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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I do think maybe catching these two at a good time. On the other hand, I think the offensive issues are very real.
  2. jkcarew
    I think you’re on to something, though. The evolution to pull and launch at all cost results in so many pitches taken. The pitchers trained to avoid anything but the extreme periphery of the strike zone, the batter focusing on a specific narrow area of the strike zone. Frustrating. My idea is less radical, but also stands no chance of actually happening…. Restrict the number of pitchers available to pitch in a game, and institute new, larger minimum dimensions for newly built ballparks (or deaden the ball which would be much faster, if feasible). When starting pitchers’ goal was to finish a game, they didn’t waste pitches. And necessarily that meant not trying to strike out every batter…at least not by nibbling and trying to get the batter to chase. When there were 5-6 guys in the lineup who couldn’t reach the power alleys, those batters tended to try to put the first good pitch they saw into play. The geometry of the game is out of whack, and the continuing reliance on relief and ‘3rd time through the lineup’ strategies needs to turn around somehow.
  3. jkcarew
    Trevor May with 3 DECISIONS in first 6 games for Oakland. Tied for major league lead in Wins (with Kyle Gibson among others).
  4. jkcarew
    Offense is probably going to be challenged all year. That seemed likely from the get-go. Really counting on Kirilloff (and maybe Lewis later) to tip the balance. With the starters looking as good as they are, that might mean a season with a lot of close games. So, the bullpen…and Rocco’s ability to maximize it’s effectiveness.
  5. jkcarew
    It comes down to...how many good-bat, poor-glove infielders does an organization need? The Twins are still sitting on Miranda and Julien...plus a guy (Lewis) who figures to be average+ defensively. Meanwhile, looks like the Reds have already given up on the idea of CES being anything other than a first-baseman, which will mitigate his value. You trade from a position of strength/depth/redundancy...and that what the Twins did. It can always be the case that the prospects you decided to trade from that area of depth end up being the wrong choices. We'll see. But it was a righteous move at the time, and I can't see how one would regret it already at this point in time.
  6. jkcarew
    Berrios gets the #4 slot for the Jays...and gets hammered in his first start.
  7. jkcarew
    Sacramento!!
  8. jkcarew
    Someone with a higher OBP than Buxton and less power. And Buxton won't be steeling bases this year. At all. I don't see it as that complicated, but it's a bit amusing how very very badly Rocco wants to use a lefty against RH pitching. I'd go with Correa, and forget about it. Even his OBP against RH pitching is as good/better than any of our left-handed bats. And we don't need his power deeper in the lineup, looks like the power options are fairly plentiful. Correa is so obvious, IMO, that it makes me think he might have indicated he doesn't want it, or isn't comfortable there?
  9. jkcarew
    "Twins and Pablo Lopez Celebrate the First Win of the Season" "...Mahle Cruises in Win" Anyone else see the problem here?
  10. jkcarew
    Mikey Perez and Dalton Shuffield... Maybe they were caught hanging out with with Balazovic? 😜
  11. jkcarew
    Context...for the first almost ten seasons of the Twins existence, there was no 'playoff'...and no divisions..you either finished the regular season with the best record in the league, or you went home. Big regular season home runs hit in that era automatically had WAY more significance than a 'similar' regular season HR hit today. More context...Hrbek came to the plate with the Twins leading 6-5. St. Louis never scored another run. Dramatic? Absolutely. As meaningful to the franchises history as Killebrew's? No. (And Baylor came up with the Twins behind by two runs...and having lost the previous 3 games...that hit was the game-winning RBI, and turned the entire momentum of that series back into the Twins favor.)
  12. jkcarew
    Bingo. It was a walk-off against the Yankees in the last game before the all-star break and moved the Twins into first place...which they never relinquished for their first pennant in Minnesota. Then, for good measure, the All-star game was at the Met that year...and he hit another in that game. There has never been anyone in Minnesota sports history that was as big as Killebrew was at that time. The Yankees were totally dominant up to that point, and nationally the Twins were nothing but "the old Senators". (Yankees had won the previous 5 AL pennants and something ridiculous like 12 of the last 15.) 1. Pucket 2. Baylor 3. Killebrew
  13. jkcarew
    Sorry....but that'd be more bad data.😉
  14. jkcarew
    Thanks for the info, Seth. I had forgotten Lee got a taste of AA last year. Got a lot of looks at ST, and struggled mightily at the plate. So, I'm not expecting domination out of the gate. Hopefully, just a solid year for him health and performance-wise.
  15. jkcarew
    "Buxton stole another base..." Your simulation has some bad data in it. As demonstrated by his first two baserunning slides of the season (and the total of 6 SB attempts over 92 games in 2022)...the only way Buxton is stealing a base is if the pitcher has a medical emergency on the mound.
  16. jkcarew
    I'm guessing since it was a 4-run game going into the ninth, Rocco wanted to hold off on Duran...as Monday is not an off-day. Still, I did think it slightly odd that Duran didn't see action on Saturday...and also, find it interesting that Rocco still trusts Pagan in the 9th inning of a 4-run game.
  17. jkcarew
    Such a fine line, really. Too much K'ing and the BA/OBP can't compensate for the HR's. The thing that makes Gallo a bit different (in his 'good' years) is that his OBP only goes so low because of his ability to get BB's. We'll see. But, just like Sano (in Sano's 'better' years)...that kind of power, when it shows up, can win games all by itself.
  18. jkcarew
    With the new schedules this year we play KC 6 fewer times than in the past (13 vs 19)...so a total of 12 fewer games against KC and Detroit. Of course, Chicago and Cleveland get 12 fewer games against them as well. And, both Chi and Cle played good teams tough on the road to open the season.
  19. jkcarew
    He'll have some adjusting to do yet. WBC pitching isn't at mlb quality/depth level. Has K'd 5 times in 9 PA so for in AAA.
  20. jkcarew
    Agree. I would think Hajjar is thrilled.
  21. jkcarew
    That's what I'm saying when I say TBD. Certainly not ready to call him an asset or a good/wise addition yet. Although, I'd be mildly surprised if there isn't at least a little bounce back from 2022. Judging by ST, I'm convinced Rocco wanted him to lead-off...what with the superior career OBP to Kepler with all the walks, etc. But, late in ST and into the beginning of the year here, Rocco is obviously not ready to go there...and I can't say I blame him.
  22. jkcarew
    Timing of this article seems odd. The smart/good play in the opener is something that we might have expected from Gallo. He has a reputation for being solid defensively. Offensively, it's been every bit the nightmare that many predicted...or worse. He's a left-handed power bat in theory only for now. It's early, and I remain firmly in the TBD camp.
  23. jkcarew
    Yeah. I'm not convinced. It's just starting obviously, but I find myself enamored with the pitch clock. Way more than I thought I'd be. Right now not seeing how it would take away the enjoyment or drama of a WBC or a WS or an All-Star game. Maybe I'll feel differently when I've consumed a larger sample.
  24. jkcarew
    Not great. You really would like not one, but two, legit power bats. One for first and one for DH. It's unclear whether the 2023 Twins have even one (when Buxton can play center). I do consider Gallo to still have that potential, so Larnach becomes a big piece...if he can function in Left, then Gallo can play more first. I agree that Julien may become a legitimate option if his power continues to develop. And the immediate fall-back would seem to be Miranda...with Farmer playing more 3B. Sabato is intriguing still simply because the power is there and the command of the strike zone is there. Just way too much swing-and-miss. I think he probably has to take a good step this summer, or...
  25. jkcarew
    More prospects than I would expect on an opening day roster at the AAA level. Usually, even heavier on the depth/AAAA veterans. And that's not counting Lewis and Kirilloff. I could see the Twins roster really turning over big time...over the next year. Especially, if the team struggles to compete this year.
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