... Larnach: 238 Taylor: 227 Buxton: 227
  16. jkcarew
    Momma told me there’d be days like today.
  17. jkcarew
    Two things on Rodriguez… one, yes, let’s keep him healthy two, he is having massive issues with strike outs early in the season…14 K in his first 30 PA. Let’s see him get a handle on that before we anoint him.
  18. jkcarew
    Way more impressive than the first win, IMO. Even the hapless underdog captures lightning in a bottle once in a blue moon. This was grinded out against a good pitcher, good team, on the road, having been punched in the face to start the game. So early…but it’s the kind of game that can get the PLAYERS believing.
  19. jkcarew
    Huge. Not even in the same universe.
  20. jkcarew
    I like the summary. And, yes, some early-season small samples are making some guys look better than they probably are, and some worse than they probably are. Jeffers, Solano, Vasquez...all with unsustainably high BABiP. (Not that there aren't other encouraging things burried in their numbers. There are.) Gordon with a ridiculously GOOD K-rate (very low)...but a horrific BABiP. He's putting almost every ball into play...and almost every one is resulting in an out. Miranda, also with good-ish BB and K rates...but low BABiP.
  21. jkcarew
    I'd have to guess that Balazovic, at least for now, remains a starter? And they're just stretching him out as he didn't get a full spring training? Maybe someone on TD staff can corroborate? But then again, I guess they could accomplish that by having him start the games instead of being the 2nd guy in? I hope they aren't moving him yet. Had command issues. But last year it seemed, almost without exception, that the pitches in the strike-zone were getting destroyed. It's very very early, but pitches in the strike-zone were not getting destroyed...and in several instances, were swings-and-misses. The hit was a ground ball single. Baby steps, and fingers crossed.
  22. jkcarew
    Wow. Buxton plays, Correa plays. We hit, and we pitch. And Kirilloff hits HR in rehab!
  23. jkcarew
    I've been somewhat of a critic of WAR. But in this case, WAR seems an appropriate way of looking at Buxton's value... At current rate (has about the same OPS he posted in 2022), if Buxton were to play all year at DH, his bWAR would come in around 3.5 for the season. That's LESS THAN what he posted in each of the last two seasons when he played about half the season (or less)...but primarily played CF. They're darned if they do, and darned if they don't. And I don't think we can assume that DH'ing will have a huge favorable impact on how many games he can play. Should help in theory. And then we witness yesterday's baserunning debacle.
  24. jkcarew
    Yep. Enlow’s start not as good as his first start was…but still kind of encouraging…only one XBH, lots of K’s. Would love to see him have a strong season, and put himself right back into the 2024 conversation. Also, would have expected a 2nd appearance for the Saints by Balazovic by now?
  25. jkcarew
    I’m with you except for the Buxton base running thing. No accident…it was Buxton being Buxton. Still, not in control of the new training staff.
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