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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Probably realistic. Although, I see his upside more #3-ish. The struggles against better offensive teams are a real thing (see Berrios) and those that are consistently good against those teams are legit #1-2 guys. Like you say, I don’t think Ryan necessarily needs to get THERE to warrant the value or validate the trade. But, I like his demeanor on the mound…seems to have the ‘good’ arrogance genes that help, IMO, break through at this level.
  2. jkcarew
    Cavaco is the poster child for “toolsy”. A red flag goes up every time I hear it, because the first thing I want to hear from an evaluator about a ‘true’ top prospect, is how promising the hit tool(s) are…regardless of how athletic the guy is. The hit tool trumps everything in Major League Baseball…by a mile, and now more than ever. Literally everyone questioned Cavaco’s hit tool when he was drafted in the top half of the 1st round. And now he’s a corner infielder. Sigh.
  3. jkcarew
    “The whispers have already begun…” ?? What did I miss? Who (that matters) is whispering?
  4. jkcarew
    At some point you have to get some utility from a guy who’s been eating a roster spot for what will be a third season. Tick…tick…tick…
  5. jkcarew
    To me, you need to have a PROVEN bat to replace him at 1B before you can trade him…otherwise you lose in offense what you hope to gain in pitching. I’d love to have a 800+ OPS guy (something Arraez still is not) at 1B…(preferably a righty given current roster)…they’re not that uncommon. But, until that seems imminent for this club, I’d keep the high OBP, high contact guy we have. The disclaimer is if someone wants to overpay for him.
  6. jkcarew
    If the Angels jump on an offer of a B plus C pitching prospect, I would immediately have even lower expectations of Adell. I mean, they know he’s only 23 too, right? He’s probably still one year from becoming really cheap.
  7. jkcarew
    He’s not a good manager once the game starts. He’s just not.
  8. jkcarew
    He pitched 20 innings last year. There is ZERO to take away from 20 innings. $4M probably worth the pretty small chance he can be both above average AND healthy.
  9. jkcarew
    Meanwhile, expectations for Varland are getting ahead of themselves, IMHO.
  10. jkcarew
    Man…you gotta come up with a better example than Berrios. As of now, that looks like the PERFECT sell-high move for someone that was actually overrated by the market. Didn’t hurt the team in any meaningful manner in the short term, and has a chance to help significant in the future. Maybe it will look different in 9 months, true. But there’s also a chance that it will look even better in 9 months.
  11. jkcarew
    I mean if you really think this roster is currently a legitimate contender…then this would, I think, make a marginal improvement in lineup balance and flexibility. Marginal. But, unless this somehow becomes off-season move #5 or #6…it makes little sense. Just like the Gallo move.
  12. jkcarew
    The same exact medical condition can be worth a 3-year risk and not worth a 10 year risk; or can be worth risking a piece of $280M but not a significant chunk of $325M+. Same for insurability. There’s not much to be inferred here beyond the fact that these mega-term contracts will continue to see next-level scrutiny during execution.
  13. jkcarew
    I think Gallo is a better player…primarily due to defense…than many here want to give him credit for. Still, doesn’t seem to materially raise the bar, and the roster fit seems really weird. Couldn’t this money have been better spent elsewhere?
  14. jkcarew
    If you saw it coming 330 days ago, can you still call it a gut-punch?
  15. jkcarew
    This will be well north of $300M. Well north. Love Correa as a player but this has every indication of landing WAY out there in ‘be careful what you wish for’ territory.
  16. jkcarew
    To me, good RBI guys are real and important. They are innately good hitters that are AGGRESSIVE with pitches in the zone (and predictable/hittable pitches slightly outside the zone) when in RISP situations…especially in 2-out RISP situations. And they aren’t ‘easy’ to K. It’s not necessarily demonstrated by any single-season stat…(opportunity and SSS). Over 2-3 seasons, I’d take Abreu over Miranda. But that’s moot now. I do think Miranda has the aggressive gene, and I think it will come with a reasonable contact rate as he settles in.
  17. jkcarew
    Maybe rebranding from also-ran to contender? Nah.
  18. jkcarew
    Judge
  19. jkcarew
    As it turns out, he was borderline awful all year. And now with the Jay’s down 1-0 to the Mariners and their back to the wall, they are looking elsewhere with Gausman to stay alive. I’m guessing he won’t get a theoretical game 3 either. Maybe a relief appearance?
  20. jkcarew
    Congrats to Luis! Very nice accomplishment.
  21. jkcarew
    How about producing (draft/develop) a healthy/functional, legitimate top-half-of-rotation starter. You know…the one thing that all the ‘experts’ said you’d be good at? Let’s start with one. ONE.
  22. jkcarew
    He’s not consistently solid with in-game decisions in close games…hasn’t been from day 1. Masked by superior lineups, exposed with an average lineup…and against good teams. It’s really the FIRST and highest priority for a manager to be good at. Anyone can take 24 hours to interpret the data and come up with the best batting order and bullpen plan for tomorrow’s game. But then the game HAPPENS. I don’t hold out much hope for him in this capacity. Unfortunately.
  23. jkcarew
    Come on. You think if Correa puts up a 140 OPS+, 5-6 WAR season in 2023 in a Yankee and Dodger uniform, their fans are so stupid that they’d have a problem with that? Nonsense. He’d be an upgrade at the position for literally every team in baseball. The one and only team for which he wouldn’t be a clear upgrade…the Padres…have a CURRENT cheater at the position.
  24. jkcarew
    There’s 11 pitchers in that top 20. 2 you traded, leaving 9. Of the 9… 1 completely broke 2 were slowed by injury (Winder, Sands) 1 was stopped by injury 2 took meaningful steps (SWR and Ryan) 1 over achieved 1 basically started over (Enlow) Meanwhile, Prielipp and Henrique seem like guys that could be top-20 worthy, and not that far away? A mixed bag, The injuries always seem to make it feel worse. And the fact that the pitchers we got in the trades seem like damaged goods…that also makes it feel worse.
  25. jkcarew
    One added, one removed,…and apparently, one in the protocol…: Ash. ?
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